• Title/Summary/Keyword: forest management ratio

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Machine Learning for Flood Prediction in Indonesia: Providing Online Access for Disaster Management Control

  • Reta L. Puspasari;Daeung Yoon;Hyun Kim;Kyoung-Woong Kim
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.56 no.1
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2023
  • As one of the most vulnerable countries to floods, there should be an increased necessity for accurate and reliable flood forecasting in Indonesia. Therefore, a new prediction model using a machine learning algorithm is proposed to provide daily flood prediction in Indonesia. Data crawling was conducted to obtain daily rainfall, streamflow, land cover, and flood data from 2008 to 2021. The model was built using a Random Forest (RF) algorithm for classification to predict future floods by inputting three days of rainfall rate, forest ratio, and stream flow. The accuracy, specificity, precision, recall, and F1-score on the test dataset using the RF algorithm are approximately 94.93%, 68.24%, 94.34%, 99.97%, and 97.08%, respectively. Moreover, the AUC (Area Under the Curve) of the ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristics) curve results in 71%. The objective of this research is providing a model that predicts flood events accurately in Indonesian regions 3 months prior the day of flood. As a trial, we used the month of June 2022 and the model predicted the flood events accurately. The result of prediction is then published to the website as a warning system as a form of flood mitigation.

Comparison of Soil Physicochemical Properties According to the Sensitivity of Forest Soil to Acidification in the Republic of Korea (우리나라 산림토양의 산성화 민감도평가와 그에 따른 토양 이화학적 특성 비교분석)

  • Lee, Ah Lim;Koo, Namin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.109 no.2
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    • pp.157-168
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    • 2020
  • The sensitivity of forest soil to acidification in the Republic of Korea (ROK) was evaluated based on pHH2O, cation exchange capacity (CEC), and base saturation (BS). Sensitivity to acidification was categorized into three grades: adequate level (AL, pH ≧ 4.2, CEC ≧ 15cmol/kg, BS ≧ 15%), caution level (CL, at least one indicator is below AL), and severe Level (SL, all three indicators are below AL). Soil samples were collected from the 65 stationary monitoring plots (40 × 40 ㎢), distributed throughout ROK. Only 19% of soil samples were classified as AL, while 66% and 15% were CL and SL, respectively. The median of pHH2O, CEC, BS, and Ca/Al indicator in AL soils was pH 4.64, 20.7cmol/kg, 29%, and 6.3, respectively. Moreover, BCex (K+, Mg2+, Ca2+) and available phosphorus (AP) concentration compared with a threshold value and molar ratio of BCex and AP to total nitrogen (TN) was high. This indicates that AL soils have a good nutrient condition. The molar Ca/Al ratio, an indicator for toxicity of exchangeable aluminum (Alex), was more than 1, indicating no negative impact of Alex on plant growth. On the contrary, the median of pHH2O, CEC, and BS in SL soils was pH 4.02, 13.2cmol/kg, and 10%, respectively. The Ca/Al index was less than 0.6, which indicates that negative impacts of Alex on plants were high. Furthermore, both the concentration of BCex in SL soils and the BCex/TN ratio were the lowest among the three acidity degrees. This shows that SLsoils can be degraded by soil acidification compared with less acidic soils.

Study on Conversion Permission Standard considering the Topography and Ecological Location of the Mountain Areas (산지 지형 및 생태적 입지를 고려한 산지이용기준 개발에 관한 연구)

  • CHOI, Jung-Sun;KWAK, Doo-Ahn;KWON, Soon-Duck
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.59-71
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    • 2019
  • In Mountainous Districts Management Act of Korea Forest Service, slope and elevation criteria are operated to regulate the indiscriminate use of risky land parcels when forestland is converted to other land use types. However, there is a limitation in considering topographical variation with only such two indices in the land parcel. Therefore, in order to supplement insufficient criteria, the slope type standard was developed using Catena, and the ecological condition improved terrain standards. Firstly, the ratio of 'risky slope' in a target forestland parcel was defined to decrease the risk of disasters such as landslides. Secondly, the standard of the ecological location condition was proposed as ecological score by integrating age, diameter and soil depth classes in the target forestland parcels. Thereby, we could prepare reasonable standards that can reduce forestland disasters and ecological damages, as suggesting new topographical and ecological assessment methods for forestland use conversion.

Ecological Diagnosis on Korean Red Pine (Pinus densiflora Seibold & Zucc) Stands in Isolated Urban Forest (도시(都市) 내(內) 고립(孤立) 림지(林地)의 소나무림(林)에 대(對)한 생태학적(生態學的) 진단(診斷))

  • Cho, Hyun-Je
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.96 no.4
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    • pp.419-424
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    • 2007
  • The urban forest offer many opportunities to maintain and enhance local and regional biological diversity. Pinus densiflora stands in isolated urban forest in five areas of Seoul, Incheon, Daegu, Ulsan, and Cheongju were investigated by landscape and community ecological methods for diagnosis of current status and construction of conservation plan. Species composition of five study areas revealed regional characteristics. As the result of stand dynamics, absence of pine seedlings and saplings were observed. Cheongju, significantly, revealed highest species diversity (H'=1.86) and richness (24) among study areas, and the opposite was true for Daegu (1.35 for H', and 14 for richness). Ratio of alien species was highest in Daegu (15.8%) (F=5.05, p=0.0016). Based on landscape analysis, complexity of pine patch was higher in local city than metropolitans, but statistically not significant (p=0.133). Complexity of pine patch revealed significant positive correlation with diversity and richness, but not with percentage of aliens. Synthetically, ecological management based on community and landscape ecological information was recommended. Cautious artificial regeneration strategy was necessary to regenerate pine forest in urban area.

Analysis on Vegetation Change of Forest Fire Damaged Area in Sogeumgang District, Gyeongju National Park (경주국립공원 소금강지구 산불피해지의 식생변화 분석)

  • You, Ju-Han;Kwon, Soon-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.47-64
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to present the basic data for the management of National Park by surveying and analysing the change of vegetation of forest fire damaged area in Sogeumgang District, Gyeongju National Park. The covergae ratio, a number of species and dominant species changed overall in forest fire damaged area. The final result of the change is as follows. In case of coverage ratio in the shrub layer, Site 1 was 30%, 40% in Site 2, 50% in Site 3, 60% in Site 4 and 30% in Site 5. In the herb layer, Site 1 was 90%, 80% in Site 2, 90% in Site 3, 60% in Site 4 and 20% in Site 5. In case of the number of species in the shrub layer, Site 1 was 11 species, 8 species in Site 2, 6 species in Site 3, 10 species in Site 4, 7 species in Site 5, and in the herb layer, Site 1 was 22 species, 25 species in Site 2, 12 species in Site 3 and Site 4 each and 11 species in Site 5. In the dominant species, the shrub layer was Lespedeza maritima(Site 1, 2), Quercus serrata(Site 3), Quercus serrata and Lespedeza bicolor(Site 4) and Styrax japonicus(Site 5), the herb layer was Miscanthus sinensis var. purpurascens(Site 1, 3), Pteridium aquilinum var. latiusculum and Carex humilis var. nana(Site 2), Quercus serrata(Site 4) and Carex humilis var. nana andS tyrax japonicus(Site 5). The number of vascular plants was summarized as 91 taxa including 35 families, 69 genera, 78 species, 2 subspecies, 10 varieties and 1 form.

Analyses of the Environmental Characteristics of Ponds in Golf Courses for Ecological Management (골프장 연못의 생태적 관리를 위한 환경특성 분석)

  • Ahn Deug-Soo;Kim Chang-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.33 no.6 s.113
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    • pp.51-77
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    • 2006
  • Pond management is a critical part of overall golf course management, both during growth and maintenance modes of turf care. This study investigated 48 ponds in nine 18- or 27-hole golf courses to analyze the environmental characteristics of ponds. The research process had three phases: (1) inventory and analysis of grading plans and drainage plans, (2) field verification and interviews with greenskeepers, and (3) analyses of water quality and statistics. All data were collected from May to August in 2004. The results of this study can be summarized as follows: 1. It is desirable to site a golf course in a small watershed with high watershed eccentricity to control storm water runoff efficiently and to minimize soil erosion during construction. 2. The siting and size of a pond should be determined through a land-use analysis of the watershed for the purpose of ecological management. The bigger the forest-to-golf course ratio, the better the water quality will be. 3. The size and capacity of each individual ponds varied and there were many somewhat longish rather than round ponds. 4. There were many differences among golf courses in naturalness of the ponds, and the correlation between naturalness and area of aquatic plants was very high. 5. Analyses of pond water quality indicated that the degrees of Dissolved Oxygen, Chemical Oxygen Demanded and Suspended Solids were relatively low values but Total Phosphorus and Total Nitrogen were too high. Therefore a systematic approach is needed to solve e problem. Pesticide residues were not detected in all ponds. 6. Water depth and area of hydrophyte should be considered when designing an ecological pond. 7. All ponds used storm water as a main source of water supply and added underground water. Aquatic plants and physical methods such as water aeration and spray fountains were the main choices for maintaining a healthy aquatic environment.

Studies on Wood Quality and Growth of Alnus glutinosa (L.) Gaertn. in Korea - Physical Properties - (글루티노사오리나무의 생장과 재질에 관한 연구 - 물리적 성질 -)

  • Han, Ju-Hwan;Jeong, Jae-Hun;Lee, Gooi-Yong;Kim, Byung-Ro
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2015
  • Relationship between annual ring width and physical properties of 24-year old alder woods (Alnus glutinosa L.) that had different seed origins from four provenances such as Bulgary, Italy, United Kindom, and Yugoslavia was investigated. No difference among different origins of seeds was found for the moisture content, density, and shrinkage or tangential radial (T/R) ratio. These properties had also no relationship with the growth rate. As important parameters among wood quality indices, no difference in the density or shrinkage on wood that has different growth rates was detected among alder woods from four different origins of seeds. Therefore, it is considered that higher growth rate might be a key factor for selecting the seed origin of the alder tree.

Correlation Analysis between Forest Community and Environment Factor of Nari Basin in Ulleung Island (울릉도 나리분지의 산림군락과 환경요인과의 상관관계)

  • Chung, Jae-Min;Yoon, Jun-Hyuck;Shin, Jae-Kwon;Moon, Hyun-Shik
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2011
  • This study was carried out to provide the basic information for effective preservation and management of forest community of Nari basin in Ulleung Island. Forest community in Nari basin was classified into Fagus engleriana community, Sorbus amurensis community, Pinus densiflora community, Celtis jessoensis community and Alnus maximowiczii community. As the result of DCCA ordination analysis, sea level among environmental factors had high correlation with community distribution. Fagus engleriana community and Sorbus amurensis community correlated highly with aspect, Na content, and C/N ratio. There was a high correlation between Celtis jessoensis community and the content of Ca and K. Alnus maximowiczii community was distributed in site where CEC content is high. Pinus densiflora community was distributed in site where the content of Ca and CEC is high.

Development of a Basic Wood Density for Carbon Accounting in Bamboo Forests (대나무 탄소계정을 위한 목재기본밀도 개발)

  • Eunji Hae;Jaeyeop Chung;Sunjung Lee;Hyejung Roh;Yeongmo Son
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.112 no.2
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    • pp.188-194
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    • 2023
  • This study aimed to derive the basic wood density, one of several carbon emission factors, for carbon accounting of bamboo forests in Korea. Bamboo is mainly distributed in Jeollanam-do and Gyeongsangnam-do provinces, and 101 sample trees were selected for each of the three species (Phyllostachys nigra var. henonis, P. bambusoides, and P. pubescens). The basic wood density derivation used the KS F 2098 method. The measurements showed that the basic wood density was 0.83 g/cm3 for P. nigra var. henonis, 0.81 g/cm3 for P. bambusoides, and 0.72 g/cm3 for P. pubescens. However, the bamboo distribution area in Korea is not very large, and P. pubescens grows in one area only. Therefore, the basic wood density that can be applied to bamboo was 0.79 g/cm3. Evaluation of the uncertainty of the extracted basic wood density showed a very low value of 1.61%, which confirmed the reliability of the basic wood density derived from this analysis. The basic wood density, biomass expansion factor, and root-to-shoot ratio were used to calculate the carbon storage capacity of one bamboo plant and expanded to calculate the capacity for a hectare of bamboo. Carbon storage and absorption of bamboo were calculated by applying a carbon-emission factor, such as the basic wood density. These study results are expected to contribute to the carbon-neutral policy and forest management direction in Korea.

Wildfire Severity Mapping Using Sentinel Satellite Data Based on Machine Learning Approaches (Sentinel 위성영상과 기계학습을 이용한 국내산불 피해강도 탐지)

  • Sim, Seongmun;Kim, Woohyeok;Lee, Jaese;Kang, Yoojin;Im, Jungho;Kwon, Chunguen;Kim, Sungyong
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.5_3
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    • pp.1109-1123
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    • 2020
  • In South Korea with forest as a major land cover class (over 60% of the country), many wildfires occur every year. Wildfires weaken the shear strength of the soil, forming a layer of soil that is vulnerable to landslides. It is important to identify the severity of a wildfire as well as the burned area to sustainably manage the forest. Although satellite remote sensing has been widely used to map wildfire severity, it is often difficult to determine the severity using only the temporal change of satellite-derived indices such as Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Normalized Burn Ratio (NBR). In this study, we proposed an approach for determining wildfire severity based on machine learning through the synergistic use of Sentinel-1A Synthetic Aperture Radar-C data and Sentinel-2A Multi Spectral Instrument data. Three wildfire cases-Samcheok in May 2017, Gangreung·Donghae in April 2019, and Gosung·Sokcho in April 2019-were used for developing wildfire severity mapping models with three machine learning algorithms (i.e., Random Forest, Logistic Regression, and Support Vector Machine). The results showed that the random forest model yielded the best performance, resulting in an overall accuracy of 82.3%. The cross-site validation to examine the spatiotemporal transferability of the machine learning models showed that the models were highly sensitive to temporal differences between the training and validation sites, especially in the early growing season. This implies that a more robust model with high spatiotemporal transferability can be developed when more wildfire cases with different seasons and areas are added in the future.