• Title/Summary/Keyword: maximum likelihood estimation

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SNP-based and pedigree-based estimation of heritability and maternal effect for body weight traits in an F2 intercross between Landrace and Jeju native black pigs (제주재래흑돼지와 랜드레이스 F2 교배축군의 생체중에 대한 유전체와 가계도 기반의 유전력 및 모체효과 추정)

  • Park, Hee-Bok;Han, Sang-Hyun;Lee, Jae-Bong;Kim, Sang-Geum;Kang, Yong-Jun;Shin, Hyun-Sook;Shin, Sang-Min;Kim, Ji-Hyang;Son, Jun-Kyu;Baek, Kwang-Soo;Cho, Sang-Rae;Cho, In-Cheol
    • Journal of Embryo Transfer
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.243-247
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    • 2016
  • Growth traits, such as body weight, directly influence productivity and economic efficiency in the swine industry. In this study, we estimate heritability for body weight traits usinginformation from pedigree and genome-wide single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) chip data. Four body weight phenotypes were measured in 1,105 $F_2$ progeny from an intercross between Landrace and Jeju native black pigs. All experimental animals were subjected to genotypic analysis using PorcineSNP60K BeadChip platform, and 39,992 autosomal SNP markers filtered by quality control criteria were used to construct genomic relationship matrix for heritability estimation. Restricted maximum likelihood estimates of heritability were obtained using both genomic- and pedigree- relationship matrix in a linear mixed model. The heritability estimates using SNP information were smaller (0.36-0.55) than those which were estimated using pedigree information (0.62-0.97). To investigate effect of common environment, such as maternal effect, on heritability estimation, we included maternal effect as an additional random effect term in the linear mixed model analysis. We detected substantial proportions of phenotypic variance components were explained by maternal effect. And the heritability estimates using both pedigree and SNP information were decreased. Therefore, heritability estimates must be interpreted cautiously when there are obvious common environmental variance components.

A Neuro-Fuzzy System Modeling using Gaussian Mixture Model and Clustering Method (GMM과 클러스터링 기법에 의한 뉴로-퍼지 시스템 모델링)

  • Kim, Sung-Suk;Kwak, Keun-Chang;Ryu, Jeong-Woong;Chun, Myung-Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.571-576
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    • 2002
  • There have been a lot of considerations dealing with improving the performance of neuro-fuzzy system. The studies on the neuro-fuzzy modeling have largely been devoted to two approaches. First is to improve performance index of system. The other is to reduce the structure size. In spite of its satisfactory result, it should be noted that these are difficult to extend to high dimensional input or to increase the membership functions. We propose a novel neuro-fuzzy system based on the efficient clustering method for initializing the parameters of the premise part. It is a very useful method that maintains a few number of rules and improves the performance. It combine the various algorithms to improve the performance. The Expectation-Maximization algorithm of Gaussian mixture model is an efficient estimation method for unknown parameter estimation of mirture model. The obtained parameters are used for fuzzy clustering method. The proposed method satisfies these two requirements using the Gaussian mixture model and neuro-fuzzy modeling. Experimental results indicate that the proposed method is capable of giving reliable performance.

Estimation of VMS Traffic Information Value Using Contingent Valuation Method (조건부 가치측정법을 활용한 VMS 교통정보 가치 추정)

  • Choi, Jung Yoon;Yu, Jeong Whon
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.42-52
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    • 2013
  • In this study, value of VMS (Variable Message Sign) traffic information is estimated by using CVM (Contingent Valuation Method), which is developed to quantify the value of non-marketable goods in environmental economics. CVM is used to estimate the value of goods provided by a project under consideration and then the project feasibility can be indirectly examined on the basis of the estimated value. This study focuses on estimating to estimate value of traffic information provided through VMS, a part of the transportation system enhancement project by Korea Expressway Corporation which is aimed at mitigating traffic problems on expressways. In particular, this study analyzes value of information separately by trip purpose, information type, and traffic flow condition. A state preference survey was designed to estimate the value of non-marketable traffic information. To maximize reliability of the survey results, a pilot survey was taken before the main survey. The open-ended question method was adopted in capturing users' willingness-to-pay. Both Tobit and binary Probit models were applied in estimating the value of VMS traffic information and their parameters were estimated using the maximum likelihood estimation. The estimation results suggests that the value of traffic information perceived by users is 518.28 KRW.

Estimation of Markov Chain and Gamma Distribution Parameters for Generation of Daily Precipitation Data from Monthly Data (월 자료로부터 일 강수자료 생성을 위한 Markov 연쇄 및 감마분포 모수 추정)

  • Moon, Kyung Hwan;Song, Eun Young;Son, In Chang;Wi, Seung Hwan;Oh, Soonja;Hyun, Hae Nam
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2017
  • This research was to elucidate the generation method of daily precipitation data from monthly data. We applied a combined method of Markov chain and gamma distribution function using 4 specific parameters of ${\alpha}$, ${\beta}$, p(W/W) and p(W/D) for generation of daily rainfall data using daily precipitation data for the past 30 years which were collected from the country's 23 meteorological offices. Four parameters, applied to use for the combination method, were calculated by maximum likelihood method in location of 23 sites. There are high correlations of 0.99, 0.98 and 0.98 in rainfall days, rainfall probability and mean amount of daily rainfall between measured and simulated data in case of those parameters. In case of using parameters estimated from monthly precipitation, correlation coefficients in rainfall days, rainfall probability and mean amount of daily rainfall are 0.84, 0.83 and 0.96, respectively. We concluded that a combination method with parameter estimation from monthly precipitation data can be applied, in practical purpose such as assessment of climate change in agriculture and water resources, to get daily precipitation data in Korea.

Comparisons of the Performance with Bayes Estimator and MLE for Control Charts Based on Geometric Distribution (기하분포에 기초한 관리도에서 베이즈추정량과 최대우도추정량 사용의 성능 비교)

  • Hong, Hwiju;Lee, Jaeheon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.907-920
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    • 2015
  • Charts based on geometric distribution are effective to monitor the proportion of nonconforming items in high-quality processes where the in-control proportion nonconforming is low. The implementation of this chart is often based on the assumption that in-control proportion nonconforming is known or accurately estimated. However, accurate parameter estimation is very difficult and may require a larger sample size than that available in practice for high-quality process where the proportion of nonconforming items is very small. An inaccurate estimate of the parameter can result in estimated control limits that cause unreliability in the monitoring process. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is often used to estimate in-control proportion nonconforming. In this paper, we recommend a Bayes estimator for the in-control proportion nonconforming to incorporate practitioner knowledge and avoid estimation issues when no nonconforming items are observed in the Phase I sample. The effects of parameter estimation on the geometric chart and the geometric CUSUM chart are considered when the MLE and the Bayes estimator are used. The results show that chart performance with estimated control limits based on the Bayes estimator is generally better than that based on the MLE.

Development of a Trip Distribution Model by Iterative Method Based on Target Year's O-D Matrix (통행분포패턴에 기초한 장래 O-D표 수렴계산방법 개발)

  • Yu, Yeong-Geun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2005
  • Estimation of trip distribution, estimated O-D matrix must satisfy the condition that the sum of trips in a row should equal the trip production, and the sum of trips in a column should equal the trip attraction. In most cases the iterative calculation for convergence is needed to satisfy this condition. Most of all present convergence of iterative methods may results a big difference between estimated value and converged value, and from this, the trip distribution patterns may be changed. This paper presents a new convergence of iterative method that comes closer to meeting the convergence condition and gives the maximum likelihood estimation for calculating a distribution patterns from the trip distribution estimation model. The newly developed method differs from existing methods in three important ways. First, it simultaneously considers both the convergence condition and the distribution patterns. Second, it computers simultaneous convergence of rows and columns instead of iterating respectively. Third, instead of using the growth rates to the trip production, trip attraction, it uses the differences between trip production and sum of trips in a row, and trip attraction and sum of trips in a column. Using 38 by 38 O-D matrix, this paper compared the Fratar method and the Furness method to the newly developed method and found that this method was superior to the other two methods.

Genetic and Phenotypic Parameter Estimates of Body Weight at Different Ages and Yearling Fleece Weight in Markhoz Goats

  • Rashidi, A.;Sheikahmadi, M.;Rostamzadeh, J.;Shrestha, J.N.B.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.21 no.10
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    • pp.1395-1403
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    • 2008
  • The objective of the present study was to estimate genetic parameters for economic traits in Markhoz goats. Data collected from 1993 to 2006 by the Markhoz goat Performance Testing Station in Sanandaj, Iran, were analyzed. The traits recorded as body weight performance at birth (BW), weaning (WW), six month (6MW), nine month (9MW), yearling (YW) and yearling fleece weight (YFW) were investigated. Least square analyses were used for estimation of environmental effects. Genetic parameters were estimated with single and multi trait analysis using restricted maximum likelihood (REML) procedures, under animal models. By ignoring or including maternal additive genetic effects and maternal permanent environmental effects, five different models were fitted for each trait. The effects of sex, type of birth, age of dam and year of birth on the all body weights were significant (p<0.01), but had no effects on YFW except year of birth. Age of kids had significant influences on WW and 6MW (p<0.01). A log likelihood ratio test was carried out for choosing the most suitable model for each trait. Total heritability estimates for YFW and growth traits varied from 0.16 for YFW and WW to 0.41 for YW. For all traits, maternal heritability was lower than direct heritability, ranging from 0.06 for BW to 0.01 for 6MW and 9MW. The magnitude of $c^2$ was more substantial for BW than the others, and relative importance was reduced from 0.12 for BW to 0.04 for 9MW. The direct additive genetic correlations estimates were positive and varied from 0.21 between BW-YW to 0.96 between WW-6MW. Direct additive genetic correlations between YFW and body weight traits were positive and ranged from 0.14 between BW-YFW to 0.67 between 6MW-YFW. For all traits, the corresponding estimates for phenotypic correlation were positive and lower than genetic correlations. The maternal additive genetic correlations between various traits were varied and ranged from -0.19 between 9MW-YFW to 0.96 between 6MW-9MW. The estimates of the maternal permanent environmental correlations between various traits were positive and ranged from 0.33 between WW-YFW to 0.93 between WW-6MW. Also, the environmental correlations between various traits ranged from 0.01 between BW-YFW and WW-YFW to 0.70 between 9MW-YW. Estimates of genetic parameters for various traits in this study confirm that selection should be applied on WW for genetic improvement in Markhoz goats.

What goes problematic in the Existing Accident Prediction Models and How to Make it Better (전통적 사고예측모형의 한계 및 개선방안 : Hauer 사고예측모형의 소개 및 적용)

  • Han, Sang-Jin;Kim, Kewn-Jung;Oh, Sun-Mi
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.19-29
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    • 2008
  • The main purpose of this study is to introduce Hauer's(2004) approach that overcomes current accident prediction models' limitation and to apply this approach to Korean situation using fatal accident data on motorways. After developing accident prediction models according to this approach, it is found that AADT and vertical grade could improve fitness of the model, whereas a radius of roads is not related to the number of accidents. The advantage of Hauer's approach is to reduce possibility to eliminate critical variables and to keep uncritical variables when we consider many variables to develop accident prediction models.

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Performance Enhancement by Scaling Soft Bit Information of APSK (APSK 변조 방식에 대한 연판정 출력의 스케일링을 통한 성능 개선)

  • Zhang, Meixiang;Kim, Sooyoung
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.38C no.10
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    • pp.858-866
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    • 2013
  • In the DVB-S2, which is the technical specification of the second generation digital video broadcasting via satellite, APSK modulation scheme along with LDPC coding schemes are defined. APSK is a multi-lelvel PSK modulation scheme and decoding of LDPC coded signal requires soft decision information. Therefore, the APSK demodulator at the receiver should have capability of estimating soft information. In this paper, we introduce a method to estimate soft information by using simple distance estimation, and show that this method overestimates the soft information. Subsequently, this overestimated soft information leads to performance degradation. In order to overcome this problem, we propose a scaling method to improve the performance at the receiver In addition, we show that the proposed scaling scheme enables us to estimate the soft information with linear order complexity and produce the performance close to the maximum likelihood detection.

Random Regression Models Are Suitable to Substitute the Traditional 305-Day Lactation Model in Genetic Evaluations of Holstein Cattle in Brazil

  • Padilha, Alessandro Haiduck;Cobuci, Jaime Araujo;Costa, Claudio Napolis;Neto, Jose Braccini
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.759-767
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    • 2016
  • The aim of this study was to compare two random regression models (RRM) fitted by fourth ($RRM_4$) and fifth-order Legendre polynomials ($RRM_5$) with a lactation model (LM) for evaluating Holstein cattle in Brazil. Two datasets with the same animals were prepared for this study. To apply test-day RRM and LMs, 262,426 test day records and 30,228 lactation records covering 305 days were prepared, respectively. The lowest values of Akaike's information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, and estimates of the maximum of the likelihood function (-2LogL) were for $RRM_4$. Heritability for 305-day milk yield (305MY) was 0.23 ($RRM_4$), 0.24 ($RRM_5$), and 0.21 (LM). Heritability, additive genetic and permanent environmental variances of test days on days in milk was from 0.16 to 0.27, from 3.76 to 6.88 and from 11.12 to 20.21, respectively. Additive genetic correlations between test days ranged from 0.20 to 0.99. Permanent environmental correlations between test days were between 0.07 and 0.99. Standard deviations of average estimated breeding values (EBVs) for 305MY from $RRM_4$ and $RRM_5$ were from 11% to 30% higher for bulls and around 28% higher for cows than that in LM. Rank correlations between RRM EBVs and LM EBVs were between 0.86 to 0.96 for bulls and 0.80 to 0.87 for cows. Average percentage of gain in reliability of EBVs for 305-day yield increased from 4% to 17% for bulls and from 23% to 24% for cows when reliability of EBVs from RRM models was compared to those from LM model. Random regression model fitted by fourth order Legendre polynomials is recommended for genetic evaluations of Brazilian Holstein cattle because of the higher reliability in the estimation of breeding values.