• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.235-247
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• 1993

The predictive density function of a potential future observation and its first four moments are obtained in this paper to study the effects of a non-normal prior of the unknown mean of a normal population. The derived predictive density function is modified to study changes in utility curves, used to choose the optimum treatment from a given set of treatments, at a given level of stimulus due to slight deviations from normality of the prior distribution. Numerical illustrations are provided to exhibit some effectsl.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.325-337
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• 2017

In this paper, we proposed a new long-term lifetime distribution with four parameters inserted in a risk competitive scenario with decreasing, increasing and unimodal hazard rate functions, namely the Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution. This new distribution arises from a scenario of competitive latent risk, in which the lifetime associated to the particular risk is not observable, and where only the minimum lifetime value among all risks is noticed in a long-term context. However, it can also be used in any other situation as long as it fits the data well. The Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution is presented as a particular case for the new exponential-Poisson long-term distribution and Weibull long-term distribution. The properties of the proposed distribution were discussed, including its probability density, survival and hazard functions and explicit algebraic formulas for its order statistics. Assuming censored data, we considered the maximum likelihood approach for parameter estimation. For different parameter settings, sample sizes, and censoring percentages various simulation studies were performed to study the mean square error of the maximum likelihood estimative, and compare the performance of the model proposed with the particular cases. The selection criteria Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, and likelihood ratio test were used for the model selection. The relevance of the approach was illustrated on two real datasets of where the new model was compared with its particular cases observing its potential and competitiveness.

• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제90권2호
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• pp.176-183
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• 2001

본(本) 연구(硏究)에서는 목재(木材)의 다목적(多目的) 생산량(生産量)(multiple-product yield) 예측(豫測)에 대한 해결책(解決策)으로서 테다소나무(Pinus taeda L.) 조림지(造林地)를 대상으로 하여 Weibull 직경분포(直徑分布) 수확예측(收穫豫測) 시스템을 개발(開發)하였다. 직경분포(直徑分布) 수확예측(收穫豫測) 모형(模型)을 개발(開發)하기 위하여, 4개의 백분위수(百分位數) 식(式)들을 근거(根據)로 한 모수(母數) 회복(回復)(parameter recovery) 절차법(節次法)을 적용(適用)하였다. 또한 직경급(直徑級)에 대한 수확량(收穫量) 계산(計算)을 위하여 단목(單木) 수고(樹高) 예측식(豫測式)을 개발(開發)하였으며, 그리고 단목(單木) 재적(材積) 예측식(豫測式)을 이용(利用)함으로써 직경급(直徑級)에 대해 기대되는 재적량(材積量)을 계산(計算)할 수가 있다. 본(本) 연구(硏究)에서 사용(使用)된 직경급(直徑級)에 대한 Weibull 누적함수(累積函數)의 상한선(上限線) 차이(差異) 방법(方法)이 기존(旣存)의 상한선(上限線)과 하한선(下限線)의 절차법(節次法)보다도 괄약오차(括約誤差)를 줄 일수 있는 보다 나은 절차법(節次法)이였다. 본(本) 연구(硏究)에서 제시(提示)된 Weibull 직경분포(直徑分布) 수적예측(收積豫測) 시스템에 대한 타당성(妥當性) 검정(檢定)의 한 방법(方法)으로서 Kolmogorov-Smirnov test 결과(結果), 각(各) plot당 예측(豫測)된 직경분포(直徑分布)와 관측(觀測)된 직경(直徑) 분포급(分布級) 사이에서 통계적(統計的) 유의성(有意性)이 없는 것으로 나타났다. 이와 같은 직경분포(直徑分布) 수확예측(收穫豫測) 시스템은 다목적(多目的) 목재(木材) 생산량(生産量) 예측(豫測)과 임분(林分) 구조(構造) 모형(模型) 및 임분(林分)의 경영(經營)에 유용(有用)한 정보(情報)를 제공(提供)할 것이다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제28권6호
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• pp.595-610
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• 2021

Recently a few articles have derived robust first-order rotatable and D-optimal designs for the lifetime response having distributions gamma, lognormal, Weibull, exponential assuming errors that are correlated with different correlation structures such as autocorrelated, intra-class, inter-class, tri-diagonal, compound symmetry. Practically, a first-order model is an adequate approximation to the true surface in a small region of the explanatory variables. A second-order model is always appropriate for an unknown region, or if there is any curvature in the system. The current article aims to extend the ideas of these articles for second-order models. Invariant (free of the above four distributions) robust (free of correlation parameter values) second-order rotatable designs have been derived for the intra-class and inter-class correlated error structures. Second-order rotatability conditions have been derived herein assuming the response follows non-normal distribution (any one of the above four distributions) and errors have a general correlated error structure. These conditions are further simplified under intra-class and inter-class correlated error structures, and second-order rotatable designs are developed under these two structures for the response having anyone of the above four distributions. It is derived herein that robust second-order rotatable designs depend on the respective error variance covariance structure but they are independent of the correlation parameter values, as well as the considered four response lifetime distributions.

• 물과 미래
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.129-139
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• 1996

수공구조물의 계획과 설계에 있어서 수문자료에 대한 적정분포형을 선정하는 것은 매우 중요하며, 선정된 분포함수가 실측자료의 통계학적 특성을 잘 나타내고 있는가를 검토하는 것은 필수적인 과제이다. 본 연구에서는 전국 22개 지점, 7개 지속기간의 강우자료에 대하여 2변수 및 3변수 gamma, 2변수 및 3변수 lognormal, Gumbel, 2변수 및 3변수 log-Gumbel, GEV, log-Pearson type III, 2변수 및 3변수 Weibull, 4변수 및 5변수 Wakeby 분포를 적용하여 모멘트법, 확률가중 모멘트법, 최우도법 등으로 각 분포형의 매개변수를 추정하고, 적합성 조건을 검사하였다. 각 매개변수 추정법에 의하여 추정된 매개변수를 이용하여 10,000번 모의 발생하여 분리효과를 검토한 결과 매개변수 적합성을 고려한 경우 모멘트법에서는 log-Pearson type III 분포, 확률가중 모멘트법에서는 log-Pearson type III와 GEV 분포, 최우도법에서는 GEV 분포가 분리효과를 가장 작게 나타냈으며, 2변수 분포형의 경우 모두 분리효과가 크게 나타났다.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제71권1호
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• pp.89-98
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• 2019

In this study, the mechanical bending behaviors of functionally graded porous nanobeams are investigated. Four types of porosity which are, the classical power porosity function, the symmetric with mid-plane cosine function, bottom surface distribution and top surface distribution are proposed in analysis of nanobeam for the first time. A comparison between four types of porosity are illustrated. The effect of nano-scale is described by the differential nonlocal continuum theory of Eringen by adding the length scale into the constitutive equations as a material parameter comprising information about nanoscopic forces and its interactions. The graded material is designated by a power function through the thickness of nanobeam. The beam is simply-supported and is assumed to be thin, and hence, the kinematic assumptions of Euler-Bernoulli beam theory are held. The mathematical model is solved numerically using the finite element method. Numerical results show effects of porosity type, material graduation, and nanoscale parameters on the static deflection of nanobeam.

• 한국생산제조학회지
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• 제18권5호
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• pp.536-543
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• 2009

In this paper the mean stress effects on the probability distribution of the random grown crack size at a specified loading cycle are studied through the fatigue crack propagation tests, which are conducted on the specimens of magnesium alloy under four different stress ratios. Through 80 replicates the probability distributions of the grown crack size are obtained. The goodness-of-fit for probability distributions of the random grown crack size are investigated by Anderson-Darling test and the best fit for those probability distributions is found to be a 3-parameter Weibull distribution. The effects of the mean stress on the probability distribution of the random grown crack size are also estimated.

• Steel and Composite Structures
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• 제34권4호
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• pp.511-524
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• 2020

In this research, a simple four-variable trigonometric integral shear deformation model is proposed for the static behavior of advanced functionally graded (AFG) ceramic-metal plates supported by a two-parameter elastic foundation and subjected to a nonlinear hygro-thermo-mechanical load. The elastic properties, including both the thermal expansion and moisture coefficients of the plate, are also supposed to be varied within thickness direction by following a power law distribution in terms of volume fractions of the components of the material. The interest of the current theory is seen in its kinematics that use only four independent unknowns, while first-order plate theory and other higher-order plate theories require at least five unknowns. The "in-plane displacement field" of the proposed theory utilizes cosine functions in terms of thickness coordinates to calculate out-of-plane shear deformations. The vertical displacement includes flexural and shear components. The elastic foundation is introduced in mathematical modeling as a two-parameter Winkler-Pasternak foundation. The virtual displacement principle is applied to obtain the basic equations and a Navier solution technique is used to determine an analytical solution. The numerical results predicted by the proposed formulation are compared with results already published in the literature to demonstrate the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed theory. The influences of "moisture concentration", temperature, stiffness of foundation, shear deformation, geometric ratios and volume fraction variation on the mechanical behavior of AFG plates are examined and discussed in detail.

• The Korean Journal of Ecology
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.213-217
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• 2001

The purpose of this study is to investigate the effects of hardwood competitions in stand structure and dynamics by applying prediction models for unthinned loblolly pine (Pinus taeda L.) plantations. A parameter recovery procedure for the Weibull distribution function based on four percentile equations was applied to develop diameter distribution prediction models. Four percentiles of the cumulative diameter distribution prediction equations were predicted as a function of quadratic mean diameter plus competin hardwood trees perhectare varibales. According to the results of this study. it was found that as the amount of competing hardwood trees increased, diameter distributions in terms of stand structure dynamics tended to be more skewed to the right. Therefore, the influence of non-planted hardwood trees interspecific competitoin on planted loblolly pines showed negative effects on the stand structure and dynamics.

• 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.259-267
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• 2019

연구목적: 본 논문에서 접착제로 접착된 원통형 랩 접합부는 피착체가 탄성이고, 접착제가 선형 점탄성이라고 가정한다. 연구방법: 피착제의 응력 분포는 유한요소법을 사용하며, 4개의 아이소파라메터 점탄성 고체 접착제를 통해 피착제에 대한 해석결과를 검증한다. 연구결과: 접착층에서의 시간에 대한 응력분포와 피착제의 두께와 탄성율이 규격화에 미치는 응력의 영향을 검토한다. 결론: 본 연구는 접착제층의 점탄성을 고려한 랩접착된 원통체의 접착제층의 응력분포에 대해서 4요소 탄성체 모델을 사용하여 수치해석을 하였다.