• Title/Summary/Keyword: forest machine

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Prediction of spatio-temporal AQI data

  • KyeongEun Kim;MiRu Ma;KyeongWon Lee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.119-133
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    • 2023
  • With the rapid growth of the economy and fossil fuel consumption, the concentration of air pollutants has increased significantly and the air pollution problem is no longer limited to small areas. We conduct statistical analysis with the actual data related to air quality that covers the entire of South Korea using R and Python. Some factors such as SO2, CO, O3, NO2, PM10, precipitation, wind speed, wind direction, vapor pressure, local pressure, sea level pressure, temperature, humidity, and others are used as covariates. The main goal of this paper is to predict air quality index (AQI) spatio-temporal data. The observations of spatio-temporal big datasets like AQI data are correlated both spatially and temporally, and computation of the prediction or forecasting with dependence structure is often infeasible. As such, the likelihood function based on the spatio-temporal model may be complicated and some special modelings are useful for statistically reliable predictions. In this paper, we propose several methods for this big spatio-temporal AQI data. First, random effects with spatio-temporal basis functions model, a classical statistical analysis, is proposed. Next, neural networks model, a deep learning method based on artificial neural networks, is applied. Finally, random forest model, a machine learning method that is closer to computational science, will be introduced. Then we compare the forecasting performance of each other in terms of predictive diagnostics. As a result of the analysis, all three methods predicted the normal level of PM2.5 well, but the performance seems to be poor at the extreme value.

A Study on the Prediction of Cabbage Price Using Ensemble Voting Techniques (앙상블 Voting 기법을 활용한 배추 가격 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Chang-Min;Song, Sung-Kwang;Chung, Sung-Wook
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2022
  • Vegetables such as cabbage are greatly affected by natural disasters, so price fluctuations increase due to disasters such as heavy rain and disease, which affects the farm economy. Various efforts have been made to predict the price of agricultural products to solve this problem, but it is difficult to predict extreme price prediction fluctuations. In this study, cabbage prices were analyzed using the ensemble Voting technique, a method of determining the final prediction results through various classifiers by combining a single classifier. In addition, the results were compared with LSTM, a time series analysis method, and XGBoost and RandomForest, a boosting technique. Daily data was used for price data, and weather information and price index that affect cabbage prices were used. As a result of the study, the RMSE value showing the difference between the actual value and the predicted value is about 236. It is expected that this study can be used to select other time series analysis research models such as predicting agricultural product prices

Infrastructure Anomaly Analysis for Data-center Failure Prevention: Based on RRCF and Prophet Ensemble Analysis (데이터센터 장애 예방을 위한 인프라 이상징후 분석: RRCF와 Prophet Ensemble 분석 기반)

  • Hyun-Jong Kim;Sung-Keun Kim;Byoung-Whan Chun;Kyong-Bog, Jin;Seung-Jeong Yang
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.113-124
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    • 2022
  • Various methods using machine learning and big data have been applied to prevent failures in Data Centers. However, there are many limitations to referencing individual equipment-based performance indicators or to being practically utilized as an approach that does not consider the infrastructure operating environment. In this study, the performance indicators of individual infrastructure equipment are integrated monitoring and the performance indicators of various equipment are segmented and graded to make a single numerical value. Data pre-processing based on experience in infrastructure operation. And an ensemble of RRCF (Robust Random Cut Forest) analysis and Prophet analysis model led to reliable analysis results in detecting anomalies. A failure analysis system was implemented to facilitate the use of Data Center operators. It can provide a preemptive response to Data Center failures and an appropriate tuning time.

Development of Long-Term Hospitalization Prediction Model for Minor Automobile Accident Patients (자동차 사고 경상환자의 장기입원 예측 모델 개발)

  • DoegGyu Lee;DongHyun Nam;Sung-Phil Heo
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2023
  • The cost of medical treatment for motor vehicle accidents is increasing every year. In this study, we created a model to predict long-term hospitalization(more than 18 days) among minor patients, which is the main item of increasing traffic accident medical expenses, using five algorithms such as decision tree, and analyzed the factors affecting long-term hospitalization. As a result, the accuracy of the prediction models ranged from 91.377 to 91.451, and there was no significant difference between each model, but the random forest and XGBoost models had the highest accuracy of 91.451. There were significant differences between models in the importance of explanatory variables, such as hospital location, name of disease, and type of hospital, between the long-stay and non-long-stay groups. Model validation was tested by comparing the average accuracy of each model cross-validated(10 times) on the training data with the accuracy of the validation data. To test of the explanatory variables, the chi-square test was used for categorical variables.

Crop Yield Estimation Utilizing Feature Selection Based on Graph Classification (그래프 분류 기반 특징 선택을 활용한 작물 수확량 예측)

  • Ohnmar Khin;Sung-Keun Lee
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1269-1276
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    • 2023
  • Crop estimation is essential for the multinational meal and powerful demand due to its numerous aspects like soil, rain, climate, atmosphere, and their relations. The consequence of climate shift impacts the farming yield products. We operate the dataset with temperature, rainfall, humidity, etc. The current research focuses on feature selection with multifarious classifiers to assist farmers and agriculturalists. The crop yield estimation utilizing the feature selection approach is 96% accuracy. Feature selection affects a machine learning model's performance. Additionally, the performance of the current graph classifier accepts 81.5%. Eventually, the random forest regressor without feature selections owns 78% accuracy and the decision tree regressor without feature selections retains 67% accuracy. Our research merit is to reveal the experimental results of with and without feature selection significance for the proposed ten algorithms. These findings support learners and students in choosing the appropriate models for crop classification studies.

Study on Failure Classification of Missile Seekers Using Inspection Data from Production and Manufacturing Phases (생산 및 제조 단계의 검사 데이터를 이용한 유도탄 탐색기의 고장 분류 연구)

  • Ye-Eun Jeong;Kihyun Kim;Seong-Mok Kim;Youn-Ho Lee;Ji-Won Kim;Hwa-Young Yong;Jae-Woo Jung;Jung-Won Park;Yong Soo Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.30-39
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    • 2024
  • This study introduces a novel approach for identifying potential failure risks in missile manufacturing by leveraging Quality Inspection Management (QIM) data to address the challenges presented by a dataset comprising 666 variables and data imbalances. The utilization of the SMOTE for data augmentation and Lasso Regression for dimensionality reduction, followed by the application of a Random Forest model, results in a 99.40% accuracy rate in classifying missiles with a high likelihood of failure. Such measures enable the preemptive identification of missiles at a heightened risk of failure, thereby mitigating the risk of field failures and enhancing missile life. The integration of Lasso Regression and Random Forest is employed to pinpoint critical variables and test items that significantly impact failure, with a particular emphasis on variables related to performance and connection resistance. Moreover, the research highlights the potential for broadening the scope of data-driven decision-making within quality control systems, including the refinement of maintenance strategies and the adjustment of control limits for essential test items.

Verification of the Suitability of Fine Dust and Air Quality Management Systems Based on Artificial Intelligence Evaluation Models

  • Heungsup Sim
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.29 no.8
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    • pp.165-170
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to verify the accuracy of the air quality management system in Yangju City using an artificial intelligence (AI) evaluation model. The consistency and reliability of fine dust data were assessed by comparing public data from the Ministry of Environment with data from Yangju City's air quality management system. To this end, we analyzed the completeness, uniqueness, validity, consistency, accuracy, and integrity of the data. Exploratory statistical analysis was employed to compare data consistency. The results of the AI-based data quality index evaluation revealed no statistically significant differences between the two datasets. Among AI-based algorithms, the random forest model demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy, with its performance evaluated through ROC curves and AUC. Notably, the random forest model was identified as a valuable tool for optimizing the air quality management system. This study confirms that the reliability and suitability of fine dust data can be effectively assessed using AI-based model performance evaluation, contributing to the advancement of air quality management strategies.

A Study on the Cutting Optimal Power Requirements of Fast Growing Trees by Circular Saw (원형톱에 의한 속성수 절단 적정 소요동력 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Yun Sung;Kim, Dae Hyun;Oh, Jae Heun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.103 no.3
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    • pp.402-407
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    • 2014
  • In this study, Italy poplar(Populus euramericana) was selected for test specimen to measure cutting power when it harvested. The experiment has been controlled as three levels of feed rate (0.41, 1.25 and 2.5 m/s), sawing speed (800, 1,000 and 1,200 rpm), and the five levels of root collar diameter (50, 70, 90 and 110, 130 mm). The harvested volume after 3 years (root collar diameter 50 mm) was 10.5 tons, which falls short of the target amount of biomass is 20~30 ton/ha. In addition, the biomass amount of diameter 90 and 110 mm which reached the target amount were estimated to be 23.5 and 32.5 ton/ha respectively. As a result of experiment, it was found out that power of 128.2 and 175.8 W are consumed in case of cutting with the feed rate of 0.41m/s and minimum sawing speed (800 rpm) respectively. With the working area of 0.3 ha/h, it is considered to present working capacities of 16.5 and 22.8 ton/h respectively. The power consumed at the feed rate of 1.25 m/s is estimated to be 113.8 and 153.7W respectively and working capacity in a working area of 1 ha/h is estimated to be 23.5 and 32.5 ton/h. The power consumed at the feed rate of 2.5 m/s is estimated to be 119.8 and 166.9 W respectively and working capacity in a working area of 2 ha/h is estimated to be 47.0 and 65.5 ton/ha respectively. Therefore, the power source of harvest machine at the feed rate of 1.25, 2.50 m/s and sawing speed of 800 rpm shall be selected as it can process the target amount of estimated biomass.

Assessment of climate change impact on aquatic ecology health indices in Han river basin using SWAT and random forest (SWAT 및 random forest를 이용한 기후변화에 따른 한강유역의 수생태계 건강성 지수 영향 평가)

  • Woo, So Young;Jung, Chung Gil;Kim, Jin Uk;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.10
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    • pp.863-874
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the future climate change impact on stream aquatic ecology health of Han River watershed ($34,148km^2$) using SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) and random forest. The 8 years (2008~2015) spring (April to June) Aquatic ecology Health Indices (AHI) such as Trophic Diatom Index (TDI), Benthic Macroinvertebrate Index (BMI) and Fish Assessment Index (FAI) scored (0~100) and graded (A~E) by NIER (National Institute of Environmental Research) were used. The 8 years NIER indices with the water quality (T-N, $NH_4$, $NO_3$, T-P, $PO_4$) showed that the deviation of AHI score is large when the concentration of water quality is low, and AHI score had negative correlation when the concentration is high. By using random forest, one of the Machine Learning techniques for classification analysis, the classification results for the 3 indices grade showed that all of precision, recall, and f1-score were above 0.81. The future SWAT hydrology and water quality results under HadGEM3-RA RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) showed that the future nitrogen-related water quality in watershed average increased up to 43.2% by the baseflow increase effect and the phosphorus-related water quality decreased up to 18.9% by the surface runoff decrease effect. The future FAI and BMI showed a little better Index grade while the future TDI showed a little worse index grade. We can infer that the future TDI is more sensitive to nitrogen-related water quality and the future FAI and BMI are responded to phosphorus-related water quality.

A study on variable selection and classification in dynamic analysis data for ransomware detection (랜섬웨어 탐지를 위한 동적 분석 자료에서의 변수 선택 및 분류에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seunghwan;Hwang, Jinsoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.497-505
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    • 2018
  • Attacking computer systems using ransomware is very common all over the world. Since antivirus and detection methods are constantly improved in order to detect and mitigate ransomware, the ransomware itself becomes equally better to avoid detection. Several new methods are implemented and tested in order to optimize the protection against ransomware. In our work, 582 of ransomware and 942 of normalware sample data along with 30,967 dynamic action sequence variables are used to detect ransomware efficiently. Several variable selection techniques combined with various machine learning based classification techniques are tried to protect systems from ransomwares. Among various combinations, chi-square variable selection and random forest gives the best detection rates and accuracy.