• Title/Summary/Keyword: human reliability analysis

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Dependence assessment in human reliability analysis under uncertain and dynamic situations

  • Gao, Xianghao;Su, Xiaoyan;Qian, Hong;Pan, Xiaolei
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권3호
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    • pp.948-958
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    • 2022
  • Since reliability and security of man-machine system increasingly depend on reliability of human, human reliability analysis (HRA) has attracted a lot of attention in many fields especially in nuclear engineering. Dependence assessment among human tasks is a important part in HRA which contributes to an appropriate evaluation result. Most of methods in HRA are based on experts' opinions which are subjective and uncertain. Also, the dependence influencing factors are usually considered to be constant, which is unrealistic. In this paper, a new model based on Dempster-Shafer evidence theory (DSET) and fuzzy number is proposed to handle the dependence between two tasks in HRA under uncertain and dynamic situations. First, the dependence influencing factors are identified and the judgments on the factors are represented as basic belief assignments (BBAs). Second, the BBAs of the factors that varying with time are reconstructed based on the correction BBA derived from time value. Then, BBAs of all factors are combined to gain the fused BBA. Finally, conditional human error probability (CHEP) is derived based on the fused BBA. The proposed method can deal with uncertainties in the judgments and dynamics of the dependence influencing factors. A case study is illustrated to show the effectiveness and the flexibility of the proposed method.

패션상품 챗봇에 대한 신뢰 형성 요인 - 지각된 지능과 긍정적 인지의 매개효과를 중심으로 - (Factors driving Fashion Chatbot Reliability -Focusing on the Mediating Effect of Perceived Intelligence and Positive Cognition-)

  • 이하경;윤남희
    • 한국의류산업학회지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.229-240
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    • 2022
  • This study explores the effect of anthropomorphism on fashion chatbot reliability, mediated by perceived intelligence and cognitive evaluation. The moderating effects of individuals' need for human interaction between chatbot anthropomorphism and perceived intelligence, cognitive evaluation, and chatbot reliability are also explored. Participants, who were recruited through the online research firm, responded to questions after watching a video clip showing a conversation with a fashion chatbot on a mobile screen. The data were collected through Mturk, a crowdsourcing platform with an online research panel. All responses (N = 212) were analyzed using SPSS 26.0 for the descriptive statistics, frequency analysis, reliability analysis, exploratory factor analysis, and PROCESS procedure. The results demonstrate that chatbot anthropomorphism increases chatbot reliability, and this is mediated by chatbot intelligence. Although chatbot anthropomorphism increases cognitive evaluation, the effect of cognitive evaluation on chatbot reliability is not significant; thereby, the effect of chatbot anthropomorphism on chatbot reliability is not mediated by the cognitive evaluation. The direct effect of anthropomorphism on chatbot reliability is also moderated by individuals' need for human interaction. For participants with a high need for human interaction, chatbot anthropomorphism increases chatbot reliability; however, anthropomorphism does not significantly affect chatbot reliability for participants with a low need for human interaction. The study's findings contribute to expanding the literature on consumers' new technology acceptance by testing the antecedents affecting service reliability.

원자력 발전소 사고관리 직무의 인간신뢰도분석을 위한 수행영향인자의 선정 (Selection of Influencing Factors for Human Reliability Analysis of Accident Management Tasks in Nuclear Power Plants)

  • 김재환;정원대
    • 대한인간공학회지
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.1-28
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    • 2001
  • This paper deals with the selection of the important Influencing Factors (IFs) under accident management situations in nuclear power plants for use in the assessment of human errors. In order to achieve this goal, we collected two types of IF taxonomies, one is the full set IF list mainly developed for human error analysis. and the other is the IFs for human reliability analysis (HRA) in probabilistic safety assessment (PSA). Five sets of IF taxonomy among the full set IF list and ten sets of IF taxonomy among HRA methodologies were collected in the study. From the review and analysis of BRA IFs, we could obtain some insights for the selection of HRA IFs. By considering the situational characteristics of the accident management domain, candidate IFs are chosen. Finally, those IFs are structured hierarchically to be appropriate for the use in the assessment of human error under accident management situation. Three nuclear accidents such as TMI. Chernobyl and JCO were analysed to validate the proposed taxonomy.

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Human Reliability Analysis for Digitized Nuclear Power Plants: Case Study on the LingAo II Nuclear Power Plant

  • Zou, Yanhua;Zhang, Li;Dai, Licao;Li, Pengcheng;Qing, Tao
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제49권2호
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    • pp.335-341
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    • 2017
  • The main control room (MCR) in advanced nuclear power plants (NPPs) has changed from analog to digital control system (DCS). Operation and control have become more automated, centralized, and accurate due to the digitalization of NPPs, which has improved the efficiency and security of the system. New issues associated with human reliability inevitably arise due to the adoption of new accident procedures and digitalization of main control rooms in NPPs. The LingAo II NPP is the first digital NPP in China to apply the state-oriented procedure. In order to address issues related to human reliability analysis for DCS and DCS + state-oriented procedure, the Hunan Institute of Technology conducted a research project based on a cooperative agreement with the LingDong Nuclear Power Co. Ltd. This paper is a brief introduction to the project.

SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS IN FUZZY RELIABILITY ANALYSISA

  • Onisawa, Takehisa
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1988년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국제학술편); 한국전력공사연수원, 서울; 21-22 Oct. 1988
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    • pp.764-769
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    • 1988
  • In this paper the failure possibility and the error possibility are used to represent reliability of a technical component and that of a human operator, respectively. The failure possibility and the error possibility are fuzzy sets on the interval [0,1]. In a man-machine system, reliability of the technical component and that of the human operator are usually affected by many factors, e.g., the environment in which a machine is operated, psychological stress of the human operator, etc. The possibility is derived from not only the failure or the error rate but also estimates of these factors. The fuzzy reasoning plays an important role in the derivation. The reliability analysis is performed by the use of the possibility obtained by the present method. Moreover this paper discusses the sensitivity analysis which evaluates what extent the change of the estimation of each factor has an influence on reliability of a man-machine system. The important factors to be ameliorated are shown through the sensitivity analysis.

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An algorithm for evaluating time-related human reliability using instrumentation cues and procedure cues

  • Kim, Yochan;Kim, Jaewhan;Park, Jinkyun;Choi, Sun Yeong;Kim, Seunghwan;Jung, Wondea;Kim, Hee Eun;Shin, Seung Ki
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권2호
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    • pp.368-375
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    • 2021
  • The performance time of human operators has been recognized as a key aspect of human reliability in socio-complex systems, including nuclear industries. Because of the importance of the time factor, most existing human reliability assessment methods provide ways to quantify human error probabilities (HEPs) that are associated with the performance time. To quantify such kinds of HEPs, it is crucial to rationally predict the length of time required and time available and compare them. However, there have not been detailed guidelines that identify the critical cue presentation time or initial time of human performance, which is important to calculate the time information. In this paper, we introduce a time-related HEP calculation technique with a decision algorithm that determines the critical cue and its timing. The calculation process is presented with the application examples. It is expected that the proposed algorithm will reduce the variability in the time-related reliability assessment and strengthen the scientific evidence of the assessment process. The detailed description is provided in the technical report KAERI/TR-7607/2019.

재난시스템에서 사용하기 위한 인적요인 위험 모델의 개발 (Development of Human Factor Risk Model for Use in Disaster System A Study on Safety Analysis)

  • 박종훈
    • 한국재난정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국재난정보학회 2022년 정기학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.227-228
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    • 2022
  • 전통적인 HRA(Human Reliability Analysis)방법은 특정 애플리케이션 또는 산업을 염두에 두고 있으며. 또한 이러한 방법은 종종 복잡하며, 시간이 많이 걸리고 적용하는 데 비용이 많이 들며 직접 비교하기에는 적합하지 않다. 제안된 HFHM(Human Factors Hazard Model: 인적 요인 위험 모델)은 기검증되고 시간 테스트를 거친 FTA(Fault Tree Analysis:결함 트리 분석)및 ETA(Event Tree Analysis:이벤트 트리 분석)의 확률 분석 도구 및 새로 개발된 HEP(Human Error Probability:인적 오류 확률)예측 도구와 통합되고, 인간과 관련된 PSF(Performance Shaping Factors:성능 형성 요인)를 중심으로 새로운 접근 방식으로 개발되었다. 인간-시스템은 상호작용으로 인한 재난사고 가능성을 모델링하는 위험분석 접근법 HFHM은 다음과 같은 상용 소프트웨어 도구 내에서 예시되고 자동화된다. HFHM에서 생성된 데이터는 SE 분석가 및 설계에 대한 표준화된 가이드로 사용될 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 인적 위험을 예측하는 이 새로운 접근 방식을 통해, 전체 시스템에 대한 포괄적인 재난안전 분석을 가능하게 한다.

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Considerations for generating meaningful HRA data: Lessons learned from HuREX data collection

  • Kim, Yochan
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제52권8호
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    • pp.1697-1705
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    • 2020
  • To enhance the credibility of human reliability analysis, various kinds of data have been recently collected and analyzed. Although it is obvious that the quality of data is critical, the practices or considerations for securing data quality have not been sufficiently discussed. In this work, based on the experience of the recent human reliability data extraction projects, which produced more than fifty thousand data-points, we derive a number of issues to be considered for generating meaningful data. As a result, thirteen considerations are presented here as pertaining to the four different data extraction activities: preparation, collection, analysis, and application. Although the lessons were acquired from a single kind of data collection framework, it is believed that these results will guide researchers to consider important issues in the process of extracting data.

Inter-relationships between performance shaping factors for human reliability analysis of nuclear power plants

  • Park, Jooyoung;Jung, Wondea;Kim, Jonghyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제52권1호
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    • pp.87-100
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    • 2020
  • Performance shaping factors (PSFs) in a human reliability analysis (HRA) are one that may influence human performance in a task. Most currently applicable HRA methods for nuclear power plants (NPPs) use PSFs to highlight human error contributors and to adjust basic human error probabilities (HEPs) that assume nominal conditions of NPPs. Thus far, the effects of PSFs have been treated independently. However, many studies in the fields of psychology and human factors revealed that there may be relationships between PSFs. Therefore, the inter-relationships between PSFs need to be studied to better reflect their effects on operator errors. This study investigates these inter-relationships using two data sources and also suggests a context-based approach to treat the inter-relationships between PSFs. Correlation and factor analyses are performed to investigate the relationship between PSFs. The data sources are event reports of unexpected reactor trips in Korea and an experiment conducted in a simulator featuring a digital control room. Thereafter, context-based approaches based on the result of factor analysis are suggested and the feasibility of the grouped PSFs being treated as a new factor to estimate HEPs is examined using the experimental data.