• Title/Summary/Keyword: general circulation

Search Result 489, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

A Study on the direction for Facility Improvement of Nationally Designated Negative Pressure Isolation Ward through Post Occupancy Evaluation (거주 후 평가를 통한 국가지정 입원치료병상 시설 개선 방향 도출에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Dawoon;Kwon, Soonjung
    • Journal of The Korea Institute of Healthcare Architecture
    • /
    • v.27 no.3
    • /
    • pp.39-49
    • /
    • 2021
  • Purpose: The negative pressure isolation ward is a key facility in preparedness and response to infectious diseases. For the sustainable operation of the facility, appropriate facility improvement is required. The experience of medical staff responding to infectious diseases in the COVID-19 pandemic provides effective informations for facility planning. Methods: The post occupancy evaluation (POE) was conducted by interviewing medical staff who is working on Nationally designated negative pressure isolation ward in general hospital. Floor plan analysis was conducted before field surveys for identifying facility characteristic and spatial composition. After that, field surveys were conducted at 3 hospitals, and interviews and fieldwork were conducted together. Results: It is necessary to increase the standard size of ward area from 15m2 to 20m2. The size of the doffing room has to be planned for accommodation of two or more people. Equipment storage, clean storage and waste storage also should be properly planned. There were almost no problems with the circulation in the ward. There was not enough space for medical staff. Implications: For a sustainable and safe negative pressure isolation ward planning, it is necessary to exploit learning from the medical staffs who have many experiences of coping with infectious diseases.

Survival of Neuro-Venous Flap without Perforator due to Accidental Division of Perforator (돌발적 손상에 의해 천공지가 없는 신경-정맥피판의 생존)

  • Byeon, Je Yeon;Choi, Hwan Jun
    • Archives of Hand and Microsurgery
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.290-295
    • /
    • 2018
  • Author planed peroneal artery perforator flap for ankle reconstruction and experienced successful result using sural neuro-lesser saphenous venous flap due to an unexpected event. A male Asian patient, 24 years old, had a history of recurrent operation wound disruption in the ankle region. Under general anesthesia, peroneal perforator and saphenous vein, as well as the sural nerve branches, were identified and preserved. In the process of flap rotation, an accidental division of peroneal artery perforator has occurred. Despite the division of the perforator, circulation was normal. The patient experienced no complication after the surgery. Some study reported that accompanying arteries and the vascular plexus around the sural nerve communicate. In conclusion, sufficient blood supply was possible only with the accompanying artery of the sural nerve without peroneal perforator. So, it is essential to always preserve not only perforator but also neurovascular bundles at any circumstances and any location.

Evaluation of PNU CGCM Ensemble Forecast System for Boreal Winter Temperature over South Korea (PNU CGCM 앙상블 예보 시스템의 겨울철 남한 기온 예측 성능 평가)

  • Ahn, Joong-Bae;Lee, Joonlee;Jo, Sera
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.28 no.4
    • /
    • pp.509-520
    • /
    • 2018
  • The performance of the newly designed Pusan National University Coupled General Circulation Model (PNU CGCM) Ensemble Forecast System which produce 40 ensemble members for 12-month lead prediction is evaluated and analyzed in terms of boreal winter temperature over South Korea (S. Korea). The influence of ensemble size on prediction skill is examined with 40 ensemble members and the result shows that spreads of predictability are larger when the size of ensemble member is smaller. Moreover, it is suggested that more than 20 ensemble members are required for better prediction of statistically significant inter-annual variability of wintertime temperature over S. Korea. As for the ensemble average (ENS), it shows superior forecast skill compared to each ensemble member and has significant temporal correlation with Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) temperature at 99% confidence level. In addition to forecast skill for inter-annual variability of wintertime temperature over S. Korea, winter climatology around East Asia and synoptic characteristics of warm (above normal) and cold (below normal) winters are reasonably captured by PNU CGCM. For the categorical forecast with $3{\times}3$ contingency table, the deterministic forecast generally shows better performance than probabilistic forecast except for warm winter (hit rate of probabilistic forecast: 71%). It is also found that, in case of concentrated distribution of 40 ensemble members to one category out of the three, the probabilistic forecast tends to have relatively high predictability. Meanwhile, in the case when the ensemble members distribute evenly throughout the categories, the predictability becomes lower in the probabilistic forecast.

Predictability of Temperature over South Korea in PNU CGCM and WRF Hindcast (PNU CGCM과 WRF를 이용한 남한 지역 기온 예측성 검증)

  • Ahn, Joong-Bae;Shim, Kyo-Moon;Jung, Myung-Pyo;Jeong, Ha-Gyu;Kim, Young-Hyun;Kim, Eung-Sup
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.28 no.4
    • /
    • pp.479-490
    • /
    • 2018
  • This study assesses the prediction skill of regional scale model for the mean temperature anomaly over South Korea produced by Pusan National University Coupled General Circulation Model (PNU CGCM)-Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) chain. The initial and boundary conditions of WRF are derived from PNU CGCM. The hindcast period is 11 years from 2007 to 2017. The model's prediction skill of mean temperature anomaly is evaluated in terms of the temporal correlation coefficient (TCC), root mean square error (RMSE) and skill scores which are Heidke skill score (HSS), hit rate (HR), false alarm rate (FAR). The predictions of WRF and PNU CGCM are overall similar to observation (OBS). However, TCC of WRF with OBS is higher than that of PNU CGCM and the variation of mean temperature is more comparable to OBS than that of PNU CGCM. The prediction skill of WRF is higher in March and April but lower in October to December. HSS is as high as above 0.25 and HR (FAR) is as high (low) as above (below) 0.35 in 2-month lead time. According to the spatial distribution of HSS, predictability is not concentrated in a specific region but homogeneously spread throughout the whole region of South Korea.

Selection of Performance of Bias Correction using TOPSIS method (TOPSIS 방법을 이용한 편의 보정 방법 선정)

  • Song, Young Hoon;Chung, Eun Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2019.05a
    • /
    • pp.306-306
    • /
    • 2019
  • 전지구적 기온상승으로 인해 미래기후의 관한 연구가 중요시 되고 있다. 위와 같은 현상으로 인하여 다양한 기후변화 연구가 진행되고 있다. 미래기후 연구에는 GCM (General Circulation Model) 모의 결과가 이용된다. 격자 자료로 구성된 GCM은 연구 지점으로 지역적 상세화와 연구지역의 관측자료 사이의 편이 보정(bias correction)이 필수적이다. 위와 같은 근거로 편이 보정 방법의 선택은 매우 중요하며 편의 보정의 방법에 따라서 결과가 다르게 도출될 수 있다. 또한 국내외 연구에서는 다양한 상세화 기법과 편이 보정 기법을 분석 및 평가하는 연구가 진행되고 있으며, 편의 기법 중 대표적인 기법인 Quantile mapping과 Random Forest 기법이 있다. Quantile mapping 기법은 GCM의 과거 모의 데이터와의 편이 보정에 있어서 우수하게 나타났으나, GCM 데이터의 미래 예측 기간(2010년~2018년)까지의 데이터에서는 극한 강수를 정량적으로 분석 가능한 Random Forest 기법이 편이 보정 과정에서 성능이 우수할 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구에서는 우리나라 21개 관측소를 기준으로 총 4개의 GCM(GISS, CSIRO, CCSM4,MIROC5)의 과거 기간 자료(1970년~2005년)를 실제 관측소에서 관측된 강수량을 편의 보정하는 방법에 있어서 편의 보정 기법의 성능을 비교한 결과와 GCM 미래 예측 기간 자료(2010년~2018년)에서의 편의 보정 기법의 성능 결과를 비교하였다. 이를 토대로 편이 보정 기법의 결과를 6개의 평가지수를 이용하여 정량적으로 분석하였으며, 다기준의사결정기법인 TOPSIS(Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution)를 이용하여 편이 보정기법들의 성능에 있어서 우선순위를 선정하였다. 본 연구에서 편이 보정 방법으로 Quantile mapping 방법을 사용했으며, Quantile mapping의 기법으로는 비모수 변환법(non-parametric transformation)과 분포기반 변환법(distribution derived transformation)이 사용되었다. 또한 머신러닝 방법 중 하나인 Random Forest 방법을 동시에 사용하여 결과를 비교하였다. 또한 GCM 자료가 격자식으로 제공하고 있기 때문에 관측소 강수량도 공간적으로 환산하여야 하는데, 본 연구에서는 역거리 가중치법(inverse distance weighting, IDW) 방법을 이용하였다.

  • PDF

The Effect of Foreign Direct Investment on Public Health: Empirical Evidence from Bangladesh

  • SIDDIQUE, Fahimul Kader;HASAN, K.B.M. Rajibul;CHOWDHURY, Shanjida;RAHMAN, Mahfujur;RAISA, Tahsin Sharmila;ZAYED, Nurul Mohammad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.4
    • /
    • pp.83-91
    • /
    • 2021
  • Health is an outset of psychological, social, financial, and physical state. Several macroeconomic factors are entangled with health and mortality. Infant mortality and life expectancy are two keyguard on demographic research context on last few decades. On the other hand, foreign inflows play an unprecedent role for raising economic circulation and providing more opportunities to build a better society. The study aims to investigate the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI), economic growth, and Bangladesh's health. This study employs time-series data from 1980 to 2018. Results show, with Auto-regressive Distribute Lag (ARDL) model, that there is significant cointegration among variables. Foreign investment and economic output relate significantly and positively to health. On the contrary, education is quasi-linked with a different sign-on different model. For model validation, pitfalls of time-series multicollinearity, heteroscedasiticy, and autocorrelation are not present. Also, CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests are validating the model as stable and fit for future prediction. Medical assessment and education need more attention from the government as well as the private sector. FDI can play a catalyst role for improving the health sector, raising opportunity in educating and creating a better lifestyle. In order to optimize foreign investment, the government should implement necessary reforms and policies.

Improvement in Seasonal Prediction of Precipitation and Drought over the United States Based on Regional Climate Model Using Empirical Quantile Mapping (경험적 분위사상법을 이용한 지역기후모형 기반 미국 강수 및 가뭄의 계절 예측 성능 개선)

  • Song, Chan-Yeong;Kim, So-Hee;Ahn, Joong-Bae
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.31 no.5
    • /
    • pp.637-656
    • /
    • 2021
  • The United States has been known as the world's major producer of crops such as wheat, corn, and soybeans. Therefore, using meteorological long-term forecast data to project reliable crop yields in the United States is important for planning domestic food policies. The current study is part of an effort to improve the seasonal predictability of regional-scale precipitation across the United States for estimating crop production in the country. For the purpose, a dynamic downscaling method using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is utilized. The WRF simulation covers the crop-growing period (March to October) during 2000-2020. The initial and lateral boundary conditions of WRF are derived from the Pusan National University Coupled General Circulation Model (PNU CGCM), a participant model of Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Center (APCC) Long-Term Multi-Model Ensemble Prediction System. For bias correction of downscaled daily precipitation, empirical quantile mapping (EQM) is applied. The downscaled data set without and with correction are called WRF_UC and WRF_C, respectively. In terms of mean precipitation, the EQM effectively reduces the wet biases over most of the United States and improves the spatial correlation coefficient with observation. The daily precipitation of WRF_C shows the better performance in terms of frequency and extreme precipitation intensity compared to WRF_UC. In addition, WRF_C shows a more reasonable performance in predicting drought frequency according to intensity than WRF_UC.

Optimization of green closed loop supply chain network considering recycling express box (재활용 익스프레스 박스를 고려한 친환경 폐쇄 루프 공급망 네트워크 최적화)

  • Zhang, Jun-Hao;Che, Jin-Yao
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.20 no.5
    • /
    • pp.211-220
    • /
    • 2022
  • This paper proposes a green closed-loop supply chain network (GCSN) for optimizing closed-loop supply chains. The GCSN focuses on the application of the recycling express box in logistics circulation, accelerates the standardization of logistics operations and the use of express packaging in e-commerce companies, and promotes the reduction and greening of recycling express box in the e-commerce industry. The GCSN is represented as a mathematical formulation and implemented using LINGO. Greening, environmental protection, and wisdom are the general trends for promoting the growth of the e-commerce industry. Meanwhile, the price of raw materials has increased owing to a shortage of resources, which emphasizes the need for e-commerce enterprises to develop green packaging. Therefore, this study considers the shared circular packaging launched by e-commerce enterprises as the research object, and integrates the problem of facility positioning and path planning in the logistics system. The conclusion summarizes the significance of this study.

Investigations on the emergency operation status of existing medical facilities to prepare for emerging infectious diseases in the post-COVID-19 era (포스트 코로나 시대 신종 감염병 대비를 위한 기존 의료시설의 비상시 운영사례 조사 및 분석)

  • Lee, Sejin;Lee, Wonseok;Kim, Eunseok;Yeo, Myoungsouk
    • Journal of The Korea Institute of Healthcare Architecture
    • /
    • v.29 no.1
    • /
    • pp.43-51
    • /
    • 2023
  • Purpose: To accommodate the increasing number of patients during the COVID-19 pandemic, numerous portable HEPA filter units (PHUs) were installed in the general wards of existing medical facilities(EMFs) to convert them into emergency conversion facilities (ECFs). The purpose of this study was to build a dataset in preparation for emerging infectious diseases in the post-COVID-19 era by analyzing the construction and operation of ECFs. Methods: Field investigations were conducted during ECF operation periods based on the analysis of heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HAVC) system design documents for six ECFs across Korea. Interviews were conducted with facility managers during the field investigations. Results: When constructing an ECF within an EMF, the installation status and characteristics of the existing system should be considered. Field investigations and verifications of the operation of HAVC systems must be conducted beforehand for smooth ECF operations. If heating and cooling are required with indoor air circulation type equipment in an ECF zone, the implementation of a heating and cooling method that can satisfy the comfort requirements of the occupants while minimizing cross-contamination is essential. When using PHUs that do not meet the performance standards required by medical equipment, the noise level resulting from such equipment operation must be evaluated and improved. Implications: For EMFs, various guidelines that can be referred to for the construction and operation of ECFs must be developed to prepare for emerging infectious diseases in the future.

Assessing the Impact of Bias Correction on Runoff simulation according to CMIP6 GCMs climate (CMIP6 GCMs 기후에 따른 유출 모의에 대한 편의보정 방법의 영향 평가)

  • Seung Taek Chae;Jin Hyuck Kim;Eun-Sung Chung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2023.05a
    • /
    • pp.91-91
    • /
    • 2023
  • General circulation models(GCMs)은 여러 국가 기관들의 물리적 기후 모의 프로세스를 기반으로 과거 및 미래 기후변화의 영향을 정량화하기 위해 개발되었으며 현재 미래 기후변화를 예측하는데 가장 효과적인 도구이다. 그러나 GCMs에 내포된 여러 불확실성 요소 및 넓은 격자형식의 기후 데이터는 GCMs 기후 데이터를 사용한 지역적 기후 모의 시 주요 걸림돌로 인식되어지고 있다. 편의보정 방법은 GCMs을 사용한 지역적 기후 모의 시 기후 모의 성능을 향상시키기 위해 여러 연구에서 사용되어져 왔으나 다른 연구에서는 이러한 편의보정 방법의 문제점을 언급했다. 따라서 본 연구는 편의보정 방법이 GCMs 기후 모의 결과에 미치는 영향을 정량화하고 더 나아가 GCMs 기후 변수에 따른 유량 모의 결과에 미치는 영향을 분석했다. 연구대상지 과거 기간 기후 모의를 위해 coupled model intercomparison project(CMIP)6의 GCMs을 사용했으며, 미래 기후 모의를 위해 shared socioeconomic pathway(SSP) 시나리오를 사용했다. 편의보정 방법으로는 분위사상법을 사용했으며, 편의보정 전후 GCMs 기후 모의 성능평가를 위해 5개 평가 지표를 사용했다. 연구대상지 장기 유출 모의를 위해 storm water management model(SWMM)이 사용되었으며, 기후 입력 자료로는 일 단위 강수량, 최고 및 최저온도를 고려했다. 미래 기후 및 유량 모의 결과의 불확실성은 square root of error variance(SREV) 방법을 통해 정량화됐다. 결과적으로 과거 기간 GCMs 기후 및 유량 모의성능은 편의보정 전보다 편의보정 후에서 향상되었으며 특히, 강수 및 유량 모의 성능이 크게 향상되었다. 미래 기간의 경우 편의보정 후에서 기후 및 유량의 극값을 더 잘 반영함을 확인했다. 본 연구의 결과는 GCMs 기후 변수를 사용한 지역적 기후 및 유량 모의 시 편의보정 방법이 미치는 영향에 대한 구체적인 정보를 제공할 수 있다.

  • PDF