• 제목/요약/키워드: kriging analysis

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Retrieval of High-Resolution Grid Type Visibility Data in South Korea Using Inverse Distance Weighting and Kriging

  • Kang, Taeho;Suh, Myoung-Seok
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.97-110
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    • 2021
  • Fog can cause large-scale human and economic damages, including traffic systems and agriculture. So, Korea Meteorological Administration is operating about 290 visibility meters to improve the observation level of fog. However, it is still insufficient to detect very localized fog. In this study, high-resolution grid-type visibility data were retrieved from irregularly distributed visibility data across the country. To this end, three objective analysis techniques (Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW), Ordinary Kriging (OK) and Universal Kriging (UK)) were used. To find the best method and parameters, sensitivity test was performed for the effective radius, power parameter and variogram model that affect the level of objective analysis. Also, the effect of data distribution characteristics (level of normality) on the performance level of objective analysis was evaluated. IDW showed a relatively high level of objective analysis in terms of bias, RMSE and correlation, and the performance is inversely proportional to the effective radius and power parameter. However, the two Krigings showed relatively low level of objective analysis, in particular, greatly weakened the variability of the variables, although the level of output was different depending on the variogram model used. As the level of objective analysis is greatly influenced by the distribution characteristics of data, power, and models used, care should be taken when selecting objective analysis techniques and parameters.

Kriging 방법을 이용한 2차원 날개 형상 최적설계에 대한 연구 (A Study on 2-D Airfoil Design Optimization by Kriging)

  • 가재도;권장혁
    • 한국전산유체공학회지
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.34-40
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    • 2004
  • Recently with growth in the capability of super computers and Parallel computers, shape design optimization is becoming easible for real problems. Also, Computational Fluid Dynamics(CFD) techniques have been improved for higher reliability and higher accuracy. In the shape design optimization, analysis solvers and optimization schemes are essential. In this work, the Roe's 2nd-order Upwind TVD scheme and DADI time march with multigrid were used for the flow solution with the Euler equation and FDM(Finite Differenciation Method), GA(Genetic Algorithm) and Kriging were used for the design optimization. Kriging were applied to 2-D airfoil design optimization and compared with FDM and GA's results. When Kriging is applied to the nonlinear problems, satisfactory results were obtained. From the result design optimization by Kriging method appeared as good as other methods.

비균질성을 고려한 해성점토매립장의 수리전도도 추정과 오염이동특성 (Prediction of Heterogeneous Hydraulic Conductivity and Contaminant Transport for the Landfill on Marine Clay)

  • 장연수;정상용
    • 한국지반공학회지:지반
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.85-100
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    • 1997
  • 지구 통계학적 방법을 이용하여 수도권 쓰레기 매립지 수리전도도의 비균질성에 대하여 분석하고 오염 이동해석을 실시하였다. 수리전도도는 가압 실내투수시험 자료와 현장 투수시험 자료를 이용하였고 지구통계학적 방법으로는 일반크리깅과 조건부 시뮬레이션 방법을 이용하였다. 그 결과 조건부 시뮬레이션에 의한 수리전도도의 비균질성이 일반크리깅에 의한 것보다 크게 나타났으며 비균질성이 큰 조건부 시뮬레이션에 의하여 구해진 수리전도도 상의 오염물이동성이 일반크리깅에 의하여 구해진 수리전도도 상의 이동 결과 보다 큰 것으로 나타났다.

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Adaptively selected autocorrelation structure-based Kriging metamodel for slope reliability analysis

  • Li, Jing-Ze;Zhang, Shao-He;Liu, Lei-Lei;Wu, Jing-Jing;Cheng, Yung-Ming
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.187-199
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    • 2022
  • Kriging metamodel, as a flexible machine learning method for approximating deterministic analysis models of an engineering system, has been widely used for efficiently estimating slope reliability in recent years. However, the autocorrelation function (ACF), a key input to Kriging that affects the accuracy of reliability estimation, is usually selected based on empiricism. This paper proposes an adaption of the Kriging method, named as Genetic Algorithm optimized Whittle-Matérn Kriging (GAWMK), for addressing this issue. The non-classical two-parameter Whittle-Matérn (WM) function, which can represent different ACFs in the Matérn family by controlling a smoothness parameter, is adopted in GAWMK to avoid subjectively selecting ACFs. The genetic algorithm is used to optimize the WM model to adaptively select the optimal autocorrelation structure of the GAWMK model. Monte Carlo simulation is then performed based on GAWMK for a subsequent slope reliability analysis. Applications to one explicit analytical example and two slope examples are presented to illustrate and validate the proposed method. It is found that reliability results estimated by the Kriging models using randomly chosen ACFs might be biased. The proposed method performs reasonably well in slope reliability estimation.

Kriging Interpolation Methods in Geostatistics and DACE Model

  • Park, Dong-Hoon;Ryu, Je-Seon;Kim, Min-Seo;Cha, Kyung-Joon;Lee, Tae-Hee
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.619-632
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    • 2002
  • In recent study on design of experiments, the complicate metamodeling has been studied because defining exact model using computer simulation is expensive and time consuming. Thus, some designers often use approximate models, which express the relation between some inputs and outputs. In this paper, we review and compare the complicate metamodels, which are expressed by the interaction of various data through trying many physical experiments and running a computer simulation. The prediction model in this paper employs interpolation schemes known as ordinary kriging developed in the fields of spatial statistics and kriging in Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments (DACE) model. We will focus on describing the definitions, the prediction functions and the algorithms of two kriging methods, and assess the error measures of those by using some validation methods.

A FRAMEWORK TO UNDERSTAND THE ASYMPTOTIC PROPERTIES OF KRIGING AND SPLINES

  • Furrer Eva M.;Nychka Douglas W.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.57-76
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    • 2007
  • Kriging is a nonparametric regression method used in geostatistics for estimating curves and surfaces for spatial data. It may come as a surprise that the Kriging estimator, normally derived as the best linear unbiased estimator, is also the solution of a particular variational problem. Thus, Kriging estimators can also be interpreted as generalized smoothing splines where the roughness penalty is determined by the covariance function of a spatial process. We build off the early work by Silverman (1982, 1984) and the analysis by Cox (1983, 1984), Messer (1991), Messer and Goldstein (1993) and others and develop an equivalent kernel interpretation of geostatistical estimators. Given this connection we show how a given covariance function influences the bias and variance of the Kriging estimate as well as the mean squared prediction error. Some specific asymptotic results are given in one dimension for Matern covariances that have as their limit cubic smoothing splines.

A Comparative Study on the Spatial Statistical Models for the Estimation of Population Distribution

  • Oh, Doo-Ri;Hwang, Chul Sue
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.145-153
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to accurately estimate population distribution more specifically than administrative unites using a RK (Regression-Kriging) model. The RK model is the areal interpolation technique that involves linear regression and the Kriging model. In order to estimate a population’s distribution using a sample region, four different models were used, namely; a regression model, RK model, OK (Ordinary Kriging) model and CK (Co-Kriging) model. The results were then compared with each other. Evaluation of the accuracy and validity of evaluation analysis results were the basis RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), MAE (Mean Absolute Error), G statistic and correlation coefficient (ρ). In the sample regions, every statistic value of the RK model showed better results than other models. The results of this comparative study will be useful to estimate a population distribution of the metropolitan areas with high population density

메타모델을 이용한 복합재료 구조물의 최적 설계 (Optimum Design of Composite Structures using Metamodels)

  • 이재훈;강지호;홍창선;김천곤
    • Composites Research
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.36-43
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    • 2003
  • 본 논문에서는 메타모델을 이용한 복합재 구조물의 지적화가 수행되었다. 일반적으로 복합재 구조물에서 시간이 오래 걸리는 해석의 결과를 최적화하고자 할 때 전체 최적화에 많은 시간이 든다. 따라서 이와 같은 구조물 해석을 메타 모델로 치환해 보았다. 본 연구에서는 RSM, kriging과 같은 메타모델을 사용하였다. 복합재 평판의 최종 파손 강도 해석을 메타모델을 이용해 근사화하였다 최종 파손 강도를 최대화하는 최적화를 유전자 알고리즘과 메타로델을 이용해 수행하였다.

금정산 용천수의 물리화학적 성질의 공간적 분포 특성 (Spatial Distribution of the Physicochemical Characteristics of Spring Waters in Mt. Geumjung)

  • 김문수;함세영;김광성;김성이;성익환;이병대
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지하수토양환경학회 2000년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.262-265
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    • 2000
  • In order to estimate spatial physicochemical properties of the spring waters in the study area, spring waters at 57 sites were investigated for measuring ten items (temperature, pH, Eh, EC, TDS, DO, salinity, alkalinity, discharge rate, and surface elevation), To compare each component with one another, regression analysis was carried out. Kriging was used to estimate the spatial characteristics and continuity of data in the study area. To solve kriging equation, the semivariogram was calculated using geostatistical software GS$^{+}$(version 3.1). As a result of semivariogram analysis, the data of nine components but surface elevation could be assumed as stationary random function, and ordinary kriging method was used for making contour maps.s.

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