• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.51 no.3
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• pp.894-903
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• 2019

An approach for collapse risk assessment is proposed to evaluate the vulnerability of electric cabinet in nuclear power plants. The lognormal approaches, namely maximum likelihood estimation and linear regression, are introduced to establish the fragility curves. These two fragility analyses are applied for the numerical models of cabinets considering various boundary conditions, which are expressed by representing restrained and anchored models at the base. The models have been built and verified using the system identification (SI) technique. The fundamental frequency of the electric cabinet is sensitive because of many attached devices. To bypass this complex problem, the average spectral acceleration $S_{\bar{a}}$ in the range of period that cover the first mode period is chosen as an intensity measure on the fragility function. The nonlinear time history analyses for cabinet are conducted using a suite of 40 ground motions. The obtained curves with different approaches are compared, and the variability of risk assessment is evaluated for restrained and anchored models. The fragility curves obtained for anchored model are found to be closer each other, compared to the fragility curves for restrained model. It is also found that the support boundary conditions played a significant role in acceleration response of cabinet.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.51 no.2
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• pp.607-617
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• 2019

Global warming and climate change are increasing the intensity of typhoons and hurricanes and thus increasing the risk effects of typhoon and hurricane hazards on nuclear power plants (NPPs). To reflect these changes, a new NPP should be designed to endure design-basis hurricane wind speeds corresponding to an exceedance frequency of $10^{-7}/yr$. However, the short typhoon and hurricane observation records and uncertainties included in the inputs for an estimation cause significant uncertainty in the estimated wind speeds for return periods of longer than 100,000 years. A logic-tree framework is introduced to handle the epistemic uncertainty when estimating wind speeds. Three key parameters of a typhoon wind field model, i.e., the central pressure difference, pressure profile parameter, and radius to maximum wind, are used for constructing logic tree branches. The wind speeds of the simulated typhoons and the probable maximum wind speeds are estimated using Monte Carlo simulations, and wind hazard curves are derived as a function of the annual exceedance probability or return period. A logic tree decreases the epistemic uncertainty included in the wind intensity models and provides reasonably acceptable wind speeds.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.8 no.7
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• pp.341-348
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• 2021

The aim of this study is to fill gaps in emerging empirical evidence and negative electronic word of mouth (NeWOM) in repurchase intention (RI) moderated by the roles of social network sites (SNS) and company mitigation response (CMR). This type of research is descriptive. The sample used in this study is online consumers who buy energy drinks, based on the questionnaire obtained by 145 respondents. Based on the results of testing the estimation of the structural equation model, it was found that the negative variable brand experience sharing had no significant effect on NeWOM; the negative variable electronic reviews had a significant effect on the electronic word of mouth variable, the negative variable electronic reviews had a significant effect on the negative electronic variable word of mouth, the variable intensity of the use of social networking sites can strengthen the direction of the causal influence between the negative variables sharing brand experiences on negative electronic words of mouth. The variable social networking sites usage intensity can strengthen the direction of the effect of causality between negative electronic review variables on negative electronic word of mouth, the negative brand experience sharing variable does not have a significant effect on the repurchase intention variable.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.275-275
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• 2023

기후변화는 우리의 현실로 다가와 있지만 기후변화로 인해 어떠한 일이 벌어질 것인지는 정확하게 알 수 없는 문제가 있다. 특히 호우의 강도와 지속시간 등은 수문설계에 영향을 미치는 주요한 인자 임에도 불구하고 과학적이고 합리적인 추론이 쉽지 않다. 본 논문에서는 일본에서 대규모 기후 앙상블 모의실험 기반으로 생성된 d4PDF(Data for Policy Decision Making for Future Change)자료 중 시간 단위의 강수앙상블 모의 자료를 이용하여 기상청 서울지점의 강우강도-지속시간-생기빈도 곡선(Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curve; IDF 곡선)의 변화를 추정해 보았다. 이를 위하여 대용량의 자료를 확보하고 서울지점에서의 과거 50년간의 실측자료와 동일기간의 모의자료에 대한 연최대치 계열에 분위사상법을 적용하여 모의자료의 계통적 오차를 소거할 수 있는 함수를 추정하고 이를 이용하여 미래 시나리오에 적용함으로써 지구평균기온 상승에 대응하는 서울관측지점의 IDF 곡선을 추정하여 제시하였다. 추정 결과의 내용은 다양한 요소에 의해 영향을 받는 미래 기후에 대한 내용이라 신뢰성의 평가가 어렵지만 기존의 강우강도에 일률적으로 위험률을 곱하는 방식보다는 좀 더 합리적인 방법이라 생각되며 향후 수문설계 등에 고려될 수도 있을 것이다.

• International Journal of Korean Welding Society
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• v.4 no.1
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• pp.38-45
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• 2004

A practical method for evaluating the possibility of the occurrence of cracking in actual thick-plate T-joint weldments is presented in this study. Systematic experitrients based on the method of the design of experiment are conducted in order to investigate the crack tendency in relation to typical welding parameters such as diffusible hydrogen, restraint intensity, preheating temperature and so on. The elastic analysis using the fmite element techniques is employed to quantify the restraint intensities of the specimens. The defined restraint intensities are treated in numerical way for the sake of considering the most uncertain factor among some major factors that govern the cracking phenomena due to welding. The critical plane for judgment of the crack occurrence or crack density is presented as a function of typical welding parameters including determined restraint intensities. The results of numerical estimation by the proposed method for the experimental specimens show the usefulness as a practical tool in welding induced crack problem having extensive uncertainties.

• Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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• v.44 no.6
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• pp.991-997
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• 2011

Soil erosion and sediment has been known as one of pollutants causing water quality degradation in water bodies. With global warming issues worldwide, various soil erosion studies have been performed. Although on-site monitoring of sediment loss would be an ideal method to evaluate soil erosion condition, modeling approaches have been utilized to estimate soil erosion and to evaluate various best management practices on soil erosion reduction. Although the USLE has been used in soil erosion estimation for the last 40 years, the USLE model has limitations in estimating event-based soil erosion reflecting rainfall intensity and rainfall duration for long-term period. Thus, the calibrated model, capable of simulating soil erosion using hourly rainfall data, was utilized in this study to evaluate the effects of rainfall amount and rainfall intensity on soil erosion. It was found that USLE soil erosion value is $3.06ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, while soil erosion values from 2006~2010 were $2.469ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, $0.882ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, $1.489ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, $2.158ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, $1.602ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, respectively. Especially, soil erosion from single storm event for 2008-2010 would be responsible for 30% or more of annual soil loss. As shown in this study, hourly soil erosion estimation system would provide more detailed output from the study area. In addition, the effects of rainfall intensity on soil erosion could be evaluated with this system.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.11 no.4
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• pp.1239-1247
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• 2010

In this paper, we were researched decision problem called an optimal release policies after testing a software system in development phase and transferring it to the user. The applied model of release time exploited infinite failure non-homogeneous Poisson process This infinite failure non-homogeneous Poisson process is a model which reflects the possibility of introducing new faults when correcting or modifying the software. The intensity function used Gompertz, Preto and Log-logstic pattern which has the efficient various property. Thus, optimal software release policies which minimize a total average software cost of development and maintenance under the constraint of satisfying a software reliability requirement becomes an optimal release policies. In a numerical example, after trend test applied and estimated the parameters using maximum likelihood estimation of inter-failure time data, estimated software optimal release time.

• Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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• v.23 no.6
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• pp.659-667
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• 2011

Wind tunnels tests have been evaluating wind load estimation by discussing the most important design elements in very tall buildings. Such tests have some uncertainties, however, with respect to the data of the reduced model and the calculated empirical values. In contrast, CFD analysis can simulate the actual scale and shorten the time of simulation. Nevertheless, the utilization of CFD analysis is negligible because of its low reliability. In this paper, the reliability of CFD analysis will be proven by comparing the results of a wind tunnel test and CFD analysis for the prototype models shown in previous studies. The effect of the turbulence intensity on the reliability is also presented.

• 한국해양학회지
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.108-116
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• 1991

A production model was constructed by combining the production rate and biomass of Sargassum confusum measured at monthly intervals on the coast of Ohori, Korea, to estimate the algal production for a given period. The production for a certain period, e.g., for a year (P/SUB yr/), was calculated from the equation: P/SUB yr/ = .int.P/SUB t/$.$B/SUB t/dt, where pl and Bl are the production rate and biomass at time t. P/SUB l/ was considered as a function of temperature and light. Photosynthesis-Irradiance curves obtained from the in situ experiments were applied for P/SUB l/ Temperature and light intensity can be expressed as periodic functions of time (T, L=f(t)). Diurnal values of water temperature and light intensity at 3 m depth where S. confusum mainly found were substituted into the equation of P/SUB l/. Simulations using our models show that temperature was one of the most sensitive factors operating on the primary production. Thirty percent decrease of light intensity by cloud cover was estimated to decrease the annual production by 5%.

• Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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• v.33 no.1
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• pp.3-16
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• 2017

This paper analyzed 16 regional total factor energy efficiency (TFEE) of the Korean manufacturing sector using data envelopment analysis method for the period of 2005-2013. According to the empirical results, it is necessary to use TFEE as well as partial energy efficiency defined by the ratio of energy usage to output (energy intensity) when we compare energy efficiency. Secondly, TFEE in the Korean manufacturing sector is quite different across 16 regions. For example, Gangwon province should improve energy efficiency by 55% compared to Seoul, Gwangju, Ulsan, and Gyeongbuk which are located on production frontier. Furthermore, the estimation of panel tobit regression model showed that the higher non fossil fuel using, the higher production share of large-sized firms, the lower energy intensity, and the lower capital-labor ratio could have positive effect on TFEE.