• 제목/요약/키워드: logistic analysis

검색결과 4,897건 처리시간 0.028초

DEA와 로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 자동차부품기업의 효율성 분석 및 재무전략 (Efficiency Analysis and Finance Strategy for an Automotive Parts Maker Using DEA and Logistic Regression Model)

  • 신정훈;황승준
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제41권1호
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    • pp.127-143
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    • 2016
  • This study applied DEA analysis to measure the relative efficiency of 35 companies that produce automobile body components. First, the input and output, the improvement target value of the calculated variables, and the reference group for benchmarking for inefficient groups to become efficient groups were established through DEA analysis. In addition, whether inefficiency was due to technical inefficiency or size was analyzed in connection with the cases of the actual companies through the measurement of scale efficiency. Second, a route for efficiency improvement was derived through DEA-Tier analysis by defining the possible group for benchmarking in actuality within the production industry of automobile body components where the primary cooperative company belonged. Third, the financial variables that generate the difference between efficient and inefficient groups were derived through logistic regression analysis. Financial strategies that determine the direction the indices should be improved to allow the inefficient group to become an efficient one were recommended. This research is expected to provide diagnostic methods for management efficiency and the direction of improvement to enhance the management efficiency of automotive parts makers by identifying the causes of the inefficiency of domestic automotive parts makers empirically. The study also provides financial strategies together with the target values of efficiency improvement for each individual company.

An Analysis of Factors Relating to Agricultural Machinery Farm-Work Accidents Using Logistic Regression

  • Kim, Byounggap;Yum, Sunghyun;Kim, Yu-Yong;Yun, Namkyu;Shin, Seung-Yeoub;You, Seokcheol
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: In order to develop strategies to prevent farm-work accidents relating to agricultural machinery, influential factors were examined in this paper. The effects of these factors were quantified using logistic regression. Methods: Based on the results of a survey on farm-work accidents conducted by the National Academy of Agricultural Science, 21 tentative independent variables were selected. To apply these variables to regression, the presence of multicollinearity was examined by comparing correlation coefficients, checking the statistical significance of the coefficients in a simple linear regression model, and calculating the variance inflation factor. A logistic regression model and determination method of its goodness of fit was defined. Results: Among 21 independent variables, 13 variables were not collinear each other. The results of a logistic regression analysis using these variables showed that the model was significant and acceptable, with deviance of 714.053. Parameter estimation results showed that four variables (age, power tiller ownership, cognizance of the government's safety policy, and consciousness of safety) were significant. The logistic regression model predicted that the former two increased accident odds by 1.027 and 8.506 times, respectively, while the latter two decreased the odds by 0.243 and 0.545 times, respectively. Conclusions: Prevention strategies against factors causing an accident, such as the age of farmers and the use of a power tiller, are necessary. In addition, more efficient trainings to elevate the farmer's consciousness about safety must be provided.

Development of a Metabolic Syndrome Classification and Prediction Model for Koreans Using Deep Learning Technology: The Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) (2013-2018)

  • Hyerim Kim;Ji Hye Heo;Dong Hoon Lim;Yoona Kim
    • Clinical Nutrition Research
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.138-153
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    • 2023
  • The prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MetS) and its cost are increasing due to lifestyle changes and aging. This study aimed to develop a deep neural network model for prediction and classification of MetS according to nutrient intake and other MetS-related factors. This study included 17,848 individuals aged 40-69 years from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2013-2018). We set MetS (3-5 risk factors present) as the dependent variable and 52 MetS-related factors and nutrient intake variables as independent variables in a regression analysis. The analysis compared and analyzed model accuracy, precision and recall by conventional logistic regression, machine learning-based logistic regression and deep learning. The accuracy of train data was 81.2089, and the accuracy of test data was 81.1485 in a MetS classification and prediction model developed in this study. These accuracies were higher than those obtained by conventional logistic regression or machine learning-based logistic regression. Precision, recall, and F1-score also showed the high accuracy in the deep learning model. Blood alanine aminotransferase (β = 12.2035) level showed the highest regression coefficient followed by blood aspartate aminotransferase (β = 11.771) level, waist circumference (β = 10.8555), body mass index (β = 10.3842), and blood glycated hemoglobin (β = 10.1802) level. Fats (cholesterol [β = -2.0545] and saturated fatty acid [β = -2.0483]) showed high regression coefficients among nutrient intakes. The deep learning model for classification and prediction on MetS showed a higher accuracy than conventional logistic regression or machine learning-based logistic regression.

화물운송수단선택모형을 이용한 영업용화물차량 이용 활성화 방안 연구 (Study on Revitalizing Commercial Freight Vehicles Using Freight Transport Mode Selection)

  • 김민영;강경우
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.57-69
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    • 2007
  • 도시 내 물류 활동과 관련하여 직면한 중요한 문제 중 하나는 교통체증 심화에 따른 수송효율성 저하이다. 이러한 교통체증의 심화는 화물차량의 평균 통행속도를 감소시켜 운행효율을 저하시키는 것은 물론 수송비용을 증가시켜 궁극적으로 물류비 증가를 초래하고 있다. 이러한 물류비의 상승은 선진물류체계로 전환하는 과정에 있어서 장애가 되는 주요 원인으로 작용하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 대부분 자가용 화물차량이 1톤 이하의 소형트럭임을 감안할 때 이러한 자가용 화물차량의 증가가 교통 혼잡의 원인이 되어 수송비 증가와 그에 따른 물류비 상승으로 연결되는 문제를 해결하기 위해 실측 조사된 RP (Revealed Preference)자료를 이용한 로지스틱 회귀분석으로 영업용 화물차량 선택에 영향을 주는 요인을 분석하고자 하였으며, 이에 따른 영업용 화물차량 이용 장려 정책을 제시하고자 한다.

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토석류 산사태 예측을 위한 로지스틱 회귀모형 개발 (Development of a Logistic Regression Model for Probabilistic Prediction of Debris Flow)

  • 채병곤;김원영;조용찬;김경수;이춘오;최영섭
    • 지질공학
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.211-222
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    • 2004
  • 이 연구는 자연사면에서 발생하는 토석류(debris flow)산사태의 확률론적 예측을 위해 로지스틱 회귀분석(logistic regression analysis)을 이용하여 변성 암 및 화강암 분포지에 적용할 수 있는 예측모델을 개발한 것이다. 산사태 예측모델을 개발하기 위해 경기 남ㆍ북부지역과 경북 상주지역에서 발생한 산사태 자료를 현장조사와 실내토질시험을 통해 직접 획득ㆍ분석하였다. 산사태 발생에 영향을 미치는 인자는 기초 통계분석은 물론 로지스틱 회귀분석을 실시하여 최종적으로 7개 영향인자를 선정하였다. 이들 7개 인자는 지형요소 2개와 지질 및 토질특성 요소 5개로 구성되어 있고, 각 인자별 가중치를 부여한 점이 큰 특징이다. 개발된 모델은 신뢰성 검증을 수행한 결과 90.74%의 예측율을 확보한 것으로 나타났다. 이 모델을 이용하여 산사태 발생가능성을 확률적ㆍ정량적으로 예측할 수 있게 되었다.

로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 환경정책 효과 분석: 울산광역시 녹지변화 분석을 중심으로 (An Analysis of Environmental Policy Effect on Green Space Change using Logistic Regression Model : The Case of Ulsan Metropolitan City)

  • 이성주;류지은;전성우
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.13-30
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to analyze the qualitative and quantitative effects of environmental policies in terms of green space management using logistic regression model(LRM). Landsat satellite imageries in 1985, 1992, 2000, 2008, and 2015 are classified using a hybrid-classification method. Based on these classified maps, logistic regression model having a deforestation tendency of the past is built. Binary green space change map is used for the dependent variable and four explanatory variables are used: distance from green space, distance from settlements, elevation, and slope. The green space map of 2008 and 2015 is predicted using the constructed model. The conservation effect of Ulsan's environmental policies is quantified through the numerical comparison of green area between the predicted and real data. Time-series analysis of green space showed that restoration and destruction of green space are highly related to human activities rather than natural land transition. The effect of green space management policy was spatially-explicit and brought a significant increase in green space. Furthermore, as a result of quantitative analysis, Ulsan's environmental policy had effects of conserving and restoring 111.75㎢ and 175.45㎢ respectively for the periods of eight and fifteen years. Among four variables, slope was the most determinant factor that accounts for the destruction of green space in the city. This study presents logistic regression model as a way of evaluating the effect of environmental policies that have been practiced in the city. It has its significance in that it allows us a comprehensive understanding of the effect by considering every direct and indirect effect from other domains, such as air and water, on green space. We conclude discussing practicability of implementing environmental policy in terms of green space management with the focus on a non-statutory plan.

3D 수치해석을 이용한 퇴적암 터널의 암반 등급별 전변위 산정 (Estimation of Total Displacements by RMR Grades using 3-Dimensional Numerical Analysis)

  • 임성빈;윤현석;서용석;박시현
    • 지질공학
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.217-224
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    • 2007
  • 터널이 굴착되면 응력이 재분배되는 과정동안 변위가 발생한다. 터널의 변위는 굴착 전 선행변위, 굴착 후 미측정 변위, 계측변위로 구분할 수 있다. 일반적으로 굴착 전 선행변위와 굴착 후 미측정 변위의 현장 측정은 어렵기 때문에 터널 굴착에 따른 전변위의 크기와 변화 양상을 산정하기 위한 연구가 많이 수행되어왔다. 본 연구에서는 퇴적암을 기반으로 하는 터널의 지반등급별 전변위를 산정하고 이들의 특성을 파악하기 위하여 역해석 기법을 사용하였다. 계측변위와 3차원 수치해석에 의해 계산된 변위의 오차를 최소한으로 줄여 지반등급별 물성치를 추정하였으며, 굴착에 따른 전변위 분포 양상을 산정하였다. 최종적으로 logistic 모형을 따르는 지반등급별 굴착에 따른 변위의 비선형 회귀식을 산정하였다.

고령화연구패널조사를 이용한 경도인지장애 예측모형 (Prediction Models of Mild Cognitive Impairment Using the Korea Longitudinal Study of Ageing)

  • 박효진;하주영
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제50권2호
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    • pp.191-199
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to compare sociodemographic characteristics of a normal cognitive group and mild cognitive impairment group, and establish prediction models of Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI). Methods: This study was a secondary data analysis research using data from "the 4th Korea Longitudinal Study of Ageing" of the Korea Employment Information Service. A total of 6,405 individuals, including 1,329 individuals with MCI and 5,076 individuals with normal cognitive abilities, were part of the study. Based on the panel survey items, the research used 28 variables. The methods of analysis included a χ2-test, logistic regression analysis, decision tree analysis, predicted error rate, and an ROC curve calculated using SPSS 23.0 and SAS 13.2. Results: In the MCI group, the mean age was 71.4 and 65.8% of the participants was women. There were statistically significant differences in gender, age, and education in both groups. Predictors of MCI determined by using a logistic regression analysis were gender, age, education, instrumental activity of daily living (IADL), perceived health status, participation group, cultural activities, and life satisfaction. Decision tree analysis of predictors of MCI identified education, age, life satisfaction, and IADL as predictors. Conclusion: The accuracy of logistic regression model for MCI is slightly higher than that of decision tree model. The implementation of the prediction model for MCI established in this study may be utilized to identify middle-aged and elderly people with risks of MCI. Therefore, this study may contribute to the prevention and reduction of dementia.

Recent Developments in Discriminant Analysis fro man Information Geometric Point of View

  • Eguchi, Shinto;Copas, John B.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.247-263
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    • 2001
  • This paper concerns a problem of classification based on training dta. A framework of information geometry is given to elucidate the characteristics of discriminant functions including logistic discrimination and AdaBoost. We discuss a class of loss functions from a unified viewpoint.

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Nonlinear Regression Analysis to Determine Infection Models of Colletotrichum acutatum Causing Anthracnose of Chili Pepper Using Logistic Equation

  • Kang, Wee-Soo;Yun, Sung-Chul;Park, Eun-Woo
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2010
  • A logistic model for describing combined effects of both temperature and wetness period on appressorium formation was developed using laboratory data on percent appressorium formation of Colletotrichum acutatum. In addition, the possible use of the logistic model for forecasting infection risks was also evaluated as compared with a first-order linear model. A simplified equilibrium model for enzymatic reactions was applied to obtain a temperature function for asymptote parameter (A) of logistic model. For the position (B) and the rate (k) parameters, a reciprocal model was used to calculate the respective temperature functions. The nonlinear logistic model described successfully the response of appressorium formation to the combined effects of temperature and wetness period. Especially the temperature function for asymptote parameter A reflected the response of upper limit of appressorium formation to temperature, which showed the typical temperature response of enzymatic reactions in the cells. By having both temperature and wetness period as independent variables, the nonlinear logistic model can be used to determine the length of wetness periods required for certain levels of appressorium formation under different temperature conditions. The infection model derived from the nonlinear logistic model can be used to calculate infection risks using hourly temperature and wetness period data monitored by automated weather stations in the fields. Compared with the nonlinear infection model, the linear infection model always predicted a shorter wetness period for appressorium formation, and resulted in significantly under- and over-estimation of response at low and high temperatures, respectively.