• Title/Summary/Keyword: heterogeneous stochastic process

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Instability of (Heterogeneous) Euler beam: Deterministic vs. stochastic reduced model approach

  • Ibrahimbegovic, Adnan;Mejia-Nava, Rosa Adela;Hajdo, Emina;Limnios, Nikolaos
    • Coupled systems mechanics
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.167-198
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    • 2022
  • In this paper we deal with classical instability problems of heterogeneous Euler beam under conservative loading. It is chosen as the model problem to systematically present several possible solution methods from simplest deterministic to more complex stochastic approach, both of which that can handle more complex engineering problems. We first present classical analytic solution along with rigorous definition of the classical Euler buckling problem starting from homogeneous beam with either simplified linearized theory or the most general geometrically exact beam theory. We then present the numerical solution to this problem by using reduced model constructed by discrete approximation based upon the weak form of the instability problem featuring von Karman (virtual) strain combined with the finite element method. We explain how such numerical approach can easily be adapted to solving instability problems much more complex than classical Euler's beam and in particular for heterogeneous beam, where analytic solution is not readily available. We finally present the stochastic approach making use of the Duffing oscillator, as the corresponding reduced model for heterogeneous Euler's beam within the dynamics framework. We show that such an approach allows computing probability density function quantifying all possible solutions to this instability problem. We conclude that increased computational cost of the stochastic framework is more than compensated by its ability to take into account beam material heterogeneities described in terms of fast oscillating stochastic process, which is typical of time evolution of internal variables describing plasticity and damage.

Forecasting KOSPI Return Using a Modified Stochastic AdaBoosting

  • Bae, Sangil;Jeong, Minsoo
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.403-424
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    • 2021
  • AdaBoost tweaks the sample weight for each training set used in the iterative process, however, it is demonstrated that it provides more correlated errors as the boosting iteration proceeds if models' accuracy is high enough. Therefore, in this study, we propose a novel way to improve the performance of the existing AdaBoost algorithm by employing heterogeneous models and a stochastic twist. By employing the heterogeneous ensemble, it ensures different models that have a different initial assumption about the data are used to improve on diversity. Also, by using a stochastic algorithm with a decaying convergence rate, the model is designed to balance out the trade-off between model prediction performance and model convergence. The result showed that the stochastic algorithm with decaying convergence rate's did have a improving effect and outperformed other existing boosting techniques.

An Approximate Analysis of a Stochastic Fluid Flow Model Applied to an ATM Multiplexer (ATM 다중화 장치에 적용된 추계적 유체흐름 모형의 근사분석)

  • 윤영하;홍정식;홍정완;이창훈
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.97-109
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we propose a new approach to solve stochastic fluid flow models applied to the analysis of ceil loss of an ATM multiplexer. Existing stochastic fluid flow models have been analyzed by using linear differential equations. In case of large state space, however. analyzing stochastic fluid flow model without numerical errors is not easy. To avoid this numerical errors and to analyze stochastic fluid flow model with large state space. we develope a new computational algorithm. Instead of solving differential equations directly, this approach uses iterative and numerical method without calculating eigenvalues. eigenvectors and boundary coefficients. As a result, approximate solutions and upper and lower bounds are obtained. This approach can be applied to stochastic fluid flow model having general Markov chain structure as well as to the superposition of heterogeneous ON-OFF sources it can be extended to Markov process having non-exponential sojourn times.

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Adaptive stochastic gradient method under two mixing heterogenous models (두 이종 혼합 모형에서의 수정된 경사 하강법)

  • Moon, Sang Jun;Jeon, Jong-June
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1245-1255
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    • 2017
  • The online learning is a process of obtaining the solution for a given objective function where the data is accumulated in real time or in batch units. The stochastic gradient descent method is one of the most widely used for the online learning. This method is not only easy to implement, but also has good properties of the solution under the assumption that the generating model of data is homogeneous. However, the stochastic gradient method could severely mislead the online-learning when the homogeneity is actually violated. We assume that there are two heterogeneous generating models in the observation, and propose the a new stochastic gradient method that mitigate the problem of the heterogeneous models. We introduce a robust mini-batch optimization method using statistical tests and investigate the convergence radius of the solution in the proposed method. Moreover, the theoretical results are confirmed by the numerical simulations.

The Effect of Heterogeneous Wage Contracts on Macroeconomic Volatility in a Financially Fragile Economy

  • Kim, Jongheuk
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.167-197
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    • 2017
  • I build a small open economy (SOE) dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to investigate the effect of a heterogeneous wage contract between regular and temporary workers on a macroeconomic volatility in a financially fragile economy. The imperfect financial market condition is captured by a quadratic financial adjustment cost for borrowing foreign assets, and the labor market friction is captured by a Nash bargaining process which is only available to the regular workers when they negotiate their wages with the firms while the temporary workers are given their wage which simply equals the marginal cost. As a result of impulse responsesto a domestic productivity shock, the higher elasticity of substitution between two types of workers and the lower weight on the regular workers in the firm's production process induce the higher volatilities in most variables. This is reasoned that the higher substitutability creates more volatile wage determination process while the lower share of the regular workers weakens their Nash bargaining power in the contract process.

Hybrid Method to Compute the Cell Loss Probability in a Multiplexer with the Superposition of Heterogeneous ON/OFF Sources (이질적 ON/OFF 원을 입력으로 한 다중화 장치의 셀 손실률 계산을 위한 하이브리드 방법)

  • Hong, Jung-Sik;Kim, Sang-Baik
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.312-318
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    • 1999
  • This paper considers the cell loss probability(CLP) in a multiplexer with the superposition of heterogeneous ON/OFF sources. The input traffic is composed of k classes. Traffic of class i is the superposition of M_(i) ON/OFF sources. Recently, the method based on the Markov modulated deterministic process(MMDP) is presented. Basically, it is the discretized model of stochastic fluid flow process(SFFP) and gives the CLP very fast, but under-estimates the CLP especially when the value of estimated CLP is very low. This paper develops the discretized model of Markov modulated Poisson process(MMPP). It is a special type of switched batch Bernoulli process(SBBP). Combining the transition probability matrix of MMDP and SBBP according to the state which is characterized by the arrival rate, this paper presents hybrid algorithm. The hybrid algorithm gives better estimate of CLP than that of MMDP and faster than SBBP.

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A Stochastic Model for the Nuclide Migration in Geologic Media Using a Continuous Time Markov Process (연속시간 마코프 프로세스를 이용한 지하매질에서의 통계적 핵종이동 모델)

  • Lee, Y.M.;Kang, C.H.;Hahn, P.S.;Park, H.H.;Lee, K.J.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.154-165
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    • 1993
  • A stochastic method using continuous time Markov process is presented to model the one-dimensional convective nuclide transport in geologic media, which have usually heterogeneous feature in physical/geochemical parameters such as velocity, dispersion coefficient, and retardation factor resulting poor description by conventional deterministic advection-dispersion model. The primary desired quantities from a stochastic model are the mean values and variance of the state variables as a function of time. The time-dependent probability distributions of nuclides are presented for each discretized compartment given the volumetric groundwater flux and the intensity of transition. Since this model is discrete in medium space, physical/geochemical parameters which affect nuclide transport can be easily incorporated for the heterogeneous media as well as remarkably layered media having spatially varied parameters. Even though the Markov process model developed in this study was shown to be sensitive to the number of discretized compartments showing numerical dispersion as the number of compartments are increased, this could be easily calibrated by comparing with the analytical deterministic model.

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Deformation and Failure Analysis of Heterogeneous Microstructures of Ti-6Al-4V Alloy using Probability Functions (확률함수를 이용한 비균질 Ti-6Al-4V 합금의 변형 및 파손해석)

  • Kim, Tae-Won;Ko, Eun-Young
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.685-692
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    • 2004
  • A stochastic approach has been presented for superplastic deformation of Ti-6Al-4V alloy, and probability functions are used to model the heterogeneous phase distributions. The experimentally observed spatial correlation functions are developed, and microstructural evolutions together with superplastic deformation behavior have been investigated by means of the two-point and three-point probability functions. The results have shown that the probability varies approximately linearly with separation distance, and deformation enhanced probability changes during the process. The stress-strain behavior with the evolutions of probability function can be correctly predicted by the model. The finite element implementation using Monte Carlo simulation associated with reconstructed microstructures shows that better agreement with experimental data of failure strain on the test specimen.

Stochastic Simulation of Groundwater Flow in Heterogeneous Formations: a Virtual Setting via Realizations of Random Field (불균질지층내 지하수 유동의 확률론적 분석 : 무작위성 분포 재생을 통한 가상적 수리시험)

  • Lee, Kang-Kun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Groundwater Environment
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.90-99
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    • 1994
  • Heterogeneous hydraulic conductivity in a flow domain is generated under the assumption that it is a random variable with a lognormal, spatially-correlated distribution. The hydraulic head and the conductivity in a groundwater flow system are represented as a stochastic process. The method of Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) and the finite element method (FEM) are used to determine the statistics of the head and the logconductivity. The second moments of the head and the logconductivity indicate that the cross-covariance of the logconductivity with the head has characteristic distribution patterns depending on the properties of sources, boundary conditions, head gradients, and correlation scales. The negative cross-correlation outlines a weak-response zone where the flow system is weakly responding to a stress change in the flow domain. The stochastic approach has a potential to quantitatively delineate the zone of influence through computations of the cross-covariance distribution.

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