• Title/Summary/Keyword: hybrid predictive model

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Research on Early Academic Warning by a Hybrid Methodology

  • Lun, Guanchen;Zhu, Lu;Chen, Haotian;Jeong, Dongwon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2021.10a
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    • pp.21-22
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    • 2021
  • Early academic warning is considered as an inherent problem in education data mining. Early and timely concern and guidance can save a student's university career. It is widely assumed as a multi-class classification system in view of machine learning. Therefore, An accurate and precise methodical solution is a complicated task to accomplish. For this issue, we present a hybrid model employing rough set theory with a back-propagation neural network to ameliorate the predictive capability of the system with an illustrative example. The experimental results show that it is an effective early academic warning model with an escalating improvement in predictive accuracy.

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Evaluation of Subtractive Clustering based Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System with Fuzzy C-Means based ANFIS System in Diagnosis of Alzheimer

  • Kour, Haneet;Manhas, Jatinder;Sharma, Vinod
    • Journal of Multimedia Information System
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.87-90
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    • 2019
  • Machine learning techniques have been applied in almost all the domains of human life to aid and enhance the problem solving capabilities of the system. The field of medical science has improved to a greater extent with the advent and application of these techniques. Efficient expert systems using various soft computing techniques like artificial neural network, Fuzzy Logic, Genetic algorithm, Hybrid system, etc. are being developed to equip medical practitioner with better and effective diagnosing capabilities. In this paper, a comparative study to evaluate the predictive performance of subtractive clustering based ANFIS hybrid system (SCANFIS) with Fuzzy C-Means (FCM) based ANFIS system (FCMANFIS) for Alzheimer disease (AD) has been taken. To evaluate the performance of these two systems, three parameters i.e. root mean square error (RMSE), prediction accuracy and precision are implemented. Experimental results demonstrated that the FCMANFIS model produce better results when compared to SCANFIS model in predictive analysis of Alzheimer disease (AD).

Bankruptcy predictions for Korea medium-sized firms using neural networks and case based reasoning

  • Han, Ingoo;Park, Cheolsoo;Kim, Chulhong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1996.10a
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    • pp.203-206
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    • 1996
  • Prediction of firm bankruptcy have been extensively studied in accounting, as all stockholders in a firm have a vested interest in monitoring its financial performance. The objective of this paper is to develop the hybrid models for bankruptcy prediction. The proposed hybrid models are two phase. Phase one are (a) DA-assisted neural network, (b) Logit-assisted neural network, and (c) Genetic-assisted neural network. And, phase two are (a) DA-assisted Case based reasoning, and (b) Genetic-assisted Case based reasoning. In the variables selection, We are focusing on three alternative methods - linear discriminant analysis, logit analysis and genetic algorithms - that can be used empirically select predictors for hybrid model in bankruptcy prediction. Empirical results using Korean medium-sized firms data show that hybrid models are very promising neural network models and case based reasoning for bankruptcy prediction in terms of predictive accuracy and adaptability.

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Prediction of Powertrain Structure-borne Noise Using Hybrid Model (하이브리드 모델을 이용한 파워트레인 가진에 의한 구조 기인 소음 예측)

  • Lee, Sang-Kwon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.12-22
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents to predict the powertrain structure-borne noise which is primary resource of interior noise. As the first step, it is built up a hybrid powertrain model which is based on the real powertrain which is verified with static and dynamic properties. The methods for verifying are modal analysis and running vibration testing which are experimentally implemented. Based on the Hybrid powertrain component model, an initial predictive assembly model is simulated. As the second step, the characteristic transfer functions are measured that are dynamic stiffness of rubber mounts and vibro-acoustic transfer function based on the acoustic reciprocity. Several techniques utilizing special experimental devices have been proposed for this research. Finally, the structure-borne noise by powertrain will be predict and verify with dynamic simulation and experiment.

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Novel Control Method for a Hybrid Active Power Filter with Injection Circuit Using a Hybrid Fuzzy Controller

  • Chau, MinhThuyen;Luo, An;Shuai, Zhikang;Ma, Fujun;Xie, Ning;Chau, VanBao
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.800-812
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    • 2012
  • This paper analyses the mathematical model and control strategies of a Hybrid Active Power Filter with Injection Circuit (IHAPF). The control strategy based on the load harmonic current detection is selected. A novel control method for a IHAPF, which is based on the analyzed control mathematical model, is proposed. It consists of two closed-control loops. The upper closed-control loop consists of a single fuzzy logic controller and the IHAPF model, while the lower closed-control loop is composed of an Adaptive Network based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) controller, a Neural Generalized Predictive (NGP) regulator and the IHAPF model. The purpose of the lower closed-control loop is to improve the performance of the upper closed-control loop. When compared to other control methods, the simulation and experimental results show that the proposed control method has the advantages of a shorter response time, good online control and very effective harmonics reduction.

Neuro-fuzzy optimisation to model the phenomenon of failure by punching of a slab-column connection without shear reinforcement

  • Hafidi, Mariam;Kharchi, Fattoum;Lefkir, Abdelouhab
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.679-700
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    • 2013
  • Two new predictive design methods are presented in this study. The first is a hybrid method, called neuro-fuzzy, based on neural networks with fuzzy learning. A total of 280 experimental datasets obtained from the literature concerning concentric punching shear tests of reinforced concrete slab-column connections without shear reinforcement were used to test the model (194 for experimentation and 86 for validation) and were endorsed by statistical validation criteria. The punching shear strength predicted by the neuro-fuzzy model was compared with those predicted by current models of punching shear, widely used in the design practice, such as ACI 318-08, SIA262 and CBA93. The neuro-fuzzy model showed high predictive accuracy of resistance to punching according to all of the relevant codes. A second, more user-friendly design method is presented based on a predictive linear regression model that supports all the geometric and material parameters involved in predicting punching shear. Despite its simplicity, this formulation showed accuracy equivalent to that of the neuro-fuzzy model.

A Study on the Recognition of Korean Numerals Using Recurrent Neural Predictive HMM (회귀신경망 예측 HMM을 이용한 숫자음 인식에 관한 연구)

  • 김수훈;고시영;허강인
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.8
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    • pp.12-18
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we propose the Recurrent Neural Predictive HMM (RNPHMM). The RNPHMM is the hybrid network of the recurrent neural network and HMM. The predictive recurrent neural network trained to predict the future vector based on several last feature vectors, and defined every state of HMM. This method uses the prediction value from the predictive recurrent neural network, which is dynamically changing due to the effects of the previous feature vectors instead of the stable average vectors. The models of the RNPHMM are Elman network prediction HMM and Jordan network prediction HMM. In the experiment, we compared the recognition abilities of the RNPHMM as we increased the state number, prediction order, and number of hidden nodes for the isolated digits. As a result of the experiments, Elman network prediction HMM and Jordan network prediction HMM have good recognition ability as 98.5% for test data, respectively.

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Hybrid ANN-based techniques in predicting cohesion of sandy-soil combined with fiber

  • Armaghani, Danial Jahed;Mirzaei, Fatemeh;Shariati, Mahdi;Trung, Nguyen Thoi;Shariati, Morteza;Trnavac, Dragana
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.191-205
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    • 2020
  • Soil shear strength parameters play a remarkable role in designing geotechnical structures such as retaining wall and dam. This study puts an effort to propose two accurate and practical predictive models of soil shear strength parameters via hybrid artificial neural network (ANN)-based models namely genetic algorithm (GA)-ANN and particle swarm optimization (PSO)-ANN. To reach the aim of this study, a series of consolidated undrained Triaxial tests were conducted to survey inherent strength increase due to addition of polypropylene fibers to sandy soil. Fiber material with different lengths and percentages were considered to be mixed with sandy soil to evaluate cohesion (as one of shear strength parameter) values. The obtained results from laboratory tests showed that fiber percentage, fiber length, deviator stress and pore water pressure have a significant impact on cohesion values and due to that, these parameters were selected as model inputs. Many GA-ANN and PSO-ANN models were constructed based on the most effective parameters of these models. Based on the simulation results and the computed indices' values, it is observed that the developed GA-ANN model with training and testing coefficient of determination values of 0.957 and 0.950, respectively, performs better than the proposed PSO-ANN model giving coefficient of determination values of 0.938 and 0.943 for training and testing sets, respectively. Therefore, GA-ANN can provide a new applicable model to effectively predict cohesion of fiber-reinforced sandy soil.

Soft computing-based estimation of ultimate axial load of rectangular concrete-filled steel tubes

  • Asteris, Panagiotis G.;Lemonis, Minas E.;Nguyen, Thuy-Anh;Le, Hiep Van;Pham, Binh Thai
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.471-491
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we estimate the ultimate load of rectangular concrete-filled steel tubes (CFST) by developing a novel hybrid predictive model (ANN-BCMO) which is a combination of balancing composite motion optimization (BCMO) - a very new optimization technique and artificial neural network (ANN). For this aim, an experimental database consisting of 422 datasets is used for the development and validation of the ANN-BCMO model. Variables in the database are related with the geometrical characteristics of the structural members, and the mechanical properties of the constituent materials (steel and concrete). Validation of the hybrid ANN-BCMO model is carried out by applying standard statistical criteria such as root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R2), and mean absolute error (MAE). In addition, the selection of appropriate values for parameters of the hybrid ANN-BCMO is conducted and its robustness is evaluated and compared with the conventional ANN techniques. The results reveal that the new hybrid ANN-BCMO model is a promising tool for prediction of the ultimate load of rectangular CFST, and prove the effective role of BCMO as a powerful algorithm in optimizing and improving the capability of the ANN predictor.