• Title/Summary/Keyword: household debt

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Path Analysis of General Government Debt to Individual Suicide (국가채무가 자살에 이르는 경로분석)

  • Lee, Yong-Hwan;Bang, Hee-Myung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.535-543
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    • 2019
  • This study was conducted to find a pathway from the general government debt to GDP ratio(GDR) to the age standardized Suicide Rate(suicide rate). The variables used in this study are GDR, the consumer price index for living necessaries(CPIL), the household debt to GDP ratio(Household Debt), and suicide rate. The data used in this study were standardized data from 2001 to 2015 of Korean Statistical Information Service(KOSIS) and the path analysis was performed using the analysis IBM SPSS 22 and Amos. As a result of the path analysis, the path of GDR-CPIL-Household Debt-Suicide rate, and the direct of effect were in order 0.954, 0.904 and 0.675 were confirmed. The indirect effect of GDR on Household Debt is 0.862, GDR on Sucide Rate is 0.581, CPIL on Suicide Rate is 0.610. Neither of these indirect effect coefficient was significant(p>0.05).

Analysis of Stress level of Korean Household Members due to Household Debt (한국국민의 가계 금융부채에 대한 체감도 분석)

  • Oh, Man-Suk;Hyun, Seung-Me
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.297-307
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    • 2009
  • Korean household debt is one of the main sources of the current financial crisis. This paper studies the impact of household members' attributes such as a type of housing(self-own or rent), education, age, average monthly income of the head of household, and the area of residence, on the stress level of the household members due to household debt. We analyze a real data set collected by KB Kookmin Bank in 2004. We consider low and high stress level as a binary response variable and use a logistic regression model with the attributes of household members as explanatory variables. A simple but well-fitting model is selected by backward elimination method based on the likelihood statistic for goodness-of-fit test, and the impact of the attributes on the stress level is studied from parameter estimates of the selected model. We also perform the similar analysis on a binary response variable which distinguishes households with no debt from the rest. From the analysis, the stress level tends to be low for households with self-own houses, high average monthly income, low education level, and young members.

Studies on Insolvency Prediction for young Korean debtor (한국 청년가계의 부실화 가능성 연구)

  • Lee, Jonghee
    • Journal of Family Resource Management and Policy Review
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.99-115
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    • 2019
  • This study examined the insolvency likelihood of young debtors from the 2018 Household Financial and Welfare Survey. This study used the Household Default Risk Index (HDRI), which considers the ratio of total debt to total assets (DTA), and a total debt service ratio (DSR) to examine the insolvency level of debtors. The descriptive analyses showed no difference in frequency of households with a high probability of insolvency between those less than 35 years of age and those over 35 years of age. However, the median HDRI value for those less than 35 years of age was higher than those over 35 years of age. The multivariate analyses indicated that educational expenses for young Korean debtors was a factor that increased their probability of insolvency, while income was the only variable that decreased their insolvency likelihood.

Analysis of the Effects of Householder's Occupation and Age on the Financial Structures (가구주 직업에 따른 연령별 가계재무구조의 분석)

  • 성영애
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.39-58
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    • 2003
  • This study investigated the effects of the householder's age as a proxy for the family life cycle stage variable and the householder's occupation on the household financial structures. Household financial structures are analyzed by the components of two financial statements(the income and expense statement and the balance sheet statement) and selected financial ratios. The data came from the 1998 Korean Household Panel Study. It was found that the age profiles of household finances such as household income, expenditure, savings and consumption rate, financial assets, real assets and home ownership, debt and net worth usually vary according the householder's occupation. The ratios of debt repayment and the liquidity ratios also vary in part as age changes for each occupational group.

Analysis of Characteristics and Determinants of Household Loans in Korea: Focusing on COVID-19 (국내 가계대출의 특징과 결정요인 분석: COVID-19를 중심으로)

  • Jin-Hee Jang;Jae-Bum Hong;Seung-Doo Choi
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.51-61
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - Since COVID-19, the government's expansion of liquidity to stimulate the economy has resulted in an increase in private debt and an increase in asset prices of such as real estate and stocks. The recent sharp rise of the US Federal fund rate and tapering by the Fed have led to a fast rise in domestic interest rates, putting a heavy burden on the Korean economy, where the level of household debt is very high. Excessive household debt might have negative effects on the economy, such as shrinking consumption, economic recession, and deepening economic inequality. Therefore, now more than ever, it is necessary to identify the causes of the increase in household debt. Design/methodology/approach - Main methodology is regression analysis. Dependent variable is household loans from depository institutions. Independent variables are consumer price index, unemployment rate, household loan interest rate, housing sales price index, and composite stock price index. The sample periods are from 2017 to May 2022, comprising 72 months of data. The comparative analysis period before and after COVID-19 is from January 2017 to December 2019 for the pre-COVID-19 period, and from Jan 2020 to December 2022 for the post-COVID-19 period. Findings - Looking at the results of the regression analysis for the entire period, it was found that increases in the consumer price index, unemployment rate, and household loan interest rates decrease household loans, while increases in the housing sales price index increase household loans. Research implications or Originality - Household loans of depository institutions are mainly made up of high-credit and high-income borrowers with good repayment ability, so the risk of the financial system is low. As household loans are closely linked to the real estate market, the risk of household loan defaults may increase if real estate prices fall sharply.

A Causal Model on Household Investment Behavior (가계투자활동의 인과적 모형 분석)

  • 정은주
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.219-235
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    • 1992
  • This study attempted to examine a theoretical framework which synthesizes risk attitude, type of investment management and investment behavior and to provide the specific investment strategy by analysing several variables which have effect upon the investment behavior. The results of this research were as follow : 1. Risk attitude had significant differences by the variabels such as age, sex, education, income and debt/asset ratio. Also the type of investment management was influenced significantly by the variables such as age, education, occupation, income, total asset, debt/asset ratio, achievement motivation and risk attitude. The ratio of risky asset holdings was affected by the variabels such as age, education, occupation, housing ownership, income, total asset, debt/asset ratio, achievement motivation, risk attitude and type of investment management. 2. Among several variables affecting the ratio of risky asset holding risk attitude, education, type of investment management, debt/asset ratio and achievement motivation had direct effect on it. Besides age had indirect effect through risk attitude and age, achievement motivation and risk attitude had indirect effect through the type of investment management. 3. The results of this study showed that causal relation between input, throughput and output can be applied to household's investment behavior and the concept of risk or risk attitude can be applied to other fields except household's investment. Also it could be attributed to provide the investment strategy for improving level of household's financial well-being.

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A Study on Risk Selection Behavior of Japanese Households: Focusing on the relationship between income level and hyperbolic discount (日本家計のリスク選択行動に関する研究 - 所得水準と双曲性の関係を中心に -)

  • Yeom, Dong-ho
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.105-123
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzes the risk selection behavior of Japanese households. The study approaches the view of 'the hyperbolic discount' which is used in behavioral economics based on the rise in mortgage lending by low-income households in the late 2000s. The study focuses on how households risk preferences vary by income levels. The study analyzes the relationship of attitude of household interest rate risk using Binomial Logistic and Heckman two-step estimation method assuming that there are only two types of Adjustable-Rate Mortgage and Fixed-Rate Mortgage. As a result of the empirical analysis, low-income households annual income tend to have a higher proportion of housing debt as same as higher interest rate risk preferences households in proportion to income growth and interest rate risk preferences. Those results indicate that there is possibility of a hyperbolic discount on low-income households in Japan, and support the hypothesis that low-income households are relatively higher household debt ratio because of high utility due to home purchase in the near future (short-term).

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A Study on Financial Management Practices of Rural Housewives (농촌 주부의 재무관리 행동에 관한 연구 -도시근교 농촌을 대상으로-)

  • 배희선;최은숙
    • Korean Journal of Rural Living Science
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.137-149
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    • 1995
  • The first objective of this study is to examine the finanacial management practices of rural housewives. The second objective is to determine the effects of sociodemographic characteristics on financial management practices. The Deacon & Firebaugh's model of family resource management framework and previous studies were used to determine the effects, regarding a9e, income, number of family, education level, and farming/nonfarming as independent/input variables, and monthly saving and managerial behavior index as dependent/throughput variables. A sample of 179 rural housewives aged less than 60 was selected from Shihung-Si Gyonggi-Do Province. Results showed that rural housewives more frequently did keeping bills, making purchase-list and verifying purchase need than recording where money spent making financial plan, and evaluating spending. With regard to household debt use, 60% of the sample had debt the most borrower used debt for farming, 73% of borrowers paid for their debt behind the schedule, and the main source of borrowing was NACF (NongHyup). Using installment credit, the rural housewives mainly bought cosmetics. 25% of the sample had credit cards. Average debt was 6, 070, 000 won, and 81% of annual income. In terms of saving, 85% of the sample saved, and 23% of the sample lived with the money after save. The main reasons of saving were for education and marriage of children and emergency. The main saving institutions were NACF and NLCF (ChukHyup). The regression showed that income was negatively associated with monthly saving, and age was identified as the positive determinants of managerial behavior index.

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Risk Analysis of Household Debt in Korea: Using Micro CB Data (개인CB 자료를 이용한 우리나라 가계의 부채상환위험 분석)

  • Hahm, Joon-Ho;Kim, Jung In;Lee, Young Sook
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.1-34
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    • 2010
  • We conduct a comprehensive risk analysis of household debt in Korea for the first time using the whole sample credit bureau (CB) data of 2.2 million individual debtors. After analysing debt service capacity profiles of debtor groups classified by the borrower characteristics such as income, age, occupation, credit scoring, and the type of creditor business companies, we investigate the impact of interest rate and income changes on debt service-to-income ratios (DTIs) and default rates of respective debtor groups. Empirical results indicate that debt service burdens are relatively high for low income wage earners, high income self-employed, low income capital and card loan holders, and high income mutual savings loan holders. We also find that debtors from multiple financial companies are particularly weak in their debt service capacity. The scenario analysis indicates that financial companies, with the current level of capital buffers, may be able to absorb negative consequences arising from the increase in DTIs and loan default rates if the interest rate and income changes remain modest. However, the negative consequences may fall disproportionately on non-bank financial companies such as capital, credit card, and mutual savings banks, whose debtors' DTIs are already high. We also find that the refinancing risk of household debt is relatively high in Korea as more than half of household mortgage debts are bullet loans. As the DTIs of mortgage loan holders are already high, under the current DTI regulation, mortgage loans may not be readily refinanced especially when the interest rate rises. Disruptions in mortgage loan refinancing may put downward pressure on housing prices, which may in turn magnify refinancing risk under the current loan-to-value (LTV) regulation. Overall our analysis suggests that, for more effective monitoring of household debt risk, it is necessary to combine existing surveillance schemes based on macro aggregate indicators with more comprehensive and detailed risk analyses based on micro individual data.

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The Financial Status of Single Households (독신가구의 재정상태 분석)

  • Kim Yon-Hee;Chae Jung-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.43 no.1 s.203
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    • pp.85-103
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    • 2005
  • This study attemped to analyze the financial stati of single households. The financial stati of single households were analyzed using the income and expense stati, balance sheet status and selected financial ratios as components. The data of 757 single household's from the 1998 Korean Household Panel Study were utilized. The major findings are summarized as follows; 1. Male single households had higher income and expense stati than those of females but lower holdings of other asset with the exception of liquid assets. Single elderly households had the highest holdings of both real assets and debt. 2. Usually single households were retained more short-term than long-term liquid assets. The debt burden ability in using net assets was the lowest of all assets. To accumulate capital those in single household were more likely to have savings than investment assets.