• Title/Summary/Keyword: hazard rate

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Mortality in Pine Stand and Vegetation Recovery after Forest Fire (산불발생 후 소나무 피해 및 식생복원 실태분석)

  • Lee, Si-Young;Jun, Kye-Won;Lee, Myung-Woog;Chun, Kun-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2008
  • To find out the effect of the vegetation recovery and the problems of forest land, the researches of the mortality in pine stand and vegetation recovery have been carried out from the burned site. In area which is damaged by fire scar on crown and stem, rate of dead is higher. Where stand growing stocks were totally damaged by crown forest fire, most of vegetation was recovered by sprouts and planted seeds. Vegetation recovery power were depending on the condition of soil depth condition. For the artificial recovery, the damage happened by insects in the planted birches plantation. Rate of growth was somewhat different between Pinus densiflora and Pinus thunbergii in the plantation, because of individual growth rate.

A Study for the Fire Hazard Evaluation through the Fire Simulation of an Apartment Fire Accident (아파트 화재 사례 전산모사를 통한 화재위험성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon, Heung-Kyun;Choi, Young-Sang;Choo, Hong-Lok
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2010
  • In this study, Fire Hazards were evaluated through computer simulation using FDS program for an apartment fire accident. The results of fire simulation showed that the maximum heat release rate in the case of no sprinklers activation was 7,700 kW which was about 16 times of that in the case of sprinklers activation, 497 kW and there was a very high fire hazard due to the backdraft phenomenon when the door of fire room was forced to open. Regarding the hazard time of fire room temperature and detection time of detectors, available evacuation time was 32.5 seconds of minimum to 53.5 seconds of maximum. In the case of sprinklers activation, fire hazard in the apartment was showed to be very low due to the fire control by the spray cooling of sprinklers. This study shows that what a important function for fire safety is the activations of fire sprinkler system and emergency alarm system and what a large loss can cause if these systems don’t activate in fire accidents.

An Experimental Study on Soil Loss Rate of Recovery Soil Technique at High Water Revetment (고수호안 복토공법의 토양 유실율에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Chae, Dong-Seok;Kim, Young-Do;Park, Jae-Hyeon;Kim, Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.135-141
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    • 2010
  • Recently, to ensure the stability of flood control, instead of removal of concrete revetment, the vegetation mat method has been widely used on the recovery soil. However, the recovery soil method often failed to be stable against the flood, which caused the economic loss. In this study, the rate of soil loss and the velocity distribution on high water revetment are evaluated by the hydraulic experiments. The maximum difference of the soil loss rate was 52% depending on the vegetation. The reduction of the soli loss rate according to the vegetation is large when the revetment slope is steep. The maximum soil loss rate is 19.5% when there is no vegetation.

Estimation of Design Population and Design Wastewater Flow Rate for the BTO Project of Wastewater Treatment Facilities (하수종말처리시설 민간투자사업을 위한 계획 인구 및 계획 하수량 추정)

  • Son, Young-Gyu;Lee, So-Young;Kim, Lee-Hyung;Khim, Jee-Hyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.145-151
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    • 2008
  • A novel method was suggested for the estimation of design population and design wastewater flow rate in fishing and agrarian village. Even though the population was decreasing continuously in this area, the design population was considered as constant with the passage of the time in conventional methods. And although the portion of groundwater uses was pretty high, the design wastewater flow rate was determined by the supply amount of tap water. Consequently, the design population and the design wastewater flow rate were overestimated. To prevent these overestimates, the design population was predicted to decrease gradually using the population trends from Korea National Statistical Office, and the design wastewater flow rate was determined using the way that the supply amount of tap water was applied in developed areas and the supply amount of groundwater was used in undeveloped areas.

Hazard and Risk Assessment and Cost and Benefit Analysis for Revising Permissible Exposure Limits in the Occupational Safety and Health Act of Korea (산업안전보건법 허용기준 대상물질의 허용기준 개정을 위한 유해성·위험성 평가 및 사회적 비용·편익 분석)

  • Kim, Ki Youn;Oh, Sung Eop;Hong, Mun Ki;Lee, Kwon Seob
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.134-145
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    • 2015
  • Objectives: An objective of this study was to perform a risk assessment and social cost-benefit analysis for revising permissible exposure limits for seven substances: Nickel(Insoluble inorganic compounds), benzene, carbon disulfide, formaldehyde, cadmium(as compounds), trichloroethylene, touluene-2,4-diisocyanate. Materials and Methods: The research methods were divided into risk and hazard assessment and cost-benefit analysis. The risk and hazard assessment for the seven substances consists of four steps: An overview of GHS MSDS(1st), review of document of ACGIH's TLVs (2nd), comparison between international occupational exposure limits and domestic permissible exposure limits(3rd), and analysis of excess workplace and excess rate for occupational exposure limits based on previous work environment measurement data(4th). Total cost was estimated using cost of local exhaust ventilation, number of excess workplace and penalties for exceeding a permissible exposure limit. On the other hand, total benefit was calculated using the reduction rate of occupational disease, number of workplaces treating each substance and industrial accident compensation. Finally, the net benefit was calculated by subtracting total cost from total benefit. Results: All the substances investigated in this study were classified by CMR(Carcinogens, Mutagens or Reproductive toxicants) and their international occupational exposure limits were stricter than the domestic permissible exposure limits. As a result of excess rate analysis, trichloroethylene was the highest at 11%, whereas nickel was the lowest at 0.5%. The excess rates of all substances except for trichloroethylene were observed at less than 10%. Among the seven substances, the total cost was highest for trichloroethylene and lowest for carbon disulfide. The benefits for the seven substances were higher than costs estimated based on strengthening current permissible exposure limits. Thus, revising the permissible exposure limits of the seven substances was determined to be acceptable from a social perspective. Conclusions: The final revised permissible exposure limits suggested for the seven substances are as follows: $0.2mg/m^3$ for nickel, 0.5 ppm(TWA) and 2.5 ppm(STEL) for benzene, 1 ppm(TWA) for carbon disulfide, $0.01mg/m^3$(TWA) for cadmium, 10 ppm(TWA) and 25 ppm(STEL) for trichloroethylene, 0.3 ppm(TWA) for formaldehyde, and 0.005 ppm(TWA) and 0.02 ppm(STEL) for toluene diisocynate(isomers).

Study on the Thermal Characteristic Comparison of Fire.Explosion Hazard of Fugitive Dust Generated in the Manufacturing Process (제조공정상 발생하는 비산분진의 화재·폭발 위험성에 대한 열적특성 비교에 관한 연구)

  • Sun, Ko Jae
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.71-83
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    • 2014
  • This study carried out an experiment in order to compare thermal characteristics after collecting dust generated in the process of disposing of waste tire, plywood flour in the process of manufacturing plywood, salicylic acid dust in the process of manufacturing functional soap, and dust in the process of manufacturing wheat powder, which has potential fire and explosion hazard. According to the results of experiment, the analysis showed that all samples subject to the experiment were in the condition where heat flux decreased and temperature decreased as the quantity of added talc was increased. This shows that decomposition rate decreased, and hazard decreased. However, in all of samples subject to the experiment, as heating rate increased, endothermic onset temperature moved to the low-temperature part, and the amount of absorbed heat was largely increased. This showed that the decomposition hazard of sample increased as heating rate increased, according to the analysis. Besides, TGA experiment results showed that thermal stability was secured because total weight loss decreased as the amount of talc was increased for all samples subject to the experiment regarding the ratio of weight loss. It is expected that the continuous research and supplementation of dust explosion mechanism in the future will contribute to the establishment of measures for the effective dust explosion prevention.

The change in the fertility rates and the determinants of birth interval of Korean women (한국여성의 출산율 변화와 출산간격 영향요인)

  • Ryoo, Kee-Cheol;Piao, Ying-Hua
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2009
  • This paper uses a survey data to analyze the age-specific fertility rates, age-specific cumulative fertility rates, and ages of marriage of the five birth cohorts of Korean women born in the 1940s and thereafter. It was found that later cohorts reach their highest age-specific fertility rate at higher ages than earlier cohorts. The age-specific cumulative fertility rates of the 1950s and 1960 cohorts were found to be much lower than those of the immediately preceding cohorts, while those of the 1970s and 1980s cohorts were not different from those of the 1960s cohorts. Women belonging to later cohorts were found to get married at relatively higher ages. The estimation results of the hazard model show that women belonging to later cohorts and those with more schooling have a tendency to get married at higher ages. The effect of the birth cohorts is thought to be due to the economic, social, and cultural changes in Korea during the late 50 years or so. The time interval between a woman‘s marriage and first birth was found not to be affected by either the year of marriage or that of her birth. Also, those who remained employed for some time around their marriage and those with low schooling were found to have a lower first child birth hazard, which implies that married women’s employment status and family income play an important role in their decisions on childbirth.

The seven-year cumulative survival rate of Osstem implants

  • Kim, Young-Kyun;Kim, Bum-Su;Yun, Pil-Young;Mun, Sang-Un;Yi, Yang-Jin;Kim, Su-Gwan;Jeong, Kyung-In
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.68-75
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: This study was performed to analyze the cumulative survival rate of Osstem implants (Osstem Implant Co., Ltd.) over a seven-year period. Materials and Methods: A total of 105 patients who had 467 Osstem implants that were placed at the Section of Dentistry, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital (Seongnam, Korea) from June 2003 through December 2005 were analyzed. The life table method and a cross-tubulation analysis, log rank test were used to evaluate the survival curve and the influence that the prognostic factors. The prognostic factors, i.e., age and gender of patients, diameter and length, type of implants, bone graft history and loading time were determined with a Cox proportional hazard model based on logistic regression analysis. Results: The seven-year cumulative survival rate of Osstem implants was 95.37%. The Cox proportional hazard model revealed that the following factors had a significant influence on survival rate; increased diameter, reduced prosthetic loading period and performance of bone grafting. Conclusion: The osstem implants showed satisfactory results over the seven-year study period.

Risk evaluation of EVA dust with oxidizer by a pressure vessel (압력용기시험에 의한 EVA분진의 혼촉 위험성 평가)

  • 이창우;김정환;현성호
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 1999
  • Thermal properties of EVA dust and its risks of coexisting with oxidizer were investigated by a pressure vessel. The decomposition of EVA dust with temperature using DSC and the weight loss with temperature using TGA were also investigated to find the thermal hazard of EVA dust. Using the pressure vessel which can estimate ignition and explosion of EVA dust coexisting with oxidizer by bursting of a rupture disc, many experiments have been conducted by varying the orifice diameter, heating rate, the weight ratio of the sample coexisting with oxidizer, and the species of oxidizer. According to the results of the thermal analysis of EVA dust, a little change of the decomposition initiation temperature with the heating rate could be found and the decomposition temperature zone of EVA dust was 250 to 50$0^{\circ}C$. The risk of EVA dust coexisting with oxidizer was increased as the orifice diameter was decreased. On the other hand, it was increased as the heating rate and the weight ratio of the sample coexisting with oxidizer were increased. In addition, the risk of EVA dust coexisting with oxidizer was affected by the decomposition temperature of the sample and oxidizer, respectively, at slow heating rate, but it was affected by the oxygen weight percent of oxidizer at fast heating rate.

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A Study on the Application of Survival Analysis to Terminated Life Insurance Polices

  • Kang, Jung-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.237-253
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    • 2005
  • In Korea, the volume of insurance industry has been increased rapidly with helping the economic growth, the increment of GNP and derive of public welfare policy. But the other side of the volume increment, the life insurers have some problems, such as the high rate of turnover, lapses and surrenders, in processing of acquiring more insurance contracts. The object of this paper is the analysis of the causes and properties of the high rate of turnover, lapses and surrenders using statistical survival model. Also we hope that the insurers will use the results of analysis to reduce the rates.

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