• 제목/요약/키워드: model averaging

검색결과 300건 처리시간 0.032초

Bayesian Typhoon Track Prediction Using Wind Vector Data

  • Han, Minkyu;Lee, Jaeyong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.241-253
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    • 2015
  • In this paper we predict the track of typhoons using a Bayesian principal component regression model based on wind field data. Data is obtained at each time point and we applied the Bayesian principal component regression model to conduct the track prediction based on the time point. Based on regression model, we applied to variable selection prior and two kinds of prior distribution; normal and Laplace distribution. We show prediction results based on Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) estimator and Median Probability Model (MPM) estimator. We analysis 8 typhoons in 2006 using data obtained from previous 6 years (2000-2005). We compare our prediction results with a moving-nest typhoon model (MTM) proposed by the Korea Meteorological Administration. We posit that is possible to predict the track of a typhoon accurately using only a statistical model and without a dynamical model.

Word Embeddings-Based Pseudo Relevance Feedback Using Deep Averaging Networks for Arabic Document Retrieval

  • Farhan, Yasir Hadi;Noah, Shahrul Azman Mohd;Mohd, Masnizah;Atwan, Jaffar
    • Journal of Information Science Theory and Practice
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2021
  • Pseudo relevance feedback (PRF) is a powerful query expansion (QE) technique that prepares queries using the top k pseudorelevant documents and choosing expansion elements. Traditional PRF frameworks have robustly handled vocabulary mismatch corresponding to user queries and pertinent documents; nevertheless, expansion elements are chosen, disregarding similarity to the original query's elements. Word embedding (WE) schemes comprise techniques of significant interest concerning QE, that falls within the information retrieval domain. Deep averaging networks (DANs) defines a framework relying on average word presence passed through multiple linear layers. The complete query is understandably represented using the average vector comprising the query terms. The vector may be employed for determining expansion elements pertinent to the entire query. In this study, we suggest a DANs-based technique that augments PRF frameworks by integrating WE similarities to facilitate Arabic information retrieval. The technique is based on the fundamental that the top pseudo-relevant document set is assessed to determine candidate element distribution and select expansion terms appropriately, considering their similarity to the average vector representing the initial query elements. The Word2Vec model is selected for executing the experiments on a standard Arabic TREC 2001/2002 set. The majority of the evaluations indicate that the PRF implementation in the present study offers a significant performance improvement compared to that of the baseline PRF frameworks.

표적 탐지/추적 성능 향상을 위한 불균일 미세 잡음 영상 화질개선 연구 (A study on enhancement of heterogeneous noisy image quality for the performance improvement of target detection and tracking)

  • 김용;유필훈;김다솔
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제17권8호
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    • pp.923-936
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    • 2014
  • Images can be contaminated with different types of noise, for different reasons. The neighborhood averaging and smoothing by image averaging are the classical image processing techniques for noise removal. The classical spatial filtering refers to the aggregate of pixels composing an image and operating directly on these pixels. To reduce or remove effectively noise in image sequences, it usually needs to use noise reduction filter based on space or time domain such as method of spatial or temporal filter. However, the method of spatial filter can generally cause that signals of objects as the target are also blurred. In this paper, we propose temporal filter using the piece-wise quadratic function model and enhancement algorithm of image quality for the performance improvement of target detection and tracking by heterogeneous noise reduction. Image tracking simulation that utilizes real IIR(Imaging Infra-Red) images is employed to evaluate the performance of the proposed image processing algorithm.

An Induced Hesitant Linguistic Aggregation Operator and Its Application for Creating Fuzzy Ontology

  • Kong, Mingming;Ren, Fangling;Park, Doo-Soon;Hao, Fei;Pei, Zheng
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제12권10호
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    • pp.4952-4975
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    • 2018
  • An induced hesitant linguistic aggregation operator is investigated in the paper, in which, hesitant fuzzy linguistic evaluation values are associated with probabilistic information. To deal with these hesitant fuzzy linguistic information, an induced hesitant fuzzy linguistic probabilistic ordered weighted averaging (IHFLPOWA) operator is proposed, monotonicity, boundary and idempotency of IHFLPOWA are proved. Then andness, orness and the entropy of dispersion of IHFLPOWA are analyzed, which are used to characterize the weighting vector of the operator, these properties show that IHFLPOWA is extensions of the induced linguistic ordered weighted averaging operator and linguistic probabilistic aggregation operator. In this paper, IHFLPOWA is utilized to gather linguistic information and create fuzzy ontologies, and a movie fuzzy ontology as an illustrative case study is used to show the elaboration of the proposed method and comparison with the existing linguistic aggregation operators, it seems that the IHFLPOWA operator is an useful and alternative operator for dealing with hesitant fuzzy linguistic information with probabilistic information.

태양광 발전 시스템에서의 벅 컨버터 제어기 설계 (Design of Buck Converter Controller in a Photovoltaic Power Conditioning System)

  • 박봉희;정승환;최주엽;최익;이상철;이동하
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2014
  • Generally, buck converter controller is designed to control the output voltage of the converter. However, design of the controller in a photovoltaic power conditioning system is different from theoretical design guideline. The controller in a photovoltaic power conditioning system controls the input voltage of the converter (the output voltage of the solar cell) to meet a maximum power point tracking (MPPT) performance. In this study, a new model for buck converter used in a photovoltaic power conditioning system is proposed, which is linearized after state-space averaging in each period. Also, mathematical expression of the modeled buck converter is interpreted separately as small and large signals; therefore its appropriateness is measured to design linear voltage and current controller.

태양광 발전시스템에서의 벅 컨버터 제어기 설계 (Design of Buck Converter Controller in the Photovoltaic Power Conditioning System)

  • 정승환;최익;임지훈;최주엽;안진웅;이동하
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국태양에너지학회 2009년도 추계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.377-382
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    • 2009
  • modelling of the buck converter in photovoltaic power conditioning system is not a possibility of doing with input-output relationship from existing procedures. Because the input current and voltage of the buck converter in fluctuate at any time. The controller which design with the method which has like this error cannot have a good efficiency. In this paper, firstly, in order to design accurate controller of buck converter, new model is proposed. The modeling used a state-space averaging method and came to accomplish. Secondly, the process which design the controller is described. Finally, the simulation results are analyzed.

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우리나라 중소하천 코리도의 자연성 평가기법 연구 (A Study on Evaluation Method of Stream Naturalness for Ecological Restoration of Stream Corridors)

  • 조용현
    • 한국조경학회지
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 1997
  • The main purpose of this study was to develop a new method for evaluation of stream naturalness in order to appraise and prescribe for streams effectively in the process of ecological restoration of stream corridors. The results are as follows : 1) For this purpose six factors were selected on considering the spatial axes of stream corridor variation and total 20 descriptors about the physical structure were selected. 2) The calculation of S.N.I. for each segment was consisted of three steps, such as calculation of S.N.I.s of the individual descriptors, averaging all the descriptors's for each factor, and finally averaging the factors's for the Total S.N.I. 3) The evaluation unit was decided to be 100m size. The score system ranging 1~5 was adopted. Weighting parameters of factors were unified with each other. 4) A GIS model was adopted for classification, calculation, querying, analysing, and presenting S.N.I. information. And the format of S.N.I. maps including statistical graphs and other spatial watershed information was designed for the GIS odel. The naturalness of stream corridor was was investigated by the naturalness of habitat, and assessed by the descriptors focused on physical structure, therefore the S.N.I. can manifest prescriptions for restoration of the stream corridor. On the other hand because some evaluation factors such as water quality, water volume, fauna, flora, functions of stream exosystem has been excluded, S.N.I. could have some limits on representing the full aspects of stream naturalness. This evaluation method is hypothetical one, so it would be investigated through iterative applicatons.

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통계오차를 고려한 사면안정 신뢰성 해석 (Reliability Analysis of Slope Stability with Sampling Related Uncertainty)

  • 김진만
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2007
  • 다양한 불확실성을 체계적으로 반영하는 신뢰성 기반 해석기법을 사면안정 해석의 한 형식으로 제시한다. 통계오차, 공간 변동성, 그리고 공간 평균의 효과를 고려할 수 있는 지반특성 표현식이 사용되었다. 여러 가지 형식의 지반특성 표현식을 이용하여 사면안정 신뢰성 해석을 수행한 결과 통계오차, 공간적 상관성, 그리고 조건부 해석기법을 사용할 경우가 기존의 단순 확률변수 기법에 비해 상당히 작은 파괴확률을 제시한다는 사실이 밝혀졌다. 이 결과는 사면안정 해석에서 공간적 변동성과 통계오차가 합리적으로 고려되어야 한다는 점을 제시한다.

Enhanced Z map을 이용한 절삭 공정 시뮬레이션 시스템의 개발 (Development of Machining Simulation System using Enhanced Z Map Model)

  • 이상규;고성림
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 2002년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.551-554
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    • 2002
  • The paper discusses new approach for machining operation simulation using enhanced Z map algorithm. To extract the required geometric information from NC code, suggested algorithm uses supersampling method to enhance the efficiency of a simulation process. By executing redundant Boolean operations in a grid cell and averaging down calculated data, presented algorithm can accurately represent material removal volume though tool swept volume is negligibly small. Supersampling method is the most common form of antialiasing and usually used with polygon mesh rendering in computer graphics. The key advantage of enhanced Z map model is that the data structure is same with conventional Z map model, though it can acquire higher accuracy and reliability with same or lower computation time. By simulating machining operation efficiently, this system can be used to improve the reliability and efficiency of NC machining process as well as the quality of the final product.

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평직 및 주자직 복합재료의 탄성계수 예측 (Prediction of engineering constants for plain and 8-hardness satin woven composites)

  • 변준형
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제21권11호
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    • pp.1757-1764
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    • 1997
  • The geometric and elastic models based on the unit cell have been proposed to predict the geometric characteristics and the engineering constants of plain and satin woven composites. In the geometric model, length and inclined angle of the yarn crimp and the fiber volume fraction of woven composites have been predicted. In the elastic model, the coordinate transformation has been utilized to transform the elastic constants of the yarn crimp to those of woven composites, and the effective elastic constants have been determined from the volume averaging of the constituent materials. Good correlations between the model predictions and the experimental results of carbon/epoxy and glass/epoxy woven composites have been observed. Based on the model, the effect of various geometric parameters and materials on the three-dimensional elastic properties of woven composites can be identified.