• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제29권2호
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• pp.151-160
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• 2022

The total system is composed of the main system (MS) and the failure detection equipment (FDE) which detects failures of MS. The analysis of system reliability is performed when the failure of FDE is possible. Several repair policies are considered to determine the order of repair of failed systems, which are sequential repair (SQ), priority repair (PR), independent repair (ID), and simultaneous repair (SM). The states of MS-FDE systems are represented by Markov models according to repair policies and the main purpose of this paper is to derive the system availabilities of the Markov models. Analytical solutions of the stationary equations are derived for the Markov models and the system availabilities are immediately determined using the stationary solutions. A simple illustrative example is discussed for the comparison of availability values of the repair policies considered in this paper.

• 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.146-153
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• 2011

Model based machine condition diagnosis methods are generally using a normal and many failure models which need sufficient data to train the models. However, data, especially for failure modes of interest, is very hard to get in real applications. So their industrial applications are either severely limited or impossible when the failure models cannot be trained. In this paper, continuous hidden Markov model(CHMM) with only a normal model has been suggested as a very promising machine condition diagnosis method which can be easily used for industrial applications. Generally hidden Markov model also uses many pattern models to recognize specific patterns and the recognition results of CHMM show the likelihood trend of models. By observing this likelihood trend of a normal model, it is possible to detect failures. This method has been successively applied to arc weld defect diagnosis. The result shows CHMM's big potential as a machine condition monitoring method.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제18권4호
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• pp.945-953
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• 2007

In this paper, we propose a smoothing and thus noise-reducing method of data sequences for stock price prediction with hidden Markov models, HMMs. The suggested method just uses simple moving average. A proper average size is obtained from forecasting experiments with stock prices of bank sector of Korean Exchange. Forecasting method with HMM and moving average smoothing is compared with a conventional method.

• International journal of advanced smart convergence
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.15-23
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• 2018

Spectrum allocation is a key operation in cognitive radio networks (CRNs), where secondary users (SUs) are usually selfish - to achieve itself utility maximization. In view of this context, much prior lit literature proposed spectrum allocation base on non-cooperative game models. However, the most of them proposed non-cooperative game models based on complete information of CRNs. In practical, primary users (PUs) in a dynamic wireless environment with noise uncertainty, shadowing, and fading is difficult to attain a complete information about them. In this paper, we propose a non-cooperative game joint hidden markov model scheme for spectrum allocation in CRNs. Firstly, we propose a new hidden markov model for SUs to predict the sensing results of competitors. Then, we introduce the proposed hidden markov model into the non-cooperative game. That is, it predicts the sensing results of competitors before the non-cooperative game. The simulation results show that the proposed scheme improves the energy efficiency of networks and utilization of SUs.

• 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국통계학회 2003년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.161-166
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• 2003

In this paper, a new form of generalized linear models is proposed. The proposed models consist of a distribution function of the mean response and a weighted linear combination of distribution functions of covariates. This form addresses a structural problem of the link function in the generalized linear models. Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are used to estimate the parameters within a Bayesian framework.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제15권11호
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• pp.6565-6575
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• 2014

본 논문에서 Hamilton의 마코프-스위칭 모형을 연립방정식으로 확장한 FIML 마코프-스위칭 모형을 제시해 보았다. 본 논문의 FIML 마코프-스위칭 모형을 LIML 마코프-스위칭 모형 등과 비교하면 LIML 마코프-스위칭 모형은 FIML 마코프-스위칭 모형의 특별한 경우이며 FIML 마코프-스위칭 모형은 연립방정식으로 확장된 일반화된 모형 형태를 띄게 된다. 본 논문의 FIML 마코프-스위칭 모형을 Campbell and Mankiw 소비함수에 적용해 본 결과, 2008년 부동산 거품 붕괴와 같은 경제충격 시기의 한계소비성향은 매우 민감도가 높아진다는 것을 알 수 있다.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.161-174
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• 2000

The total number of deaths and total sojourn times of African honey bees are studied using semi-markov compartment analysis. This generalizes many existing biological models.

• 한국농공학회지
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• 제38권4호
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• pp.110-124
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• 1996

This study was conducted to simulate long seres of synthetic monthly flows by multi-season first order Markov model with selection of best fitting frequency distribution, harmonic synthetic and harmonic regression models and to make a comparison of statistical parameters between observes and synthetic flows of five watersheds in Geum river system. The results obtained through this study can be summarized as follow. 1. Both gamma and two parameter lognormal distributions were found to be suitable ones for monthly flows in all watersheds by Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. 2. It was found that arithmetic mean values of synthetic monthly flows simulated by multi-season first order Markov model with gamma distribution are much closer to the results of the observed data in comparison with those of the other models in the applied watersheds. 3. The coefficients of variation, index of fluctuation for monthly flows simulated by multi-season first order Markov model with gamma distribution are appeared closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those of the other models in Geum river system. 4. Synthetic monthly flows were simulated over 100 years by multi-season first order Markov model with gamma distribution which is acknowledged as a suitable simulation modal in this study.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 1998년도 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.133-139
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• 1998

• 한국통신학회논문지
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• 제17권11호
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• pp.1199-1205
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• 1992

본 논문에서는 HMM(Hidden Markov Models)에서 문제점이 되는 개인차에의한 변동을 흡수하고, 적은 학습 데이타로서 인식률을 향상시키기 위하여 신경회로망을 이용한 NN-HMM(Neural Network Hidden Makov Models)에 의해 한국어 인식에 관하여 연구하였다. 이 방법은 HMM과 신경회로망의 출력을 각각 독립적인 인식값으로 가정하여 두 시스템의 확률곱으로 서로 보정되어 최대 인식확률의 음성모델을 인식하는 음성인식 시스템이다. 본 방법의 타당성을 평가하기 위하여 남, 여화자가 28개의 DDD 지역명을 발성한 음성데이타로 실험한 결과, 이산분포 HMM에 의한 방법에서는 91[%], 신경회로망에 의한 방법에서는 89[%], 제안된 방법에서는 95[%]의 향상된 인식률을 얻으므로써 인식성능의 우수함을 확인하였다.