• 제목/요약/키워드: hydrologic model

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지리정보시스템을 이용한 수문모형의 전처리시스템 개발 (Development of PRe-processor for Hydrologic Geographic Information System)

  • 전종안;박승우;강문성;김상민
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 1999년도 Proceedings of the 1999 Annual Conference The Korean Society of Agricutural Engineers
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    • pp.493-498
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    • 1999
  • To extract hydrologic information more easily , the pre-processor for hydrologic model using Geographic Information System was developed . This model was applied to the Balan-reservoir watershed which is located at the southwest of Suwon. For estimation SCS curve number, landuse map and hydrologic soil group map were collected from digital map and reconnaissance soil map respectively. The estimated curve number from the GIS technique was 73.

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계절성과 경향성을 고려한 극치수문자료의 비정상성 빈도해석 (Nonstationary Frequency Analysis of Hydrologic Extreme Variables Considering of Seasonality and Trend)

  • 이정주;권현한;문영일
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2010년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.581-585
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    • 2010
  • This study introduced a Bayesian based frequency analysis in which the statistical trend seasonal analysis for hydrologic extreme series is incorporated. The proposed model employed Gumbel and GEV extreme distribution to characterize extreme events and a fully coupled bayesian frequency model was finally utilized to estimate design rainfalls in Seoul. Posterior distributions of the model parameters in both trend and seasonal analysis were updated through Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation mainly utilizing Gibbs sampler. This study proposed a way to make use of nonstationary frequency model for dynamic risk analysis, and showed an increase of hydrologic risk with time varying probability density functions. In addition, full annual cycle of the design rainfall through seasonal model could be applied to annual control such as dam operation, flood control, irrigation water management, and so on. The proposed study showed advantage in assessing statistical significance of parameters associated with trend analysis through statistical inference utilizing derived posterior distributions.

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통합수문모형을 이용한 제주 한천유역의 지하수 변동 특성 모의 (Simulation of Groundwater Variation Characteristics of Hancheon Watershed in Jeju Island using Integrated Hydrologic Modeling)

  • 김남원;나한나;정일문
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.515-522
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    • 2013
  • To investigate groundwater variation characteristics in the Hancheon watershed, Jeju Island, an integrated hydrologic component analysis was carried out. For this purpose, SWAT-MODFLOW which is an integrated surface-groundwater model was applied to the watershed for continuous watershed hydrologic analysis as well as groundwater modeling. First, ephemeral stream characteristics of Hancheon watershed can be clearly simulated which is unlikely to be shown by a general watershed hydrologic model. Second, the temporally varied groundwater recharge can be properly obtained from SWAT and then spatially distributed groundwater recharge can be made by MODFLOW. Finally, the groundwater level variation was simulated with distributed groundwater pumping data. Since accurate recharge as well as abstraction can be reflected into the groundwater modeling, more realistic hydrologic component analysis and groundwater modeling could be possible.

마코프 체인 몬테카를로 및 앙상블 칼만필터와 연계된 추계학적 단순 수문분할모형 (Stochastic Simple Hydrologic Partitioning Model Associated with Markov Chain Monte Carlo and Ensemble Kalman Filter)

  • 최정현;이옥정;원정은;김상단
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제36권5호
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    • pp.353-363
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    • 2020
  • Hydrologic models can be classified into two types: those for understanding physical processes and those for predicting hydrologic quantities. This study deals with how to use the model to predict today's stream flow based on the system's knowledge of yesterday's state and the model parameters. In this regard, for the model to generate accurate predictions, the uncertainty of the parameters and appropriate estimates of the state variables are required. In this study, a relatively simple hydrologic partitioning model is proposed that can explicitly implement the hydrologic partitioning process, and the posterior distribution of the parameters of the proposed model is estimated using the Markov chain Monte Carlo approach. Further, the application method of the ensemble Kalman filter is proposed for updating the normalized soil moisture, which is the state variable of the model, by linking the information on the posterior distribution of the parameters and by assimilating the observed steam flow data. The stochastically and recursively estimated stream flows using the data assimilation technique revealed better representation of the observed data than the stream flows predicted using the deterministic model. Therefore, the ensemble Kalman filter in conjunction with the Markov chain Monte Carlo approach could be a reliable and effective method for forecasting daily stream flow, and it could also be a suitable method for routinely updating and monitoring the watershed-averaged soil moisture.

개념적 수문분할모형의 보정에 미치는 수문기후학적 조건의 영향 (Effects of Hydro-Climate Conditions on Calibrating Conceptual Hydrologic Partitioning Model)

  • 최정현;서지유;원정은;이옥정;김상단
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제36권6호
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    • pp.568-580
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    • 2020
  • Calibrating a conceptual hydrologic model necessitates selection of a calibration period that produces the most reliable prediction. This often must be chosen randomly, however, since there is no objective guidance. Observation plays the most important role in the calibration or uncertainty evaluation of hydrologic models, in which the key factors are the length of the data and the hydro-climate conditions in which they were collected. In this study, we investigated the effect of the calibration period selected on the predictive performance and uncertainty of a model. After classifying the inflows of the Hapcheon Dam from 1991 to 2019 into four hydro-climate conditions (dry, wet, normal, and mixed), a conceptual hydrologic partitioning model was calibrated using data from the same hydro-climate condition. Then, predictive performance and post-parameter statistics were analyzed during the verification period under various hydro-climate conditions. The results of the study were as follows: 1) Hydro-climate conditions during the calibration period have a significant effect on model performance and uncertainty, 2) calibration of a hydrologic model using data in dry hydro-climate conditions is most advantageous in securing model performance for arbitrary hydro-climate conditions, and 3) the dry calibration can lead to more reliable model results.

수질학적 관점에서의 수문모델 유출량 보정 방법 평가 (Evaluating Calibration Methods of Stream Flow for Water Quality Management)

  • 전지홍;최동혁;김정진;김태동
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.432-440
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    • 2009
  • The effect of selecting hydrologic item for calculating objective function on calibration of stream flow was evaluated by Hydrologic Simulation Porgram-Fortran (HSPF) linked with Model Independent Parameter Optimizer (PEST). Daily and monthly stream flow and flow duration were used to calculate objective function. Automated calibration focused on monthly stream was proper to analyze seasonal or yearly water budget but not proper to predict daily stream flow or percent chance flow exceeded. Calibration result focused on flow duration is proper to predict precent chance flow exceeded but not proper to analyze water budget or predict peak flow. These results indicate that hydrologic item calculated for objective function on calibration procedure could influence calibration results and watershed modeler should select carefully hydrologic item for the purpose of model application. Current, the criteria of stream flow of Korean TMDL is generated based on percent chance flow exceeded, so flow duration should be included to calculate objective function on calibration procedure for the estimation of criteria of stream flow using hydrologic model.

SWAT-K 모형을 이용한 설마천 유역의 수문성분 해석 (Hydrologic Component Analysis of the Seolma-Cheon Watershed by Using SWAT-K Model)

  • 김남원;이지은;정일문;김동필
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제17권12호
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    • pp.1363-1372
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    • 2008
  • In this study, long term semi distributed hydrologic model SWAT-K(Korea) is applied to the Seolma-Cheon watershed to analyze the hydrological components. Seolma-Cheon watershed has been operated as the test watershed of Korea Institute of Construction Technology for 13 years. Therefore it has an enough hydrologic data to analyze the hydrologic characteristics of small watershed. Especially, for the proper runoff analysis of steep watershed, calibration is performed reflecting the regression equation of slope and slope length. The simulated discharge shows good agreement with the observed one and the simulated evapotranspiration and groundwater discharge also show satisfactory results. Finally we presents the ratio of major hydrologic components for 3 years with those obsrved ones. This study is the basic research for future analyses such as relationship between hydrologic components and vegetation, watershed sediment nonpoint sources discharge etc.

유역응답의 수문학적 상사성해석에 관한 연구(I) (A Study on the Analysis of Hydrologic Similarity of the Catchment Response(I))

  • 조홍제;이상배
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.421-434
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    • 1990
  • Horton의 차수법칙을 이용한 지형학적 수문응답모델로서 하천유역 상호간의 수문학정 상사성 문제를 해석하였다. 지형학적 응답함수의 구성은 Nash 모델을 이용하였으며, 응답함수의 최적화는 불완전 감미함수와 Rosso가 유도한 회귀방정식을 이용하였다. 본 방법의 적용성을 검토하기 위해 평창강 유역, 위천유역 그리고 보청천 유역에 대한 실측치를 이용하였으며, 수문응답에 대한 재현성을 모멘트법과 비교하였다. 분석결과 응답모델과 무차원 순간단위도는 미계측 유역의 유출해석이나 유역의 상사상 해석에 대해 적용할 수 있다고 판단되었다.

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유역 물수지 모의를 위한 개념적인 토양수분모형: 모형 보정에 필요한 수문성분 분석 (A Conceptual Soil Water Model of Catchment Water Balance: Which Hydrologic Components are Needed to Calibrate the Model?)

  • 최대규;양정석;정건희;김상단
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제31권3B호
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    • pp.211-220
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 유역 물수지 모의를 위한 개념적인 토양수분모형이 제안된다. 모형은 지표면에 떨어지는 강수량이 지표면 유출, 습윤, 기화, 침루 등으로 분할되는 과정을 모의한다. 경험식으로 추정된 연별 기화량, NRCS-CN 방법으로 추정된 월별 습윤량 및 이 두 가지가 모두 주어진 경우를 구분하여 모형의 매개변수가 각각 추정되어 모형의 성능을 평가한다. 연별 기화량과 월별 습윤량 자료 모두가 모형 보정에 적용될 경우만이 보다 합리적인 강수분할이 모의될 수 있음이 분석된다.

관개용 저수지의 일별유입량과 방류량의 모의발생(I)-선형 저수지 모형에 의한 유입량의 추정- (Simulating Daily Inflow and Release Rates for Irrigation Reservoirs (1) -Modeling Inflow Rates by A Linear Reservoir Model-)

  • 김현영;박승우
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.50-62
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    • 1988
  • This study refers to the development of a hydrologic model simulating daily inflow and release rates for irrigation reservoirs. A daily - based model is needed for adequate operation of an irrigation reservoir sufficing the water demand for paddy fields which is closely related to meteorological conditions. Inflow rates to a reservoir need to be accurately described, which may be simulated using a hydrologic model from daily rainfall data. And the objective of this paper is to develop, test, and apply a hydrologic model for daily runoff simmulation. A well - known tank model was selected and modified to simulate daily inflow rates. The model parameters were calibrated using observed runoff data from twelve watersheds, Relationships between the parameters and the watershed characteristics were derived by a multiple regression analysis. The simulation results were in agreement with the data. The inflow model was found to simulate low flow conditions more accurately than high flow conditions, which may be adequate for water resources utilization.

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