• Title/Summary/Keyword: housing market information effect

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The Empirical Information Spillover Effect between the Housing Market and the Stock Market (주택시장과 주식시장 간의 정보 이전효과의 연구)

  • Choi, Chasoon
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2021
  • This paper empirically examined the relationship between the housing market and the stock market to investigate the price and the asymmetric volatility spillover effects. The monthly housing price index and the monthly KOSPI were used for analysis. This research employed the EGARCH model. The analysis period was from January 1986 until June 2021 with periodization centered on the Asian Financial Crisis: before and after the crisis - the end of December 1997. The EGARCH model allows analysis of 'good news' and 'bad news' in understanding volatility. The price spillover effect was observed one way from the stock market to the housing market. On the contrary, the spillover effect was not found from the housing market to the stock market. The empirical evidence suggests that there are price and asymmetric volatility effects in the entire period of analysis in both housing and the stock markets. In the housing market, the negative effects of information were found pre-financial crisis while the positive effects, in other periods. However, in the stock market, the negative effects of information were found in the pre- and post-financial crisis periods. This means that the housing market is more affected by 'good news' than 'bad news' when information spreads to the markets while the stock market is more affected by 'bad news' than 'good news'. It is of significance to discover the variable returns by different information.

A Study of Housing Transaction Market and Commercial Policy in United States in the Perspective of Neuroeconomics (미국의 주택거래시장 동향과 통상정책의 향후방향에 관한 연구: 신경경제학의 관점을 중심으로)

  • Chung, Yong-Kyun
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.267-288
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    • 2010
  • The collapse of housing market bubble in United States had a considerable impact on the world economy. The collapse of housing market bubble in United States generates the global financial crisis at the worldwide level. The housing market bubble question the efficacy of fundamental proposition of orthodox economics based on the rationality of human choice. According to neuroeconomics and neuroscience, emotion and affect play the important role in purchasing the commodity in retails market. On the basis of the neuroeconomics, this study focuses on the role of affect and emotion in the purchase of subprime loan in United States. Robert Schiller suggests that one of the causes of housing market bubble is the contagion effect of human belief in the society. The structure of this paper is as follows. First, this study investigates the mechanism of human brain and role of various neurons to influence the human behavior in the purchase of house in United States, such as Dophamine neuron and mirroring neuron. Second, this study shows the possibility that the mirror neuron might explain the contagion of human belief in housing transaction market. It can be a seed of housing market bubble. Furthermore, this study show the implications of neuroeconomics is suggestive to the negotiation process in commercial policy in United States.

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A study on the information effect of property market (실물자산시장에서의 정보효과에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, HyunWook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.7672-7676
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    • 2015
  • This study examines the dynamic relations between housing price and trading volume in a set of apartment markets in Republic of Korea to explore the informational role of trading volume in predicting the price volatility. Using monthly index data, EGARCH model is utilized to test for volume effect. To estimate the EGARCH-based volatility, two different sets of region are applied for the monthly return. Strong evidence has been found towards housing turnover leading price volatility, this supports previous studies on financial sector(s). These findings also support that trading volume in the housing market contains information on investor sentiment which, in turn, has a valuation effect on the price.

A Study on the Spatial Mismatch between the Assessed Land Value and Housing Market Price: Exploring the Scale Effect of the MAUP (개별공시지가와 주택실거래가의 공간적 불일치에 관한 연구: 공간 단위 임의성 문제(MAUP)의 스케일 효과 탐색)

  • Lee, Gunhak;Kim, Kamyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.48 no.6
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    • pp.879-896
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    • 2013
  • The assessed land values and housing prices have been widely utilized as a basic information for the land and house trades and for evaluating governmental and local taxes. However, there exists a price difference in actual markets between the assessment level and assessed land values or housing prices. This paper emphasizes the spatial mismatch between the assessed land values and housing market prices and particularly addresses the following two aspects by focusing on spatial effects of the modifiable areal units, which would substantially affect the estimation of the assessed land values and housing prices. First, we examine the spatial distributions of the assessed land values and housing market prices, and the gap between those prices, on the basis of the aggregated spatial units(i.e., aggregation districts). Second, we explore the scale effect of the MAUP(modifiable areal unit problem) generally embedded in estimating the prices of the sampled standard lands and houses, and calibrating the correction index for the land values and housing prices for the individuals. For the application, we analysed the land values and housing prices in Seoul utilizing GIS and statistical software. As a result, some spatial clusters that the housing market prices are significantly higher than the assessed land values were identified at a finer geographic level. Also, it was empirically revealed that the statistical results from the regression of regional variables on the assessed land values for the individuals are significantly affected by the aggregation levels of the spatial units.

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Analysis on Korean Public Rental Housing Market based on System Thinking (시스템사고를 이용한 국민임대주택 공급시장분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Young;Kim, Jae-Jun;Lee, Chan-Sik;Ahn, Hee-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.115-127
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    • 2006
  • Although the Korean government have made a plan of housing market with supply and concentrated on the welfare of the people, there are still a lot of problem in housing market for lack of a long-term vision and consistent policy of the government. The plan of 115% of housing diffusion in 2012 is in progress after its acquisition of 100% in 2002, but there are no changes in the rental housing rate of 43% in 2003. In addition, there are getting worse circumstances in the instability of housing market and the low-income bracket, because of the Korean construction firms' bankruptcy with an increase of unsold hosing and a rapid increase of housing prices. The government have made the strategy of revitalizing the economy and regional development by means of a million public rental housing plan for the low-income bracket and welfare. This paper introduces the basic information of the subjective strategy establishment with the analysis of the reciprocal action of influence factors for public rental housing by system dynamics theory and the effect of public rental housing in housing supply market which has a long-term dynamic form.

A Study on the Factors Affecting the Price of the Highest-end Housing in the Gangnam Area (국내 강남지역의 고급빌라 가격에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Doo-Hwan;Lee, Sang-Hyo;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.121-126
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    • 2010
  • When constructing housing, various factors affect the housing purchase price. These factors are considered in the whole process of construction, and the feasibility of a project is then studied based on these factors. Recently, Highest-end Housing in Gangnam has a large market ofpotential and fixed clients in the Korean construction business. However, there has been a lack of research related to the Highest-end Housing market thus far. Therefore, this paper focuseson the factors affecting the Highest-end Housing price, and the level of the effect. Ultimately, the results of this research could be used as basic information for enhancing the competitiveness between the construction companies that build villa apartments,and support the business model.

A Study on The Brand Image Elements of Housing Cultural Center (주택문화관의 브랜드 이미지 요소에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jung-Yoon;Lee, Hyun-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Interior Design Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.26-29
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    • 2007
  • By changing housing market, housing cultural center furnishes information, value added, image of housing. For publicity their unique house, construction companies provide not only concrete and substantial material but also sensible and capacity service through the community space of housing cultural center. The consumer's experience of housing cultural center have an effect on purchase power apartment. The image of enterprise is important to select commodities to consumers. Though main clients are women, housing cultural center has not space concept and aim to concern for them. According to begin women a group of consumers, they have purchasing power in family. Apartment is no exception. Housing cultural center is used as continuous culture space that provide various experiential chance for consumer, especially women by systematize and distinct design detail and feature component. Accordingly, the purpose of this study is an analysis about community space of housing cultural center with the woman marketing based on experience.

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Market sentiment and its effect on real estate return: evidence from China Shenzhen

  • LI, ZHUO
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.27 no.9
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    • pp.243-251
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we propose a phenomenon that analyze the impact of market sentiment on China's real estate market through the perspective of behavioral economics. Previously, real estate market analyzation basically focus on some fundamental principles which include market price, monetary policies and income, etc. However, little research has explored market sentiment and its influence. By using principal components analysis (PCA), this study first creates buyer's sentiment and seller's sentiment to measure the heat of China's real estate market. Different from using traditional estimation method, the vector autoregressive model (VAR) is used to analyze how both sentiments affect real estate return. The overall results show that from unit root test and impulse response analyzation, the impact of seller's sentiment is positive to real estate market while buyer's sentiment is negative. At the same time, the higher seller's sentiment will have different influence on the housing market compared with the higher buyer's sentiment.

Fuzzy Hedonic Analysis of Airport Noise (공항 소음에 대한 퍼지 헤도닉 분석)

  • Lee, Sung Tae;Lee, Kwangsuck
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.147-164
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    • 2008
  • When measuring the value of environmental attributes of housing, the conventional Hedonic Pricing Method assumes market equilibrium. Thus each attribute is believed to be implicitly valued based on the market price. The revealed preference is the basic logic in this approach. However, if the participants in the housing market are not perfectly informed or feel vagueness regarding the attributes of the housing, the conventional Hedonic Pricing Approach could not provide relevant value of the attribute in question. A Fuzzy Regression Method is suggested to handle with the lack of information or preference uncertainty problem m the Hedonic Pricing Approach. In this paper, our main concern IS given to the fuzziness effect on the airport noise in the metropolitan areas of South Korea.

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Time Series Analysis of the Relationship between Housing Consumer Sentiment and Regional Housing Prices in Seoul (서울시 주택소비심리와 권역별 주택가격의 시계열적 관계분석)

  • Yang, Hye-Seon;Seo, Won-Seok
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.125-141
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    • 2020
  • This study investigated the time-series relationship between housing consumer sentiment and housing prices in the five major districts in Seoul and also analyzed the effect of the housing consumer sentiment on housing prices using Granger Causality and VEC (Vector Error Correction) models. To describe the key results, first of all, housing consumer sentiment and regional housing market prices were closely related to each other, and the consumer sentiment strongly affected the change of housing prices. Second, the housing consumer sentiment was confirmed to have a discriminatory effect on the housing prices among the districts in Seoul in the short term. Specifically, the housing price of the east southern district (ESD) was the main reason for the change in housing consumer sentiment in Seoul, and that the resulting impact was transferred to other districts. Third, it was analyzed that regions other than the ESD would increase the housing prices in the long term as the housing consumer sentiment turned positive, but that the ESD would see a steady tone. Fourth, in the case of relative influence by district, housing (apartment) price fluctuation in a district was generally found to be most affected by adjacent or competitive districts. Through these findings, this study confirmed that there is a clear causality between housing consumer sentiment and housing prices in each district of Seoul and that there is a discriminatory influence on housing consumer sentiment among the districts.