• Title/Summary/Keyword: lag 변수

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Behavioral Analysis of Revisiting Tourism for Chung Nam Dae Sightseeing Site (청남대 관광객의 재방문 행태에 관한 연구)

  • Rhee, Hyun-Jae
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.370-380
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    • 2013
  • The research is basically designed to reveal a revisiting behavior for Chung Nam Dae which is inherently characterized sightseeing site. Distributional lag model is tentatively employed to analyze economic factors such as entrance fee and a different level of income. Empirical findings investigate that the revisiting behavior that is associated with a long run effect is more closely connected to the level of national income, but not the level of incomes in Chung Cheong region and Chung Buk province as well. As far as revisiting intention concerns, the entrance fee tends to affect to it by a shorter distributional lag, but the level of income affects to it by way of a pretty much longer distributional lags. To this end, perceived value for Chung Nam Dae should be exposed in order to induce a re-visitor. Such a goal could be attainable by taking care of its system for entrance fee, expanding facilities, re-branding, service improvement, and developing useful programs. Also, setting up an inter-connected networking system with a sightseeing site around is highly recommended.

The Relationship between the Fashion Industry and Macro Variables - Focus on Fashion Listed Company - (패션산업과 거시 변수들간의 관계 -패션 상장기업 중심으로-)

  • Kwon, Ki Yong;Choo, Ho Jung
    • Fashion & Textile Research Journal
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.38-54
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    • 2020
  • This study examines the time causal relationship between the operation profit of the listed fashion companies and the macro variables. Operating profit data of 36 listed fashion companies from 2000 to 2017 has been used. Macro variables include household income, household expenditure, number of Korean overseas travelers, number of foreigner travelers and sentiment index. The study results are as follows. First, the number of outbound travelers from Korea has a negative effect on the operating profit of listed fashion companies; however the number of foreigner visiting Korea has a positive effect at 0 time lag. Second, the consumer sentiment index had a positive effect on the sales and the operating profits of the listed fashion companies with a time difference between the 3rd and the 4th quarter. Third, a disposable income has a positive effect on the operating profit of listed fashion companies. Last, educational expenses have a negative effect on operating profit with a time lag between the first and the second quarter. The findings can be used as useful information to analyze the fashion industry and help fashion companies improve their financial performances.

Building a Model to Estimate Pedestrians' Critical Lags on Crosswalks (횡단보도에서의 보행자의 임계간격추정 모형 구축)

  • Kim, Kyung Whan;Kim, Daehyon;Lee, Ik Su;Lee, Deok Whan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.1D
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2009
  • The critical lag of crosswalk pedestrians is an important parameter in analyzing traffic operation at unsignalized crosswalks, however there is few research in this field in Korea. The purpose of this study is to develop a model to estimate the critical lag. Among the elements which influence the critical lag, the age of pedestrians and the length of crosswalks, which have fuzzy characteristics, and the each lag which is rejected or accepted are collected on crosswalks of which lengths range from 3.5 m to 10.5 m. The values of the critical lag range from 2.56 sec. to 5.56 sec. The age and the length are divided to the 3 fuzzy variables each, and the critical lag of each case is estimated according to Raff's technique, so a total of 9 fuzzy rules are established. Based on the rules, an ANFIS (Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) model to estimate the critical lag is built. The predictability of the model is evaluated comparing the observed with the estimated critical lags by the model. Statistics of $R^2$, MAE, MSE are 0.96, 0.097, 0.015 respectively. Therefore, the model is evaluated to explain the result well. During this study, it is found that the critical lag increases rapidly over the pedestrian's age of 40 years.

Stress Evaluation Procedure for Connection of Steel Frame Pier (강제라멘교각 접합부의 응력평가법)

  • Hwang, Won Sup;Kim, Young Pil
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.10 no.3 s.36
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    • pp.327-338
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents the elastic behavior for panel zone and flange of connection in steel frame pier. The results of stress distributions on a series of experiments and FEM analysis models are reported herein. The investigations show that the shear stresses in the panel zone are varied with sectional-area ratio$(A_f/A_w)$ and also indicate that the nomal stresses in the flange due to the shea lag are significantly higher than the current design procedure. Based on the results, some new proposals considering the design parameters affecting connecting behavior are presented for the evaluations of stresses of panel zone and flange in connection.

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Block Shear Rupture and Shear Lag of Single angle in Tension Joint -Single angle with three or four bolt connection- (단일 ㄱ형강의 블록전단 파단 및 전단지체 현상 -고력볼트 3개 또는 4개로 접합된 단일 ㄱ형강-)

  • Lee, Hyang Ha;Shim, Hyun Ju;Lee, Eun Taik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.16 no.5 s.72
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    • pp.565-574
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this paper was to investigate the block shear and the fracture in the net section, according to AISC Specifications, by analysing the shear lag effect in the block shear rupture of the single angle with three or four bolt connection. Specimen with three or four bolt connections showed that failure generally went from block shear with some net section failures to classic net section failures. From the test results, showed that the connection length, the thickness of angle, and reduction factor, which affect the block shear rupture, were investigated. According to the test results, it is suggested that the calculation of the net section rupture capacity by using the reduction factor of U, that was suggested by Kulak, is needed.

A Study on TRANSYT Model-embedded Parameters (TRANSYT 모델의 내재 모개변수에 관한 연구)

  • 도철웅
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 1988
  • Prior to using any computer model, the program-embedded palameters showing significant differences from real world should be calibrated. This is especially true when the model is expected to be used fro various roadway and traffic condition. The calibration of TRANSYT model was conducted for the parameters of start-up delay, and lag, stop penalty(K), platoon dispersion factor, and saturation flow rate. The values of the parameters were obtained by theoretical methods from actual field measurements for discharging and arrival pattern. The sites elected for the study was an intersection of Dongil-Ro and Hwarang-Ro, and a 334 meter downstrean section from the intersection stop line on westbound Hwarang-Ro. The study results showed that the start-up delay was 2.6 sec, end lag was 1.0 sec, saturation flow rate was 2287 pcphgpl, platoon dispersion factor was 0.2-03, and stop penalty(K) was 32. However, since these parameters re apt to depend on traffic and roadway condition, it is doubtful whether the obtained values will be applicable to the area-wide situation other than this particular site.

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The Correlation Analysis Between New Catchment Shape Descriptor and The Lag Time of Nash Model (신집수형상디스크립터와 Nash 모형의 지체시간 사이의 상관성 분석)

  • Kim, Joo-Cheol;Jung, Kwan-Sue;Kim, Jae-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.12
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    • pp.1065-1074
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    • 2004
  • This study aims at the introduction of new catchment shape descriptor, developed by Moussa(2003), based on equivalent ellipse and the assessment of its hydrologic applicability. Two descriptors a+b and a+b+${\varepsilon}OM$were correlated to the lag time and those were applied to the estimation of representative values of Nash model parameters. They are applied in order to examine the practicality to 3 catchments in Korea, catchments in Korea, respectively, i.e. Pyeongchanggang catchment in Han river, Bocheongcheon catchment in Geum river and Wicheon catchment in Nakdong river. As a result both of two descriptors show higher correlations to the lag lime than classical geomorphologic factors and hereby Moussa's suggestion(2003) is confirmed. For the sake of simplicity the former is recommended. Also representative IUHs derived from this study show consistent basin response characteristics. It is desirable to conduct further more case studies on many other basins.

Analysis of Groundwater Recharge Characteristics Using Relationship between Rainfall and Groundwater Level (강우량과 지하 수위를 이용한 지하수 함양특성 분석)

  • Lee, Dong-Ryul;Gu, Ho-Bon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2000
  • A dynamic model, which combined time series model with distributed-lag model, is applied to understand the relationship between rainfall and groundwater level. In the model, rainfall with distribution lags and past groundwater level as a dependent variables were used to estimate present groundwater level. The distribution of the lagged rainfall effects for groundwater levels was modeled by Almon polynomials. The model was applied to Banglim and Tanbu groundwater stations in Pyungchang river and Bocheong stream watershed which are representative basins for International Hydrological Program (IHP). The dynamic model represents observed groundwater levels very well and can be used to predict the levels. The model parameters reflect hydraulic characteristics of aquifer. In addition, from the parameters it appears that the increase in groundwater level due to rainfall takes place significantly within first two days of the rainfall event. The rainfall of the order of 18mm/day and 30mm/day at Banglim and Tanbu, respectively, had no significant effect on the groundwater levels.

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AN EMPIRICAL STUDY ON THE KERAN'S MODEL (Keran의 모델에 관한 실증적 고찰)

  • Kim, Tae-Sik
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.55-69
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    • 1985
  • 1959년(年) 11월(月) St. Louis 연방은행 Review지(誌)에 발표된 통칭 St. Louis 방정식으로 불리는 Miehael W. Keran의 모형은 학계에 지대한 반향을 이르켰다. 동모형은 1919년에서 1969의 50년간의 자료를 토대로 재정정책 및 화폐정책을 대표하는 두 설명변수와 경제활동의 전반적지표로서 국민소득을 종속변수로하여 전자의 후자에 미치는 영향을 계량적으로 파악코저하는 회귀분석인데 만일 방정식이라는 접근방식이 구조적 특징이다. 본 연구는 1965년에서 1980년까지의 새로운 자료에 입각하여 동모형의 이론적 타당성을 비판적으로 검토하고, 또한 통계학적 신빙성을 제고(提高)할 수 있는 개선방안(改善方案)을 모색코저 시도(試圖)한 것이다. 우선 단일방정식(單一方程式) 접근(接近)의 문제점(問題點)인 종속변수의 EXOGENEITY를 시험하기 위(爲)한 소위 Reverse-Causation Argument를 재점검(再點檢)하였고, 이이서 동모형의 Specification을 면밀히 살펴왔다. 특히 이자율의 변동을 설명변수로 도입해서 동변수가 경제활동전반에 끼치는 영향을 추정함으로서 설명변수의 추가적 설정(說定)의 타당성여부를 검토하였다. Keran의 결과가 t, D-W 및 $R^2$ 등의 주요 통제치가 매우 미흡한 수준이였으므로 이들 통계치의 제고(提高)를 위해 Almond-lag 방식을 Cuchrane/Oreutt 기법(技法)과 결합해서 적용하여 Almond의 지연구조에 녹유(綠由)하는 자동상관(自動相關) 효과(效果)를 배제(排除)코저 하였다. 끝으로 본연구대상기간인 '65년에서 '80년간의 역사적 발전을 배경으로 동모형의 적용 결과를 재조명(再照明)함으로서 동모형의 타당성을 살펴봤다.

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Analysis of the Nash Model Using the Similarities of Hydrogeomorphologic and Time Response Characteristics (수문지형특성 및 시간응답특성의 상사성을 이용한 Nash 모형 해석)

  • Seong, Gi-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 1997
  • Parameters of the Nash model were analyzed using similarity concepts for the hydrogeomorphologic and the time response characteristics, then the application of parameter estimation was performed for a basin where no data are available. The self-similarity was investigated to evaluate the similarity of hydrogeomorphologic characteristics and to derive a equation for the time of concentration. The relation between model parameters and time characteristics such as travel and lag time, were developed to obtain their properties of similarity. There were remarkable results about the assessment for basin similarity and the application to an ungaged basin in Wi stream basin.

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