• 제목/요약/키워드: model estimation

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정보시스템 운영사업 비용산정 모형 개발에 대한 실증적 연구 (An Empirical Study On Information Systems Operation Cost Estimation Model)

  • 김현수
    • 한국정보처리학회논문지
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    • 제7권6호
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    • pp.1810-1817
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this research is to develop an estimation model for information systems operating costs. Current cost estimation practices and types of sytem management projects have been reviewed an analyses. Typical operating project types of information systems are determined. They are application system operation, help disk operation, network management and operation, and hardware management. For each type of projects, cost factors ar identified and a structure of cost estimation model is defined. Cost estimation models have been constructed and tested by 24 real operation projects data. Statistical analysis shows derived models are statistically significant. User groups' opinion on these draft cost estimation model has been surveyed and summarized. The results of this research can be used as a cornerstone for future research on operating cost estimation, and for cost estimation guideline of information systems operation projects.

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매니퓰레이터의 조립작업을 위한 비젼시스템 모델 개발 (Development of Vision System Model for Manipulator's Assemble task)

  • 장완식
    • 한국생산제조학회지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.10-18
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    • 1997
  • This paper presents the development of real-time estimation and control details for a computer vision-based robot control method. This is accomplished using a sequential estimation scheme that permits placement of these points in each of the two-dimensional image planes of monitoring cameras. Estimation model is developed based on a model that generalizes know 4-axis Scorbot manipulator kinematics to accommodate unknown relative camera position and orientation, etc. This model uses six uncertainty-of-view parameters estimated by the iteration method. The method is tested experimentally in two ways : First the validity of estimation model is tested by using the self-built test model. Second, the practicality of the presented control method is verified in performing 4-axis manipulator's assembly task. These results show that control scheme used is precise and robust. This feature can open the door to a range of application of multi-axis robot such as deburring and welding.

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야지 주행 로봇을 위한 횡 방향 힘 추정 모델의 설계 및 마찰계수 추정 신뢰도의 향상 (Design of Lateral Force Estimation Model for Rough Terrain Mobile Robot and Improving Estimation Reliability on Friction Coefficient)

  • 김지용;이지홍;주상현
    • 로봇학회논문지
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.174-181
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    • 2018
  • For a mobile robot that travels along a terrain consisting of various geology, information on tire force and friction coefficient between ground and wheel is an important factor. In order to estimate the lateral force between ground and wheel, a lot of information about the model and the surrounding environment of the vehicle is required in conventional method. Therefore, in this paper, we are going to estimate lateral force through simple model (Minimal Argument Lateral Slip Curve, MALSC) using only minimum data with high estimation accuracy and to improve estimation reliability of the friction coefficient by using the estimated lateral force data. Simulation is carried out to analyze the correlation between the longitudinal and transverse friction coefficients and slip angles to design the simplified lateral force estimation model by analysing simulation data and to apply it to the actual field environment. In order to verify the validity of the equation, estimation results are compared with the conventional method through simulation. Also, the results of the lateral force and friction coefficient estimation are compared from both the conventional method and the proposed model through the actual robot running experiments.

유연관절로봇을 위한 정확한 외부토크 측정시스템 개발: 랜덤워크모델을 이용한 칼만필터 기반 추정 (Exact External Torque Sensing System for Flexible-Joint Robot: Kalman Filter Estimation with Random-Walk Model)

  • 박영진;정완균
    • 로봇학회논문지
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, an external torque estimation problem in one-degree-of-freedom (1-DOF) flexible-joint robot equipped with a joint-torque sensor is revisited. Since a sensor torque from the joint-torque sensor is distorted by two dynamics having a spring connection, i.e., motor dynamics and link dynamics of a flexible-joint robot, a model-based estimation, rather than a simple linear spring model, should be required to extract external torques accurately. In this paper, an external torque estimation algorithm for a 1-DOF flexible-joint robot is proposed. This algorithm estimates both an actuating motor torque from the motor dynamics and an external link torque from the link dynamics simultaneously by utilizing the flexible-joint robot model and the Kalman filter estimation based on random-walk model. The basic structure of the proposed algorithm is explained, and the performance is investigated through a custom-designed experimental testbed for a vertical situation under gravity.

Software Effort Estimation in Rapidly Changing Computng Environment

  • Eung S. Jun;Lee, Jae K.
    • 한국지능정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지능정보시스템학회 2001년도 The Pacific Aisan Confrence On Intelligent Systems 2001
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2001
  • Since the computing environment changes very rapidly, the estimation of software effort is very difficult because it is not easy to collect a sufficient number of relevant cases from the historical data. If we pinpoint the cases, the number of cases becomes too small. However is we adopt too many cases, the relevance declines. So in this paper we attempt to balance the number of cases and relevance. Since many researches on software effort estimation showed that the neural network models perform at least as well as the other approaches, so we selected the neural network model as the basic estimator. We propose a search method that finds the right level of relevant cases for the neural network model. For the selected case set. eliminating the qualitative input factors with the same values can reduce the scale of the neural network model. Since there exists a multitude of combinations of case sets, we need to search for the optimal reduced neural network model and corresponding case, set. To find the quasi-optimal model from the hierarchy of reduced neural network models, we adopted the beam search technique and devised the Case-Set Selection Algorithm. This algorithm can be adopted in the case-adaptive software effort estimation systems.

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The exponential generalized log-logistic model: Bagdonavičius-Nikulin test for validation and non-Bayesian estimation methods

  • Ibrahim, Mohamed;Aidi, Khaoula;Alid, Mir Masoom;Yousof, Haitham M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.1-25
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    • 2022
  • A modified Bagdonavičius-Nikulin chi-square goodness-of-fit is defined and studied. The lymphoma data is analyzed using the modified goodness-of-fit test statistic. Different non-Bayesian estimation methods under complete samples schemes are considered, discussed and compared such as the maximum likelihood least square estimation method, the Cramer-von Mises estimation method, the weighted least square estimation method, the left tail-Anderson Darling estimation method and the right tail Anderson Darling estimation method. Numerical simulation studies are performed for comparing these estimation methods. The potentiality of the new model is illustrated using three real data sets and compared with many other well-known generalizations.

국내 소프트웨어 개발사업에 적합한 기능점수규모 예측방법에 관한 연구 (A Study on Estimating Function Point Count of Domestic Software Development Projects)

  • 박찬규;신수정;이현옥
    • 경영과학
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.179-196
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    • 2003
  • Function point model is the international standard method to measure the software size which is one of the most important factors to determine the software development cost. Function point model can successfully be applied only when the detailed specification of users' requirements is available. In the domestic public sector, however, the budgeting for software projects is carried out before the requirements of softwares ere specified in detail. Therefore, an efficient function point estimation method is required to apply function point model at the early stage of software development projects. The purpose of this paper is to compare various function point estimation methods and analyse their accuracies in domestic software projects. We consider four methods : NESMA model, ISBSG model, the simplified function point model and the backfiring method. The methods are applied to about one hundred of domestic projects, and their estimation errors are compared. The results can used as a criterion to select an adequate estimation model for function point counts.

IMM Method Using Intelligent Input Estimation for Maneuvering Target Tracking

  • Lee, Bum-Jik;Joo, Young-Hoon;Park, Jin-Bae
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2003년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.1278-1282
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    • 2003
  • A new interacting multiple model (IMM) method using intelligent input estimation (IIE) is proposed to track a maneuvering target. In the proposed method, the acceleration level for each sub-model is determined by IIE-the estimation of the unknown acceleration input by a fuzzy system using the relation between maneuvering filter residual and non-maneuvering one. The genetic algorithm (GA) is utilized to optimize a fuzzy system for a sub-model within a fixed range of acceleration input. Then, multiple models are composed of these fuzzy systems, which are optimized for different ranges of acceleration input. In computer simulation for an incoming ballistic missile, the tracking performance of the proposed method is compared with those of the input estimation (IE) technique and the adaptive interacting multiple model (AIMM) method.

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신경망 시스템 기반의 소프트웨어 개발노력 추정모델 구축에 관한 연구 (Software Development Effort Estimation Using Neural Network Model)

  • 백승익;김병관
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.97-109
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    • 2006
  • As software becomes more complex and its scope dramatically increases, the importance of research on developing methods for estimating software development efforts has been increased. Such accurate estimation has a prominent impact on the development projects. To develop accurate effort estimation models, many studies have been conducted among the academia and the practitioners. Out of the numerous methods, Constructive Cost Model (COCOMO) based on Line of Code (LOC), Regression Model based on Function Point (FP) were the most popular models in the past. As today's development environments are dynamically changing, these traditional methods do not work anymore. There is an impending need to develop an accurate estimation model which accommodates itself to the new environments. As a possible solution, this research proposes and evaluates an software development estimation model based on function points and neural networks.

강우-유출모형을 이용한 실시간 홍수예측(I) : 이론과 모형화 (Real-Time Flood Forecasting Using Rainfall-Runoff Model(I) : Theory and Modeling)

  • 정동국;이길성
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 1994
  • 현재까지 국내의 홍수예측업무는 과거에 수집된 자료집단을 이용한 변수추정에 의하여 시행되고 있으나, 최근 여러 가지 순환추정 알고리즘을 적용한 홍수예측 또는 변수추정에 관한 많은 연구가 이루어지고 있다. 본 논문은 실시간 홍수예측 및 변수추정에 관한 연구로서, 특히 강우-유출모형의 상태 및 매개변수의 동시추정에 관한 추계학적 현상을 고려하였다. 홍수예측에 관한 시스템은 $\phi$ 지수에 의한 유효강우의 산정과 지체효과를 고려한 n개의 비선형 저수지모형에 의한 홍수축적으로 구성하였다. 그리고 변수추정모형과 홍수추적 모형을 상호연계하여 변수를 포함하는 확대 상태-공간모형으로 상태 및 매개변수의 동시추정에 관한 시스템을 구성하였다. 상태-공간모형에 대한 상태 및 변수추정기법으로 GLS 추정과 MAP 추정에 대하여 비교 검토하였다. 모형의 식별을 위한 민감도 분석은 추정변수의 공분산 행렬을 사용하였다.

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