• 제목/요약/키워드: log-regression

검색결과 478건 처리시간 0.028초

Comparison of the Performance of Log-logistic Regression and Artificial Neural Networks for Predicting Breast Cancer Relapse

  • Faradmal, Javad;Soltanian, Ali Reza;Roshanaei, Ghodratollah;Khodabakhshi, Reza;Kasaeian, Amir
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권14호
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    • pp.5883-5888
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    • 2014
  • Background: Breast cancer is the most common cancers in female populations. The exact cause is not known, but is most likely to be a combination of genetic and environmental factors. Log-logistic model (LLM) is applied as a statistical method for predicting survival and it influencing factors. In recent decades, artificial neural network (ANN) models have been increasingly applied to predict survival data. The present research was conducted to compare log-logistic regression and artificial neural network models in prediction of breast cancer (BC) survival. Materials and Methods: A historical cohort study was established with 104 patients suffering from BC from 1997 to 2005. To compare the ANN and LLM in our setting, we used the estimated areas under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and integrated AUC (iAUC). The data were analyzed using R statistical software. Results: The AUC for the first, second and third years after diagnosis are 0.918, 0.780 and 0.800 in ANN, and 0.834, 0.733 and 0.616 in LLM, respectively. The mean AUC for ANN was statistically higher than that of the LLM (0.845 vs. 0.744). Hence, this study showed a significant difference between the performance in terms of prediction by ANN and LLM. Conclusions: This study demonstrated that the ability of prediction with ANN was higher than with the LLM model. Thus, the use of ANN method for prediction of survival in field of breast cancer is suggested.

A Role of Local Influence in Selecting Regressors

  • Kim, Myung-Geun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.267-272
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    • 2006
  • A procedure for selecting regressors in the linear regression model is suggested using local influence approach. Under an appropriate perturbation scheme, the effect of perturbation of regressors on the profile log-likelihood displacement is assessed for variable selection. A numerical example is provided for illustration.

70kHz 및 120kHz에 있어서 조피볼락, 불볼락에 대한 반사강도의 체장 의존성 (Fish length dependence of target strength for black rockfish, goldeye rockfish at 70kHz and 120kHz)

  • 문재호;이대재;신형일;이유원
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제42권1호
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    • pp.30-37
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    • 2006
  • Black rockfish and goldeye rockfish are commercially important fish species due to the increasing demand in Korea. When estimating the abundance of stocks for these species acoustically, it is of crucial importance to know the target strength(TS) to length dependence. In relation to these needs, TS measurement was conducted on black rockfish and goldeye rockfish in an acrylic salt water tank using 70kHz and 120kHz split beam echo sounders. The TS for these two species under the controlled condition was simultaneously measured with the swimming movement by DVR system and analyzed as a function of fish length(L). The results obtained are summarized as follows: The best fit regression of TS on fish length of black rockfish was TS=19.38 Log(L, cm)-70.46 ($r^2=0.71$) at 70kHz and TS=22.39 Log(L, cm)-70.40 ($r^2=0.64$) at 120kHz and in the standard form TS=20 Log(L, cm)-71.29 ($r^2 = 0.70$) at 70kHz and TS=20 Log(L, cm)-66.88 ($r^2=0.57$) at 120kHz. The best fit regression of TS on fish length of goldeye rockfish was TS=17.10 Log(L, cm)-68.28 ($r^2=0.37$) at 70kHz and TS=24.39 Log(L, cm)-73.74 ($r^2=0.59$) at 120kHz and in the standard form TS=20 Log(L, cm)-72.03 ($r^2=0.32$) at 70kHz and TS=20 Log(L, cm)-67.68 ($r^2=0.64$) at 120kHz. An empirical model for fish TS(dB) averaged over the dorsal aspect of 115 fishes of black rockfish and goldeye rockfish and which spans the fish length(L, m) to wavelength($\lambda$, m) ratio between 8 and 30 was derived : TS=34.12 Log(L)-14.12 Log($\lambda$)-23.83, ($r^2=0.90$).

부산지역 오피스텔 가격 결정요인 분석 (A Study on the Factors Determining Officetel Price in Busan)

  • 최열;김형준;여정훈
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.725-735
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 부산지역 오피스텔의 가격을 결정하는데 있어서 영향을 주는 요인들이 어떤 것들이 있는지에 대해 실증적 분석을 하여 오피스텔 시장을 구체적으로 이해하는데 목적이 있다. 시세가를 통해 오피스텔 가격 결정요인을 분석하는 것은 오피스텔 공급자로 하여금 적절한 규모와 입지선택에 도움을 줄 수 있고, 수요자들에게는 목적에 따른 오피스텔 선택에 도움이 되리라 판단하여 본 연구를 실시하였다. 부산지역 오피스텔의 실거래가를 종속변수로 하고 물리적 특성과 입지적 특성, 그리고 지역적 특성을 나타내는 요인들을 독립변수로 하여 OLS선형회귀분석(Ordinary Least Square)과 준로그모형분석(Semi-log model), 그리고 로버스트회귀분석(Robust regression)을 이용하여 오피스텔의 가격결정요인을 분석하였다.

방화 발생에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Factors Affecting the Arson)

  • 김영철;박우성;이수경
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구에서는 방화발생에 영향을 미치는 요인을 도출하기 위하여 발생건수를 종속변수로 하고 경제 인구 사회적 요인을 독립변수로 하는 다중회귀분석을 실시하였다. 다중회귀분석은 선형함수, 준로그함수, 역준로그함수, 이중로그함수 4가지 함수형태에 대해 적용하였으며, 각 단계별로 변수의 선택과 제외를 고려하는 단계적선택 방식을 적용하였다. 다중공선성 문제와 자기상관 문제를 해결하기 위하여 분산확대지수(VIF)와 Durbin-Watson 계수 이용하였으며, 4가지 함수모형에 대하여 수정된 R 제곱(설명력) 값이 0.935 (93.5%)로 가장 값이 높고 통계적으로 유의한 선형함수모형을 최적의 모형으로 결정하고 모형에 대한 해석을 진행하였다. 선형함수모형 결과 방화발생에 영향을 미치는 요인은 범죄발생건수(0.829), 일반이혼율(0.151), 재정자주도(0.149), 소비자물가상승률(0.099) 순으로 도출되었다.

시트커버용 인테리어 직물의 감성평가와 소비자 요구도 (Consumer's Sensory Evaluation and Needs of Interior Fabrics for Seat Cover)

  • 김정화;이선영;이정순
    • 한국생활과학회지
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.749-756
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    • 2009
  • Keeping abreast with the latest consumer's trends, industries are focusing on sensibility aspects of products to meet consumer's needs. The car(?) seat cover fabrics are more closely related to human senses than anything else. This study attempted to investigate which seat cover fabric can give good feeling to consumers and to analyze their characteristics. Twelve kinds of jacquard fabric used for seat cover were selected. The Kawabata Evaluation System was used to measure the mechanical properties of 12 jacquard fabrics, and tactile sensibility(TS), and preference(P) determined by subjective evaluation of 160 participants were also utilized. The stepwise regression analysis was made to select the most significant mechanical properties, and some models for predicting tactile sensibility and preference was developed. The results are briefly summarized as follows: the most important parameter to choose seat cover fabric is a "hygienic property" and the other parameters are 'materials with color fastness', 'compressive property', 'color', 'antibacterial property', 'easy-care property'. The LogSMD, LogB, LC, EM were selected as significant mechanical properties affecting tactile sensibility. Also, the LC, LogB, LogSMD, LogWC, LogMMD were selected as significant mechanical properties affecting preference.

직업적으로 납에 노출된 근로자들의 혈액중 납과 ZPP농도와의 관계 (Model Between Lead and ZPP Concentration of Workers Exposed to Lead)

  • 박동욱;백남원;최병순;김태균;이광용;오세민;안규동
    • 한국산업보건학회지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.88-96
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    • 1996
  • This study was conducted to establish model between lead and ZPP concentration in blood of workers exposed to lead. Workers employed in secondary smelting manufacturing industry showed $85.1{\mu}g/dl$ of blood lead level, exceeding $60{\mu}g/dl$, the Criteria for Removal defined by Occupational Safety and Health Act of Korea. Average blood lead level of workers in the battery manufacturing industry was $51.3{\mu}g/dl$, locating between $40{\mu}g/dl$ and $60{\mu}g/dl$, the Criteria for Requiring Medical Removal. Blood lead level of in the litharge and radiator manufacturing industry was below $40{\mu}g/dl$, the Criteria Requiring Temporary Medical Removal. Blood lead levels of workers by industry were Significantly different(p<0.05). 50(21 %) showed blood lead levels above $60{\mu}g/dl$, the Criteria for Removal and 66(27.7 %) showed blood lead levels between the Criteria for Requiring Medical Removal, $40-60{\mu}g/dl$. Thus, approximately 50 percent of workers indicated blood lead levels above $40{\mu}g/dl$, the Criteria Requiring Temporary Medical Removal and should receive medical examination and consultation including biological monitoring. Average ZPP level of workers employed in the secondary smelting industry was $186.2{\mu}g/dl$, exceeding above $150{\mu}g/dl$, the Criteria for Removal. Seventy seven of all workers(32.3 %) showed ZPP level above $100-150{\mu}g/dl$, the Criteria for Requiring Medical Removal. The most appropriate model for predicting ZPP in blood was log-linear regression model. Log linear regression models between lead and ZPP concentrations in blood was Log ZPP(${\mu}g/dl$) = -0.2340 + 1.2270 Log Pb-B(${\mu}g/dl$)(standard error of estimate: 0,089, ${\gamma}^2=0.4456$, n=238, P=0.0001), Blood-in-lead explained 44.56 % of the variance in log(ZPP in blood).

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수입(輸入) 침엽수(針葉樹) 원목시장(原木市場)에 대한 계량경제분석(計量經濟分析) (An Econometric Analysis of Imported Softwood Log Market In South Korea)

  • 박용배;윤여창
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제90권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2001
  • 이 연구는 우리 나라에 수입되는 원목의 시장구조를 밝히기 위하여 미국, 뉴질랜드, 칠레로부터 들어오는 온대침엽수원목에 대한 수입수요를 수출국별 원목의 가격과 국내 목재가공업(제재업)의 제품생산량의 함수로 설정하여 수입원목수요함수를 추정하였다. 이 연구는 당해 연도에 수입되는 각 국가별 수입원목량은 당해 연도의 자체원목가격, 대체 원목가격, 그리고 당해 연도의 제품생산량에 의하여 결정된다고 가정하여 모델을 개발하였다. 1981년부터 1997년까지 17년간의 수입원목량과 가격에 관한 통계자료를 이용하여 SURE(Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations)추정 방법으로 미국산, 뉴질랜드산 및 칠레산 소나무원목의 수입수요함수를 추정하였다. 미송원목수입가격에 대한 우리 나라의 미송원목, 뉴송원목 그리고 칠레송원목의 수입수요 탄력성은 각각 -2.88, 1.36, 3.17로 추정되어, 미송원목가격이 미송뿐만 아니라 칠레송원목의 수입량에도 크게 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 뉴송원목 수입가격에 대한 미송원목, 뉴송원목 그리고 칠레송원목의 수입수요 탄력성은 각각 0.71, -1.65, 1.44로 나타나 뉴송가격은 미송원목수입에 크게 영향을 미치지 못하는 것으로 나타났다. 칠레송원목수입가격에 대한 미송원목, 뉴송원목 그리고 칠레송원목의 수입수요 탄력성은 각각 1.02, 0.88, -3.41로 나타나 칠레송원목수입량은 자체가격에 민감하나 뉴송원목수입량이 칠레송 가격에 그리 크게 영향을 받지 않는 것으로 나타났다.

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육류 신선도 판별을 위한 휴대용 전자코 시스템 설계 및 성능 평가 II - 돈육의 미생물 총균수 예측을 통한 전자코 시스템 성능 검증 (Design and performance evaluation of portable electronic nose systems for freshness evaluation of meats II - Performance analysis of electronic nose systems by prediction of total bacteria count of pork meats)

  • 김재곤;조병관
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.761-767
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study was to predict total bacteria count of pork meats by using the portable electronic nose systems developed throughout two stages of the prototypes. Total bacteria counts were measured for pork meats stored at $4^{\circ}C$ for 21days and compared with the signals of the electronic nose systems. PLS(Partial least square), PCR (Principal component regression), MLR (Multiple linear regression) models were developed for the prediction of total bacteria count of pork meats. The coefficient of determination ($R_p{^2}$) and root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP) for the models were 0.789 and 0.784 log CFU/g with the 1st system for the pork loin, 0.796 and 0.597 log CFU/g with the 2nd system for the pork belly, and 0.661 and 0.576 log CFU/g with the 2nd system for the pork loin respectively. The results show that the developed electronic system has potential to predict total bacteria count of pork meats.

Mixed Effects Kernel Binomial Regression

  • Hwang, Chang-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.1327-1334
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    • 2008
  • Mixed effect binomial regression models are widely used for analysis of correlated count data in which the response is the result of a series of one of two possible disjoint outcomes. In this paper, we consider kernel extensions with nonparametric fixed effects and parametric random effects. The estimation is through the penalized likelihood method based on kernel trick, and our focus is on the efficient computation and the effective hyperparameter selection. For the selection of hyperparameters, cross-validation techniques are employed. Examples illustrating usage and features of the proposed method are provided.

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