• Title/Summary/Keyword: information system development methodology

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Dynamics of Technology Adoption in Markets Exhibiting Network Effects

  • Hur, Won-Chang
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.127-140
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    • 2010
  • The benefit that a consumer derives from the use of a good often depends on the number of other consumers purchasing the same goods or other compatible items. This property, which is known as network externality, is significant in many IT related industries. Over the past few decades, network externalities have been recognized in the context of physical networks such as the telephone and railroad industries. Today, as many products are provided as a form of system that consists of compatible components, the appreciation of network externality is becoming increasingly important. Network externalities have been extensively studied among economists who have been seeking to explain new phenomena resulting from rapid advancements in ICT (Information and Communication Technology). As a result of these efforts, a new body of theories for 'New Economy' has been proposed. The theoretical bottom-line argument of such theories is that technologies subject to network effects exhibit multiple equilibriums and will finally lock into a monopoly with one standard cornering the entire market. They emphasize that such "tippiness" is a typical characteristic in such networked markets, describing that multiple incompatible technologies rarely coexist and that the switch to a single, leading standard occurs suddenly. Moreover, it is argued that this standardization process is path dependent, and the ultimate outcome is unpredictable. With incomplete information about other actors' preferences, there can be excess inertia, as consumers only moderately favor the change, and hence are themselves insufficiently motivated to start the bandwagon rolling, but would get on it once it did start to roll. This startup problem can prevent the adoption of any standard at all, even if it is preferred by everyone. Conversely, excess momentum is another possible outcome, for example, if a sponsoring firm uses low prices during early periods of diffusion. The aim of this paper is to analyze the dynamics of the adoption process in markets exhibiting network effects by focusing on two factors; switching and agent heterogeneity. Switching is an important factor that should be considered in analyzing the adoption process. An agent's switching invokes switching by other adopters, which brings about a positive feedback process that can significantly complicate the adoption process. Agent heterogeneity also plays a important role in shaping the early development of the adoption process, which has a significant impact on the later development of the process. The effects of these two factors are analyzed by developing an agent-based simulation model. ABM is a computer-based simulation methodology that can offer many advantages over traditional analytical approaches. The model is designed such that agents have diverse preferences regarding technology and are allowed to switch their previous choice. The simulation results showed that the adoption processes in a market exhibiting networks effects are significantly affected by the distribution of agents and the occurrence of switching. In particular, it is found that both weak heterogeneity and strong network effects cause agents to start to switch early and this plays a role of expediting the emergence of 'lock-in.' When network effects are strong, agents are easily affected by changes in early market shares. This causes agents to switch earlier and in turn speeds up the market's tipping. The same effect is found in the case of highly homogeneous agents. When agents are highly homogeneous, the market starts to tip toward one technology rapidly, and its choice is not always consistent with the populations' initial inclination. Increased volatility and faster lock-in increase the possibility that the market will reach an unexpected outcome. The primary contribution of this study is the elucidation of the role of parameters characterizing the market in the development of the lock-in process, and identification of conditions where such unexpected outcomes happen.

Using GA based Input Selection Method for Artificial Neural Network Modeling Application to Bankruptcy Prediction (유전자 알고리즘을 활용한 인공신경망 모형 최적입력변수의 선정: 부도예측 모형을 중심으로)

  • 홍승현;신경식
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.227-249
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    • 2003
  • Prediction of corporate failure using past financial data is a well-documented topic. Early studies of bankruptcy prediction used statistical techniques such as multiple discriminant analysis, logit and probit. Recently, however, numerous studies have demonstrated that artificial intelligence such as neural networks can be an alternative methodology for classification problems to which traditional statistical methods have long been applied. In building neural network model, the selection of independent and dependent variables should be approached with great care and should be treated as model construction process. Irrespective of the efficiency of a teaming procedure in terms of convergence, generalization and stability, the ultimate performance of the estimator will depend on the relevance of the selected input variables and the quality of the data used. Approaches developed in statistical methods such as correlation analysis and stepwise selection method are often very useful. These methods, however, may not be the optimal ones for the development of neural network model. In this paper, we propose a genetic algorithms approach to find an optimal or near optimal input variables fur neural network modeling. The proposed approach is demonstrated by applications to bankruptcy prediction modeling. Our experimental results show that this approach increases overall classification accuracy rate significantly.

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Vulnerability Assessment for Forest Ecosystem to Climate Change Based on Spatio-temporal Information (시공간 정보기반 산림 생태계의 기후변화 취약성 평가)

  • Byun, Jung-Yeon;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Choi, Sung-Ho;Oh, Su-Hyun;Yoo, Seong-Jin;Kwon, Tae-Sung;Sung, Joo-Han;Woo, Jae-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.159-169
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to assess the vulnerability of forest ecosystem to climate change in South Korea using socio-environmental indicators and the results of two vegetation models named as Hydrological and Thermal Analogy Group(HyTAG), and MAPSS-Century 1(MC1). The changing frequency and direction of biome types estimated by HyTAG model was used for quantifying sensitivity and adaptive capacity of forest distribution. Similarly, the variation and changing tendency of net primary production and soil carbon storage estimated by MC1 model was used for quantifying sensitivity and adaptive capacity of forest function. As socio-environmental indicators, many statistical data such as financial autonomy rate and the number of forestry officer was prepared. All indicators were standardized, and then calculated using the vulnerability assessment equation. The period of vulnerability assessment was divided into the past(1971-2000) and the future(2021-2050). To understand what policy has a priority to climate change, distribution maps of each indicators was depicted and the vulnerability results were compared among administrative districts. Evident differences could be found in entire study area. These differences were mostly derived from regionalspecific adaptive capacity. The result and methodology of this study would be helpful for the development of decision-making supporting system and policy making in forest management with respect to climate change.

Development of Performance Indices for Agro-food Distribution Corporations Based on the AHP Method (AHP기법을 이용한 농식품 유통법인 경영진단지표 개발)

  • Kim, Dong-Hwan;Hyun, Jong-Ki
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.15 no.12
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2017
  • Purpose - This study aims to develop diagnostic indices for managerial performance of agro-food distribution corporations. In particular, weights of diagnostic indices were estimated using the AHP method. Management diagnosis on agro-food distribution corporations is expected to increase their competitiveness in the domestic market as well as in international markets. Research design, data, and methodology - It develops weights or importance of the diagnostic indices based upon the survey of 21 experts in food distribution management. The survey was carried out using e-mail. Management diagnostic indices were developed based upon four BSC(Balanced Scorecard) perspectives of finance, learning/growth/leadership, customer, and internal process/technology. Results - Diagnostic indices on financial perspective consist on profitability, productivity, growth, stability and activity. Learning and leadership perspective indices consist of management will, CEO leadership, level of learning, innovation, and level of management information system. Customer perspective indices are branding, customer and channel management and internal process/technology indices consist of fourteen sub-indices representing technologies, efficiency, and dynamics. It was estimated that the weight of financial perspective index was 0.3, internal process/technology perspective index 0.248, customer category index 0.247, and learning, growth and leadership perspective index 0.205. This study also estimates weights of sub-indices for managerial diagnosis by four different perspectives. Estimated weight of profitability (0.085) is the greatest among financial perspective indices, followed by stability (0.072), growth (0.053), productivity (0.051), and activity (0.038). While estimated weights of leadership, capability, and information indices are 0.100, 0.061, and 0.044 respectively, weights of marketing, customer management, and quality and service indices are 0.104, 0.093, and 0.051, respectively. Among internal process/technology perspective, estimated weights of efficiency, technology, and innovation indices are 0.106, 0.088, and 0.054, respectively. Conclusions - The diagnostic indices for managerial performance of agro-food distribution corporations would be utilized by agro-food distribution corporations themselves, extension service institutions, and consultants. It is also expected that central and local governments use diagnostic indices developed in this study for the purpose of evaluating the effects of governmental support programs for agro-food distribution corporations. Futhermore researchers and consultants would modify diagnostic indices developed in this study, reflecting characteristics and situation of types of agro-food distribution corporations.

Program Analysis Activities for Development of Componentization Methodology for of Legacy System (레가시 시스템의 컴포넌트화 방법론 개발을 위한 프로그램 분석 활동)

  • Cha, Jung-Eun;Kim, Cheol-Hong;Yang, Young-Jong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2002.11c
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    • pp.2119-2122
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    • 2002
  • 기업의 비즈니스 프로세스가 복잡, 다양해짐에 따라, 현재 운영 시스템에 대한 급격한 기술적 변화를 수용하고 이를 조직적 측면의 기업 프로세스로 적용하기 위해 레가시 시스템의 현대화가 요구된다. 따라서, 현재의 기업들은 다양한 사용자들이 각자 그들의 관점에서 필요한 비즈니스 요구들을 웹 상에서 처리시킬 수 있도록 J2EE, .NET 등으로 대표되는 컴포넌트 및 웹 서비스 기술을 적용한 새로운 e-business 환경을 수용해야만 한다. 하지만, 기업 조직의 중요한 지식과 프로세스들을 처리하는 시스템들은 대부분 과거(Legacy)의 기술에 의해 개발되어졌으며, 이러한 시스템들을 새로운 비즈니스 환경에 적용하기에는 웹 환경을 위한 분산 아키텍쳐의 결여와 개방성과 표준화 미흡으로 시스템의 유지보수에 많은 어려움을 가진다. 또한, 방법론 차원에서 재공학의 절차와 기법을 체계적으로 정의하고 지원하기 위한 노력이 매우 부족한 실정이다. 본 논문에서는 레거시 시스템을 새로운 시스템 환경으로의 변환 및 통합을 위한 재공학 방법론 개발을 목적으로 프로그램 분석 활동을 설명한다. 본 논문에서 개발하고자 하는 방법론은 다양한 추상화 수준에서 역공학 정보를 복구하고, 컴포넌트화 단계를 통해 새로운 시스템으로 진화할 수 있는 절차 및 기법들을 제공한다. 레거시 시스템 컴포넌트화 방법론은 변환계획 단계, 역공학 단계, 컴포넌트화 단계, 인도 단계의 4 단계로 구성되어 있으며, 본 논문에서는 전체 단계 중 가장 기초가 되고 중요한 단계인 역공학 단계에 초점을 두고 프로그램 분석을 위한 절차 및 과정의 주요 지침들을 제시한다.0보다 유의적으로 우수하였으며, 맛, 다즙성 및 전체적인 기호도는 TMR-0 및 TMR-1 사이에 유의성이 없었다(p<0.05).能性)을 알아보고자 본(本) 실험(實驗)을 실시(實施)한 결과(結果), 유의성(有意性) 있는 결과(結果)를 얻었기에 보고(報告)하는 바이다.또한 이들 상피세포(上皮細胞)들을 투과전자현미경적(透過電子顯微鏡的)으로 관찰(觀察)하였을 때 초미세구조(超微細構造)가 잘 보존(保存)되었으나 Langer-hans cell내(內)의 Birbeck granule은 유리전(遊離前) 피부상피조직내(皮膚上皮組織內)의 Langerhans cell내(內)의 Birbeck granule에 비(比)해 수적(數的)으로 현저히 감소(減少)되어 있었다. 그러나 Thy-1 양성(陽性) dendritic cell에서 볼 수 있는 dense-core 과립(顆粒)은 별변화(別變化)없이 쉽게 관찰(觀察)될 수 있었다. 조직배양(組織培養)을 한 견(犬)의 keratinocyte에 대(對)해 사람 pemphigus vulgaris의 항체(抗體)로 반응(反應)시킨 후 protein-A gold(15 nm)로 표식(標識)시킨 바 제일 바깥 상층(上層)의 keratinocyte에 있어서 세포막표면(細胞膜表面)을 따라 표식(標識)되어 세포막항원(細胞膜抗元)을 나타내었으며, 이와 같은 소견(所見)으로 미루어 정상피부(正常皮膚) 중층편평상피세포(重層扁平上皮細胞)에서도 동일(同一)한 소견(所見)을 관찰(觀察)할 수 있다고 본다.al remnants, Resorption of fetus로 관찰된 것이다. Fetal death는 수정후

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An Empirical Study on the Adoption of Technology Acceptance Model in The Port Logistics Service (항만 물류서비스의 기술수용모델(TAM) 적용에 관한 실증적 연구)

  • Lee, Je-Hong
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.13-35
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    • 2011
  • The advancement of the information technology provides a wide range of corporate to cope with new business environments that are different in size, life and operation conditions. The Research methodology used in this study is Technology Acceptance Model. The Study Method are mainly survey and questionnaire. The major result of article can be summarized. Its are as the follows: This paper ware investigated the determinants of 'port service quality', 'perceived usefulness', 'perceived ease of use', 'utilization intention', 'practice use'. There are 400 sended samples and 150 returns, 173 of them are analyzed on a port utilization using TAM model. 1. The Port service quality are found to have a positive effect to 'perceived usefulness', 'perceived ease of use', 'utilization intention' 2. The perceived ease of use are found to have a positive effect to 'perceived usefulness', 'utilization intention' 3. The perceived usefulness is found to be positively related to 'utilization intention' 4. The utilization intention is found to have a positive effect to ''practice use' we hove to provide useful contribution to increase the Korea ports' competitiveness in introduction of port information system. In addition, in order to port development offer some insight in further research.

The Impact of the Mobile Application on Off-Line Market: Case in Call Taxi and Kakao Taxi (모바일 어플리케이션이 오프라인 시장에 미치는 영향: 콜택시와 카카오택시를 중심으로)

  • Kyeongjin Lee;Jaehong Park
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.141-154
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    • 2016
  • Mobile application is growing explosively with the advent of a new technology: smartphones. Mobile application is a new marketing channel and performs as a start-up platform. This study examines the effect of mobile application on the off-line market. Despite the continuous declining demand for taxi service, paradoxically, the supply of taxi service has increased. The taxi industry can be categorized into general taxi and call taxi. General taxi is accidental and inefficient because it has to search for its own passenger. As call taxi takes the request of a passenger, it is more efficient than general taxi. However, the current defective passenger-taxi driver matching system and insufficient taxi driver management hinder the development of the call taxi market. Differences in differences (DID) is an econometrical methodology that examines whether or not an event has meaningful influence. This research uses DID to investigate the effect of the Kakao taxi application on the call taxi industry. Furthermore, it examines the effect of major companies' reckless diversification, which is considered unethical behavior. The passengers of call taxi data from August 2014 to July 2015 and those of designated driving service data of the same period were collected as the control group.

Analysis of the Research Trend and Developmental Direction against the VDS Data (차량검지기 자료 관련 연구동향 분석 및 발전방향)

  • Kim, Han-Soo;Park, Dong-Joo;Shin, Seung-Jin;Beck, Seung-Kirl;NamKoong, Sung
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.6 no.1 s.12
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2007
  • A VDS data in the domestic has been used within limits to real time information such as congestion management, incident management, and route guidance service. On the other hand, a VDS data in the foreign countries had been used to various objectives such as transportation policy assessment, transportation construction evaluation, franc safety improvement, and etc. The scope and method of the study is the VDS data which was installed in the uninterrupted flow such as the freeway and the interrupted flow in a diversion route of the leeway. It has investigated and analyzed the VDS as our subject to study, study objective and study methodology for each study generally classified as 1) data collection 2) data processing 3) data store and 4) data quality section. This study has investigated and analyzed the various literatures in domestic and foreign countries regarding the VDS data. And It drew the development direction of the study which is about VDS data in domestic from now.

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Development of Safety Performance Functions and Level of Service of Safety on National Roads Using Traffic Big Data (교통 빅데이터를 이용한 전국 도로 안전성능함수 및 안전등급 개발 연구)

  • Kwon, Kenan;Park, Sangmin;Jeong, Harim;Kwon, Cheolwoo;Yun, Ilsoo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.34-48
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was two-fold; first, to develop safety performance functions (SPF) using transportation-related big data for all types of roads in Korea were developed, Second, to provide basic information to develop measures for relatively dangerous roads by evaluating the safety grade for various roads based on it. The coordinates of traffic accident data are used to match roads across the country based on the national standard node and link system. As independent variables, this study effort uses link length, the number of traffic volume data from ViewT established by the Korea Transport Research Institute, and the number of dangerous driving behaviors based on the digital tachograph system installed on commercial vehicles. Based on the methodology and result of analysis used in this study, it is expected that the transportation safety improvement projects can be properly selected, and the effects can be clearly monitored and quantified.

A Methodology of AI Learning Model Construction for Intelligent Coastal Surveillance (해안 경계 지능화를 위한 AI학습 모델 구축 방안)

  • Han, Changhee;Kim, Jong-Hwan;Cha, Jinho;Lee, Jongkwan;Jung, Yunyoung;Park, Jinseon;Kim, Youngtaek;Kim, Youngchan;Ha, Jeeseung;Lee, Kanguk;Kim, Yoonsung;Bang, Sungwan
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2022
  • The Republic of Korea is a country in which coastal surveillance is an imperative national task as it is surrounded by seas on three sides under the confrontation between South and North Korea. However, due to Defense Reform 2.0, the number of R/D (Radar) operating personnel has decreased, and the period of service has also been shortened. Moreover, there is always a possibility that a human error will occur. This paper presents specific guidelines for developing an AI learning model for the intelligent coastal surveillance system. We present a three-step strategy to realize the guidelines. The first stage is a typical stage of building an AI learning model, including data collection, storage, filtering, purification, and data transformation. In the second stage, R/D signal analysis is first performed. Subsequently, AI learning model development for classifying real and false images, coastal area analysis, and vulnerable area/time analysis are performed. In the final stage, validation, visualization, and demonstration of the AI learning model are performed. Through this research, the first achievement of making the existing weapon system intelligent by applying the application of AI technology was achieved.