• Title/Summary/Keyword: incidence estimation

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Estimation of Incidence Rate and Factors Related to Occurrence of Traumatic Spinal Cord Injury in Seoul (서울지역 외상성 척수손상환자의 발생률 추정 및 발생관련요인)

  • Chung, Nak-Su;Chung, Chee-Kyung;Lee, Won-Chul
    • Physical Therapy Korea
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 1999
  • For the purpose of disclosing estimated annual incidence rate and causative factors of traumatic spinal cord injury and obtaining basic data for the establishment of effective measures to prevent this injury, the medical record of 204 cases of Seoul residents with spinal cord injury which admitted in 46 general hospitals and National rehabilitation center located in Seoul, including Sam Yook Rehabilitation Center and Jung Ang Hospital in Kyungi do and occurred in 1995 were analyzed. The results were as follows: 1) The estimated annual incidence rate of traumatic spinal cord injury in 1995 of Seoul residents was 20.5 per million population. This incidence rate was the highest in the 40th years (34.1), followed by in the 50th years (26.5) and in the 20th years (25.6) in descending order. 2) The incidence rate ratio between male and female was 3.5:1. 3) The leading cause of injury was the highest in traffic accidents (42.2%), followed by falls from elevation (29.4%) and falls on the same level (9.8%). 4) Traffic accident mainly occured from 20th years to 40th years and falls from elevation in 50th years. 5) The level of spinal cord injury was the highest in cervical cord (63.2%), followed by the thoracic cord (21.1%) and lumbosacral cord (15.7%). Traffic accidents mainly caused in cervical cord injury whereas thoracic cord injury and lumbosacral cord injury were caused from falls from elevation. Above theconsiderations in mind, it suggested that in order to prevent traumatic spinal cord injuries, safety education of falls from elevation should be focused on the 20th years and 50th years male, moreover safety education of traffic accidents will be needed in the 30th years and 40th years male.

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Nationwide incidence estimation of colorectal cancer by subsite of origin in Korea (한국인에서 대장-직장암의 해부학적 부위별 발생률 조사)

  • Park, B.J.;Lee, M.S.;Ahn, Y.O.;Heo, D.S.;Kim, D.H.;Kim, H.;Yew, H.S.;Park, T.S.
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.29 no.3 s.54
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    • pp.555-563
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    • 1996
  • Nationwide incidence survey was conducted to estimate the annual incidence rates of colorectal cancer among Koreans between Jan 1, 1988 and Dec 31, 1989. The population of the incidence survey was the beneficiaries of Korea Medical Insurance Corporation (KMIC), which were about 4,500,000 persons. The medical records of patients with diagnosis of either ICD-9 153(colon cancer), 154(rectal caner), 197(secondary malignant neoplasm of digestive and respiratory system), or 211(benign neoplasm of digestive system) were abstracted for the period with the standard format. The diagnosis was confirmed by one oncologist through the review of these abstracts. The numerator of the rate was finally defined as the incident colorectal cancer cases diagnosed between July 1, 1988 and June 30, 1989. The crude annual incidence of colorectal cancer for men was 13.1 per 100,000 and 10.6 for women, which was still low when compared with those of Japan and China during the same period. Age-adjusted sex ratio was 1.2 for right-sided colon cancer and 1.9 for left-sided colon cancer. The excess of right colon cancer among postmenopausal women was remarkable, so further analytical approach would be needed to investigate which factors are related with this phenomenon.

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Estimating Infection Distribution and Prevalence of Malaria in South Korea Using a Back-calculation Formula (후향연산식을 활용한 국내 삼일열 말라리아의 감염분포와 유병자수 추정)

  • Jang, Hyun-Gap;Park, Jeong-Soo;Jun, Mi-Jeong;Rhee, Jeong-Ae;Kim, Han-Me-Ury
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.901-910
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    • 2008
  • Incidence of Plasmodium vivax malaria in South Korea have been reemerged from mid-1990 and infected around 1600 patients annually recent years. The authors calculated the distribution of malaria infection and prevalence in South Korea using incidence (2001-2006) and incubation period distributions by a back-calculation formula and the least squares estimation method. The estimated infection has a normal distribution with a mean 207 and a standard deviation 30.7 days. In addition, the authors found the estimated daily average prevalence is 628.8 patients.

A Study on Estimation Method for Physical Properties of Sound Absorbing Materials (다공성 재료의 물리적 성질 추정 방법에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Yoon-Jae;Kang, Yeon-June;Kim, Jung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2005.11b
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    • pp.118-121
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    • 2005
  • The acoustical performance of porous materials is determined by their seven or more macroscopic physical properties. However, it is not easy to measure all these properties in many cases. Furthermore, the measurement is compels engineers to spend much times. The effect of each property on the normal incidence absorption coefficient and normalized surface impedance was studied to estimate the properties of porous materials by numerical method. According to the investigation, Properties of porous materials are divided into several groups and estimated by each group. This paper is focused on the estimation procedure of porous materials by the numerical method.

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Nationwide Incidence Estimation of Uterine Cervix Cancer among Korean Women (한국 여성에서의 자궁경부암 발생률)

  • Park, Byung-Joo;Lee, Moo-Song;Ahn, Yoon-Ok;Choi, Young-Min;Ju, Yeong-Su;Yoo, Keun-Young;Kim, Hun;Yew, Ha-Seung;Park, Tae-Soo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.29 no.4 s.55
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    • pp.843-851
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    • 1996
  • To estimate the incidence of uterine cervix cancer among Korean women, we have conducted a study using the claim data on the beneficiaries of Korea Medical Insurance Corporation (KMIC). All medical records of the potential cases with diagnosis of ICD-9 180, 181, 182, 199, 219, 233 in the claims sent by medical care institutions in the whole country to the KMIC from January 1988 to December 1989, were abstracted and Gynecology specialist reviewed the records to identify the new cases of uterine cervix cancer among the potential cases during the corresponding period. Using these data, the incidence of uterine cervix cancer among Korean women was estimated as of July 1, 1988 to June 30, 1989. The crude rate was estimated to be 17.34(95% CI: $16.76\sim17.92$) per 100,000 and the cumulative rates for the ages $0\sim64\;and\;0\sim74$ were 1.7% and 2.2%, respectively. The age-adjusted rate for the world population was 19.93 per 100,000 which was higher than those of other Asian countries including China and Japan in $1983\sim1987$. The truncated rate for ages $35\sim64$ was 52.05 per 100,000 which was one of the highest in the world. With increasing age, the incidence rate increased to 78.11 per 100,000 in women aged $55\sim59$ years, then it decreased in the older groups. This finding suggests that detecting rate of uterine cervix cancer may decrease in women aged 60 years or older due to inadequate medical care seeking behavior. In the geographical area, the SIR of Jeju province was significantly low but it might be due to statistical unstability by small case numbers.

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Incidence of Female Breast Cancer in a Defined Area in Korea (한국인 여성 유방암 발생률 추정에 관한 역학적 연구 -충북지역을 대상으로-)

  • Yoo, Keun-Young;Park, Sue-Kyung;Sung, Joo-Hun;Noh, Dong-Young;Choe, Kuk-Jin
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.31 no.4 s.63
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    • pp.592-603
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    • 1998
  • This study was conducted to estimate incidence rate of female breast cancer in a defined area of Chungchongbuk-do in Korea. The presumptive breast cancer cases were selected from two different sources, i.e., medical utilization database of the National Health Insurance Corporation and the database from the National Cancer Registry. Medical students visited each hospital where the presumptive cases had been treated as a breast cancer patient, and made a dictation of medical record of each patient based on the claims stored in the Insurance Corporation from January to December 1995. The diagnoses in the claims included one of the following diagnostic codes; ICD-9 174-175(malignant neoplasms of the breast), 233(carcinoma in situ of the breast and genito-urinary system)or ICD-10 C50(malignant neoplasms of the breast), D05(carcinoma in situ of the breast and genito-urinary system). Each case has been confirmed as having a breast cancer by a breast surgeon through a medical record review. Age-standardized incidence rate of female breast cancer to the Korean population was estimated to be 10.5(95%confidence interval : 8.1-12.9)per 100,000 persons in 1995. Age-standardized rate to the world population was 9.8 per 100,000 persons, and the truncated rate for ages 35-64 was 27.2 per 100,000 persons. Validity of these estimates is discussing in comparison with previous methods of incidence estimation in Korea.

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The Recency Period for Estimation of Human Immunodeficiency Virus Incidence by the AxSYM Avidity Assay and BED-Capture Enzyme Immunoassay in the Republic of Korea

  • Yu, Hye-Kyung;Heo, Tae-Young;Kim, Na-Young;Wang, Jin-Sook;Lee, Jae-Kyeong;Kim, Sung Soon;Kee, Mee-Kyung
    • Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.187-192
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: Measurement of the incidence of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is very important for epidemiological studies. Here, we determined the recency period with the AxSYM avidity assay and the BED-capture enzyme immunoassay (BED-CEIA) in Korean seroconverters. Methods: Two hundred longitudinal specimens from 81 seroconverters with incident HIV infections that had been collected at the Korea National Institute of Health were subjected to the AxSYM avidity assay (cutoff = 0.8) and BED-CEIA (cutoff = 0.8). The statistical method used to estimate the recency period in recent HIV infections was nonparametric survival analyses. Sensitivity and specificity were calculated for 10-day increments from 120 days to 230 days to determine the recency period. Results: The mean recency period of the avidity assay and BED-CEIA using a survival method was 158 days [95% confidence interval (CI), 135-181 days] and 189 days (95% CI, 170-208 days), respectively. Based on the use of sensitivity and specificity, the mean recency period for the avidity assay and BED-CEIA was 150 days and 200 days, respectively. Conclusion: We determined the recency period to estimate HIV incidence in Korea. These data showed that the nonparametric survival analysis often led to shorter recency periods than analysis of sensitivity and specificity as a new method. These findings suggest that more data from seroconverters and other methodologies are needed to determine the recency period for estimating HIV incidence.

Topological Observability Analysis Using Incidence Matrix in Power Systems (접속행열을 이용한 전력계통 입상학적 가관측성 해석)

  • Seog-Joo Kim;Young-Hyun Moon
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.36 no.11
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    • pp.769-776
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    • 1987
  • This paper deals with the topological observability analysis and the development of an observable island identification algorithm for state estimation in power systems, by using the incidence matrix and bus voltage grouping. An analogy of the DC power flow method to the DC circuit analysis is introduced, and all the relationships between power flows and phase angles are replaced by the corresponding current-voltage relation. As a result, a set of topological measurement equation expressed in the form of the incidince matrix is derived for the topological analysis, and the observability test is carried out by examining the rand of the measuremint matrix. The integer Gauss elimination method is introduced in the determination of matrix rand, so that the proposed observability test yields a precise observability criterion without any nearly-zero pivot problem encountered in the conventional algorithm. Also, an observable island identification algorithm reduced its computational time in comparision with the conventional algorithms. The proposed algorithms have been tested for sample systems, and their practicability has verified.