• Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
• /
• v.14 no.3
• /
• pp.17-27
• /
• 2021

In this study, classification models were built using machine learning techniques that can classify the soil creep risk into three classes from A to C (A: risk, B: moderate, C: good). A total of six machine learning techniques were used: K-Nearest Neighbor, Support Vector Machine, Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Extreme Gradient Boosting and then their classification accuracy was analyzed using the nationwide soil creep field survey data in 2019 and 2020. As a result of classification accuracy analysis, all six methods showed excellent accuracy of 0.9 or more. The methods where numerical data were applied for data training showed better performance than the methods based on character data of field survey evaluation table. Moreover, the methods learned with the data group (R1~R4) reflecting the expert opinion had higher accuracy than the field survey evaluation score data group (C1~C4). The machine learning can be used as a tool for prediction of soil creep if high-quality data are continuously secured and updated in the future.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
• /
• v.25 no.3
• /
• pp.197-207
• /
• 2023

This study was conducted with the purpose of measuring the disaster damage reduction effect according to the provision of the early warning service ahead of the nationwide expansion. The damage reduction effect was measured using insurance data for 19 insured crops in areas that early warning services were provided during the period from 2017 to 2020. As a result of the measurement, it was analyzed that the early warning service had the effect of preventing or reducing disaster damage to farms. In particular, it was found that the disaster reduction effect was greater when disaster prevention facilities were equipped. The implications obtained from the results are as follows. First, by presenting subjectively experienced disaster reduction cases as numerical effects using insurance data with public confidence and objectivity, it can be used as basic data such as expansion of service area, discount of insurance premium with service adoption, and promotional materials for service subscription for early warning service. Second, in expanding and distributing early warning services, giving priority to areas or crops equipped with disaster prevention facilities can help increase the efficiency and effectiveness of the project.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
• /
• v.28 no.1
• /
• pp.47-59
• /
• 2018

At present, there has been a wide range of studies on debris flow in Korea, more specifically, on rainfall characteristics that trigger debris flow including rainfall intensity, rainfall duration, and preceding rainfall. the prediction of landslide / debris flow relies on the criteria for landslide watch and warning by the Korea Forest Service (KFS, 2012). Despite this, it has been found that most incidents of debris flow were caused by rainfall above the level of landslide watch, maximum hourly rainfall, extensive damage was caused even under the watch level. Under these circumstances, we calculated a rainfall triggering index (RTI) using the main factors that trigger debris flow-rainfall, rainfall intensity, and cumulative rainfall-to design a more sophisticated watch / warning criteria than those by the KFS. The RTI was classified into attention, caution, alert, and evacuation, and was assessed through the application of two debris flow incidents that occurred in Umyeon Mountain, Seoul, and Cheongju, Inje, causing serious damage and casualties. Moreover, we reviewed the feasibility of the RTI by comparing it with the KFS's landslide watch / warning criteria (KFS, 2012).

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
• /
• v.24 no.4
• /
• pp.346-352
• /
• 2022

Mountain meteorology in South Korea that is covered mountains with complex terrain is important for understanding and managing the forest disaster and forest ecosystems. In particular, recent changes in dryness and/or rainfall intensity due to climate change may cause an increase in the possibility of forest disasters. Therefore, accurate monitoring of mountain meteorology is needed for efficient forest management. Korea Forest Service (KFS) is establishing the Automatic Mountain Meteorology Observation Stations (AMOS) in the mountain regions since 2012. 464 AMOSs are observing various meteorological variables such as air temperature, relative humidity, wind speed and direction, precipitation, soil temperature, and air pressure for every minute, which is conducted the quality control (QC) to retain data reliability. QC process includes the physical limit test, step test, internal consistency test, persistence test, climate range test, and median filter test. All of AMOS observations are open to use, which can be found from the Korean Mountain Meteorology Information System (KoMIS, http://mtweather.nifos.go.kr/) of the National Institute of Forest Science and the Public Data Portal (https://public.go.kr/). AMOS observations with guaranteed quality can be used in various forest fields including the public safety, forest recreation, forest leisure activities, etc., and can contribute to the advancement of forest science and technology. In this paper, a series of processes are introduced to collect and use the AMOS dataset in the mountain region in South Korea.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
• /
• v.20 no.5
• /
• pp.27-35
• /
• 2019

The purpose of this study is to analyze the displacement characteristics in slow-moving landslide area using digital elevation model and airborne LiDAR when unpredictable disaster such as slow-moving landslide occurred. We also aimed to provide basic data for establishing a rapid, reasonable and effective restoration plan. In this study, slow-moving landslide occurrence cracks were selected through the airborne LiDAR data, and the topographic changes and the scale of occurrence were quantitatively analyzed. As a result of the analysis, the study area showed horseshoe shape similar to the general form of slow-moving landslide occurrence in Korea, and the direction of movement was in the north direction. The total area of slow-moving landslide damage was estimated to about 2.5ha, length of landsldie scrap 327.3m, average width 19.3m, and average depth 8.6m. The slow-moving landslides did not occur on a large scale but occurred on the adjacent slope where roads were located, caused damage to retaining walls and roads. The field survey of slow-moving landslides was limited by accessibility and safety issues, but there was an advantage that accurate analysis was possible through the airborne LiDAR. However, because airborne LiDAR has costly disadvantages, it has proposed a technique to mount LiDAR on UAV for rapidity, long-term monitoring. In a slow-moving landslide damage area, information such as direction of movement of cracks and change of scale should be acquired continuously to be used in restoration planning and prevention of damage.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
• /
• v.16 no.3
• /
• pp.440-448
• /
• 2020

Purpose: Most of the studies in the country on earthquake-induced landslide predict the displacement of the slope. Until now, no studies have been conducted on the occurrence of landslides and damage characteristics by earthquakes. Therefore, this study was conducted to obtain basic data of landslides caused by earthquakes. Method: In order to analyze the characteristics of earthquake-causing landslides, we have collected data reported in the media over the past decade. Landslides in foreign countries were analyzed separately by cause of occurrences such as rainfall and earthquake. Landslides from abroad were analyzed according to the cause of the occurrence, and landslides caused by earthquakes were further analyzed as follows: the magnitude of an earthquake, year of occurrence, number of occurrences by continent, damage status, etc. Result: In the past 10 years, a total of 608 landslides have been reported from overseas, and the cause is the highest with 340 landslides due to rainfall. There were 70 cases of landslides caused by earthquakes, and it was analyzed as the second cause of landslides. The average magnitude for earthquakes that caused landslides was 6.5, and the minimum and maximum magnitude were 4.4 and 8.2 respectively. The earthquake-induced landslides were the most occurrence in 2011yr and 2012yr, and the continent was the most common in Asia. Also, It was analyzed that if an earthquake caused landslides, the number of casualties increased and the size of the damage increased. Conclusion: Currently, earthquakes are steadily increasing in Korea, and the possibility of strong earthquakes is also increasing. Earthquake-induced landslides are beyond human control due to natural disasters but can minimize damage through active prevention and response. It is expected that the results of this study will be used as basic data in establishing measures for earthquake landslides to reduce property and human damage in the future.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
• /
• v.20 no.2
• /
• pp.270-283
• /
• 2024

Purpose: Considering the rising frequency of earthquakes in Korea, it is crucial to revise the rainfall thresholds for landslide triggering following earthquake events. This study was conducted to provide scientific justification and preliminary data for adjusting rainfall thresholds for landslide early warnings after earthquakes through soil physical experiments. Method: The study analyzed the change in soil shear strength by direct shear tests on disturbed and undisturbed samples collected from cut slopes. Also, The study analyzed the soil strength parameters of remolded soil samples subjected to drying and wetting conditions, focusing on the relationship between the degree of saturation after submergence and the strength parameters. Result: Compaction water content variation in direct shear tests showed that higher water content and saturation in disturbed samples led to a significant decrease in cohesion (over 50%) and a reduction in shear resistance angle (1~2°). Additionally, during the ring shear tests, the shear strength was observed to gradually decrease once water was supplied to the shear plane. The maximum shear strength decreased by approximately 65-75%, while the residual shear strength decreased by approximately 53-60%. Conclusion: Seismic activity amplifies landslide risk during subsequent rainfall, necessitating proactive mitigation strategies in earthquake-prone areas. This research is anticipated to provide scientific justification and preliminary data for reducing the rainfall threshold for landslide initiation in earthquake-susceptible regions.

• Fire Science and Engineering
• /
• v.22 no.2
• /
• pp.63-69
• /
• 2008

The characteristics of the spread of a forest fire are generally related to the attributes of combustibles, geographical features, and meteorological conditions, such as wind conditions. The most common methodology used to create a prediction model for the spread of forest fires, based on the numerical analysis of the development stages of a forest fire, is an analysis of heat energy transmission by the stage of heat transmission. When a forest fire breaks out, the analysis of the transmission velocity of heat energy is quantifiable by the spread velocity of flame movement through a physical and chemical analysis at every stage of the fire development from flame production and heat transmission to its termination. In this study, the formula used for the 1-D surface forest fire behavior prediction model, derived from a numerical analysis of the surface flame spread rate of solid combustibles, is introduced. The formula for the 1-D surface forest fire behavior prediction model is the estimated equation of the flame spread velocity, depending on the condition of wind velocity on the ground. Experimental and theoretical equations on flame duration, flame height, flame temperature, ignition temperature of surface fuels, etc., has been applied to the device of this formula. As a result of a comparison between the ROS(rate of spread) from this formula and ROSs from various equations of other models or experimental values, a trend suggesting an increasing curved line of the exponent function under 3m/s or less wind velocity condition was identified. As a result of a comparison between experimental values and numerically analyzed values for fallen pine tree leaves, the flame spread velocity reveals a prediction of an approximately 10% upward tendency under wind velocity conditions of 1 to 2m/s, and of an approximately 20% downward tendency under those of 3m/s.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
• /
• v.10 no.2
• /
• pp.122-128
• /
• 2007

GIS is used much research for efficient forest fire management and forecasting and slope has been known as high-leverage thing in spread of forest fire specially. Various algorithms are used usually to calculate slope angle of topography from DEM(Digital elevation model). However, because spread speed of forest fire is different according to uphill slope and downhill slope, it need new slope calculation algorithm. Therefore, developed slope calculation algorithm can reflect uphill slope and forest fire spread speed of looking downhill slope.

• Fire Science and Engineering
• /
• v.29 no.1
• /
• pp.45-52
• /
• 2015

This research analyzed synthetically the characteristic of forest helicopter, fire helicopter, civil helicopter and deployment assets are in operated in forest fire places of our country. Looking at arrangement of helicopter, Chung-buk, Jeonnam has a number of outbreak a forest fire rather than others but it is weak of initial fire attack by a gap of helicopter arrangement. Geong-gi has many helicopter while it is a relatively few outbreak of a helicopter. According to this, We read to consider that Gang-won need to rent more a helicopters and civil helicopter in each weak areas by government expense. In addition Dae-jeon, Chung-buk and Jeon-nam need arrangement of helicopter after secure rental budget. Especially, Dae-jeon need to consider opening base of fire helicopter.