• Title/Summary/Keyword: local probability

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Local Influence on Misclassification Probability

  • Kim, Myung-Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.145-151
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    • 1996
  • The local behaviour of the surface formed by the perturbed maximum likelihood estimator of the squared Mahalanobis distance is investigated. The study of the local behaviour allows a simultaneous perturbation on the samples of interest and it is effective in identifying influential observations.

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Improvement of location positioning using KNN, Local Map Classification and Bayes Filter for indoor location recognition system

  • Oh, Seung-Hoon;Maeng, Ju-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we propose a method that combines KNN(K-Nearest Neighbor), Local Map Classification and Bayes Filter as a way to increase the accuracy of location positioning. First, in this technique, Local Map Classification divides the actual map into several clusters, and then classifies the clusters by KNN. And posterior probability is calculated through the probability of each cluster acquired by Bayes Filter. With this posterior probability, the cluster where the robot is located is searched. For performance evaluation, the results of location positioning obtained by applying KNN, Local Map Classification, and Bayes Filter were analyzed. As a result of the analysis, it was confirmed that even if the RSSI signal changes, the location information is fixed to one cluster, and the accuracy of location positioning increases.

Local Influence Assessment of the Misclassification Probability in Multiple Discriminant Analysis

  • Jung, Kang-Mo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.471-483
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    • 1998
  • The influence of observations on the misclassification probability in multiple discriminant analysis under the equal covariance assumption is investigated by the local influence method. Under an appropriate perturbation we can get information about influential observations and outliers by studying the curvatures and the associated direction vectors of the perturbation-formed surface of the misclassification probability. We show that the influence function method gives essentially the same information as the direction vector of the maximum slope. An illustrative example is given for the effectiveness of the local influence method.

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A Study on Data Clustering Method Using Local Probability (국부 확률을 이용한 데이터 분류에 관한 연구)

  • Son, Chang-Ho;Choi, Won-Ho;Lee, Jae-Kook
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.46-51
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we propose a new data clustering method using local probability and hypothesis theory. To cluster the test data set we analyze the local area of the test data set using local probability distribution and decide the candidate class of the data set using mean standard deviation and variance etc. To decide each class of the test data, statistical hypothesis theory is applied to the decided candidate class of the test data set. For evaluating, the proposed classification method is compared to the conventional fuzzy c-mean method, k-means algorithm and Discriminator analysis algorithm. The simulation results show more accuracy than results of fuzzy c-mean method, k-means algorithm and Discriminator analysis algorithm.

Probabilistic pounding analysis of high-pier continuous rigid frame bridge with actual site conditions

  • Jia, Hongyu;Zhao, Jingang;Li, Xi;Li, Lanping;Zheng, Shixiong
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.193-202
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    • 2018
  • This paper studied the probability of pounding occurred between decks and abutments of a long span high-pier continuous rigid fame bridge subjected to ground motions with local soil effect. A pounding probability analysis methodology has been proposed using peak acceleration at bedrock as intensity measure (IM) for multi-support seismic analysis. The bridge nonlinear finite element (FE) models was built with four different separation distances. Effect of actual site condition and non-uniform spatial soil profiles on seismic wave propagating from bedrock to ground surface is modelled. Pounding probability of the high-pier bridge under multi-support seismic excitations (MSSE) is analyzed based on the nonlinear incremental dynamic analysis (n-IDA). Pounding probability results under uniform excitations (UE) without actual local site effect are compared with that under MSSE with site effect. The study indicates that the required design separation length between deck and abutment under uniform excitations is larger than that under MSSE as the peak acceleration at bedrock increases. As the increase of both separation distance between deck and abutment and the peak acceleration, the probability of pounding occurred at a single abutment or at two abutments simultaneously under MSSE is less than that under UE. It is of great significance considering actual local site effect for determining the separation distance between deck and abutment through the probability pounding analysis of the high-pier bridge under MSSE.

Thinning-Based Topological Map Building for Local and Global Environments (지역 및 전역 환경에 대한 세선화 기반 위상지도의 작성)

  • Kwon Tae-Bum;Song Jae-Bok
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.693-699
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    • 2006
  • An accurate and compact map is essential to an autonomous mobile robot system. For navigation, it is efficient to use an occupancy grid map because the environment is represented by probability distribution. But it is difficult to apply it to the large environment since it needs a large amount of memory proportional to the environment size. As an alternative, a topological map can be used to represent it in terms of the discrete nodes with edges connecting them. It is usually constructed by the Voronoi-like graphs, but in this paper the topological map is incrementally built based on the local grid map using the thinning algorithm. This algorithm can extract only meaningful topological information by using the C-obstacle concept in real-time and is robust to the environment change, because its underlying local grid map is constructed based on the Bayesian update formula. In this paper, the position probability is defined to evaluate the quantitative reliability of the end nodes of this thinning-based topological map (TTM). The global TTM can be constructed by merging each local TTM by matching the reliable end nodes determined by the position probability. It is shown that the proposed TTM can represent the environment accurately in real-time and it is readily extended to the global TTM.

Failure Probability of Scoured Pier Foundation under Bi-directional Ground Motions (2방향 지진하중을 받는 세굴된 교각기초의 파괴확률분석)

  • 김상효;마호성;이상우;김영훈
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2002.09a
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    • pp.300-307
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    • 2002
  • Bridge foundation failure considering the effect of local scour around pier foundations under hi-directional seismic excitations is examined in probabilistic perspectives. The seismic responses of bridges with deep foundations are evaluated with a simplified mechanical model, which can consider the local scour effect around the deep foundation in addition to many other components. The probabilistic characteristics of local scour depths are estimated by using the Monte Carlo simulation. The probabilistic characteristics of basic random variables used in the Monte Carlo simulation are determined from the actual hydraulic data collected in middle size streams in Korea. The failure condition of deep foundation is assumed as bearing capacity failure of the ground below the foundation base. The probability of foundation failure of a simply supported bridge with various scour conditions and hi-directional seismic excitations are examined. It is found that the local scour and the recovery duration are critical factors in evaluating the probability of foundation failure. Moreover, the probability of foundation failure under hi-directional seismic excitations is much higher than under uni-directional seismic excitations. Therefore, it is reasonable to consider hi-directional seismic excitations in evaluating the seismic safety of bridge systems scoured by a flood.

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An Evaluation Method for Tornado Missile Strike Probability with Stochastic Correlation

  • Eguchi, Yuzuru;Murakami, Takahiro;Hirakuchi, Hiromaru;Sugimoto, Soichiro;Hattori, Yasuo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.395-403
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    • 2017
  • An efficient evaluation method for the probability of a tornado missile strike without using the Monte Carlo method is proposed in this paper. A major part of the proposed probability evaluation is based on numerical results computed using an in-house code, Tornado-borne missile analysis code, which enables us to evaluate the liftoff and flight behaviors of unconstrained objects on the ground driven by a tornado. Using the Tornado-borne missile analysis code, we can obtain a stochastic correlation between local wind speed and flight distance of each object, and this stochastic correlation is used to evaluate the conditional strike probability, $Q_V(r)$, of a missile located at position r, where the local wind speed is V. In contrast, the annual exceedance probability of local wind speed, which can be computed using a tornado hazard analysis code, is used to derive the probability density function, p(V). Then, we finally obtain the annual probability of tornado missile strike on a structure with the convolutional integration of product of $Q_V(r)$ and p(V) over V. The evaluation method is applied to a simple problem to qualitatively confirm the validity, and to quantitatively verify the results for two extreme cases in which an object is located just in the vicinity of or far away from the structure.

A comparison study of inverse censoring probability weighting in censored regression (중도절단 회귀모형에서 역절단확률가중 방법 간의 비교연구)

  • Shin, Jungmin;Kim, Hyungwoo;Shin, Seung Jun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.957-968
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    • 2021
  • Inverse censoring probability weighting (ICPW) is a popular technique in survival data analysis. In applications of the ICPW technique such as the censored regression, it is crucial to accurately estimate the censoring probability. A simulation study is undertaken in this article to see how censoring probability estimate influences model performance in censored regression using the ICPW scheme. We compare three censoring probability estimators, including Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimator, Cox proportional hazard model estimator, and local KM estimator. For the local KM estimator, we propose to reduce the predictor dimension to avoid the curse of dimensionality and consider two popular dimension reduction tools: principal component analysis and sliced inverse regression. Finally, we found that the Cox proportional hazard model estimator shows the best performance as a censoring probability estimator in both mean and median censored regressions.

A Simulation of Vehicle Parking Distribution System for Local Cultural Festival with Queuing Theory and Q-Learning Algorithm (대기행렬이론과 Q-러닝 알고리즘을 적용한 지역문화축제 진입차량 주차분산 시뮬레이션 시스템)

  • Cho, Youngho;Seo, Yeong Geon;Jeong, Dae-Yul
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.131-147
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    • 2020
  • Purpose The purpose of this study is to develop intelligent vehicle parking distribution system based on LoRa network at the circumstance of traffic congestion during cultural festival in a local city. This paper proposes a parking dispatch and distribution system using a Q-learning algorithm to rapidly disperse traffics that increases suddenly because of in-bound traffics from the outside of a city in the real-time base as well as to increase parking probability in a parking lot which is widely located in a city. Design/methodology/approach The system get information on realtime-base from the sensor network of IoT (LoRa network). It will contribute to solve the sudden increase in traffic and parking bottlenecks during local cultural festival. We applied the simulation system with Queuing model to the Yudeung Festival in Jinju, Korea. We proposed a Q-learning algorithm that could change the learning policy by setting the acceptability value of each parking lot as a threshold from the Jinju highway IC (Interchange) to the 7 parking lots. LoRa Network platform supports to browse parking resource information to each vehicle in realtime. The system updates Q-table periodically using Q-learning algorithm as soon as get information from parking lots. The Queuing Theory with Poisson arrival distribution is used to get probability distribution function. The Dijkstra algorithm is used to find the shortest distance. Findings This paper suggest a simulation test to verify the efficiency of Q-learning algorithm at the circumstance of high traffic jam in a city during local festival. As a result of the simulation, the proposed algorithm performed well even when each parking lot was somewhat saturated. When an intelligent learning system such as an O-learning algorithm is applied, it is possible to more effectively distribute the vehicle to a lot with a high parking probability when the vehicle inflow from the outside rapidly increases at a specific time, such as a local city cultural festival.