• Title/Summary/Keyword: forest business

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A Growth and Yield Model for Predicting Both Forest Stumpage and Mill Side Manufactured Product Yields and Economics

  • Schultz Emily B.;Matney Thomas G.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technical Association of the Pulp and Paper Industry Conference
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    • 2006.06b
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    • pp.305-309
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents and illustrates the application of a growth and yield model that supports both forest and mill side volume and value estimates. Traditional forest stand growth and yield models represent the forest landowner view of yield and economics. Predicted yields are estimates of what one would expect from a procurement cruise, and current stumpage prices are applied to investigate optimum management strategies. Optimum management regimes and rotation ages obtained from the forest side view are unlikely to be economically optimal when viewed from the mill side. The actual distribution of recoverable manufactured product and its value are highly dependent on mill technologies and configurations. Overcoming this limitation of growth and yield computer models necessitates the ability to predict and price the expected manufactured distribution of lumber, lineal meters of veneer, and tonnes of air dried pulp fiber yield. With these embedded models, users of the yield simulator can evaluate the economics of possible/feasible management regimes from both the forest and mill business sides. The simulator is a forest side model that has been modified to produce estimates of manufactured product yields by embedding models for 1) pulpwood chip size class distribution and pulp yield for any kappa number (Schultz and Matney, 2002), 2) a lumber yield and pricing model based on the Best Opening Face model developed by the USDA Forest Service Forest Products Laboratory (Lewis, 1985a and Lewis, 1985b), and 3) a lineal meter veneer model derived from peeler block tests. While the model is strictly applicable to planted loblolly pine (Pinus taeda L.) on cutover site-prepared land in the United States (US) Gulf South, the model and computer program are adaptable to any region and forest type.

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A study on the Introduction Plans of Forest Land Bank System (산지은행제도의 도입방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-ho;Kim, Won Kyung;Kwon, Soon-duk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.104 no.3
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    • pp.503-511
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest the introduction plans of forest land bank system for effective forestry management as well as the livelihood stability support of aged forest landowners. It is expected that forest land bank system can contribute to solve forestry management problems caused by small and scattered forest lands, aging forest landowners, and the increase of absentee forest landowners. This study examined an existing related case of Farmland Bank system, and suggested basic directions, main functions, priority, and agency for forest land bank system. The goals of forest land bank system include activating private forest land management, improving forest management scale, and supporting stable forestry income. Based on the examination of this study, main projects of forest land bank involve forest land sale and lease consignment, forest land reverse mortgage, forest land scale improvement project, and forest business recovery support program. In addition, this study discussed potential problems and their solutions in introducing and operating the forest land bank system. This study can play a key role to determine a basic direction and to establish policies of the forest land management.

Market Timing and Seasoned Equity Offering (마켓 타이밍과 유상증자)

  • Sung Won Seo
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.145-157
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    • 2024
  • Purpose - In this study, we propose an empirical model for predicting seasoned equity offering (SEO here after) using machine learning methods. Design/methodology/approach - The models utilize the random forest method based on decision trees that considers non-linear relationships, as well as the gradient boosting tree model. SEOs incur significant direct and indirect costs. Therefore, CEOs' decisions of seasoned equity issuances are made only when the benefits outweigh the costs, which leads to a non-linear relationship between SEOs and a determinant of them. Particularly, a variable related to market timing effectively exhibit such non-linear relations. Findings - To account for these non-linear relationships, we hypothesize that decision tree-based random forest and gradient boosting tree models are more suitable than the linear methodologies due to the non-linear relations. The results of this study support this hypothesis. Research implications or Originality - We expect that our findings can provide meaningful information to investors and policy makers by classifying companies to undergo SEOs.

An Economic Valuation of Forest Ecosystem Services: A Choice Modeling Application to the Mekong Delta Project in Vietnam

  • KHAI, Huynh Viet;VAN, Nguyen Phi;DANH, Vo Thanh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.465-473
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    • 2021
  • This study is the application of a choice experiment to assess Mekong Delta urban households' preferences and motivations for ecosystem conservation in the U Minh forest. The study applied a choice modeling approach to estimate the economic values of the proposed ecosystem conservation program in the U Minh forest by accessing urban consumer preferences and their willingness to pay for the project. Discrete choice experimental data was collected from 450 residents in the cities of the Vietnamese Mekong Delta. The multinomial logit model was employed to identify consumer's stated preferences for the environmental and sustainability attributes of the conservation project. The results showed that Mekong Delta urban residents paid much attention to the proposed project to protect and develop the U Minh forest. In addition, the results showed that higher education, income, and knowledge of the U Minh forest revealed a higher likelihood of selecting the project, while the older residents would select the status quo more than the younger ones. The study also proved that the effect of participation had a strong impact on the willingness to pay for the project. The findings could be useful for policymakers to take action to raise resident's awareness and willingness to pay for the U Minh forest project.

Care Cost Prediction Model for Orphanage Organizations in Saudi Arabia

  • Alhazmi, Huda N;Alghamdi, Alshymaa;Alajlani, Fatimah;Abuayied, Samah;Aldosari, Fahd M
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.84-92
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    • 2021
  • Care services are a significant asset in human life. Care in its overall nature focuses on human needs and covers several aspects such as health care, homes, personal care, and education. In fact, care deals with many dimensions: physical, psychological, and social interconnections. Very little information is available on estimating the cost of care services that provided to orphans and abandoned children. Prediction of the cost of the care system delivered by governmental or non-governmental organizations to support orphans and abandoned children is increasingly needed. The purpose of this study is to analyze the care cost for orphanage organizations in Saudi Arabia to forecast the cost as well as explore the most influence factor on the cost. By using business analytic process that applied statistical and machine learning techniques, we proposed a model includes simple linear regression, Naive Bayes classifier, and Random Forest algorithms. The finding of our predictive model shows that Naive Bayes has addressed the highest accuracy equals to 87% in predicting the total care cost. Our model offers predictive approach in the perspective of business analytics.

The Tendency of Scientific Research of Tree Improvement and Forest Management in Japan (일본(日本)의 임목육종(林木育種) 및 삼림경영연구동향(森林經營硏究動向))

  • Kim, Young Ho;Son, Doo Sik
    • Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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    • v.2
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    • pp.42-55
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    • 1984
  • The direction of scientific researches on tree improvement and forest management in several universities and research institutes in Japan can be summarized as follows: They put a great emphasis on sugi, Cryptomeria japonica and cypress, Chamaecyparus oblusa which are two major conifer species largerly planted in the Japanese forestry. In the research of sugi, a great concern has been made in evaluating inheritance of forest tree, quantitative characters and genetic parameter of growth, and in breeding for resistance to diseases and insects and to all the natural calamities. Interaction between environmental conditions and genetic nature of tree can be concerned factors in relation with forest damage, together with silvicultural conditions and pest infestation. Selfing hybrids of $F_1$ made from crossing twisted-leaf sugi, defomity leaf type and midori sugi, normal leaf type segregated the normal needle, twisted needle, green leaf and albino leaf type. It seemed that separation of many defomity individuals can be governed by two dominant complementary genes and from the near loci of which it was detected lethal genes. 52% of Japanese forestry is occupied by the small forest landowners like Korean forestry. This made difficulty for forest improvement such as progressive afforestation and for capital accumulation form forestry. The Forest Corporation was established at first in 1959 to aming at productive forestry structure and forest management, and afforestation. For these purpose, 35 Forest Corporations are at moment operating throughout Japan. However, investment in forestry business becomes less attractive since the wage in forest production duction increased in higher trend. than timber price. Therefore, an artifical afforestation becomes yearly decreased. At present. the self-sufficient rate of timber production in Japan is about 35%, and so a great effort is being made to increase self-sufficient rate of timber production.

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A Study on the Importance-Performance Analysis for National Forest Complex Management (국유림 복합경영사업에 대한 중요도·만족도 분석)

  • Jung, Byung-Heon;Kim, Jae-Sung;Kim, Hyeon-Geun;Kim, Eui-Gyeong
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this research is to seek political implications for management and activation of National Forest Complex Management(NFCM). Survey method was utilized for workers as respondents to measure importance and performance of NFCM. As a result, it turned out that the respondents' performance was very high. In addition, out of 14 items, two items -1) activation of e-commerce and direct business transaction, 2) production and sales marketing information, which intensive management strategy, were derived from results. Also, 6 items were derived for on-going maintenance, 3 items were derived for low priority order, and other 4 items were derived for discouragement against excessive efforts. This research may contribute to providing fundamental sources that can be utilized for promoting direction establishment and system improvement of NFCM.

The 1:5,000 Forest Soil Map: Current Status and Future Directions (1:5,000 산림입지토양도의 제작과 활용 및 향후 발전 방향)

  • Kwon, Minyoung;Kim, Gaeun;Jeong, Jinhyun;Choi, Changeun;Park, Gwansoo;Kim, Choonsig;Son, Yowhan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.110 no.4
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    • pp.479-495
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    • 2021
  • To improve on the efficient management of forest resources, it is necessary to create a forest soil map, which represents a comprehensive database of forest lands. Although a 1:25,000 scale forest site map has been used in Korea, the need for a large-scale forest soil map with high precision and information on forest lands that is specialized for individual purposes has been identified. Moreover, to keep pace with the advancement in forest management and transition to a digital society, it is essential to develop a method for constructing new forest soil maps that can diversify its use. Therefore, this paper presented a developmental process and used a 1:5,000 scale forest soil map to propose future directions. National maps showing the soil type, depth, and texture were produced based on the survey and analysis of forest soils, followed by the Forest Land Soil Map (1:5,000) Production Standard Manual. Alternatively, forest soil map data were the basis on which various other maps that can be used to prevent and predict forest disasters and evaluate environmental capacities were developed. Accordingly, ways to provide appropriate information to achieve the national forest plan, secure forestry big data, and accomplish sustainable forest management that corresponds to the national development plan are proposed based on results from the current study.

A Study on Residents' Attitude Toward the Development and Management of Jirisan Dulegil (지리산둘레길 조성과 운영 관련 지역주민 태도에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Ki-Joon
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.374-380
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    • 2014
  • This study was conducted to provide baseline information which will be useful for managing the forest trails as the outdoor recreation facility. To investigate residents' attitudes toward the forest trail construction and use, a questionnaire survey was employed in Jirisan Dulegil. As the results, 4 impact factors that are influenced to local communities due to Jirisan Dulegil construction were resulted in. Most of the respondents perceived that the Jirisan Dulegil have positive impact economically on community growth. Contrastively, a negative perception existed in the environmental aspect. Local lodging industry was selected one of preference business models. In viewpoint of community business, a more professional and systematic approach to find appropriate business model is needed because of structural vulnerability of business.

Analysis of Preference Criteria for a Forest Healing Village Using AHP Method (AHP분석을 이용한 산림치유마을 대상지 평가기준 분석)

  • Kim, Seong-Hak;Huh, Yoon-Seo;Seo, Jeong-Weon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.117-127
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    • 2015
  • This study evaluated properties and items for selecting on a forest healing village. In order to assign a weight value-between factors, this study was conducted the primary survey first and then the secondary survey for measuring the importance of items. Experts'surveys were conducted on 3 items on level 1, 9 items on level 2, 35 items on level 3 with use of AHP technique. In level 1, the main analysis result was that physical resource properties(0.387) indicated the highest importance. in level 2, healing resources of physical properties(0.402), community participation of human resource properties(0.425), and business competency in part of vision(-.438) showed the highest importance. The analysis result of 35 items on level 3 was that in physical resources properties, securing public land in the village(0.220), possessing recreation space(0.440) and resources available for link with healing(0.413) showed the highest importance. In part of human resources properties, the average age of residents(0.465), commitment to the promotion of the villagers(0.367) and support of local leaders(0.318) showed the highest importance. Adequacy of development plan(0.274), forest work experience-related(0.293), and building profit sharing system(0.282) were also evaluated to have a relatively high importance.