• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.81-91
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• 2021

This paper investigates the long run hedging ability of precious metals against the risks associated with adverse conditions of economic and financial variables for Pakistan, the USA, China, and India. Monthly data of gold, silver, platinum, stock returns, exchange rate, industrial production, and inflation was collected for the selected economies. Saikkonen and Lutkepohl (2002) unit root test was employed to access the unit root properties of the data series and identify the break dates. Furthermore, this study used the Johansen cointegration test with and without structural breaks to identify the long-run relationship between metals prices and different financial and economic variables. The findings suggest that the time series under study have unit root problem at level with and without structural breaks. Without considering structural breaks, the Johansen trace test indicates that in Pakistan and China, gold, silver, and platinum hold a cointegrating relationship with macroeconomic and financial variables. For the US, gold indicates cointegration which supports the hedging ability of gold against inflation, stock, and industrial production in the long run. The results of the cointegration test after incorporating the structural breaks provide even stronger evidence of the long-run relationship of precious metals and consumer prices, exchange rate, and stock prices.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.206-206
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• 2021

The necessity for appropriate management of water resources infrastructures such as reservoirs, levees, and dikes is increasing due to unexpected hydro-climate irregularities and rising water demands. To meet this need, past studies have focused on advancing theoretical optimization algorithms such as nonlinear programming, dynamic programming (DP), and genetic programming. Yet, the optimally derived theoretical solutions are limited to be directly implemented in making release decisions in the real-world systems for a variety of reasons. This study first aims to comparatively analyze the two prominent optimization methods, DP and evolutionary multi-objective direct policy search (EMODPS), under historical inflow series using K-fold cross validation. A total of six optimization models are formed each with a specific formulation. Then, one of the optimization models was coupled with the actual zone-based hedging rule that has been adopted in practice. The proposed methodology was applied to Boryeong Dam located in South Korea with conflicting objectives between supply and demand. As a result, the EMODPS models demonstrated a better performance than the DP models in terms of proximity to the ideal. Moreover, the incorporation of the real-world policy with the optimal solutions improved in all indices in terms of the supply side, while widening the range of the trade-off between frequency and magnitude measured in the sides of demand. The results from this study once again highlight the necessity of closing the gap between the theoretical solutions with the real-world implementable policies.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 1999.04a
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• pp.483-484
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• 1999

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2001.05a
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• pp.578-583
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• 2001

• Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.52-53
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• 2024

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• v.30 no.3_4
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• pp.413-428
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• 2012

Every contingent claim is unable to be replicated in the incomplete markets. Shortfall risk is considered with some risk exposure. We show how the dynamic optimization problem with the capital constraint can be reduced to the problem to find an optimal modified claim $\tilde{\psi}H$ where$\tilde{\psi}H$ is a randomized test in the static problem. Convex and coherent risk measures defined in the Orlicz hearts spaces, $M^{\Phi}$, are used as risk measure. It can be shown that we have the same results as in [21, 22] even though convex and coherent risk measures defined in the Orlicz hearts spaces, $M^{\Phi}$, are used. In this paper, we use Fenchel duality Theorem in the literature to deduce necessary and sufficient optimality conditions for the static optimization problem using convex duality methods.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• v.13 no.6
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• pp.2236-2244
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• 2018

We make optimal consecutive offer curves for an energy storage system (ESS) integrated wind power producer (WPP) in the co-optimized day-ahead energy and regulation markets. We build the offer curves by solving multi-stage stochastic optimization (MSSO) problems based on the scenarios of pairs consisting of real-time price and wind power forecasts through the progressive hedging method (PHM). We also use the rolling horizon method (RHM) to build the consecutive offer curves for several hours in chronological order. We test the profitability of the offer curves by using the data sampled from the Iberian Peninsula. We show that the offer curves obtained by solving MSSO problems with the PHM and RHM have a higher profitability than offer curves obtained by solving deterministic problems.

• Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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• v.43 no.2
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• pp.357-371
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• 2006

Let $X\;=\;(X_t,\;t{\in}[0, T])$ be a generalized Brownian motion(gBm) determined by mean function a(t) and variance function b(t). Let $L^2({\mu})$ denote the Hilbert space of square integrable functionals of $X\;=\;(X_t - a(t),\; t {in} [0, T])$. In this paper we consider a class of nonlinear functionals of X of the form F(. + a) with $F{in}L^2({\mu})$ and discuss their analysis. Firstly, it is shown that such functionals do not enjoy, in general, the square integrability and Malliavin differentiability. Secondly, we establish regularity conditions on F for which F(.+ a) is in $L^2({\mu})$ and has its Malliavin derivative. Finally we apply these results to compute the price and the hedging portfolio of a contingent claim in our financial market model based on a gBm X.

• Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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• v.13 no.5
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• pp.422-428
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• 2007

This paper presents a neural network based adaptive control approach to a reconfigurable flight control law that keeps handling qualities in the presence of faults or failures to the control surfaces of an aircraft. This approach removes the need for system identification for control reallocation after a failure and the need for an accurate aerodynamic database for flight control design, thereby reducing the cost and time required to develope a reconfigurable flight controller. Neural networks address the problem caused by uncertainties in modeling an aircraft and pseudo control hedging deals with the nonlinearity in actuators and the reconfiguration of a flight controller. The effect of the reconfigurable flight control law is illustrated in results of a nonlinear simulation of an unmanned aerial vehicle Durumi-II.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• v.29 no.3_4
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• pp.987-1000
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• 2011

We show how the dynamic optimization problem with the capital constraint can be reduced to the problem to find an optimal modified claim $\tilde{\psi}H$ where $\tilde{\psi}$ is a randomized test in the static problem. Coherent risk measure is used as risk measure in the $L^{\infty}$ random variable spaces. The paper is written in expository style to some degree. We use an average risk of measure(AVaR), which is a special coherent risk measure, to see how to hedge the modified claim in a complete market model.