• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.227-235
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• 1998

In this paper, we consider a hierarchical Bayes estimation of the parameter, the reliability and hazard rate function based on type-II censored samples from a Rayleigh failure model. Bayes calculations can be implemented easily by means of the Gibbs sampler. A numerical study is provided.

• 산업공학
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• 제21권4호
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• pp.365-377
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• 2008

In this paper, for constructing the Korean Hazard Information System (KHIS), we conceptually design a hazard evaluation process. We first deal with a hazard evaluation process focused on flood hazard to give the most immense damage and loss. The hazard evaluation process is consist of a damage evaluation process and a loss evaluation process, and is used for transforming hazards from natural disasters into economic measures. The proposed process is developed based on the famous FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency)'s $HAZAS^{@MH}$methodology. We modify the FEMA's process to be mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, that is all losses from the hazards are included into the estimation process but the losses are not duplicated in the process. In addition to this, we define the loss process specifically by considering the characteristics from the hazard environments of Korea. We can expect that KHIS for evaluating economic losses from natural hazards can be developed based on the conceptual design for the economic loss evaluation process, and KHIS can be used as a useful tool for analyzing the feasibilities of mitigation plans in central/local governments.

• Wind and Structures
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• 제35권4호
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• pp.287-296
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• 2022

Analyzing the typhoon wind hazards is crucial to determine the extreme wind load on engineering structures in the typhoon prone region. In essence, the typhoon hazard analysis is a high-dimensional problem with randomness arising from the typhoon genesis, environmental variables and the boundary layer wind field. This study suggests a dimension reduction approach by decoupling the original typhoon hazard analysis into two stages. At the first stage, the randomness of the typhoon genesis and environmental variables are propagated through the typhoon track model and intensity model into the randomness of the key typhoon parameters. At the second stage, the probability distribution information of the key typhoon parameters, combined with the randomness of the boundary layer wind field, could be used to estimate the extreme wind hazard. The Chinese southeast coastline is taken as an example to demonstrate the adequacy and efficiency of the suggested decoupling approach.

• 노동경제논집
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• 제26권1호
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• pp.111-151
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• 2003

본 논문은 한국노동패널을 자료로, 위험도 모형 (hazard model)과 Cox 모형을 이용하여 실엽탈출확률 및 요인분석을 시도한 것이다. 실업탈출확률 분석의 결과, 수도권의 경우 실업률 수준 자체는 높지만 실업기간은 오히려 짧은 것으로 나타났다. 수도권과 비수도권 간의 분절성의 존재가 확인되었으며 경상도가 전라도 및 충청도에 비하여 실업탈출확률이 높게 나타나 경상도가 여타 지방과의 차이가 있다는 점도 확인되었다. 구체적으로는 수도권의 평균 실업기간이 9.29개월인 데 비하여 비수도권은 11.86개월로 수도권에서의 실업기간이 2.5개월(유의수준 0.001) 짧게 나타나 수도권에서의 실업탈출이 훨씬 수월함을 알 수 있었으며, 전라도 경상도 간의 차이를 보면, 평균 실업기간에서 전라도가 10.95개월 경상도가 6.96월로 4개월 정도로 전라도가 길게 유의하게 나타난다. 한편, 실업탈출에 영향을 주는 요인분석 결과를 보면, 대도시 이외의 지역, 비수도권 등 노동시장 취약지역에서는 여성일수록, 근속기간이 길수록, 임금근로자일수록, 제조업, 도소매업에 종사했던 근로자일수록 실업으로부터의 탈출확률이 낮아지고 있다. 위의 사실은 지역별 업종별 노동시장정책이 필요하며 특히 지역별 한계근로자에 대한 특성을 파악하여 새로운 직종이나 산업으로의 이동이 원활히 진행될 수 있도록 노동시장정책이 지역별로 보다 세밀히 수립 집행되어야 함을 시사한다.

• Journal of Platform Technology
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• 제6권3호
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• pp.3-9
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• 2018

This paper describes the design and trial development of a system that supports continuous hazard mapping by local residents in their daily life. We performed an interview survey to design our system in a model traditional town in Saga Prefecture, Japan. The results show that despite continued efforts, many practical problems remain and residents feel unsafe. Considering these results, we designed and developed a unique information and communication technology-based support system that contributes to community-based disaster prevention and reduction. The continuous resident participation and posting design are the core concept for our community-based approach. Our system continues to support making a hazard map by integrating the community-based hazard information. Local residents register information (disaster types, risk level, photographs, comments, positional information) about locations that could be dangerous in a disaster. In addition, our system enables information sharing through a Web server. We expect that this information sharing will allow local hazard information for each district to be used.

• 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.87-101
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• 2007

The definition and concept of disasters and their preparedness have been changing according to the modern situation. The basic change is that the concept of absolute standard and prevention of hardware damage in the past have been changing to the concept of relative standard and mitigation of direct damage to human. For achieving the purpose, advanced countries developed and used their own analysis method of hazard and vulnerability for disaster ; ASHE hazard and vulnerability evaluation method, hazard matrix method by CDC, FEMA model method and SMUG hazard priority method. Because each analysis method cannot evaluate the hazard and vulnerability for specific disaster, the advantages and disadvantages should be applied for specific situation of disaster in Korea and new analysis method should be extracted in the future.

• International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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• 제6권3호
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• pp.193-200
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• 2018

This paper describes the design and trial development of a system that supports continuous hazard mapping by local residents in their daily life. We performed an interview survey to design our system in a model traditional town in Saga Prefecture, Japan. The results show that despite continued efforts, many practical problems remain and residents feel unsafe. Considering these results, we designed and developed a unique information and communication technology-based support system that contributes to community-based disaster prevention and reduction. The continuous resident participation and posting design are the core concept for our community-based approach. Our system continues to support making a hazard map by integrating the community-based hazard information. Local residents register information (disaster types, risk level, photographs, comments, positional information) about locations that could be dangerous in a disaster. In addition, our system enables information sharing through a Web server. We expect that this information sharing will allow local hazard information for each district to be used.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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• pp.365-368
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• 2008

The concept of "ubiquitous" has become the top issue of the 21st century communications field within the past years. u-City has become the new city paradigm with the convergence of city planning and ubiquitous communication technologies and services. Starting from 2004, KT has collaborated with the Korean government to develop comfortable, convenient, pleasant, safe, and healthy IT technology based u-City focusing on; balanced development, value creation, and improved standard of living within the region. Presently the term, "hazard mitigation services" lacks a clear definition due to its varying applications by different local agencies and has caused confusion. Therefore, this report will clarify and define u-City hazard mitigation services currently proposed to the local agencies as well as services currently in effect. Additionally, the report will introduce hazard mitigation service models feasible by KT.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.191-201
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• 2024

A comprehensive probabilistic seismic hazard analysis was carried out in Istanbul to examine the seismotectonic features of the region. The results showed that earthquakes can trigger one another, resulting in the grouping of earthquakes in both time and space. The hazard analysis utilized the Poisson model and a conventional integration technique to generate the hazard curve, which shows the likelihood of ground motion surpassing specific values over a given period. Additionally, the study evaluated the impact of seismic hazard on the structural integrity of an existing masonry tower by simulating its seismic response under different ground motion intensities. The study's results emphasize the importance of considering the seismotectonic characteristics of an area when assessing seismic hazard and the structural performance of buildings in seismic-prone regions.

• Coupled systems mechanics
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• 제11권6호
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• pp.505-524
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• 2022

Floods represent extreme hydrological phenomena that affect populations, environment, social, political, and ecological systems. After the catastrophic floods that have hit Europe and the World in recent decades, the flood problem has become more current. At the EU level, a legal framework has been put in place with the entry into force of Directive 2007/60/EC on Flood Risk Assessment and Management (Flood Directive). Two years after the entry into force of the Floods Directive, Bosnia and Herzegovina (B&H), has adopted a Regulation on the types and content of water protection plans, which takes key steps and activities under the Floods Directive. The "Methodology for developing flood hazard and risk maps" (Methodology) was developed for the territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina, following the methodology used in the majority of EU member states, but with certain modifications to the country's characteristics. Accordingly, activities for the preparation of the Preliminary Flood Risk Assessment for each river basin district were completed in 2015 for the territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Activities on the production of hazard maps and flood risk maps are in progress. The results of probable climate change impact model forecasts should be included in the preparation of the Flood Risk Management Plans, which is the subsequent phase of implementing the Flood Directive. By the foregoing, the paper will give an example of the development of the hydrodynamic model of the Zujevina River, as well as the development of hazard and risk maps. Hazard and risk maps have been prepared for medium probability floods of 1/100 as well as for high probability floods of 1/20. The results of LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) recording were used to create a digital terrain model (DMR). It was noticed that there are big differences between the flood maps obtained by recording LiDAR techniques in relation to the previous flood maps obtained using georeferenced topographic maps. Particular attention is given to explaining the Methodology applied in Bosnia and Herzegovina.