• 환경영향평가
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• 제15권6호
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• pp.373-383
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• 2006

The spatial mapping of risk is very useful data in planning for disaster preparedness. This research presents a methodology for making the landslide life risk map in the Boeun area which had considerable landslide damage following heavy rain in August, 1998. We have developed a three-stage procedure in spatial data analysis not only to estimate the probability of the occurrence of the natural hazardous events but also to evaluate the uncertainty of the estimators of that probability. The three-stage procedure consists of: (i)construction of a hazard prediction map of "future" hazardous events; (ii) validation of prediction results and estimation of the probability of occurrence for each predicted hazard level; and (iii) generation of risk maps with the introduction of human life factors representing assumed or established vulnerability levels by combining the prediction map in the first stage and the estimated probabilities in the second stage with human life data. The significance of the landslide susceptibility map was evaluated by computing a prediction rate curve. It is used that the Bayesian prediction model and the case study results (the landslide susceptibility map and prediction rate curve) can be prepared for prevention of future landslide life risk map. Data from the Bayesian model-based landslide susceptibility map and prediction ratio curves were used together with human rife data to draft future landslide life risk maps. Results reveal that individual pixels had low risks, but the total risk death toll was estimated at 3.14 people. In particular, the dangerous areas involving an estimated 1/100 people were shown to have the highest risk among all research-target areas. Three people were killed in this area when landslides occurred in 1998. Thus, this risk map can deliver factual damage situation prediction to policy decision-makers, and subsequently can be used as useful data in preventing disasters. In particular, drafting of maps on landslide risk in various steps will enable one to forecast the occurrence of disasters.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제58권5호
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• pp.39-47
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• 2016

The houses are formed in the lower part of the mountain slope face in most agricultural areas of Korea, and old residents accounting for a large portion of the agricultural populations cannot respond to the evacuation quickly when the landslide happens, and the possibility the life damage occurs is high. Therefore, it is urgent to arrange the measure on this. This study is intended to develop the personal disaster evacuation apparatus that can be installed in the house to minimize the life damage by the landslide and to develop the self-initiative evacuation apparatus. This study suggested the load applicable to the personal disaster evacuation apparatus by quantitatively analyzing the effect of the load of rockslides and avalanches caused by the landslide on the structure. Also, the material property of materials was calculated through the tension and bending intensity test after making the specimen of glass fiber reinforced plastic (GFRP) member. The load weight and material property drawn from this study can be used as the basic material for the stability analysis of the personal disaster evacuation apparatus.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.33-52
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• 2015

Based on the Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion, a gradient-dependent plastic model that considers the strain-softening behavior is presented in this study. Both triaxial shear tests on conventional specimen and precut-specimen, which were obtained from an ancient landslide, are performed to plot the post-peak stress-strain entire-process curves. According to the test results of the soil strength, which reduces from peak to residual strength, the Mohr-Coulomb criterion that considers strain-softening under gradient plastic theory is deduced, where strength reduction depends on the hardening parameter and the Laplacian thereof. The validity of the model is evaluated by the simulation of the results of triaxial shear test, and the computed and measured curves are consistent and independent of the adopted mesh. Finally, a progressive failure of the ancient landslide, which was triggered by slide of the toe, is simulated using this model, and the effects of the strain-softening process on the landslide stability are discussed.

• 한국지반공학회논문집
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• 제28권10호
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• pp.89-96
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• 2012

본 연구에서는 사면위험도의 합리적인 평가 가중치를 도출하기 위하여 국내의 대표적인 평가방법에 대해 동일한 영향성을 주는 것으로 간주되는 항목들을 그룹화하여 그 영향성을 분석하고 이를 국립방재연구소(NIDP) 평가법과 비교, 사면붕괴 주요인자 선별의 적정성과 배점비율을 검토하였다. 또한, 붕괴가 발생된 28개소 사면을 대상으로 ANN(Artificial Neural Network) 기법을 적용하여 사면붕괴 유발인자 가중치에 대한 합리적 배점이 이루어졌는지에 대해 고찰하였다. ANN기법에 의해 평가비중을 재조정하여 분석한 결과, 국립방재연구소 평가법의 평가비중 오차가 큰 예상피해도, 인장균열, 계곡부 항목의 가중치를 조정하여야 보다 정확한 평가가 가능할 것으로 분석되었다.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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• pp.214-214
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• 2015

Rainfall induced landslides is one of the most devastating natural disasters acting on mountainous areas. In Korea, landslide damage areas increase significantly from 1990s to 2000s due to the increase of both rainfall intensity and rainy days in addition with haphazard land development. This study was carried out based on the application of TRIGRS unsaturated (Transient Rainfall Infiltration and Grid-based Regional Slope stability analysis), a Fortran coded, physically based, and numerical model that can predict landslides for areas where are prone to shallow precipitation. Using TRIGRS combining with the geographic information system (GIS) framework, the landslide incident happened on 27th, July 2011 in Mt. Umyeon in Seoul was modeled. The predicted results which were raster maps showed values of the factors of safety on every pixel at different time steps show a strong agreement with to the observed actual landslide scars in both time and locations. Although some limitations of the program are still needed to be further improved, some soil data as well as landslide information are lack; TRIGRS is proved to be a powerful tool for shallow landslide susceptibility zonation especially in great areas where the input geotechnical and hydraulic data for simulation is not fully available.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제58권5호
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• pp.49-57
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• 2016

Recently the life damage is increasing due to the house disruption and burying accident by the landslide, and most of the damages are concentrating on the agricultural area. This study is a basic study for developing the personal disaster evacuation apparatus that can be installed in the house for the people in agricultural area vulnerable to the disaster in case of the landslide. This study carried out the numerical analysis and the object load test on the personal disaster evacuation apparatus. As a result of this study, it was judged the life damage could be minimized if the personal disaster evacuation apparatus using the glass fiber reinforced plastic (GFRP) materials was installed in the steep slope-land with a high possibility of the disruption.

• 한국환경복원기술학회지
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• 제25권5호
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• pp.1-13
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• 2022

The damages caused by landslides are increasing worldwide due to climate change. In Korea, damages from landslides occur frequently, making it necessary to develop the effective response strategies. In particular, there is a lack of countermeasures against landslides in cultural heritage areas. The purpose of this study was to spatially analyze the relationship between Buyeo-gun's cultural heritage and landslide susceptible areas in Buyeo-gun, Chungcheongnam-do, which has a long history. Nine spatial distribution models were used to evaluate the landslide susceptibility, and the ensemble method was applied to reduce the uncertainty of individual model. There were 17 cultural heritages belonging to the landslide susceptible area. As a result of calculating the area ratio of the landslide susceptible area for cultural heritages, the cultural heritages with 100% of the area included in the landslide susceptible area were "Standing statue of Maae in Hongsan Sangcheon-ri" and "Statue of King Seonjo." More than 35% of "Jeungsanseong", "Garimseong", and "Standing stone statue of Maitreya Bodhisattva in Daejosa Temple" belonged to landslide susceptible areas. In order to effectively prevent landslide damage, the application of landslide prevention measures should be prioritized according to the proportion belonging to the landslide susceptible area. Since it is very difficult to restore cultural properties once destroyed, preventive measures are required before landslide damage occurs. The approach and results of this study provide basic data and guidelines for disaster response plans to prevent landslides in Buyeo-gun.

• Spatial Information Research
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.9-18
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• 2012

최근 우리나라는 여름에 집중호우로 인한 산사태로 그 피해가 계속되고 있다. 이러한 산사태는 매년 반복적으로 발생하고 있으며 급격한 기후의 변화로 인해 앞으로 그 발생빈도가 높아질 것으로 예측된다. 우리나라는 인구의 81.5%가 도시지역에 거주하고 있으며 서울에만 약 1,055만 명이 거주하고 있다. 2011년 18명의 사망자가 발생한 서초동 산사태와 동일한 조건에 인접한 대지는 서울시에서 약 9%에 달한다. 도시에서 발생하는 산사태는 그 규모는 작으나 인구가 집중하는 도시의 특성으로 인해 큰 재난을 야기할 가능성이 있다. 현재까지는 산사태의 취약성과 발생 원인을 규명하기 위한 노력이 지속되어 왔으나 산사태 발생 시 재난지역의 범위에 관한 예측 연구가 새롭게 요구되고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 산사태의 물리적 확산형태를 분석하기 위하여 셀룰러 오토마타(Cellular Automata, CA) 기반의 산사태 재난지역 확산모델을 구축하였다. 이동규칙, 지형에 의한 장애물을 변수로 하는 SCIDDICA(SmartComputational Innovative methoDs for Debris flow simulation with Cellular Automata)모델과 침전 및 침식에 따른 변화를 적용한 CAESAR(the Cellular Automaton Evolutionary Slope And River model)모델을 적용하여 2011년 7월 서초동 산사태를 대상으로 정확도를 비교하였다.

• 한국지반공학회논문집
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• 제30권12호
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• pp.5-14
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• 2014

국내 대부분의 사면파괴는 6월~9월에 발생하며, 이러한 사면파괴는 사회적으로 큰 손실을 유발한다. 사면파괴의 주요 원인은 강우강도(Intensity, I)와 강우기간(Duration, D)이다. 본 연구에서는 강우강도-기간(I-D)을 고려한 사면파괴 유발 강우 한계선(rainfall threshold)을 제안하였다. 본 연구를 위해서 국립재난안전연구원과 다양한 보고서 및 매체 그리고 현장조사를 통해서 1999년부터 2012년까지 풍화토 지반에서 유발된 255개 재해이력 자료를 수집하였다. 그리고 기상청의 강우자료를 바탕으로 사면파괴가 발생한 시점의 전 후의 시간에 대한 강우량 데이터를 수집하였다. 수집된 재해이력과 강우량 데이터베이스를 바탕으로 사면파괴를 유형별(토석류, 얕은 사면파괴 등)로 분류하고, 통계적 기법인 분위수 회귀분석을 이용하여 강우강도 및 기간을 분석함으로써 강우 한계선을 제안하였다. 뿐만 아니라 2013년의 재해이력 자료를 통해 제안된 한계선의 검증을 수행하였다. 또한 국외의 한계선과 제안된 한계선을 비교 분석하였다. 본 연구에서 제안된 강우 한계선은 산사태 예 경보시스템을 구축할 때 기초자료로 사용될 수 있다고 판단된다.

• 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지반공학회 2010년도 춘계 학술발표회
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• pp.940-945
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• 2010

There are human casualties that caused by slope-stability related disasters such as landslide and debris flow during typhoon and rainy season every year in Korea. These disaster sites can be analyzed systematically using digital topographic data and aerial photogrammetry. In this study, geographical factors such as slope degree, geology, height, and soil depth are analyzed in four landslide-disaster sites from Muju, Jinan, and Jangsu County based on digital elevation maps generated by ArcGIS. Each site showed different characteristics in geology and geography and it is found that GIS can be utilized for the visualization of steep-slope failure areas.