• 제목/요약/키워드: growth simulation

검색결과 1,085건 처리시간 0.027초

Constraints and opportunities to sustain future wheat yield and water productivity in semi-arid environment

  • Ahmad, Mirza Junaid;Choi, Kyung-Sook
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.185-185
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    • 2019
  • Sustaining future wheat production is challenged by anthropogenically forced climate warming and drying led by increased concentration of greenhouse gases all around the globe. Warming stresses, originating from the elevated $CO_2$ concentration, are continuously reported to have negative impacts on wheat growth and yield. Yet, elevated $CO_2$ concentration, despite being disparagingly blamed for promoting warming, is also associated with a phenomenon called $CO_2$ enrichment; in which wheat yield can improve due to the enhanced photosynthesis rates and less water loss through transpiration. The conflicting nature of climate warming and $CO_2$ enrichment and their interplay can have specific implications under different environments. It is established form the field and simulation studies that the two contrasting phenomena would act severely in their own respect under arid and semi-arid environments. Wheat is a dietary staple for masses in Pakistan. The country's wheat production system is under constant stress to produce more from irrigated agricultural lands, primarily lying under arid to semi-arid environments, to meet the rapidly growing domestic needs. This work comprehensively examines the warming impacts over wheat yield and water productivity (WP), with and without the inclusion of $CO_2$ enrichment, under semi-arid environment of Punjab which is the largest agricultural province of Pakistan. Future wheat yields and WPs were simulated by FAO developed AquaCrop model v 5.0. The model was run using the bias-correction climate change projections up to 2080 under two representative concentration pathways (RCP) scenarios: 4.5 and 8.5. Wheat yield and WPs decreased without considering the $CO_2$ enrichment effects owing to the elevated irrigation demands and accelerated evapotranspiration rates. The results suggested that $CO_2$ enrichment could help maintain the current yield and WPs levels during the 2030s (2021-2050); however, it might not withhold the negative climate warming impacts during the 2060s (2051-2080). Furthermore, 10 - 20 day backward shift in sowing dates could also help ease the constraints imposed by climate warming over wheat yields and WPs. Although, $CO_2$ enrichment showed promises to counteract the adverse climate warming impacts but the interactions between climate warming and $CO_2$ concentrations were quite uncertain and required further examination.

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GPS-X 시뮬레이션을 이용한 적정 연계처리부하량 분석 (Analysis of Proper Linked Treatment Load Using GPS-X Simulation)

  • 김성지;이지원;길경익
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.244-250
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    • 2019
  • 급격한 산업발전과 인구증가로 인해 최근 지자체 및 하수처리장에서 하수처리장으로 연계하여 처리하는 연계처리수가 많은 문제를 나타내는 것으로 조사되었다. 연계처리수는 일반하수대비 저유량 고농도의 특성을 가지고 있다. 따라서 이러한 특성은 공공하수처리시설의 하수처리 난이도 및 하수처리 단가를 증가시키는 영향을 미친다. 하수처리단가를 증가시키는 많은 영향인자 중 '연계처리부하/설계유입수부하(%)'가 가장 상관성이 높은 인자로 도출되었고, 그 후 공공하수처리시설 선정 및 모델링을 통해 4계절의 영향을 고려한 온도 조건 및 '연계처리부하/설계유입수부하(%)' 증가 조건에 따른 설계방류수질 초과 범위를 조사했다. 그 결과 TN의 경우 $5^{\circ}C$, $10^{\circ}C$, $20^{\circ}C$, $25^{\circ}C$ 조건에서 각각 '연계처리부하/설계유입부하(%)'가 각각 19.7%, 22.6%, 25.1%. 27.7%로 나타났고, TP의 경우 $5^{\circ}C$, $10^{\circ}C$, $20^{\circ}C$, $25^{\circ}C$ 조건에서 각각 '연계처리부하/설계유입부하(%)'가 각각 10.7%, 12.2%, 15.6%, 17.5%로 조사되었다.

딥러닝 기반의 기술가치평가와 평가변수 추정 (Deep Learning-based Technology Valuation and Variables Estimation)

  • 성태응;김민승;이찬호;최지혜;장용주;이정희
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제21권10호
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    • pp.48-58
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    • 2021
  • 국내 산업성장의 동력이 되는 기업의 기술 및 사업역량 확보를 위해, 2014년 이후 정부기관을 중심으로 『기술거래 시장 활성화』, 『기술금융 기반의 R&D 사업화지원』등 다양한 형태로 사업화 성과창출을 위한 정책 프로그램이 수행되어 왔다. 현재까지 기술가치평가 이론과 평가변수에 관한 다양한 연구가 각계 전문가들에 의해 수행되고 기술사업화 현업에서 이용되어 왔으나, 평가현장에서는 평가목적 상의 기대보다 기술가치평가 금액이 적게 산출되는 등의 한계점이 존재하여, 그 실용성에 의문이 제기되어 왔다. 또한 미래에 대한 정성적 추정에 기반한 현행 기술가치평가 프로세스는 평가결과에 대한 객관성과 신뢰성 확보를 위해 데이터에 근거한 참조 인프라 구축이 필요한 시기에 이르렀다. 본 연구에서는 기관별로 구축된 평가인프라를 살펴보고, 최신의 인공신경망 및 딥러닝 기술을 기술가치평가 시스템에 탑재하기 위해 핵심변수 기반의 가치금액 추정 시뮬레이션과 매출액 및 정성평가점수의 예측을 위한 적용 가능성을 살펴본다.

DNDC 지역별 구동을 위한 입력자료 생성 도구 개발 (Development of an Input File Preparation Tool for Offline Coupling of DNDC and DSSAT Models)

  • 현신우;황우성;유희진;김광수
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.68-81
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    • 2021
  • 농업 생태계는 주요 온실가스의 배출원 중 하나로, 농경지에서의 온실가스 배출량을 최소화하면서 최적의 수량을 얻기 위한 기후변화 적응옵션을 도출하기 위해서는, 상세한 공간적 규모에서 여러 모형들을 연계하여 구동하는 것이 유리하다. 본 연구에서는 DSSAT 모형과 DNDC 모형을 연계하여 상세한 공간 규모에서 기후변화 영향평가를 수행할 수 있도록 지원하기 위한 도구를 개발하고자 하였다. 객체 지향 언어인 R과 C++을 사용하여 DNDC 모형의 격자형 입력자료를 생성하기 위한 DRIFT (DNDC Regional Input File Tool)을 구현하였다. 기후변화 조건에서 격자별 작물 생육모의를 위해 생성된 DSSAT 모형의 입력자료 및 출력자료를 사용하여 DNDC 모형의 입력자료를 생성하였다. 생성된 입력자료를 사용하여 미래 기후변화 조건에서의 온실가스 배출량을 모의하였다. 입력자료를 생성하는 시간은 격자 지점의 수에 비례하여 증가하였다. 그 중, DSSAT 모형의 담수 깊이 자료를 DNDC 모형의 담수 기간으로 변환하는 과정에서 시간이 비교적 오래 걸렸으나, 그 외의 입력자료를 생성하는 데에는 짧은 시간만이 소요되었다. 본 연구에서는 비교적 적은 지점을 대상으로 하였으나, 대량의 자료를 처리하고자 할 경우 일부 계산과정을 병렬화함으로써 구동시간을 줄일 필요가 있을 것이다. 이후 다른 모형들에 대한 확장을 통해 모형 간 연계를 위한 입력자료 생성에 소요되는 시간을 줄일 수 있을 것이다.

한우 창업모델 설계에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Design of Hanwoo Farming Model)

  • 신용광
    • 현장농수산연구지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.12-22
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구는 한우농가가 신규 창업모델로 활용할 수 있는 영농모델을 개발하는 데 연구목적이 있었다. 이를 위해 먼저 가축의 생육 사이클을 작성하고 사육 기간별 생리, 송아지 구입 및 판매 등의 개체별 생산계획 모델을 작성하였다. 다음으로 한우 사육 형태에 따른 시뮬레이션 분석을 통해 한우농장을 창업하는 2가지 시뮬레이션 모델의 수익성을 제시하였다. 먼저 번식우의 생육 사이클은 다음과 같이 설정하였다. 번식농가는 어린 송아지를 분만한 이후에 2개월간의 포유기간과 11개월의 육성 기간을 거쳐 14개월부터 교배 후 초임우로 이용한다. 이후 3산 동안 번식우로 활용한 이후에 50개월령부터 6~7개월의 암소 비육단계를 거쳐 출하한다. 비육우의 생육 사이클은 다음과 같이 설정하였다. 일관경영으로 생산한 암송아지는 사육두수 확대를 위해 일부를 번식우로 활용하고 나머지는 6~7개월령에 판매한다. 수송아지는 포유와 육성 기간을 거쳐 6~7개월령에 판매하도록 설정하였다. 다음으로 축사 규모를 고려하여 분만과 수정 등의 정보와 판매 시기 등의 정보에 따라서 자가 생산 두수 및 판매 두수를 결정하도록 모델을 설계하였다. 또한 어린 송아지의 경우 사고나 질병으로 인한 폐사가 발생하기 쉬우므로 농장 전체의 번식률을 고려하여 사육두수를 계산하였다. 본 연구에서는 한우 농가의 창업 초기 가축의 구입 방법에 따라 2가지 시뮬레이션 모델을 가정하였다. Model 1은 6~7개월령의 육성우만을 구입하여 사육한 이후에 이를 번식우로 계속 활용하여 상시 사육두수 100두를 유지하는 모델이며, Model 2는 창업 초기에 육성우와 2산 번식우 그리고 3산 번식우를 적정한 비율로 구입하여 상시 사육두수 100두를 첫 연도부터 유지하는 모델이다. 분석결과, 창업 초기에 번식우와 육성우 비율을 고려한 창업 시뮬레이션 모델(Model 2)은 육성우만을 구입하는 창업 시뮬레이션 모델(Model 1)과 비교하여 다음의 특징이 있었다. 첫째, 가축 구입에 따른 초기투자액이 상대적으로 많이 소요되었다. 둘째, 매년 일정 금액의 수입이 발생하기 때문에 농장의 안정성 측면에서 유리하였다. 셋째, 시설이나 기계 등을 시작 연도부터 효율적으로 사용할 수 있었다.

치위생과 학생의 자기 주도적 학습능력에 영향을 미치는 요인 (Factors Affecting the Self-Directed Learning Ability of Dental Hygiene Students)

  • 강현숙;소미현;조윤영
    • 한국학교ㆍ지역보건교육학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2022
  • Objectives: This study aimed to provide the measures for improving the self-directed learning ability and the reference data for substantializing the educational programs by verifying the main factors affecting the self-directed learning ability of dental hygiene students in reality when the learners' autonomy is emphasized than ever. Methods: From June 20 to July 4, 2022, an online survey was conducted targeting total 218 dental hygiene students. The collected data was analyzed by using the SPSS Program Version 22.0. Results: First, in the results of analyzing differences in detailed items of self-directed learning ability according to the general characteristics, the 'students who entered the department of dental hygiene by considering their aptitude and interest' showed higher results than the 'students who entered the department by considering their high school record'. Second, when the academic efficacy, study immersion, and problem-solving ability of dental hygiene students were higher, their self-directed learning ability was also high. Third, the factor that had the greatest effect on self-directed learning ability of dental hygiene students was problem-solving ability, which was followed by academic efficacy and study immersion. Conclusion: Putting together the results above, in order to cultivate the problem-solving ability of dental hygiene students, it would be necessary to operate the problem-solving-centered simulation course that could foster critical thinking, interactions with others, and creative approach and solution to problems in dental medical site. It would be also possible to improve their academic efficacy by applying the learning mentoring & one-to-one learning counseling program, and also strengthening proper feedbacks for learners. Moreover, the study immersion could be strengthened by developing and operating the emotion-based learning motivation program & learning coaching program through the process of verifying the potential and growth needs of learners, exploring one's own resources through learning diagnosis/introspection, and exploring the career-related vision for strengthening the learning motivation, which could have positive effects on the improvement of self-directed learning ability.

공군수송기와 기상항공기를 연계한 인공강우 사례실험 분석 (Analysis of Cloud Seeding Case Experiment in Connection with Republic of Korea Air Force Transport and KMA/NIMS Atmospheric Research Aircrafts)

  • 임윤규;장기호;노용훈;구정모;채상희;구해정;김민후;박동오;정운선;이광재;김선희;차주완;이용희
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제32권12호
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    • pp.899-914
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    • 2023
  • Various seeding materials for cloud seeding are being used, and sodium chloride powder is one of them, which is commonly used. This study analyzed the experimental results of multi-aircraft cloud seeding in connection with Republic of Korea Air Force (CN235) and KMA/NIMS(Korea Meteorological Administration/National Institute of Meteorological Sciences) Atmospheric Research Aircraft. Powdered sodium chloride was used in CN235 for the first time in South Korea. The analysis of the cloud particle size distributions and radar reflectivity before and after cloud seeding showed that the growth efficiency of powdery seeding material in the cloud is slightly higher than that of hygroscopic flare composition in the distribution of number concentrations by cloud aerosol particle diameter (10 ~ 1000 ㎛). Considering the radar reflectivity, precipitation, and numerical model simulation, the enhanced precipitation due to cloud seeding was calculated to be a maximum of 3.7 mm for 6 hours. The simulated seeding effect area was about 3,695 km2, which corresponds to 13,634,550 tons of water. In the precipitation component analysis, as a direct verification method, the ion equivalent concentrations (Na+, Cl-, Ca2+) of the seeding material at the Bukgangneung site were found to be about 1000 times higher than those of other non-affected areas between about 1 and 2 hours after seeding. This study suggests the possibility of continuous multi-aircraft cloud seeding experiments to accumulate and increase the amount of precipitation enhancement.

우리나라 연안화물선의 적정선복량 추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Estimating Optimal Tonnage of Coastal Cargo Vessels in Korea)

  • 이청환;이철영
    • 한국항해학회지
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.21-53
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    • 1989
  • In the past twenty years, there has been a rapid increase in the volume of traffic in Korea due to the Korean great growth of the Korean economy. Since transformation provides an infrastructure vital to economic growth, it becomes more and more an integral part of the Korea economy. The importance of coastal shipping stands out in particular, not only because of the expansion limit on the road network, but also because of saturation in the capacity of rail transportation. In spite of this increase and its importance, coastal shipping is falling behind partly because it is givenless emphasis than ocean-going shipping and other inland transportation systems and partly because of overcompetition due to excessive ship tonnage. Therefore, estimating and planning optimum ship tonnage is the first take to develop Korean coastal shipping. This paper aims to estimate the optimum coastal ship tonnage by computer simulation and finally to draw up plans for the ship tonnage balance according to supply and demand. The estimation of the optimum ship tonnage is peformed by the method of Origin -Destimation and time series analysis. The result are as follows : (1) The optimum ship tonnage in 1987 was 358, 680 DWT, which is 54% of the current ship tonnage (481 ships, 662, 664DWT) that is equal to the optimum ship tonnage in 1998. this overcapacity result is in excessive competition and financial difficulties in Korea coastal shipping. (2) The excessive ship tonnage can be broken down into ship types as follows : oil carrier 250, 926 DWT(350%), cement carrier 9, 977 DWT(119%), iron material/machinery carrier 25, 665 DWT(117%), general cargo carrier 17, 416DWT(112%). (3) the current total ship crew of 5, 079 is more than the verified optimally efficient figure of 3, 808 by 1271. (4) From the viewpoint of management strategy, it is necessary that excessive ship tonnage be reduced and uneconomic outdated vessels be broken up. And its found that the diversion into economically efficient fleets is urgently required in order to meet increasing annual rate in the amounts of cargo(23, 877DWT). (5) The plans for the ship tonnage balance according to supply and demand are as follows 1) The establishment of a legislative system for the arrangement of ship tonnage. This would involve; (a) The announcement of an optimum tonnage which guides the licensing of cargo vessels and ship tonnage supply. (b) The establishment of an organization that substantially arrangement tonnage in Korea coastal shipping. 2) The announcement of an optimum ship tonnage both per year and short-term that guides current tonnage supply plans. 3) The settlement of elastic tariffs resulting in the protect6ion of coastal shipping's share from other tonnage supply plans. 4) The settlement of elastic tariffs resulting in the protection of coastal shipping's share from other transportation systems. 4) Restriction of ocean-going vessels from participating in coastal shipping routes. 5) Business rationalization of coastal shipping company which reduces uneconomic outdated vessels and boosts the national economy. If we are to achieve these ends, the followings are prerequisites; I) Because many non-licensed vessels are actually operating and threatening the safe voyage of the others in Korea coastal routes, it is necessary that those ind of vessels be controlled and punished by the authorities. II) The supply of ship tonnage in Korean coastal routes should be predently monitored because most of the coastal vessels are to small to be diverted into ocean-going routes in case of excessive supply. III) Every ship type which is engaged in coastal shipping should be specialized according to the characteristics of its routes as soon possible.

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조경수목의 제설제 피해저감을 위한 엽면코팅제 처리효과 분석 - 엽록소 형광분석법을 중심으로 - (Evaluation of the Coating Liquid Sprayed on Landscape Plants to Prevent De-icing Stresses - Focus on Chlorophyll Fluorescence Analysis -)

  • 권희범;김태진
    • 한국조경학회지
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    • 제35권6호
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2008
  • This study examined the de-icing agents' stresses on Pinus strobus and Pinus thunbergii by chlorophyll fluorescence analysis. The assumption of this study was that photosynthetic efficiency was changed by de-icing agents applied onto highways in winter by altering the concentration of the de-icier, types of de-icer and leaf surface coating liquid application. The practical purpose of this study was to investigate the de-icing gents stresses on Pinus strobus by the highway area where de-icing agents were used frequently and to discover out minimizing stratages to prevent further damages. or this simulation study, a sample plot was established in Bogae-myeon, Anseong, Gyeonggi-do and Pinus strobus and Pinus thunbergii were planted for the examination in April, 2005. Five types of de-icing agents - NaCl, $CaCl_2$, T product(NS40:low cWoride de-icer type), NaCl+$CaCl_2$ and T product+$CaCl_2$ - were selected and the their concentration was altered to 0%, 5%, and 9%. Five types of de-icing agents were applied to both trees treated by a leaf surface coating liquid and trees not treated by leaf surface coating liquid. For the fluorescence analysis, the leaf surface coating liquid, which was diluted by 10 times, was sprkinkled onto the two tree species three days prior to gathering samples. Sample leaves from the two tree species were gathered at 10 o'clock in the morning of mid-August, 2006 and brought to the laboratory within three hours to be dipped in different concentrations (0%, 5%, or 9%) of the five de-icing agents for two minutes. Then the eaves were placed on the filter paper dipped in each solution on a petri dish, sealed with polyethylene film and kept in a growth chamber at $22^{\circ}C$ for 72 hours. Out of the growth chamber, the leaves were treated with a chorophyll fluorescence reaction analyzer for 30 minutes to measure the initial light acceptance rate(Fo), maximum light acceptance ate(Fv/Fm), light acceptance usage(F' q/F' m) and optical electron delivery coefficient(qP). As a result, Pinus strobus' initial light acceptance rate(Fo) decreased as T product and NaCl increased in concentration, and $Cal_2$ did not reduce much with the eaf surface coating liquid application. Maximum light acceptance rate(Fv/Fm) and light acceptance usage(F' q/F' m) decreased sharply as T product and NaCl increased in concentration and NaCl+$CaCl_2$ and T product+$CaCl_2$ did not reduce much with leaf surface coating liquid application. Optical electrons delivery coefficient (qP) decreased as T product increased in concentration on trees without the leaf surface coating liquid application and all other de-icing agents did not show much reduction. As for Pinus thunbergii, the initial light acceptance rate(Fo) decreased as T product increased in concentration, but the maximum light acceptance rate(Fv/Fm) was not reduced much by changes in concentration. light acceptance usage(F' q/F' m) decreased as NaCl increased in concentration and optical electron delivery coefficient(qP) decreased as NaCl increased in concentration in both with and without leaf surface coating liquid application. In conclusion, it was possible to plant Pinus strobus if spraying leaf surface coating liquid or cleaning deicing salt to prevent the damage caused by deicing agents was more economical than replacing the trees. If not, it was better to plant Pinus thunbergii. Another way to decrease the deicing gents stresses of landscape plants would be planting the trees further away from the roads even though it might take longer period to display its planting functions.

토양수분함량 예측 및 계획관개 모의 모형 개발에 관한 연구(I) (A Study on the Development of a Simulation Model for Predicting Soil Moisture Content and Scheduling Irrigation)

  • 김철회;고재군
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.4279-4295
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    • 1977
  • Two types of model were established in order to product the soil moisture content by which information on irrigation could be obtained. Model-I was to represent the soil moisture depletion and was established based on the concept of water balance in a given soil profile. Model-II was a mathematical model derived from the analysis of soil moisture variation curves which were drawn from the observed data. In establishing the Model-I, the method and procedure to estimate parameters for the determination of the variables such as evapotranspirations, effective rainfalls, and drainage amounts were discussed. Empirical equations representing soil moisture variation curves were derived from the observed data as the Model-II. The procedure for forecasting timing and amounts of irrigation under the given soil moisture content was discussed. The established models were checked by comparing the observed data with those predicted by the model. Obtained results are summarized as follows: 1. As a water balance model of a given soil profile, the soil moisture depletion D, could be represented as the equation(2). 2. Among the various empirical formulae for potential evapotranspiration (Etp), Penman's formula was best fit to the data observed with the evaporation pans and tanks in Suweon area. High degree of positive correlation between Penman's predicted data and observed data with a large evaporation pan was confirmed. and the regression enquation was Y=0.7436X+17.2918, where Y represents evaporation rate from large evaporation pan, in mm/10days, and X represents potential evapotranspiration rate estimated by use of Penman's formula. 3. Evapotranspiration, Et, could be estimated from the potential evapotranspiration, Etp, by introducing the consumptive use coefficient, Kc, which was repre sensed by the following relationship: Kc=Kco$.$Ka+Ks‥‥‥(Eq. 6) where Kco : crop coefficient Ka : coefficient depending on the soil moisture content Ks : correction coefficient a. Crop coefficient. Kco. Crop coefficients of barley, bean, and wheat for each growth stage were found to be dependent on the crop. b. Coefficient depending on the soil moisture content, Ka. The values of Ka for clay loam, sandy loam, and loamy sand revealed a similar tendency to those of Pierce type. c. Correction coefficent, Ks. Following relationships were established to estimate Ks values: Ks=Kc-Kco$.$Ka, where Ks=0 if Kc,=Kco$.$K0$\geq$1.0, otherwise Ks=1-Kco$.$Ka 4. Effective rainfall, Re, was estimated by using following relationships : Re=D, if R-D$\geq$0, otherwise, Re=R 5. The difference between rainfall, R, and the soil moisture depletion D, was taken as drainage amount, Wd. {{{{D= SUM from { {i }=1} to n (Et-Re-I+Wd)}}}} if Wd=0, otherwise, {{{{D= SUM from { {i }=tf} to n (Et-Re-I+Wd)}}}} where tf=2∼3 days. 6. The curves and their corresponding empirical equations for the variation of soil moisture depending on the soil types, soil depths are shown on Fig. 8 (a,b.c,d). The general mathematical model on soil moisture variation depending on seasons, weather, and soil types were as follow: {{{{SMC= SUM ( { C}_{i }Exp( { - lambda }_{i } { t}_{i } )+ { Re}_{i } - { Excess}_{i } )}}}} where SMC : soil moisture content C : constant depending on an initial soil moisture content $\lambda$ : constant depending on season t : time Re : effective rainfall Excess : drainage and excess soil moisture other than drainage. The values of $\lambda$ are shown on Table 1. 7. The timing and amount of irrigation could be predicted by the equation (9-a) and (9-b,c), respectively. 8. Under the given conditions, the model for scheduling irrigation was completed. Fig. 9 show computer flow charts of the model. a. To estimate a potential evapotranspiration, Penman's equation was used if a complete observed meteorological data were available, and Jensen-Haise's equation was used if a forecasted meteorological data were available, However none of the observed or forecasted data were available, the equation (15) was used. b. As an input time data, a crop carlender was used, which was made based on the time when the growth stage of the crop shows it's maximum effective leaf coverage. 9. For the purpose of validation of the models, observed data of soil moiture content under various conditions from May, 1975 to July, 1975 were compared to the data predicted by Model-I and Model-II. Model-I shows the relative error of 4.6 to 14.3 percent which is an acceptable range of error in view of engineering purpose. Model-II shows 3 to 16.7 percent of relative error which is a little larger than the one from the Model-I. 10. Comparing two models, the followings are concluded: Model-I established on the theoretical background can predict with a satisfiable reliability far practical use provided that forecasted meteorological data are available. On the other hand, Model-II was superior to Model-I in it's simplicity, but it needs long period and wide scope of observed data to predict acceptable soil moisture content. Further studies are needed on the Model-II to make it acceptable in practical use.

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