• 제목/요약/키워드: general equilibrium

검색결과 431건 처리시간 0.02초

Korea's Demographic Transition and Long-Term Growth Projection Based on an Overlapping Generations Model

  • KWON, KYOOHO
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.25-51
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    • 2017
  • This paper employs an Overlapping Generations Model to quantify the impacts of Korea's demographic transition toward an older population on the total output growth rate. The model incorporates the projected population through 2060 according by Statistics Korea. The effects of the low fertility and increased life expectancy rates are studied. The model is considered suitable for analyzing the effects of demographic changes on the Korean economy. Under the assumption that the TFP growth rate will not slow considerably in the future, remaining at 1.3% per annum, the gross output growth rate of the Korean economy is projected to slow to 1.1% per annum in the 2050s, from 4.0% in the 2000s. The shrinking workforce due to the decline in fertility plays a significant role in the deceleration of the Korean economy. The increased life expectancy rate is expected to mitigate the negative effect, but the magnitude of its effect is found to be limited.

행태의 다양성을 고려한 토지이용 - 교통모형의 개발 (The Land Use-Transportation Model with Taste Heterogeneity)

  • 김익기
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.87-100
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    • 1991
  • 1960년 초부터 토지이용과 교통의 상관관계를 계량적으로 설명하고자 하는 연구가 진행되어 왔다. 이러한 연구는 경제이론을 배경으로 하여 개발된 McKinnon-Type 모형과 Mills-Type 모형, 그리고 경제학이 반영되어있지 않은 Lowry-Type 모형으로 크게 대별할 수 있다. 이제까지의 이러한 연구는 각 가정의 주거입지선정과 직장선정에 있어서 취향의 다양성(taste heterogeneity)을 고려하여 있지않고 있어 본 연구에서는 로짓모형을 이용하여 Alonso(1964) 모형을 더욱 발전시켜 토지이용-교통의 일반균형 모형(general equilibrium model)을 개발하였다. 이 통계적 토지이용-교통모형은 완전 경쟁하의 일반균형상태에서 주택임대료, 노동력임금, 상품가격이 내생적으로 산출되어지며, 동시에 효율적인 교통체계하에서 일반균형상태의 생산량과 생산부지 그리고 주거수와 주거부지가 어떻게 분배되는지를 내생적으로 결정한다. 이논문에서 효율적인 교통체계라함은 해당 죤에서 도로에 사용된 토지의 임대료가 교통체증비용의 전통행량에 대한 합과 동일하도록 하는 최적교통체증정도(optimal congestion level)을 유지할 수 있는 도로체계를 뜻한다. 또한 비효율적 교통체계하에서는 토지 이용에 왜곡이 생겨서 전체적 비용의 상승으로 각 국민 혹은 각 주민이 생활에서 얻을 수 있는 효용가치가 떨어짐을 분석할 수도 있다.

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통신서비스산업의 국민경제 기여도 분석에 관한 연구 (Analysis on Telecom Industry's Contribution to the National Economy in Korea)

  • 조성한;박동진
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.47-64
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    • 2007
  • The telecommunication service industry plays a major role in the realization of the perfect information society in the 21st century and, has a great influence in society and culture. Using the Calculable General Equilibrium Model, we analyze the telecommunication service's economic effects on other industries as well as on the national economy. In 2001, the 8 percent increase in the telecom sales caused the 5 billion dollar increase in the GDP, which seems to continue to bring about no less than 5 billion dollar GDP increase each year until 2030. The telecom sales increase has been evaluated to have disproportionately positive effect on transmission device and audio equipment industries. In summary, the telecom sales have a positive net enぉ on the GDP and on most of the industries with a few exceptions.

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텐세그러티 구조의 외력에 대한 적정 프리스트레스 결정 (Optimal prestress of Tensegrity Structures for External Load)

  • 안정태;이재홍
    • 한국공간구조학회논문집
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents a new numerical method to analyse tensegrity structures by using singular value decomposition and force method. The tensegrity system consisting of compressive and tensle elements are pin-jointed system. Tensegrity structures, unlike the general structure should be preceded by form-finding. Tensegrity structures form-finding of the self-equilibrium stress stability, seeking to have the process. In this study, tensegrity structures when subjected to external loads, find the optimal pre-stress values was studied.

GLOBAL STABILITY OF A TUBERCULOSIS MODEL WITH n LATENT CLASSES

  • Moualeu, Dany Pascal;Bowong, Samuel;Emvudu, Yves
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제29권5_6호
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    • pp.1097-1115
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    • 2011
  • We consider the global stability of a general tuberculosis model with two differential infectivity, n classes of latent individuals and mass action incidence. This system exhibits the traditional threshold behavior. There is always a globally asymptotically stable equilibrium state. Depending on the value of the basic reproduction ratio $\mathcal{R}_0$, this state can be either endemic ($\mathcal{R}_0$ > 1), or infection-free ($\mathcal{R}_0{\leq}1$). The global stability of this model is derived through the use of Lyapunov stability theory and LaSalle's invariant set theorem. Both the analytical results and numerical simulations suggest that patients should be strongly encouraged to complete their treatment and sputum examination.

Vibration and Post-buckling Behavior of Laminated Composite Doubly Curved Shell Structures

  • Kundu, Chinmay Kumar;Han, Jae-Hung
    • Advanced Composite Materials
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.21-42
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    • 2009
  • The vibration characteristics of post-buckled laminated composite doubly curved shells are investigated. The finite element method is used for the analysis of post-buckling and free vibration of post-buckled laminated shells. The geometric non-linear finite element model includes the general non-linear terms in the strain-displacement relationships. The shell geometry used in the present formulation is derived using an orthogonal curvilinear coordinate system. Based on the principle of virtual work the non-linear finite element equations are derived. Arc-length method is implemented to capture the load-displacement equilibrium curve. The vibration characteristics of post-buckled shell are performed using tangent stiffness obtained from the converged deflection. The code is first validated and then employed to generate numerical results. Parametric studies are performed to analyze the snapping and vibration characteristics. The relationship between loads and fundamental frequencies and between loads and the corresponding displacements are determined for various parameters such as thickness ratio and shallowness.

ELASTOKINEMATIC ANALYSIS OF A SUSPENSION SYSTEM WITH LINEAR RECURSIVE FORMULA

  • KANG J. S.
    • International Journal of Automotive Technology
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.375-381
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents linear algebraic equations in the form of recursive formula to compute elastokinematic characteristics of a suspension system. Conventional methods of elastokinematic analysis are based on nonlinear kinematic constrant equations and force equilibrium equations for constrained mechanical systems, which require complicated and time-consuming implicit computing methods to obtain the solution. The proposed linearized elastokinematic equations in the form of recursive formula are derived based on the assumption that the displacements of elastokinematic behavior of a constrained mechanical system under external forces are very small. The equations can be easily computerized in codes, and have the advantage of sharing the input data of existing general multi body dynamic analysis codes. The equations can be applied to any form of suspension once the type of kinematic joints and elastic components are identified. The validity of the method has been proved through the comparison of the results from established elastokinematic analysis software. Error estimation and analysis due to piecewise linear assumption are also discussed.

멀티클래스 손실시스템의 마코프 모델링 (Markov Modeling of Multiclass Loss Systems)

  • 나성룡
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.747-757
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    • 2010
  • 이 논문에서는 여러 종류의 고객을 서비스하는 멀티클래스 손실시스템의 상태를 마코프 확률과정으로 표현하고 분석하는 방법을 연구한다. 특히 손실시스템에 대한 유니트 개념을 설명하고 등확률 유니트 배정을 운용하는 경우를 중점적으로 다룬다. 상태방정식을 이용하여 극한확률을 구하는 방법을 연구하고 손실확률 등의 성능척도를 산출한다. 간단한 시스템에 대한 분석을 통하여 일반적인 시스템의 특성을 알아본다.

불포화지반에 대한 열-수리-역학 거동의 수식화 (Formulation of fully coupled THM behavior in unsaturated soil)

  • 신호성
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2010년도 추계 학술발표회
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    • pp.808-812
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    • 2010
  • A great deal of attention is focused on coupled Thermo-Hydro-Mechanical (THM) behavior of multiphase porous media in diverse geo-mechanical and geo-environmental areas. This paper presents general governing equations for coupled THM processes in unsaturated porous media. Coupled partial differential equations are derived from 3 mass balances equations (solid, water, and air), energy balance equation, and force equilibrium equation. Finite element code is developed from the Galerkin formulation and time integration of these governing equations for 4 main variables (displacement $\underline{u}$, gas pressure $P_g$, liquid pressure $P_l$), and temperature T). The code is validated with theoretical solutions for linear material with simple boundary conditions.

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Air-Water 모델에서 기포특성에 관한 실험적 연구 (An Experimental Study on the Characteristics of Bubbles in Air-Water Model)

  • 오율권;서동표
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.14-18
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    • 2003
  • The structural development of air-water bubble plumes has been measured under different condition on air flow rate in a cylindrical bath. The time-averaged structure of plumes has been measured with an oscilloscope and an electro-conductivity probe. The temperature of bubbles was also obtained by a thermal-infrared camera. Gas volume fraction and bubble frequency were high since bubbles concentrated on the nozzle. In general, their axial and radial values tended to decrease with increasing distance. Bubble temperature reached water temperature within a short time. The present study showed that thermal equilibrium between bubbles and water was completed before bubbles flow became stable.