• 제목/요약/키워드: long-tailed distribution

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근사 꼬리분포의 유형별 적용 모형 고찰 (Review of Application Models According to the Classification of Asymptotic Tail Distribution)

  • 최성운
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2010년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.35-39
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    • 2010
  • The research classifies three types of asymptotic tail distributions such as long(heavy, thick) tailed distribution, medium tailed distribution and short(light, thin) tailed distribution. The extreme value distributions(EVD) classified in this paper can be used in SPC(Statistical Process Control) control chart and reliability engineering.

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실무적 적용 관점에서 신뢰성 분포의 유형화 모형의 고찰 (Review of Classification Models for Reliability Distributions from the Perspective of Practical Implementation)

  • 최성운
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 2011
  • The study interprets each of three classification models based on Bath-Tub Failure Rate (BTFR), Extreme Value Distribution (EVD) and Conjugate Bayesian Distribution (CBD). The classification model based on BTFR is analyzed by three failure patterns of decreasing, constant, or increasing which utilize systematic management strategies for reliability of time. Distribution model based on BTFR is identified using individual factors for each of three corresponding cases. First, in case of using shape parameter, the distribution based on BTFR is analyzed with a factor of component or part number. In case of using scale parameter, the distribution model based on BTFR is analyzed with a factor of time precision. Meanwhile, in case of using location parameter, the distribution model based on BTFR is analyzed with a factor of guarantee time. The classification model based on EVD is assorted into long-tailed distribution, medium-tailed distribution, and short-tailed distribution by the length of right-tail in distribution, and depended on asymptotic reliability property which signifies skewness and kurtosis of distribution curve. Furthermore, the classification model based on CBD is relied upon conjugate distribution relations between prior function, likelihood function and posterior function for dimension reduction and easy tractability under the occasion of Bayesian posterior updating.

불균형 데이터세트 학습에서 정확도 균일화를 위한 학습 방법에 관한 연구 (A Study of a Method for Maintaining Accuracy Uniformity When Using Long-tailed Dataset)

  • 박근표;박흠우;김종국
    • 한국정보처리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보처리학회 2023년도 춘계학술발표대회
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    • pp.585-587
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    • 2023
  • Long-tailed datasets have an imbalanced distribution because they consist of a different number of data samples for each class. However, there are problems of the performance degradation in tail-classes and class-accuracy imbalance for all classes. To address these problems, this paper suggests a learning method for training of long-tailed dataset. The proposed method uses and combines two methods; one is a resampling method to generate a uniform mini-batch to prevent the performance degradation in tail-classes, and the other is a reweighting method to address the accuracy imbalance problem. The purpose of our proposed method is to train the learning models to have uniform accuracy for each class in a long-tailed dataset.

ON LIMIT BEHAVIOURS FOR FELLER'S UNFAIR-FAIR-GAME AND ITS RELATED MODEL

  • An, Jun
    • 대한수학회지
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    • 제59권6호
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    • pp.1185-1201
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    • 2022
  • Feller introduced an unfair-fair-game in his famous book [3]. In this game, at each trial, player will win 2k yuan with probability pk = 1/2kk(k + 1), k ∈ ℕ, and zero yuan with probability p0 = 1 - Σk=1 pk. Because the expected gain is 1, player must pay one yuan as the entrance fee for each trial. Although this game seemed "fair", Feller [2] proved that when the total trial number n is large enough, player will loss n yuan with its probability approximate 1. So it's an "unfair" game. In this paper, we study in depth its convergence in probability, almost sure convergence and convergence in distribution. Furthermore, we try to take 2k = m to reduce the values of random variables and their corresponding probabilities at the same time, thus a new probability model is introduced, which is called as the related model of Feller's unfair-fair-game. We find out that this new model follows a long-tailed distribution. We obtain its weak law of large numbers, strong law of large numbers and central limit theorem. These results show that their probability limit behaviours of these two models are quite different.

연안환경 괭이갈매기(Larus crassirostris) 알의 DDTs 및 수은 농도분포 조사 (Distribution of DDTs and Hg in Eggs of Black-Tailed Gulls (Larus crassirostris) in the Coastal Environment)

  • 최정희;정다위;이종천
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제27권12호
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    • pp.1279-1290
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    • 2018
  • Sea gulls are high trophic level consumers in the coastal environment, and thus, which have been widely used to monitor contamination biomagnified through a food web. However, such monitoring studies using sea gulls have been rare in the Korean literature. The National Environmental Specimen Bank chose eggs of a black-tailed gulls (Larus crassirostris) to serve as an environmental specimen for the long-term monitoring of the coastal ecosystem affected by terrestrial pollutants. Black-tailed gull eggs were collected from Baengnyeongdo, Hongdo and Uleungdo, and their DDTs and total mercury content were determined. The highest concentration of ${\Sigma}DDTs$ was $231.6{\pm}106.1{\mu}g/kg$ wet in Baengnyeongdo, followed by $230.0{\pm}123.8{\mu}g/kg$ wet in Ulleungdo, and $117.7{\pm}18.3{\mu}g/kg$ wet in Hongdo. In addition, total mercury was detected at $414.5{\pm}97.6{\mu}g/kg$ wet in Ulleungdo, $363.9{\pm}123.6{\mu}g/kg$ wet in Hongdo, and $237.5{\pm}42.3{\mu}g/kg$ wet in Baengnyeongdo. Relatively high concentrations of the target pollutants were recorded in specimens from Ulleungdo. Additional comprehensive and prolonged studies are required to elucidate spatial and temporal patterns of contamination in black-tailed gull eggs with regard to monitoring contaminant trends in eggs and prey.

Microsatellite Markers for Non-Invasive Examination of Individual Identity, Genetic Variation, and Population Differentiation in Two Populations of Korean Long-Tailed Goral (Naemorhedus caudatus)

  • Kim, Baek-Jun
    • Proceedings of the National Institute of Ecology of the Republic of Korea
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    • 제3권4호
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    • pp.191-198
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    • 2022
  • Natural habitats of the Korean long-tailed goral (Naemorhedus caudatus) have been fragmented by anthropogenic activities in South Korea in the last decades. Here, the individual identity, genetic variation, and population differentiation of the endangered species were examined via the multiple-tube approach using a non-invasive genotyping method. The average number of alleles was 3.16 alleles/locus for the total population. The Yanggu population (1.66) showed relatively lower average number of alleles than the Inje population (3.67). Of the total 19 alleles, only seven (36.8%) alleles were shared by the two populations. Using five polymorphic out of six loci, four and six different goral individuals from the captive Yanggu (n=24) and the wild Inje (n=28) population were identified, respectively. The allele distribution was not identical between the two populations (Fisher's exact test: P<0.01). A considerably low migration rate was detected between the two populations (no. of migrants after correction for size=0.294). Additionally, the F statistics results indicated significant population differentiation between them, however, quite low (FST=0.327, P<0.01). The posterior probabilities indicated that the two populations originated from a single panmictic population (P=0.959) and the assignment test results designated all individuals to both populations with nearly equal likelihood. These could be resulted from moderate population differentiation between the populations. No significant evidence supported recent population bottleneck in the total Korean goral population. This study could provide us with useful population genetic information for conservation and management of the endangered species.

Robust Cross Validation Score

  • Park, Dong-Ryeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.413-423
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    • 2005
  • Consider the problem of estimating the underlying regression function from a set of noisy data which is contaminated by a long tailed error distribution. There exist several robust smoothing techniques and these are turned out to be very useful to reduce the influence of outlying observations. However, no matter what kind of robust smoother we use, we should choose the smoothing parameter and relatively less attention has been made for the robust bandwidth selection method. In this paper, we adopt the idea of robust location parameter estimation technique and propose the robust cross validation score functions.

CLOSURE PROPERTY AND TAIL PROBABILITY ASYMPTOTICS FOR RANDOMLY WEIGHTED SUMS OF DEPENDENT RANDOM VARIABLES WITH HEAVY TAILS

  • Dindiene, Lina;Leipus, Remigijus;Siaulys, Jonas
    • 대한수학회지
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    • 제54권6호
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    • pp.1879-1903
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    • 2017
  • In this paper we study the closure property and probability tail asymptotics for randomly weighted sums $S^{\Theta}_n={\Theta}_1X_1+{\cdots}+{\Theta}_nX_n$ for long-tailed random variables $X_1,{\ldots},X_n$ and positive bounded random weights ${\Theta}_1,{\ldots},{\Theta}_n$ under similar dependence structure as in [26]. In particular, we study the case where the distribution of random vector ($X_1,{\ldots},X_n$) is generated by an absolutely continuous copula.

Vertical Distribution of Foraging Tits in Mixed Species Flocks in Urban Forests

  • Lee, Sang-Don
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.65-68
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    • 1999
  • In December-January of 1996-1997 and 1997-1998, information was gathered about vertical distribution of foraging sites of tits in 34 flocks in coniferous and deciduous forests. There was a significant effect of forest type on the distribution of foraging sites of each species. Habitat was classified into 5 height layers vertically: ground, bushes (usually<1.5 m, up to 3 m), tree layer 1 (up to 1/3 of tree height), tree layer 2 (1/3-2/3 tree height). and tree layer 3 (>2/3 tree height). There were differences among species: great tit (Parus major) foraged mostly on the ground, coal tit (P. ater) and long-tailed tit (Acrocephalus caudatus) - on the highest tree layer, marsh tit (P. palustris) was often seen on bushes, and varied tit (P. varius) - in tree layer 2. Smaller species used upper and outer parts of trees. suggesting that, like in most other similar studies. larger dominant species prevented smaller species from using inner parts of trees.

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한국의 미세먼지 시계열 분석: 장기종속 시계열 혹은 비정상 평균변화모형? (Time Series Modelling of Air Quality in Korea: Long Range Dependence or Changes in Mean?)

  • 백창룡
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.987-998
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    • 2013
  • 이 논문에서는 한국의 대기질을 결정하는 중요한 수치인 미세먼지(PM10)에 대한 통계적 고찰을 한다. 2011년 매시 관찰된 자료 분석을 토대로 미세먼지가 매우 높은 시차에서도 강한 양의 상관관계를 가지는 장기 종속 시계열의 특징을 보임을 밝힌다. 또한 주변분포는 꼬리가 두터운 모형으로서 로그-정규분포보다는 일반화 파레토 분포가 훨씬 더 자료를 잘 적합함을 보인다. 하지만 이러한 높은 상관관계는 종종 단순한 평균변화 모형에 의한 그럴듯싸한 가짜 효과에 기인하기도 하여 통계모형을 세우는데 많은 혼동을 준다. 따라서 이 논문에서는 강한 종속성이 장기 종속 시계열에 의한 것인지 아니면 비정상 평균변화에 의한 것인지 근본적인 물리적 모형에 대한 논의를 통계적인 가설 검정을 통해 살펴본다. 그 결과 미세먼지의 강한 종속성은 구조변화에의한 착시 효과임을 밝힌다.