• Title/Summary/Keyword: general equilibrium

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The Government Expenditure Multiplier in Korea : Evidence From Input-Output Table Panel Data (산업연관표 패널 자료를 이용한 정부지출 승수 추정)

  • Hong, Minki
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.33-60
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    • 2021
  • This study estimates the fiscal multiplier using Input-Output table panel data from year of 2010 to 2018. Considering the endogeneity of the government expenditure, this study uses the share of government expenditure by sector in the initial period as an instrument variable. The estimation from the panel fixed effect instrumental variables model shows that the estimate for the current period of government expenditure is 1.15~1.22 and the estimate for the cumulative multiplier is 1.23~1.32 depending on the method of controlling time trend. Since the general equilibrium effect absorbed by the time-fixed effect in the estimation equation, the estimated multiplier in this study may be different from the multiplier of the economy as a whole. The general equilibrium effect depends on the response of monetary policy, changes in tax policy, and interaction between sectors.

Evaluation of Economic Effects of Agricultural Drought Using CGE Model - Focus on Rice Productivity - (CGE 모형을 활용한 농업 가뭄의 직간접적 파급효과 계측 - 쌀 생산성을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Hyeon-Woong;Sung, Jae-Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.93-104
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    • 2022
  • Agriculture is one of the most vulnerable sector to droughts, and drought damage on the agriculture sector could have effects on other sector. Droughts have different characteristics compared to other extreme events, which means more sophisticated methods considering the characteristics of droughts are required when measuring their damage. The purpose of this study is to analyze the damage of droughts based on limited computational general equilibrium model. To be specific, we constructed a CGE model focusing on the agriculture sector in Korea. Also, to limit changes in land use and labor, we limited them, and assume droughts only have effects on productivity of value-added. Lastly, we simulate drought effects on rice production in Korea based on several climate scenarios and GCM to identify the economic effects of droughts. The results show that 1) the cumulated damage of droughts during 2021~2040 is higher than other periods (2040~2061, 2081~2100), 2) the correlation between the damage of droughts and SSP scenarios is insignificant. This result implies the necessity of the effective drought risk management to prevent future droughts effects, irrespective of mitigation policies. 3) Due to increases in rice price, GDP of rice sector is increased. However, GDP of the other sector and consumer welfare are decreased. This result show that indirect effects of droughts would be more important when measuring drought effects on agriculture sector.

Containing China versus Choking the Asian Economy

  • Inkyo Cheong;Byeongho Lim;Yeri Ryu
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.137-152
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - Although many existing studies on the US-China hegemonic conflict and decoupling have been published, most of them are qualitative and use descriptive analysis methods. Papers that quantitatively analyzed decoupling mainly estimate the effect of a tariff increase. However, this paper quantitatively analyzed the ripple effect by focusing on decoupling technology spillover between the United States and China. And, for the first time, it was suggested that the blocking of technology spillover could give a fatal blow to the East Asian economy as well as China. Design/methodology - The United States is pursuing decoupling with China, primarily in goods trade and blocking technology transfer. This paper sets up various scenarios and uses three computational general equilibrium (CGE) models to analyze the overall ripple effects of decoupling. A paper using the three CGE models for decoupling ripple effect analysis has not yet been published. Findings - Decoupling will hit the economies of regions with close economic ties to China more than others. According to simulation results of this study, the Chinese economy may suffer severe damage that is difficult to recover from, and the economies of Asian countries are predicted to deteriorate to the point of being choked. Originality/value - Existing papers that assessed the effect of decoupling mostly focus on estimating the effect itself through tariff hikes. This paper is meaningful in that it comprehensively analyzed decoupling by adding the effect of technology spillover blockade. In addition, another meaning can be found in that it quantified for the first time that it will deal a huge blow to the extent of choking the East Asian economy as well as China.

Forecasting of Chestnut's Supply and Demand by the Partial Equilibrium Market Model (부분균형 시장모델에 의한 밤 수급 예측)

  • Jung, Byung Heon;Kim, Eui Gyeong;Joo, Rin Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.97 no.4
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    • pp.458-466
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    • 2008
  • This study was carried out to forecast long-term supply and demand of chestnut and to analyze the impacts of change in the environment of domestic and international chestnut markets. For these ends, the study developed a partial equilibrium market model, in which in-shelled chestnut market was vertically linked to shelled chestnut market. To examine the predictive ability of the model for the endogenous variables ex-post simulation was run for the period 1990 through 2003. In general, all endogenous variables reproduced the historical trends during the period except for disuse areas and newly established areas. The results of forecasting supply and demand show that domestic in-shelled chestnut production is estimated to decrease slightly from 76,447 ton in 2005 to 76,286 ton in 2020 and that exports of shelled chestnut continue to be decreased.

A Development of Analytical Strategies for Elastic Bifurcation Buckling of the Spatial Structures (공간구조물의 탄성 분기좌굴해석을 위한 수치해석 이론 개발)

  • Lee, Kyung Soo;Han, Sang Eul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.563-574
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    • 2009
  • This paper briefly describes the fundamental strategies--path-tracing, pin-pointing, and path-switching--in the computational elastic bifurcation theory of geometrically non-linear single-load-parameter conservative elastic spatial structures. The stability points in the non-linear elasticity may be classified into limit points and bifurcation points. For the limit points, the path tracing scheme that successively computes the regular equilibrium points on the equilibrium path, and the pinpointing scheme that precisely locates the singular equilibrium points were sufficient for the computational stability analysis. For the bifurcation points, however, a specific procedure for path-switching was also necessary to detect the branching paths to be traced in the post-buckling region. After the introduction, a general theory of elastic stability based on the energy concept was given. Then path tracing, an indirect method of detecting multiple bifurcation points, and path switching strategies were described. Next, some numerical examples of bifurcation analysis were carried out for a trussed stardome, and a pin-supported plane circular arch was described. Finally, concluding remarks were given.

An Experimental Study on Silty Clay Subjected to Repeated Loads (반복하중을 받는 실트질 점토에 관한 실험적 연구 -과압밀 점토를 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Pal-Gyu;Kim, Gyeong-Jin;Song, Jeon-Seop
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 1989
  • The object of this paper is to study the general characteristics of overconsolidated silty clays subjected to repeated loading. The samples are first remolded. overconsolidated and a series of strain - controlled triaxial repeated tests are carried out. Generally the relationship of deviator stress - axial strain of overconsolidated clay is similar in pattern to the normally consolidated clay under single load. But the behavior of the pore water pressure build up in the sample subjected to repeated loading is dependent upon the consolidation history and the level of repeated stress. Therefore through the series of the tests, the characteristics of stress -strain relationship of soils which are differentlly overconsolidated are investigated, analysed and then compared with each soils. And also, from the relationship of test results, the strength and strain characteristics of soils are obierved. The equilibrium lines which presents the critical repeated stress and equilibrium state in the sample under repeated loading, are often straight, but may be curved. And the tendency of the equilibrium lines is observed as to the variation of overconsolidation ratio.

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In-situ Raman Spectroscopic Study of Nickel-base Alloys in Nuclear Power Plants and Its Implications to SCC

  • Kim, Ji Hyun;Bahn, Chi Bum;Hwang, Il Soon
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • v.3 no.5
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    • pp.198-208
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    • 2004
  • Although there has been no general agreement on the mechanism of primary water stress corrosion cracking (PWSCC) as one of major degradation modes of Ni-base alloys in pressurized water reactors (PWR's), common postulation derived from previous studies is that the damage to the alloy substrate can be related to mass transport characteristics and/or repair properties of overlaid oxide film. Recently, it was shown that the oxide film structure and PWSCC initiation time as well as crack growth rate were systematically varied as a function of dissolved hydrogen concentration in high temperature water, supporting the postulation. In order to understand how the oxide film composition can vary with water chemistry, this study was conducted to characterize oxide films on Alloy 600 by an in-situ Raman spectroscopy. Based on both experimental and thermodynamic prediction results, Ni/NiO thermodynamic equilibrium condition was defined as a function of electrochemical potential and temperature. The results agree well with Attanasio et al.'s data by contact electrical resistance measurements. The anomalously high PWSCC growth rate consistently observed in the vicinity of Ni/NiO equilibrium is then attributed to weak thermodynamic stability of NiO. Redox-induced phase transition between Ni metal and NiO may undermine the integrity of NiO and enhance presumably the percolation of oxidizing environment through the oxide film, especially along grain boundaries. The redox-induced grain boundary oxide degradation mechanism has been postulated and will be tested by using the in-situ Raman facility.

The Starting Characteristics of the Steady Ejector-Diffuser System

  • Gopalapillai, Rajesh;Kim, Heuy-Dong;Matsuo, Shigeru;Setoguchi, Toshiaki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2008.03a
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    • pp.680-685
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    • 2008
  • The ejector is a simple device which can transport a low-pressure secondary flow by using a high-pressure primary flow. In general, it consists of a primary driving nozzle, a mixing section, and a diffuser. The ejector system entrains the secondary flow through a shear action generated by the primary jet. Until now, a large number of researches have been made to design and evaluate the ejector systems, where it is assumed that the ejector system has an infinite secondary chamber which can supply mass infinitely. However, in almost all of the practical applications, the ejector system has a finite secondary chamber implying steady flow can be possible only after the flow inside ejector has reached an equilibrium state after the starting process. To the authors' best knowledge, there are no reports on the starting characteristics of the ejector systems and none of the works to date discloses the detailed flow process until the secondary chamber flow reaches an equilibrium state. The objective of the present study is to investigate the starting process of an ejector-diffuser system. The present study is also planned to identify the operating range of ejector-diffuser systems where the steady flow assumption can be applied without uncertainty. The results obtained show that the one and only condition in which an infinite mass entrainment is possible is the generation of a recirculation zone near the primary nozzle exit. The flow in the secondary chamber attains a state of dynamic equilibrium at this point.

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The Synthesis of Pyrrolidone-N-sulfonyl Chloride and Its Catalytic Effect in Anionic Polymerization of Pyrrolidone (Pyrrolidone-N-sulfonyl Chloride의 합성 및 Pyrrolidone-N-sulfonyl Chloride / KOH 촉매작용에 의한 Pyrrolidone의 음이온 중합)

  • W.J. Chung;S.K. Choi
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.402-411
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    • 1979
  • The synthesis of pyrrolidone-N-sulfonyl chloride has been carried out by the reaction of pyrrolidone with sulfuryl chloride in benzene. It was attempted to study the catalytic effect of pyrroldone-N-sulfonyl chloride as an initiator for anionic polymerization of pyrrolidone. It was found that as a concentration of initiator decreased, inherent viscosity of the resulting polymer increased up to 1.8 dl/g. The highest rate of polymerization and equilibrium conversion was observed when mole ratio of PNSC to KOH was 0.25. In general, the observed value of polymerization and equilibrium conversion in circumstances using PNSC/KOH catalysis system were higher than using $CO_2$/KOH catalysis system.

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Influences of Free Fatty Acid on the Albumin Binding of Warfarin and Dansylsarcosine (Warfarin, Dansylsarcosine의 알부민결합에 미치는 유리지방산의 영향)

  • Bae, Jin-Woo
    • The Korean Journal of Pharmacology
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.255-260
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    • 1994
  • There are some reports about the influences of free fatty acids on the albumin binding of drugs. But they were concerned to the limited free fatty acids, mostly of azapropazone-warfarin bidning site bound drugs and determination of dissociation and association constants by stopped flow technique. These data were not enough to make conculsions for the general tendency of free fatty acid to albumin binding. Therefore the influence of various saturated fatty acids of $C_{10{\sim}20}$, oleic acid and linoleic acid as unsaturated fatty acids to albumin binding of warfarin and dansylsarcosine were studied by equilibrium dialysis. The concentration of free drug was determined by spectrophotometer according to the molar ratios of 0, 0.5, 1, 2 and 4 between free fatty acid and albumin. There were significant increasing in the free durg concentration of warfarin and dansylsarcosine when the molar ratio for capric acid, lauric acid and palmitic acid was 4. The free warfarin concentration was increased significantly at a molar ratio of 4 between oleic acid and albumin. Therefore the albumin binding of durgs can be variated significantly by increased free fatty acid of diabetics and cause to the pharmacokinetic variation between healthy and diabetics.

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