• Title/Summary/Keyword: joint prediction

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Failure load prediction of mechanically fastened composite joint with the clamping force (클램핑 포스가 존재하는 복합재료 체결부의 파손강도 예측)

  • Ryu, Choong-O;Choi, Jin-Ho;Kweon, Jin-Hwe
    • Composites Research
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.9-14
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    • 2005
  • The design of composite joint is a very important research area because they are often the weakest areas in composite structures. In this paper, the failure load of the mechanically fastened composite joint with the clamping force was predicted by the failure area index method. By the suggested failure area index method, the strength of the mechanically fastened composite joint could be predicted within $22.5\%$ when the clamping force was applied to the composite joint.

Prediction of Durability for RC Columns with Crack and Joint under Carbonation Based on Probabilistic Approach

  • Kwon, Seung-Jun;Na, Ung-Jin
    • International Journal of Concrete Structures and Materials
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2011
  • Carbonation in RC (reinforced concrete) structure is considered as one of the most critical deteriorations in urban cities. Although RC column has one mix condition, carbonation depth is measured spatially differently due to its various environmental and internal conditions such as sound, cracked, and joint concrete. In this paper, field investigation was performed for 27 RC columns subjected to carbonation for eighteen years. Through this investigation, carbonation distribution in sound, cracked, and joint concrete were derived with crack mappings. Considering each related area and calculated PDF (probability of durability failure) of sound, cracked, and joint concrete through Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS), repairing timings for RC columns are derived based on several IPDF (intended probability of durability failure) of 1, 3, and 5%. The technique of equivalent probability including carbonation behaviors which are obtained from different conditions can provide the reasonable repairing strategy and the priority order for repairing in a given traffic service area.

Efficient computational method for joint distributions of heights and periods of nonlinear ocean waves

  • Wang, Yingguang
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.597-605
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    • 2019
  • This paper proposes a novel method for efficient prediction of joint distributions of heights and periods of nonlinear ocean waves. The proposed novel method utilizes a transformed linear simulation which is based on a Hermite transformation model where the transformation is chosen to be a monotonic cubic polynomial, calibrated such that the first four moments of the transformed model match the moments of the true process. This proposed novel method is utilized to predict the joint distributions of wave heights and periods of a sea state with the surface elevation data measured at the Gulfaks C platform in the North Sea, and the novel method's accuracy and efficiency are favorably validated by using comparisons with the results from an empirical joint distribution model, from a linear simulation model and from a second-order nonlinear simulation model.

A Study for Lifespan Prediction of Expansion by Temperature Status (온도상태에 따른 신축관 이음의 수명예측에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Jung-Soo;Lee, Bong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.10
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    • pp.424-429
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    • 2018
  • In this study, an expansion joint that is susceptible to waterhammer was tested for its vibration durability. The operation data for the hydraulic actuator was the expansion length of the expansion joint when the waterhammer occurred. In the case of the vibration durability test, the internal temperature status of the expansion joint was assumed to be a stress factor and a lifespan prediction model was assumed to follow the Arrhenius model. A test was carried out by increasing the internal temperature status at $30^{\circ}C$, $50^{\circ}C$, and $65^{\circ}C$. By a linear transformation of the lifespan data for each temperature, a constant value and activation energy coefficient was induced for the Arrhenius equation and verified by comparing the value of a lifetime prediction model with the experimental value at $85^{\circ}C$. The failure modes of the ongoing or finished test were leakage, bellows separation, and internal deformation. In the future, a composite lifespan prediction model, including two more stress factors, will be developed.

Scoring System for Factors Affecting Aggravation of Lumbar Disc Herniation

  • Lee, Sung Wook;Kim, Sang Yoon;Lee, Jee Young
    • Investigative Magnetic Resonance Imaging
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.18-25
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: To investigate the various imaging factors associated with aggravation of lumbar disc herniation (LDH) and develop a scoring system for prediction of LDH aggravation. Materials and Methods: From 2015 to 2017, we retrospectively reviewed the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings of 60 patients (30 patients with aggravated LDH and 30 patients without any altered LDH). Imaging factors for MRI evaluation included the level of LDH, disc degeneration, back muscle atrophy, facet joint degeneration, ligamentum flavum thickness and interspinous ligament degeneration. Flexion-extension difference was measured with simple radiography. The scoring system was analyzed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Results: The aggravated group manifested a higher grade of disc degeneration, back muscle atrophy and facet degeneration than the control group. The ligamentum flavum thickness in the aggravated group was thicker than in the group with unaltered LDH. The summation score was defined as the sum of the grade of disc degeneration, back muscle atrophy and facet joint degeneration. The area under the ROC curve showing the threshold value of the summation score for prediction of aggravation of LDH was 0.832 and the threshold value corresponded to 6.5. Conclusion: Disc degeneration, facet degeneration, back muscle atrophy and ligamentum flavum thickness are important factors in predicting aggravation of LDH and may facilitate the determination of treatment strategy in patients with LDH. The summation score is available as supplemental data.

Development of a Decision Support System for Turbid Water Management through Joint Dam Operation

  • Kim, Jeong-Kon;Ko, Ick-Hwan;Yoo, Yang-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2007
  • In this study we developed a turbidity management system to support the operation for effective turbid water management. The decision-making system includes various models for prediction of turbid water inflow, effective reservoir operation using the selective withdrawal facility, analysis of turbid water discharge in the downstream. The system is supported by the intensive monitoring devices installed in the upstream rivers, reservoirs, and downstream rivers. SWAT and HSPF models were constructed to predict turbid water flows in the Imha and Andong catchments. CE-QUAL-W2 models were constructed for turbid water behavior prediction, and various analyses were conducted to examine the effects of the selective withdrawal operation for efficient high turbid water discharge, turbid water distribution under differing amount and locations of turbid water discharge. A 1-dimensional dynamic water quality model was built using Ko-Riv1 for simulation of turbidity propagation in the downstream of the reservoirs, and 2-dimensional models were developed to investigate the mixing phenomena of two waters discharged from the Andong and Imha reservoirs with different temperature and turbidity conditions during joint dam operation for reducing the impacts of turbid water.

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Multivariate GARCH and Its Application to Bivariate Time Series

  • Choi, M.S.;Park, J.A.;Hwang, S.Y.
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.915-925
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    • 2007
  • Multivariate GARCH has been useful to model dynamic relationships between volatilities arising from each component series of multivariate time series. Methodologies including EWMA(Exponentially weighted moving-average model), DVEC(Diagonal VEC model), BEKK and CCC(Constant conditional correlation model) models are comparatively reviewed for bivariate time series. In addition, these models are applied to evaluate VaR(Value at Risk) and to construct joint prediction region. To illustrate, bivariate stock prices data consisting of Samsung Electronics and LG Electronics are analysed.

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Failure Prediction of Composite Single Lap Bonded Joints (복합재료 Single Lap 접합 조인트의 파손 예측)

  • Kim Kwang-Soo;Jang Young-Soon;Yi Yeong-Moo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society For Composite Materials Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.73-77
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    • 2004
  • Failure predictions of composite single-lap bonded joints were performed considering both of composite adherend failure and bondline failure. An elastic-perfectly plastic model of adhesive and a delamination failure criterion are used. The failure prediction results such as failure mode and strength have very good agreements with the test results of joint specimens with various bonding methods and parameters. The influence of variations in the effective strength (that is, adhesion performance) and plastic behavior of adhesive on the failure characteristics of composite bonded joints are investigated numerically. The numerical results show that optimal joint strength is archived when adhesive and delamination failure occur in the same time.

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Modeling on Expansion Behavior of Gwangan Bridge using Machine Learning Techniques and Structural Monitoring Data (머신러닝 기법과 계측 모니터링 데이터를 이용한 광안대교 신축거동 모델링)

  • Park, Ji Hyun;Shin, Sung Woo;Kim, Soo Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.42-49
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we have developed a prediction model for expansion and contraction behaviors of expansion joint in Gwangan Bridge using machine learning techniques and bridge monitoring data. In the development of the prediction model, two famous machine learning techniques, multiple regression analysis (MRA) and artificial neural network (ANN), were employed. Structural monitoring data obtained from bridge monitoring system of Gwangan Bridge were used to train and validate the developed models. From the results, it was found that the expansion and contraction behaviors predicted by the developed models are matched well with actual expansion and contraction behaviors of Gwangan Bridge. Therefore, it can be concluded that both MRA and ANN models can be used to predict the expansion and contraction behaviors of Gwangan Bridge without actual measurements of those behaviors.

A Study for Joint Freezing in Concrete Pavement (콘크리트포장의 줄눈의 잠김에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Woo
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.3 no.1 s.7
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    • pp.165-176
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    • 2001
  • Joints in jointed concrete Pavement are designed to control against randomly occurred cracks within slabs, which may be caused by temperature or moisture variation. The advantage of these artificial cracks (joints) over naturally occurred cracks are easy access of protections, such as installation of joint seal and load transfer mechanism. The potential benefits of joint seals are to prevent infiltration of surface water through the joint into underlying soil and intrusion of incompressible materials (debris, fine size aggregate) in to the joint, which may prevent weakening of underlying soils and spallings due to excessive compressive stress, respectively. For the adequate design of joint seal, horizontal variation of joint widths (horizontal joint movements) are essential inputs. Based on long-term in-situ joint movement data of sixteen jointed concrete pavement sections in Long Term Performance Pavement Seasonal Monitoring Program (LTPP SMP), it was indicated that considerable Portion of joints showed no horizontal movements with change in temperature. This Phenomenon is called 'Joint Freezing'. Possible cause for joint freezing is that designed penetrated cracks do not occur at a joint. In this study, a model for the prediction of the ratio of freezing joints in a particular pavement sections is proposed. In addition, possible effects of joint freezing against pavement performance are addressed.

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