• Title/Summary/Keyword: gibbs sampling

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Bayesian Change Point Analysis for a Sequence of Normal Observations: Application to the Winter Average Temperature in Seoul (정규확률변수 관측치열에 대한 베이지안 변화점 분석 : 서울지역 겨울철 평균기온 자료에의 적용)

  • 김경숙;손영숙
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.281-301
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    • 2004
  • In this paper we consider the change point problem in a sequence of univariate normal observations. We want to know whether there is any change point or not. In case a change point exists, we will identify its change type. Namely, it can be a mean change, a variance change, or both the mean and variance change. The intrinsic Bayes factors of Berger and Pericchi (1996, 1998) are used to find the type of optimal change model. The Gibbs sampling including the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is used to estimate all the parameters in the change model. These methods are checked via simulation and applied to the winter average temperature data in Seoul.

Bayes Inference for the Spatial Time Series Model (공간시계열모형에 대한 베이즈 추론)

  • Lee, Sung-Duck;Kim, In-Kyu;Kim, Duk-Ki;Chung, Ae-Ran
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2009
  • Spatial time series data can be viewed either as a set of time series collected simultaneously at a number of spatial locations. In this paper, We estimate the parameters of spatial time autoregressive moving average (SIARMA) process by method of Gibbs sampling. Finally, We apply this method to a set of U.S. Mumps data over a 12 states region.

Identifying differentially expressed genes using the Polya urn scheme

  • Saraiva, Erlandson Ferreira;Suzuki, Adriano Kamimura;Milan, Luis Aparecido
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.627-640
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    • 2017
  • A common interest in gene expression data analysis is to identify genes that present significant changes in expression levels among biological experimental conditions. In this paper, we develop a Bayesian approach to make a gene-by-gene comparison in the case with a control and more than one treatment experimental condition. The proposed approach is within a Bayesian framework with a Dirichlet process prior. The comparison procedure is based on a model selection procedure developed using the discreteness of the Dirichlet process and its representation via Polya urn scheme. The posterior probabilities for models considered are calculated using a Gibbs sampling algorithm. A numerical simulation study is conducted to understand and compare the performance of the proposed method in relation to usual methods based on analysis of variance (ANOVA) followed by a Tukey test. The comparison among methods is made in terms of a true positive rate and false discovery rate. We find that proposed method outperforms the other methods based on ANOVA followed by a Tukey test. We also apply the methodologies to a publicly available data set on Plasmodium falciparum protein.

Performance of Image Reconstruction Techniques for Efficient Multimedia Transmission of Multi-Copter (멀티콥터의 효율적 멀티미디어 전송을 위한 이미지 복원 기법의 성능)

  • Hwang, Yu Min;Lee, Sun Yui;Lee, Sang Woon;Kim, Jin Young
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.104-110
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    • 2014
  • This paper considers two reconstruction schemes of structured-sparse signals, turbo inference and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) inference, in compressed sensing(CS) technique that is recently getting an important issue for an efficient video wireless transmission system using multi-copter as an unmanned aerial vehicle. Proposed reconstruction algorithms are setting importance on reduction of image data sizes, fast reconstruction speed and errorless reconstruction. As a result of experimentation with twenty kinds of images, we can find turbo reconstruction algorithm based on loopy belief propagation(BP) has more excellent performances than MCMC algorithm based on Gibbs sampling as aspects of average reconstruction computation time, normalized mean squared error(NMSE) values.

Shadow Economy, Corruption and Economic Growth: An Analysis of BRICS Countries

  • NGUYEN, Diep Van;DUONG, My Tien Ha
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.665-672
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    • 2021
  • The paper examines the impact of shadow economy and corruption, along with public expenditure, trade openness, foreign direct investment (FDI), inflation, and tax revenue on the economic growth of the BRICS countries. Data were collected from the World Bank, Transparency International, and Heritage Foundation over the 1991-2017 period. The Bayesian linear regression method is used to examine whether shadow economy, corruption and other indicators affect the economic growth of countries studied. This paper applies the normal prior suggested by Lemoine (2019) while the posterior distribution is simulated using Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) technique through the Gibbs sampling algorithm. The results indicate that public expenditure and trade openness can enhance the BRICS countries' economic growth, with the positive impact probability of 75.69% and 67.11%, respectively. Also, FDI, inflation, and tax revenue positively affect this growth, though the probability of positive effect is ambiguous, ranging from 51.13% to 56.36%. Further, the research's major finding is that shadow economy and control of corruption have a positive effect on the economic growth of the BRICS countries. Nevertheless, the posterior probabilities of these two factors are 62.23% and 65.25%, respectively. This result suggests that their positive effect probability is not high.

Localization Method for Multiple Robots Based on Bayesian Inference in Cognitive Radio Networks (인지 무선 네트워크에서의 베이지안 추론 기반 다중로봇 위치 추정 기법 연구)

  • Kim, Donggu;Park, Joongoo
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.104-109
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, a localization method for multiple robots based on Bayesian inference is proposed when multiple robots adopting multi-RAT (Radio Access Technology) communications exist in cognitive radio networks. Multiple robots are separately defined by primary and secondary users as in conventional mobile communications system. In addition, the heterogeneous spectrum environment is considered in this paper. To improve the performance of localization for multiple robots, a realistic multiple primary user distribution is explained by using the probabilistic graphical model, and then we introduce the Gibbs sampler strategy based on Bayesian inference. In addition, the secondary user selection minimizing the value of GDOP (Geometric Dilution of Precision) is also proposed in order to overcome the limitations of localization accuracy with Gibbs sampling. Via the simulation results, we can show that the proposed localization method based on GDOP enhances the accuracy of localization for multiple robots. Furthermore, it can also be verified from the simulation results that localization performance is significantly improved with increasing number of observation samples when the GDOP is considered.

A Bayesian test for the first-order autocorrelations in regression analysis (회귀모형 오차항의 1차 자기상관에 대한 베이즈 검정법)

  • 김혜중;한성실
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.97-111
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    • 1998
  • This paper suggests a Bayesian method for testing first-order markov correlation among linear regression disturbances. As a Bayesian test criterion, Bayes factor is derived in the form of generalized Savage-Dickey density ratio that is easily estimated by means of posterior simulation via Gibbs sampling scheme. Performance of the Bayesian test is evaluated and examined based upon a Monte Carlo experiment and an empirical data analysis. Efficiency of the posterior simulation is also examined.

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On the Bayesian Statistical Inference (베이지안 통계 추론)

  • Lee, Ho-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2007.06c
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    • pp.263-266
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    • 2007
  • This paper discusses the Bayesian statistical inference. This paper discusses the Bayesian inference, MCMC (Markov Chain Monte Carlo) integration, MCMC method, Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, Gibbs sampling, Maximum likelihood estimation, Expectation Maximization algorithm, missing data processing, and BMA (Bayesian Model Averaging). The Bayesian statistical inference is used to process a large amount of data in the areas of biology, medicine, bioengineering, science and engineering, and general data analysis and processing, and provides the important method to draw the optimal inference result. Lastly, this paper discusses the method of principal component analysis. The PCA method is also used for data analysis and inference.

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Bayesian Inference and Model Selection for Software Growth Reliability Models using Gibbs Sampler (몬테칼로 깁스방법을 적용한 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장모형에 대한 베이지안 추론과 모형선택에 관한 연구)

  • 김희철;이승주
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.125-141
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    • 1999
  • Bayesian inference and model selection method for software reliability growth models are studied. Software reliability growth models are used in testing stages of software development to model the error content and time intervals between software failures. In this paper, we could avoid the multiple integration by the use of Gibbs sampling, which is a kind of Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to compute the posterior distribution. Bayesian inference and model selection method for Jelinski-Moranda and Goel-Okumoto and Schick-Wolverton models in software reliability with Poisson prior information are studied. For model selection, we explored the relative error.

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Bayesian Method for Combining Results from Different Poisson Experiments

  • Cho, Jang Sik;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.533-540
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    • 2000
  • The problem of information related to I poission experiments, each having a distinct failure rate $\theta$i I=1,2,…,I, is considered. Instead of using a standard exchangeable prior for $\theta$=($\theta$1,$\theta$2,…,$\theta$I), we consider a partition of the experiments and take the $\theta$i's belonging to the same partition subgroup to be exchangeable and the $\theta$i's belonging to distinct subgroups to be independent. And we perform Gibbs sampling approach for Bayesian inference on $\theta$ conditional on a partition. Numerical study using real data is provided.

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