• 노동경제논집
• /
• 제43권2호
• /
• pp.41-74
• /
• 2020

본 연구는 한국고용정보원의 청년패널조사 직업력자료(1~12차 : 2007~2018년)를 이용하여 임금근로자의 첫 일자리 취업 특성과 지속기간 분포를 살펴보고, 첫 일자리 이탈 영향요인을 생존분석(survival analysis)을 활용하여 추정하였다. 분석 결과, 다른 조건이 일정한 상태에서 상용직 근로자의 이탈 가능성이 임시/일용직 근로자에 비해 낮고, 전공일치도가 높은 집단은 전공불일치 집단보다 이탈 가능성이 매우 낮은 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 소득수준이 높을수록 이탈 가능성은 매우 낮은 것으로 나타나, 저소득 취업자의 이탈 가능성이 매우 큼을 반증하고 있다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
• /
• 제15권3호
• /
• pp.319-334
• /
• 2018

In this paper, an analytical study was carried out to propose an optimum base-isolated system for the design of steel structures equipped with lead rubber bearings (LRB). For this, 5 and 10-storey steel moment resisting frames (MRFs) were designed as Special Moment Frame (SMF). These two-dimensional and three-bay frames equipped with a set of isolation systems within a predefined range that minimizes the response of the base-isolated frames subjected to a series of earthquakes. In the design of LRB, two main parameters, namely, isolation period (T) and the ratio of strength to weight (Q/W) supported by isolators were considered as 2.25, 2.5, 2.75 and 3 s, 0.05, 0.10 and 0.15, respectively. The Force-deformation behavior of the isolators was modelled by the bi-linear behavior which could reflect the nonlinear characteristics of the lead-plug bearings. The base-isolated frames were modelled using a finite element program and those performances were evaluated in the light of the nonlinear time history analyses by six natural accelerograms compatible with seismic hazard levels of 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years. The performance of the isolated frames was assessed in terms of roof displacement, relative displacement, interstorey drift, absolute acceleration, base shear and hysteretic curve.

• 노동경제논집
• /
• 제37권4호
• /
• pp.1-24
• /
• 2014

본 연구는 2010년 조기재취업수당 제도 변화 전후의 수급자 특성을 살펴보고, 실업자 재취업 촉진에 대한 성과 변화를 살펴본다. 조기재취업수당 수급자에 대한 특성 분석 결과, 제도 변경 이후로 여성 및 고령층의 수급확률이 증가하고 중졸 이하 저학력층의 수급확률이 증가하였다. 이는 실제 수혜집단이 취업 애로계층으로 다소 전환되어 노동시장 취약집단의 취업촉진이라는 조기재취업수당의 정책 목표에 보다 근접해졌음을 시사한다. 제도 변경전 후의 재취업률과 재취업된 일자리 유지율을 비교한 결과, 재취업률에는 큰 변화가 없어서 수급요건 강화로 인한 구직자의 재취업 유인 감소 효과가 크지 않은 것으로 판단된다. 이와 더불어, 조기재취업수당 수급자의 재취업 일자리 유지율은 제도 변화 이후 높아진 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국철도학회논문집
• /
• 제12권6호
• /
• pp.936-943
• /
• 2009

본 연구에서는 철도사고 위험분석 및 위험도 평가절차에 따라 철도건널목사고에 대한 정량적인 위험도평가를 위한 모델을 사건수목 및 고장수목 분석기법을 이용하여 개발하였다. 위험사건이 발생하여 인명피해로 결과하는 과정에서의 영향인자들을 분석하여 사고진전 시나리오를 구성하였으며, 고장수목분석(FTA, Fault Tree Analysis)을 이용하여 시나리오 경로별 발생확률을 산정하고, 사건수목분석(ETA, Event Tree Analysis)을 이용하여 심각도 값을 산정함으로써 이들의 조합으로 위험도를 산정하는 위험도 평가 모델을 제시하였다. 또한 실제발생한 위험도값과 개발모델을 이용하여 산정된 위험도값의 비교를 통하여 개발모델의 신뢰성 및 타당성을 검증하였다.

• 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 대한원격탐사학회 2004년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2004
• /
• pp.314-317
• /
• 2004

The aim of this study was to evaluate the susceptibility from landslides in the Lai Chau region of Vietnam, using Geographic Information System (GIS) and remote sensing data, focusing on the relationship between tectonic fractures and landslides. Landslide locations were identified from an interpretation of aerial photographs and field surveys. Topographic and geological data and satellite images were collected, processed, and constructed into a spatial database using GIS data and image processing techniques, and a scheme of the tectonic fracturing of the crust in the Lai Chau region was established. In this scheme, Lai Chau was identified as a region with low crustal fractures, with the grade of tectonic fracture having a close relationship with landslide occurrence. The factors found to influence landslide occurrence were: topographic slope, topographic aspect, topographic curvature, distance from drainage, lithology, distance from a tectonic fracture and land cover. Landslide prone areas were analyzed and mapped using the landslide occurrence factors employing the probability-likelihood ratio method. The results of the analysis were verified using landslide location data, and these showed a satisfactory agreement between the hazard map and existing landslide location data.

• 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume II
• /
• pp.717-720
• /
• 2006

In this study, we predicted locations vulnerable to ground subsidence hazard using fuzzy logic and geographic information system (GIS). Test was carried out at an abandoned underground coal mine in Samcheok City, Korea. Estimation of relative ratings of eight major factors influencing subsidence and determination of effective fuzzy operators are presented. Eight major factors causing ground subsidence were extracted and constructed as a spatial database using the spatial analysis and the probability analysis functions. The eight factors include geology, slope, landuse, depth of mined tunnel, distance from mined tunnel, RMR, permeability, and depth of ground water. A frequency ratio model was applied to calculate relative rating of each factor, and the ratings were integrated using fuzzy membership function and five different fuzzy operators to produce a ground subsidence susceptibility map. The ground subsidence susceptibility map was verified by comparing it with the existing ground subsidences. The obtained susceptibility map well agreed with the actual ground subsidence areas. Especially, ${\gamma}-operator$ and algebraic product operator were the most effective among the tested fuzzy operators.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
• /
• 제20권5호
• /
• pp.527-542
• /
• 2005

The main objective of this study is to examine the accuracy of the complete quadratic combination (CQC) rule with the modal responses defined by the ordinates of the uniform hazard spectra (UHS) to evaluate the peak responses of the multi-degree-of-freedom (MDOF) systems subjected to nonstationary seismic excitations. For the probabilistic analysis of the peak responses, it is considered that the seismic excitations can be modeled using evolutionary power spectra density functions with uncertain model parameters. More specifically, a seismological model and the Kanai-Tajimi model with the boxcar or the exponential modulating functions were used to define the evolutionary power spectral density functions in this study. A set of UHS was obtained based on the probabilistic analysis of transient responses of single-degree-of-freedom systems subjected to the seismic excitations. The results of probabilistic analysis of the peak responses of MDOF systems were obtained, and compared with the peak responses calculated by using the CQC rule with the modal responses given by the UHS. The comparison seemed to indicate that the use of the CQC rule with the commonly employed correlation coefficient and the peak modal responses from the UHS could lead to significant under- or over-estimation when contributions from each of the modes are similarly significant.

• 한국GIS학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국GIS학회 2003년도 공동 춘계학술대회 논문집
• /
• pp.65-70
• /
• 2003

The weight-of-evidence model one of the Bayesian probability model was applied to the task of evaluating landslide susceptibility using GIS. Using the location of the landslides and spatial database such as topography, soil, forest, geology, land use and lineament, the weight-of-evidence model was applied to calculate each factor's rating at Boun area in Korea where suffered substantial landslide damage fellowing heavy rain in 1998, The factors are slope, aspect and curvature from the topographic database, soil texture, soil material, soil drainage, soil effective thickness, and topographic type from the soil database, forest type, timber diameter, timber age and forest density from the forest map, lithology from the geological database, land use from Landsat TM satellite image and lineament from IRS satellite image. Tests of conditional independence were performed for the selection of the factors, allowing the 43 combinations of factors to be analyzed. For the analysis, the contrast value, W$\^$＋/and W$\^$-/, as each factor's rating, were overlaid to map laudslide susceptibility. The results of the analysis were validated using the observed landslide locations, and among the combinations, the combination of slope, curvature, topographic, timber diameter, geology and lineament show the best results. The results can be used for hazard prevention and planning land use and construction

• 한국강구조학회 논문집
• /
• 제21권6호
• /
• pp.553-561
• /
• 2009

고속도로표지판과 방음벽 등의 도로시설물에 대한 풍하중 위험도해석을 수행하였다. 풍하중의 확률모델은 풍속관측으로부터 추정한 극치분포를 사용하였으며 도로시설물의 구조변수에도 확률적 변동성을 부여하였다. 도로시설물의 안정성에 대한 한계상태함수를 정의하여 신뢰성해석을 수행하였으며 풍속재해도를 고려하여 도로시설물의 위험도 해석을 수행하였다. 고속도로 시설물의 위험도 평가결과 방음벽의 위험도가 도로표지판 보다 매우 높게 평가되었다. 이는 두 시설의 내풍설계 기준이 불일치하기 때문이며 위험도의 균일한 분산을 위해 설계풍압식의 통일 및 개선이 필요함을 보였다.

• 미생물학회지
• /
• 제37권2호
• /
• pp.101-108
• /
• 2001

환경에서 병원성 미생물의 발생에 관련된 자료를 분석하는 일은 잠재적 보건 위해성을 판단하고 그에 따른 적절한 조치를 취하는데 종종 결정적인 역할을 한다. 이러한 일들은 과거에는 주로 정성적이고, 주관적인 방법으로 이루어 졌지만, 최근에는 정량적 위해성 평가(Quantitative Risk Assessment: QRA)로 이루어지는데, 이러한 QRA는 병원성 미생물로부터의 감염이나 발병, 또는 치사율 등의 위해성을 정량적인 방법으로 표현하는 접근법이다. 따라서, 이와 같은 정보는 정책 결정권자가 위해성의 확대와 비용부담, 그리고 적절한 조치를 취했을 때 기대할 수 있는 이점을 결정하는데 보다 더 잘 이용할 수 있다. 본 문에서는 위해성 분석의 과제에 대한 일반적인 배경을 살펴보고 문제해결 과정에서 미생물 위해성 평가가 어떻게 활용 가능한지를 살펴보았다.