• 제목/요약/키워드: least square adjustment

검색결과 48건 처리시간 0.018초

계량경제모형간 국내 총화물물동량 예측정확도 비교 연구 (A Comparative Study on the Forecasting Accuracy of Econometric Models :Domestic Total Freight Volume in South Korea)

  • 정성환;강경우
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2015
  • 이 연구에서는 국내 총 화물물동량에 대한 5개 계량경제모형들의 예측정확도를 비교한다. 적용된 5개 모형은 통상최소자승모형, 부분조정모형, 축소된 자기회귀분포시차모형, 벡터자기회귀 모형, 시간변동계수모형이다. 모형의 추정과 예측은 1970-2011년 동안의 연간 국내 화물물동량 자료와 광공업생산지수를 이용하여 수행되었다. 5개 모형은 반복적인 예측방법을 이용하여 1년 후, 3년 후, 5년 후 예측성능이 비교되었다. 추가적으로 장래변동성의 크기에 따라 두 예측기간으로 나누어 예측정확도를 비교하였고, 결과적으로 시간변동계수모형은 변동을 갖는 예측기간에 대해서 가장 높은 정확도를, 반면에 벡터자기회귀 모형은 점진적인 변화를 갖는 예측기간에 대해서 다른 모형에 비해 우수한 성능을 보여주는 것으로 분석되었다.

Breast Screening and Breast Cancer Survival in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Women of Australia

  • Roder, David;Webster, Fleur;Zorbas, Helen;Sinclair, Sue
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.147-155
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    • 2012
  • Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people comprise about 2.5% of the Australian population. Cancer registry data indicate that their breast cancer survivals are lower than for other women but the completeness and accuracy of Indigenous descriptors on registries are uncertain. We followed women receiving mammography screening in BreastScreen to determine differences in screening experiences and survivals from breast cancer by Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander status, as recorded by BreastScreen. This status is self-reported and used in BreastScreen accreditation, and is considered to be more accurate. The study included breast cancers diagnosed during the period of screening and after leaving the screening program. Design: Least square regression models were used to compare screening experiences and outcomes adjusted for age, geographic remoteness, socio-economic disadvantage, screening period and round during 1996-2005. Survival of breast cancer patients from all causes and from breast cancer specifically was compared for the 1991-2006 diagnostic period using linked cancer-registry data. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to adjust for socio-demographic differences, screening period, and where available, tumour size, nodal status and proximity of diagnosis to time of screen. Results: After adjustment for socio-demographic differences and screening period, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander women participated less frequently than other women in screening and re-screening although this difference appeared to be diminishing; were less likely to attend post-screening assessment within the recommended 28 days if recalled for assessment; had an elevated ductal carcinoma in situ but not invasive cancer detection rate; had larger breast cancers; and were more likely than other women to be treated by mastectomy than complete local excision. Linked cancer registry data indicated that five-year year survivals of breast cancer cases from all causes of death were 81% for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander women, compared with 90% for other women, and that the former had larger breast cancers that were more likely to have nodal spread at diagnosis. After adjusting for socio-demographic factors, tumour size, nodal spread and time from last screen to diagnosis, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander women had approximately twice the risk of death from breast cancer as other women. Conclusions: Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander women have less favourable screening experiences and those diagnosed with breast cancer (either during the screening period or after leaving the screening program) have lower survivals that persist after adjustment for socio-demographic differences, tumour size and nodal status.

시간영역 및 주파수영역 블럭적응 여파기에 관한 연구 : 제1부- 구현방법 (Time- and Frequency-Domain Block LMS Adaptive Digital Filters: Part Ⅰ- Realization Structures)

  • 이재천;은종관
    • 한국음향학회지
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.31-53
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    • 1988
  • 블럭적응 여파기는 구현시에 고속푸리에변환 기법을 이용하면 계산량을 대폭 줄일 수 있음이 밝혀져서 연구자들의 관심을 끌어 왔다. 본 논문은 2편으로 구성되어 있는데, 제 1 부에서는 블럭적응 여파기의 여러가지 구현방법을 연구하고 제 2 부에서는 성능분석의 결과들을 논의하고 있다. 블럭적응 여파기의 계수가 최적해를 추적하도록 하는 적응알고리즘은 시간영역 또는 주파수영역에서 동작하게 할 수 있는데 이를 각각 시간영역 및 주파수영역 블럭적응 여파기로 부른다. 특히 제 1 부에서는 이들 두 구조 사이의 공통점 및 대비 관계를 명확하게 할 것이다. 구체적으로 제 1 부에서는 먼저 overlap-add 방식에 의한 고속 구현방법과 정수론적 변환 기법에 의한 효율적인 구현방법에 관한 새로운 결과들을 발표한다. 그리고 나서 계수 설계시에 주파수영역의 정보를 주파수대역마다 차등으로 적용하는 방법과 여파기 계수의 최적해 추정에 있어서 수렴시간 단축을 위한 self-orthogonalization방법을 주파수영역은 물론 시간영역 블럭적응 여파기들에도 적응할 수 있음을 보인다. 다음으로 계수의 블럭적응을 위한 입출력데이터 블럭분할 방법의 특질에 근거해서 고속푸리에변환 연산을 (부분적으로) 생략할 수 있는 비제약 주파수영역 블럭적응 여파기에 관해서 논의한다. 제 1 부의 마지막으로 여러가지 여파기 상수값들과 서로 다른 알고리즘들이 여파기 수렴특성에 미치는 영향을 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션을 통해서 조사한 결과를 발표한다.

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고가(高架)구조물의 정위치 시공을 위한 준스태틱RTK 측위의 적용성 실험 (Availability Evaluation of Quasi Static RTK Positioning for Construction of High Rise Buildings and Civil Structures)

  • 김인섭
    • 대한공간정보학회지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 2011
  • 초고층 건물이나 고가 구조물 상부의 정위치 측설에 주로 사용되어 왔던 광학식 TS장비는 시준선 확보의 어려움, 장거리 관측에 따른 오차의 증가 및 동적관측의 어려움 등으로 인하여 사용성이 많이 떨어지므로 최근에는 GPS를 이용한 측량방법이 제시되고 있다. 그러나 기존의 GPS측량방법들은 대부분 후처리 방법으로서 측설, 검측, 위치조정 및 확인측량 등 일련의 과정에서 시간이 과다 소요되는 문제점이 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 RTK측위 기법을 적용하여 실시간으로 구조물의 위치를 검측하고 조정함으로써 측량으로 인한 공사의 중단을 최소화 하고, 준스태틱 RTK기법에 의한 고정밀의 측정값을 기반으로 망조정을 통해 수 mm 이내의 높은 정확도로 시공좌표를 결정함으로써 공정관리와 품질관리를 모두 충족시킬 수 있는 방법에 대해 실험 하였다. 실험결과 130m 이상 높이의 고가 구조물 상층부에서 사변망을 이루는 4점의 준스태틱 RTK 관측점을 최소제곱법으로 망조정 하면 약 2mm 내외의 정확도로 구조물 측설이 가능하므로 향후 초고층 건물이나 고가 교량등의 시공측량에 널리 적용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

Feasibility study of the beating cancellation during the satellite vibration test

  • Bettacchioli, Alain
    • Advances in aircraft and spacecraft science
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.225-237
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    • 2018
  • The difficulties of satellite vibration testing are due to the commonly expressed qualification requirements being incompatible with the limited performance of the entire controlled system (satellite + interface + shaker + controller). Two features cause the problem: firstly, the main satellite modes (i.e., the first structural mode and the high and low tank modes) are very weakly damped; secondly, the controller is just too basic to achieve the expected performance in such cases. The combination of these two issues results in oscillations around the notching levels and high amplitude beating immediately after the mode. The beating overshoots are a major risk source because they can result in the test being aborted if the qualification upper limit is exceeded. Although the abort is, in itself, a safety measure protecting the tested satellite, it increases the risk of structural fatigue, firstly because the abort threshold has been already reached, and secondly, because the test must restart at the same close-resonance frequency and remain there until the qualification level is reached and the sweep frequency can continue. The beat minimum relates only to small successive frequency ranges in which the qualification level is not reached. Although they are less problematic because they do not cause an inadvertent test shutdown, such situations inevitably result in waiver requests from the client. A controlled-system analysis indicates an operating principle that cannot provide sufficient stability: the drive calculation (which controls the process) simply multiplies the frequency reference (usually called cola) and a function of the following setpoint, the ratio between the amplitude already reached and the previous setpoint, and the compression factor. This function value changes at each cola interval, but it never takes into account the sensor signal phase. Because of these limitations, we firstly examined whether it was possible to empirically determine, using a series of tests with a very simple dummy, a controller setting process that significantly improves the results. As the attempt failed, we have performed simulations seeking an optimum adjustment by finding the Least Mean Square of the difference between the reference and response signal. The simulations showed a significant improvement during the notch beat and a small reduction in the beat amplitude. However, the small improvement in this process was not useful because it highlighted the need to change the reference at each cola interval, sometimes with instructions almost twice the qualification level. Another uncertainty regarding the consequences of such an approach involves the impact of differences between the estimated model (used in the simulation) and the actual system. As limitations in the current controller were identified in different approaches, we considered the feasibility of a new controller that takes into account an estimated single-input multi-output (SIMO) model. Its parameters were estimated from a very low-level throughput. Against this backdrop, we analyzed the feasibility of an LQG control in cancelling beating, and this article highlights the relevance of such an approach.

MACRO-SHEAR BOND STRENGTH AND MICRO-SHEAR BOND STRENGTH OF CEROMER BONDED TO METAL ALLOY AND FIBER REINFORCED COMPOSITE

  • Park Hyung-Yoon;Cho Lee-Ra;Cho Kyung-Mo;Park Chan-Jin
    • 대한치과보철학회지
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    • 제42권6호
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    • pp.654-663
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    • 2004
  • Statement of problem. According to the fracture pattern in several reports, fractures most frequently occur in the interface between the ceromer and the substructure. Purpose. The aim of this in vitro study was to compare the macro shear bond strength and microshear bond strength of a ceromer bonded to a fiber reinforced composite (FRC) as well as metal alloys. Material and methods. Ten of the following substructures, type II gold alloy, Co-Cr alloy, Ni-Cr alloy, and FRC (Vectris) substructures with a 12 mm in diameter, were imbedded in acrylic resin and ground with 400, and 1, 000-grit sandpaper. The metal primer and wetting agent were applied to the sandblasted bonding area of the metal specimens and the FRC specimens, respectively. The ceromer was placed onto a 6 mm diameter and 3 mm height mold in the macro-shear test and 1 mm diameter and 2 mm height mold in the micro-shear test, and then polymerized. The macro- and micro-shear bond strength were measured using a universal testing machine and a micro-shear tester, respectively. The macro- and micro-shear strength were analyzed with ANOVA and a post-hoc Scheffe adjustment ($\alpha$ = .05). The fracture surfaces of the crowns were then examined by scanning electron microscopy to determine the mode of failure. Chi-square test was used to identify the differences in the failure mode. Results. The macro-shear strength and the micro-shear strength differed significantly with the types of substructure (P<.001). Although the ceromer/FRC group showed the highest macroand micro-shear strength, the micro-shear strength was not significantly different from that of the base metal alloy groups. The base metal alloy substructure groups showed the lowest mean macro-shear strength. However, the gold alloy substructure group exhibited the least micro-shear strength. The micro-shear strength was higher than the macro-shear strength excluding the gold alloy substructure group. Adhesive failure was most frequent type of fracture in the ceromer specimens bonded to the gold alloys. Cohesive failure at the ceromer layer was more common in the base metals and FRC substructures. Conclusion. The Vectris substructure had higher shear strength than the other substructures. Although the shear strength of the ceromer bonded to the base metals was lower than that of the gold alloy, the micro-shear strength of the base metals were superior to that of the gold alloy.

LiDAR 데이터와 RANSAC 알고리즘을 이용한 철도 전력선 자동탐지에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Automatic Detection of Railroad Power Lines Using LiDAR Data and RANSAC Algorithm)

  • 전왕규;최병길
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.331-339
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    • 2013
  • LiDAR 측량은 고밀도로 정확하게 거리를 측정하는 장점 때문에 지표면과 지표면 위의 객체를 3D 모델링하는데 사용되는 주요기술 중의 하나이다. 본 연구의 목적은 고밀도 LiDAR 데이터와 RANSAC 알고리즘을 이용하여 자동으로 철도전력선을 탐지하고 모델링하는 방법을 개발하는데 있다. 철도전력선을 탐지하기 위하여 레이저 데이터의 다중반사 특성과 철도전력선에 대한 형상정보를 이용한다. 이를 위한 프로세스는 최초 단위라인을 찾기 위한 직육면체 분석과 라인 추적, 연결 그리고 색인 작업으로 구성되며, 반복 RANSAC과 라인 파라미터를 구하기 위한 최소제곱법이 모델링을 위하여 사용된다. 철도전력선의 경우에는 정확도 확인을 위한 실측자료를 구하는 것이 매우 힘들어서 정량적인 정확도 평가가 어려우나 모델에 대한 레이저점군의 표준편차는 x-y 및 z 좌표 각각 8cm와 5cm로 양호하였고, 육안 검사에 의한 완성도면에서도 원 데이터와 비교할 때 모든 철도전력선 라인이 탐지 및 모델링된 것을 알 수 있었다. 본 연구에서 제시하는 방법의 모든 과정은 완전히 자동화하였으며, 특히 다수의 전력선이 복잡하게 설치된 지역에서도 적용될 수 있도록 개발하였다.

스마트폰 위치기반 어플리케이션의 이용의도에 영향을 미치는 요인: 프라이버시 계산 모형의 적용 (Factors Influencing the Adoption of Location-Based Smartphone Applications: An Application of the Privacy Calculus Model)

  • 차훈상
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.7-29
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    • 2012
  • Smartphone and its applications (i.e. apps) are increasingly penetrating consumer markets. According to a recent report from Korea Communications Commission, nearly 50% of mobile subscribers in South Korea are smartphone users that accounts for over 25 million people. In particular, the importance of smartphone has risen as a geospatially-aware device that provides various location-based services (LBS) equipped with GPS capability. The popular LBS include map and navigation, traffic and transportation updates, shopping and coupon services, and location-sensitive social network services. Overall, the emerging location-based smartphone apps (LBA) offer significant value by providing greater connectivity, personalization, and information and entertainment in a location-specific context. Conversely, the rapid growth of LBA and their benefits have been accompanied by concerns over the collection and dissemination of individual users' personal information through ongoing tracking of their location, identity, preferences, and social behaviors. The majority of LBA users tend to agree and consent to the LBA provider's terms and privacy policy on use of location data to get the immediate services. This tendency further increases the potential risks of unprotected exposure of personal information and serious invasion and breaches of individual privacy. To address the complex issues surrounding LBA particularly from the user's behavioral perspective, this study applied the privacy calculus model (PCM) to explore the factors that influence the adoption of LBA. According to PCM, consumers are engaged in a dynamic adjustment process in which privacy risks are weighted against benefits of information disclosure. Consistent with the principal notion of PCM, we investigated how individual users make a risk-benefit assessment under which personalized service and locatability act as benefit-side factors and information privacy risks act as a risk-side factor accompanying LBA adoption. In addition, we consider the moderating role of trust on the service providers in the prohibiting effects of privacy risks on user intention to adopt LBA. Further we include perceived ease of use and usefulness as additional constructs to examine whether the technology acceptance model (TAM) can be applied in the context of LBA adoption. The research model with ten (10) hypotheses was tested using data gathered from 98 respondents through a quasi-experimental survey method. During the survey, each participant was asked to navigate the website where the experimental simulation of a LBA allows the participant to purchase time-and-location sensitive discounted tickets for nearby stores. Structural equations modeling using partial least square validated the instrument and the proposed model. The results showed that six (6) out of ten (10) hypotheses were supported. On the subject of the core PCM, H2 (locatability ${\rightarrow}$ intention to use LBA) and H3 (privacy risks ${\rightarrow}$ intention to use LBA) were supported, while H1 (personalization ${\rightarrow}$ intention to use LBA) was not supported. Further, we could not any interaction effects (personalization X privacy risks, H4 & locatability X privacy risks, H5) on the intention to use LBA. In terms of privacy risks and trust, as mentioned above we found the significant negative influence from privacy risks on intention to use (H3), but positive influence from trust, which supported H6 (trust ${\rightarrow}$ intention to use LBA). The moderating effect of trust on the negative relationship between privacy risks and intention to use LBA was tested and confirmed by supporting H7 (privacy risks X trust ${\rightarrow}$ intention to use LBA). The two hypotheses regarding to the TAM, including H8 (perceived ease of use ${\rightarrow}$ perceived usefulness) and H9 (perceived ease of use ${\rightarrow}$ intention to use LBA) were supported; however, H10 (perceived effectiveness ${\rightarrow}$ intention to use LBA) was not supported. Results of this study offer the following key findings and implications. First the application of PCM was found to be a good analysis framework in the context of LBA adoption. Many of the hypotheses in the model were confirmed and the high value of $R^2$ (i.,e., 51%) indicated a good fit of the model. In particular, locatability and privacy risks are found to be the appropriate PCM-based antecedent variables. Second, the existence of moderating effect of trust on service provider suggests that the same marginal change in the level of privacy risks may differentially influence the intention to use LBA. That is, while the privacy risks increasingly become important social issues and will negatively influence the intention to use LBA, it is critical for LBA providers to build consumer trust and confidence to successfully mitigate this negative impact. Lastly, we could not find sufficient evidence that the intention to use LBA is influenced by perceived usefulness, which has been very well supported in most previous TAM research. This may suggest that more future research should examine the validity of applying TAM and further extend or modify it in the context of LBA or other similar smartphone apps.

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