• Title/Summary/Keyword: hedging price

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Analysis on the Hedging Effects of Complex Hedging Considering LNG Price and Exchange Rate Risks (LNG 가격과 환율 변동을 고려한 복합헤징 효과 분석)

  • Yun, Won-Cheol
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.753-769
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    • 2010
  • This study empirically analyzes the comparative advantages between separate hedging and complex hedging in terms of hedging effectiveness when there exist multiple risks of LNG price and exchange rate. According to the empirical ex-ante analysis, the mean of procurement costs could be reduced through hedging regardless of hedging type. In addition, the standard deviation of procurement costs could also be reduced by way of hedging, implying that a hedging should contribute to the stabilization of revenue flows. More importantly, complex hedging could be more effective for some hedging periods than separate hedging in terms of revenue stabilization. Therefore, one could verify that the hedging effects improve by making use of the variance-covariance relationship existing between commodity price and exchange rate.

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AN ASYMPTOTIC DECOMPOSITION OF HEDGING ERRORS

  • Song Seong-Joo;Mykland Per A.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.115-142
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    • 2006
  • This paper studies the problem of option hedging when the underlying asset price process is a compound Poisson process. By adopting an asymptotic approach to let the security price converge to a continuous process, we find a closed-form hedging strategy that improves the classical Black-Scholes hedging strategy in a quadratic sense. We first show that the scaled Black-scholes hedging error has a limit in law, and that limit is decomposed into a part that can be traded away and a part that is purely unreplicable. The Black-Scholes hedging strategy is then modified by adding the replicable part of its hedging error and by adding the mean-variance hedging strategy to the nonreplicable part. Some results of simulation experiment s are also provided.

Does Hedging with Derivatives Affect Future Crash Risk?

  • PARK, Hyun-Young;PARK, Soo Yeon
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 2020
  • The study aims to investigate the relationship between hedging with derivatives and subsequent firm-level stock price crash risk. Our sample consists of KOSPI- and KOSDAQ-listed companies from 2004 to 2014. The total firm-year observation is 4,886. We find that hedging with derivatives is related to greater possibilities of crash risk. The results suggest that the complexity of economic and financial reporting for derivatives may aggravate the company's information opacity, ultimately increasing the crash risk. We contribute to the growing body of literature on hedging with derivatives. Academics and practitioners have debated on whether or not hedging enhances transparency or rather makes the information environment more opaque. Theoretical research on the role of corporate hedging on information environment shows that hedging enhances earnings informativeness. Meanwhile, pieces of anecdotal and empirical evidence show that the economic and financial reporting complexity of derivatives can harm information transparency. Our results shed light on the question of whether and how hedging with derivatives affects information environment by examining the relationship between hedging with derivatives and crash risk. Furthermore, our findings provide useful insights for policymakers and practitioners. Specifically, our results raise a need for a more transparent disclosure on corporate hedging activities with derivatives.

Valuation of Options in Incomplete Markets (불완전시장 하에서의 옵션가격의 결정)

  • Park, Byungwook
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.45-57
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this paper is studying the valuation of option prices in Incomplete markets. A market is said to be incomplete if the given traded assets are insufficient to hedge a contingent claim. This situation occurs, for example, when the underlying stock process follows jump-diffusion processes. Due to the jump part, it is impossible to construct a hedging portfolio with stocks and riskless assets. Contrary to the case of a complete market in which only one equivalent martingale measure exists, there are infinite numbers of equivalent martingale measures in an incomplete market. Our research here is focusing on risk minimizing hedging strategy and its associated minimal martingale measure under the jump-diffusion processes. Based on this risk minimizing hedging strategy, we characterize the dynamics of a risky asset and derive the valuation formula for an option price. The main contribution of this paper is to obtain an analytical formula for a European option price under the jump-diffusion processes using the minimal martingale measure.

The Hedging Effectiveness of Shrimp Futures Contract and Futures Contract Design (새우 선물계약의 헤징유효성과 선물계약 설계)

  • Kang, Seok-Kyu
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.73-91
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    • 2010
  • The objective of this study is to examine the hedging effectiveness of shrimp futures market. Hedging effectiveness is measured by OLS model based on rolling windows. Analysis data are obtained from Kansai Commodities Exchange in Osaka and are weekly data of frozen shrimp futures and cash prices in the time period from July 9, 2003, to May 9, 2007. The empirical results are summarized as follows:First, the correlation coefficients between the nearby futures price changes and the cash(16/20) price changes are very low and have range from 0.141 to 0.208 values. Second, the minimum variance hedge ratios($\hat{\beta}$) are all statistically different from 0 at the 5% level and range from 0.0477 to 0.5039 values excluding Indian shrimps(26/30). Ex post hedging effectiveness, as measured by the coefficient of determination, $R^2$, is relatively very low and range from a low of 0.4% for west-south Indian shrimps(26/30) to a high 4.3% for Vietnamese shrimps(16/20). Third, ex ante hedging effectiveness, as measured by out-of-sample hedging period, is also very low and range from a low of -4.4% for west-south Indian shrimps(21/25) to a high of 3.4% for Vietnamese shrimps(16/20). This indicates that the shrimp futures market doesn't behave as risk management instrument of shrimp spot.

A Study on the Introduction of Derivatives for Hedge of Housing Rent Price -Targeting Apartment Rent Price in Gangnam and Gangbuk Regions of Seoul- (주택전세가격 헤지를 위한 파생상품 도입 연구 - 서울시 강남, 강북지역 아파트 전세가격을 대상으로 -)

  • Choi, In-Sik;Yoo, Seung-Kyu;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Journal of The Korean Digital Architecture Interior Association
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2012
  • This study aimed to seek a method capable of hedging a rising risk of housing rent price by introducing derivatives with the target of Korean housing rent markets. The research model used in this thesis progressed a research by applying a futures contract method with the target of the rent price of major apartments in Gangnam and Gangbuk Regions of Seoul. As an analysis result, the rent price of all complexes has risen during its analysis period, so it could be confirmed that the CRB future index was also risen according to this. Finally, it was confirmed that the rising risk of the rent price can be hedged through a purchase position of futures. But, as the difference between rent price variation and CRB future index variation occurs, it appeared that 100% of hedge is difficult. However, it is judged that if considering that a method capable of hedging the rising risk of the existing rent price was nonexistent, the hedge trading effect utilizing the CRB future index on the rent price will be meaningful.

Analysis on the Procurement Hedging Strategies for Bituminous Coal Considering Multiple Risk Factors (복수의 위험요인을 고려한 유연탄 조달헤징전략 분석)

  • Yun, Won-Cheol;Sonn, Yang-Hoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.855-872
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    • 2007
  • This study suggests an imported coal procurement model that simultaneously considers the risk factors of coal price, ocean freight rate and foreign exchange rate. In addition, it quantitatively analyses the superiority of this model compared to the previous one m terms of procurement cost saving and stabilization. According to the empirical results, a separate hedging could stabilize the procurement cost flow, but this is not the end of story. That is, a complex hedging would reduce the standard deviations of cost flow. Thus, one could improve hedging effects by fully considering the inherent variance-covariance relationship among coal price, ocean freight rate and foreign exchange.

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A Study on the Strategies of Hedging System Trading Using Single-Stock Futures (개별주식선물을 이용한 시스템트레이딩 헤징전략의 성과분석)

  • Kim, Sun Woong;Choi, Heung Sik;Kim, Nam-Hyun
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.49-61
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    • 2014
  • We investigate the hedging effectiveness of incorporating single-stock futures into the corresponding stocks. Investing in only stocks frequently causes too much risk when market volatility suddenly rises. We found that single-stock futures help reduce the variance and risk levels of the corresponding stocks invested. We use daily prices of Korean stocks and their corresponding futures for the time period from December 2009 to August 2013 to test the hedging effect. We also use system trading technique that uses automatic trading program which also has several simulation functions. Moving average strategy, Stochastic's strategy, Larry William's %R strategy have been considered for hedging strategy of the futures. Hedging effectiveness of each strategy was analyzed by percent reduction in the variance between the hedged and the unhedged variance. The results clearly showed that examined hedging strategies reduce price volatility risk compared to unhedged portfolio.

A Characteristic Analysis and Countermeasure Study of the Hedging of Listed Companies in China Stock Markets

  • WU, Guo-Hua;JIANG, Xiao-Ling;DENG, Su-Ya
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.10
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    • pp.147-158
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    • 2021
  • Due to COVID-19, the risk of price volatility in commodity and equity markets increases. The research and application of hedging is the most effective way to reduce the market risk. Hedging is a risk management strategy employed to offset losses in investments by taking an opposite position in a related asset. We use K-means and hierarchical clustering methods to cluster companies and futures products respectively, and analyze the relationship between the number of hedging firms, regional distribution, nature of firms, capital distribution, company size, profitability, number of local Futures Commission Merchants (FCMs), regional location, and listing time. The study shows that listed companies with large scale and good profitability invest more money in hedging, while state-owned enterprises' participation in hedging is more likely to be affected by the company size and the number of local futures commission merchants, and private enterprises are more likely to be affected by the company profitability and the regional location. Listed companies are more willing to choose long-listed and mature futures products for hedging. We also provide policy advice based on our conclusion. So far, there is no study on the characteristics of hedging. This paper fills the gap. The results provide a basis and guidance for people's investment and risk management. Using clustering analysis in hedging study is another innovation of this paper.

RISK MEASURE PRICING AND HEDGING IN THE PRESENCE OF TRANSACTION COSTS

  • Kim, Ju-Hong
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.23 no.1_2
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    • pp.293-310
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    • 2007
  • Recently a risk measure pricing and hedging is replacing a utility-based maximization problem in the literature. In this paper, we treat the optimal problem of risk measure pricing and hedging in the friction market, i.e. in the presence of transaction costs. The risk measure pricing is also verified with the contexts in the literature.