• 제목/요약/키워드: future distribution

검색결과 3,032건 처리시간 0.028초

Cervical Cancer Mortality Trends in China, 1991-2013, and Predictions for the Future

  • Du, Pei-Ling;Wu, Ku-Sheng;Fang, Jia-Ying;Zeng, Yang;Xu, Zhen-Xi;Tang, Wen-Rui;Xu, Xiao-Ling;Lin, Kun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권15호
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    • pp.6391-6396
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    • 2015
  • Background: To analyze cervical cancer mortality trends in China from 1991-2013 and forecast the mortality distribution in future five years (2014-2018), and provide clues for prevention and treatment. Materials and Methods: Mortality data for cervical cancer in China from 1991 to 2013 were used to describe the epidemiological characteristics and distribution, including the trend of the standardized mortality rate, urban-rural differences, and age variation. Trend-surface analysis was used to analyze the geographical distribution of mortality. Curve estimation, time series, gray modeling, and joinpoint regression were performed to predict and forecast mortality trends. Results: In recent years, the mortality rate of cervical cancer has increased, and there is also a steady increase in the incidence from 2003 to 2013 in China. Mortality rates in rural areas are higher than in urban areas. The mortality dramatically increases in the 40+ yr age group, reaching a peak in the >85 yr age group. In addition, geographical analysis showed that the cervical cancer mortality increased from the southwest to west-central and from the southeast to northeast of the country. Conclusions: The incidence rate and the mortality rate are increasing from 1991 to 2013, and the predictions show this will continue in the future. Thus, implementation of prevention and management programs for cervical cancer are necessary in China, especially for rural areas, young women in urban areas, and high risk regions (the west-central).

분산전원이 연계된 배전선로의 운영시스템 설계 (Operation System Design of Distribution Feeder with Distributed Energy Resources)

  • 김성만;장영학;김경훈;김슬기;문채주
    • 한국전자통신학회논문지
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.1183-1194
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    • 2021
  • 전통적으로 전력시스템은 공급체계의 말단에 있는 소비자의 위치에서 보면 중앙집중화된 구조를 갖고 있다. 그러나 최근 수 십년간 지붕형 태양광, 영농형 태양광, 소형 풍력터빈, 배터리저장장치 및 스마트 가전품과 같은 분산에너지원의 등장을 보아왔다. 분산에너지원의 등장에 따라 배전계통 운전원의 역할도 확장된다. 확장된 분산전원의 진출은 배전망이나 송전망의 전통적인 계획과 운영에 영향을 주는 전력계통의 역조류와 예측성을 어렵게 할 수 있다. 이는 전형적인 계통계획, 정비 및 망관리, 정전할당 등 배전계통 운전원이 갖는 기능이 변경되어야 할 필요성을 증폭시킨다. 이 연구의 목적은 다중 분산전원을 갖는 미래 배전운전시스템을 설계하고 제안된 배전시스템 모델을 HILS로 구현 및 검증하는 것이다. 시험결과를 보면 제안된 배전시스템이 정상 영역에서 운전되고 배전선로 손실이 감소된다는 것을 보여준다.

Robustness of Predictive Density and Optimal Treatment Allocation to Non-Normal Prior for The Mean

  • Bansal, Ashok K.;Sinha, Pankaj
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.235-247
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    • 1993
  • The predictive density function of a potential future observation and its first four moments are obtained in this paper to study the effects of a non-normal prior of the unknown mean of a normal population. The derived predictive density function is modified to study changes in utility curves, used to choose the optimum treatment from a given set of treatments, at a given level of stimulus due to slight deviations from normality of the prior distribution. Numerical illustrations are provided to exhibit some effectsl.

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Time Resolved Measurement of Electric Field Distribution in a Liquid Dielectric

  • Arii, Kiyomitsu;Ihori, Haruo;Fujii, Masaharu
    • KIEE International Transactions on Electrophysics and Applications
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    • 제2C권6호
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    • pp.287-291
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    • 2002
  • Measurement technique of three dimensional electric field distribution in liquid dielectrics have been studied. Kerr effect and computed tomography(CT) method have been used. Measuring time has been shortened by the use of multi-optical systems to less than several milliseconds. Near future, electric field distribution in front of a streamer tip of breakdown would be measured.

물류시스템에서 물류센터의 크기 확장계획모형에 대한 유전알고리듬 (Genetic Algorithm for Capacity Expansion Planning Model of the Distribution Centers in a Distribution System)

  • 장석화;김재곤
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2009
  • Distribution centers in a distribution system that consists of the distribution centers and retailers supplies products to retailers. At the present, although total capacity of the distribution centers are enough to supply total demand of retailers, capacity of the distribution centers need to be expanded to satisfy the demand of retailers in case that future demand of the retailers will be increased. Capacity expansion model in a distribution system is to determine the location and size of expansion distribution centers that minimize costs among given distribution centers. Transportation amount from distribution center to retailers also is determined. The costs factors are the capacity expansion costs of the distribution centers and the transportation costs from the distribution centers to the retailers. A model is formulated, and a genetic algorithm based solution procedure is developed. A numerical example is shown and the algorithm is analyzed through examples.

배·급수관망에서 생물막 제어 (Control of Biofilms in the Drinking Water Distribution System)

  • 문성민;윤제용
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2007
  • The low nutrient environment in drinking water treatment plants and distribution systems cannot to be a good environment for bacterial growth. However, biofilms can be frequently found submerged surface in treatment plants and distribution system. Biofilms in distribution system are harmful, in that they can release organisms, and may cause problems in taste and odor of water. Control of these Biofilms is difficult, and disinfection alone is usually ineffective. Biofilms will not be eliminated from distribution systems by any contemporary technology available now or in the future. Therefore reduction of organic matter, improved disinfection, or a combination of these methods can be useful in controlling distribution system biofilms.

GIS기술을 이용한 배전설비관리 및 운영의 효율적인 추진방안 (Implementation scheme for the efficient building of Distribution Facilities Information Management and Operation using GIS)

  • 권오형;문수덕;김정구
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1998년도 하계학술대회 논문집 C
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    • pp.1131-1133
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    • 1998
  • Distribution facilities are installed dispersedly nationwide and in view of huge amounts. it makes it difficult to manage and update distribution facilities information manually. Consequently, much efforts have been exerted on computerization of distribution facilities information. KEPCO has been building distribution facilities information system using GIS technology(DGIS) to manage distribution facilities. In order to implement DGIS, digitizing the existing cartographical and land registration map is essential. In this regard, the Government is pursuing the NGIS project. In parrallel with it, DGIS project will be accelerated in the future. This paper suggests the efficient development plans to computerize distribution facilities using GIS technology.

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배전계통 운영의 중요요소들을 고려한 상시연계점 선정 종합 최적화 알고리즘 (Synthetically Optimal Tie Switches Selection Algorithm Considering Important Elements in Distribution Power System)

  • 김준호;임희택;유남철;임일형;최면송;이승재;하복남
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제58권11호
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    • pp.2079-2088
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    • 2009
  • The optimal operation in distribution system is to select tie switches considering important elements(Load balance, Loss minimization, Voltage drop, Restoration index..) in distribution system. Optimal Tie Switches Selection is very important in operation of distribution system because that is closely related with efficiency and reliability. In this paper, a new algorithm considering important elements is proposed to find optimal location of tie switches. In the case study, the proposed algorithm has been testified using real distribution network of KEPCO for verifying algorithm and complex network for applying future distribution network.

지구 온난화에 따른 국내 멸종위기 야생동물의 민감도 및 취약성 분석 (Analysis of Sensitivity and Vulnerability of Endangered Wild Animals to Global Warming)

  • 김진용;홍승범;신만석
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.235-243
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    • 2018
  • Loss of favorable habitats for species due to temperature increase is one of the main concerns of climate change on the ecosystem, and endangered species might be much more sensitive to such unfavorable changes. This study aimed to analyze the impact of future climate change on endangered wild animals in South Korea by investigating thermal sensitivity and vulnerability to temperature increase. We determined thermal sensitivity by testing normality in species distribution according to temperature. Then, we defined the vulnerability when the future temperature range of South Korea completely deviate from the current temperature range of species distribution. We identified 13 species with higher thermal sensitivity. Based on IPCC future scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, the number of species vulnerable to future warming doubled from 3 under RCP4.5 to 7 under the RCP8.5 scenario. The species anticipated to be at risk under RCP 8.5 are flying squirrel (Pteromys volans aluco), ural owl (Pteromys volans aluco), black woodpecker (Dryocopus martius), tawny owl (Strix aluco), watercock (Gallicrex cinerea), schrenck?s bittern (Ixobrychus eurhythmus), and fairy pitta (Pitta nympha). The other 10 species showing very narrow temperature ranges even without normal distributions and out of the future temperature range may also need to be treated as vulnerable species, considering the inevitable observation scarcity of such endangered species.

RPA 주제별 국내 동향연구 -유통업무 적용사례를 중심으로- (A Study on the Trends of RPA Subjects in Korea -Focusing on cases of application of distribution business-)

  • 이호;박현숙
    • 산업진흥연구
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.21-35
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    • 2021
  • 연구결과 도입측면의 연구는 RPA 도입의 방향, 성과기대, 비용, 규제, 리스크에 초점을 맞추어 진행되어 왔다. 향후 도입측면의 연구는 조직적 측면 연구 외에도 기술적, 환경적 측면의 연구 활성화가 필요함을 알 수 있었다. 적용사례 측면의 연구는 실제 기업, 적용업무, 적용직업을 대상으로 이루어져왔음을 알 수 있었다. 향후 적용사례 측면의 연구는 실제 기업, 적용업무, 적용직업을 대상으로 RPA 기술적용 후 성과에 대한 연구가 필요해 보인다. 시장분석 측면의 연구는 시장의 형성단계, 그리고 미래시장 예측으로 이루어져왔음을 알 수 있었다. 향후 연구는 AI, 4차 산업혁명과 연계되어 미래의 시장이 어떻게 전개될지에 대한 연구는 가능하리라 본다. 수용의도 측면의 연구는 타 주제에 비하여 연구가 상대적으로 미진한 연구 분야라고 할 수 있다. 앞으로 수용의도 측면의 연구가 더욱 활성화된다면 신기술수용 이론의 발전에도 기여하고 RPA도입, RPA적용, RPA시장 활성화에도 시사점을 제시하였다.