• 제목/요약/키워드: forest business

검색결과 208건 처리시간 0.026초

A Growth and Yield Model for Predicting Both Forest Stumpage and Mill Side Manufactured Product Yields and Economics

  • Schultz Emily B.;Matney Thomas G.
    • 한국펄프종이공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국펄프종이공학회 2006년도 PAN PACIFIC CONFERENCE vol.2
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    • pp.305-309
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents and illustrates the application of a growth and yield model that supports both forest and mill side volume and value estimates. Traditional forest stand growth and yield models represent the forest landowner view of yield and economics. Predicted yields are estimates of what one would expect from a procurement cruise, and current stumpage prices are applied to investigate optimum management strategies. Optimum management regimes and rotation ages obtained from the forest side view are unlikely to be economically optimal when viewed from the mill side. The actual distribution of recoverable manufactured product and its value are highly dependent on mill technologies and configurations. Overcoming this limitation of growth and yield computer models necessitates the ability to predict and price the expected manufactured distribution of lumber, lineal meters of veneer, and tonnes of air dried pulp fiber yield. With these embedded models, users of the yield simulator can evaluate the economics of possible/feasible management regimes from both the forest and mill business sides. The simulator is a forest side model that has been modified to produce estimates of manufactured product yields by embedding models for 1) pulpwood chip size class distribution and pulp yield for any kappa number (Schultz and Matney, 2002), 2) a lumber yield and pricing model based on the Best Opening Face model developed by the USDA Forest Service Forest Products Laboratory (Lewis, 1985a and Lewis, 1985b), and 3) a lineal meter veneer model derived from peeler block tests. While the model is strictly applicable to planted loblolly pine (Pinus taeda L.) on cutover site-prepared land in the United States (US) Gulf South, the model and computer program are adaptable to any region and forest type.

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산지은행제도의 도입방안에 관한 연구 (A study on the Introduction Plans of Forest Land Bank System)

  • 김종호;김원경;권순덕
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제104권3호
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    • pp.503-511
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구의 목적은 효율적인 산림경영과 고령산주의 생활안정지원을 위한 산지은행제도의 도입방안을 제시하는 것이다. 산지은행제도는 분산된 소규모 산림, 산주의 고령화 및 부재산주 증가 등의 문제점을 해결하는데 도움을 줄 것으로 기대하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 유사제도인 농지은행제도의 사업에 대한 검토 및 비교를 토대로 산지은행제도의 개념 및 기본방향, 산지은행의 주요기능 및 사업종류와 범위 설정, 산지은행제도 도입 우선순위 등에 대해서 제안하였다. 산지은행의 주요 사업으로는 산지를 수탁 받아 산주 등에게 중개 알선하는 산지임대차 및 매도수탁사업, 고령 산주의 안정된 노후생활 보장을 위한 산지연금사업, 소규모로 분산된 사유림을 규모화 집단화하여 사유림 경영을 활성화하고 지속가능한 산림경영을 유도하기 위한 산지규모화사업, 경영위기에 처한 임가의 경영회생을 지원하기 위한 경영회생지원사업의 도입을 제안하였다. 마지막으로 산지은행제도 도입 및 사업운영을 위한 문제점과 시행착오를 최소화할 수 있도록 농지은행제도를 통한 시사점과 산지은행제도 도입 및 운영 시 제기될 수 있는 주요 과제에 대해서 검토하였다. 본 연구는 산지은행제도의 기본방향을 설정하고 정책을 수립하는데 크게 기여할 것으로 기대한다.

마켓 타이밍과 유상증자 (Market Timing and Seasoned Equity Offering)

  • 서성원
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.145-157
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    • 2024
  • Purpose - In this study, we propose an empirical model for predicting seasoned equity offering (SEO here after) using machine learning methods. Design/methodology/approach - The models utilize the random forest method based on decision trees that considers non-linear relationships, as well as the gradient boosting tree model. SEOs incur significant direct and indirect costs. Therefore, CEOs' decisions of seasoned equity issuances are made only when the benefits outweigh the costs, which leads to a non-linear relationship between SEOs and a determinant of them. Particularly, a variable related to market timing effectively exhibit such non-linear relations. Findings - To account for these non-linear relationships, we hypothesize that decision tree-based random forest and gradient boosting tree models are more suitable than the linear methodologies due to the non-linear relations. The results of this study support this hypothesis. Research implications or Originality - We expect that our findings can provide meaningful information to investors and policy makers by classifying companies to undergo SEOs.

An Economic Valuation of Forest Ecosystem Services: A Choice Modeling Application to the Mekong Delta Project in Vietnam

  • KHAI, Huynh Viet;VAN, Nguyen Phi;DANH, Vo Thanh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권8호
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    • pp.465-473
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    • 2021
  • This study is the application of a choice experiment to assess Mekong Delta urban households' preferences and motivations for ecosystem conservation in the U Minh forest. The study applied a choice modeling approach to estimate the economic values of the proposed ecosystem conservation program in the U Minh forest by accessing urban consumer preferences and their willingness to pay for the project. Discrete choice experimental data was collected from 450 residents in the cities of the Vietnamese Mekong Delta. The multinomial logit model was employed to identify consumer's stated preferences for the environmental and sustainability attributes of the conservation project. The results showed that Mekong Delta urban residents paid much attention to the proposed project to protect and develop the U Minh forest. In addition, the results showed that higher education, income, and knowledge of the U Minh forest revealed a higher likelihood of selecting the project, while the older residents would select the status quo more than the younger ones. The study also proved that the effect of participation had a strong impact on the willingness to pay for the project. The findings could be useful for policymakers to take action to raise resident's awareness and willingness to pay for the U Minh forest project.

Care Cost Prediction Model for Orphanage Organizations in Saudi Arabia

  • Alhazmi, Huda N;Alghamdi, Alshymaa;Alajlani, Fatimah;Abuayied, Samah;Aldosari, Fahd M
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.84-92
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    • 2021
  • Care services are a significant asset in human life. Care in its overall nature focuses on human needs and covers several aspects such as health care, homes, personal care, and education. In fact, care deals with many dimensions: physical, psychological, and social interconnections. Very little information is available on estimating the cost of care services that provided to orphans and abandoned children. Prediction of the cost of the care system delivered by governmental or non-governmental organizations to support orphans and abandoned children is increasingly needed. The purpose of this study is to analyze the care cost for orphanage organizations in Saudi Arabia to forecast the cost as well as explore the most influence factor on the cost. By using business analytic process that applied statistical and machine learning techniques, we proposed a model includes simple linear regression, Naive Bayes classifier, and Random Forest algorithms. The finding of our predictive model shows that Naive Bayes has addressed the highest accuracy equals to 87% in predicting the total care cost. Our model offers predictive approach in the perspective of business analytics.

일본(日本)의 임목육종(林木育種) 및 삼림경영연구동향(森林經營硏究動向) (The Tendency of Scientific Research of Tree Improvement and Forest Management in Japan)

  • 김영호;손두식
    • Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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    • 제2권
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    • pp.42-55
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    • 1984
  • The direction of scientific researches on tree improvement and forest management in several universities and research institutes in Japan can be summarized as follows: They put a great emphasis on sugi, Cryptomeria japonica and cypress, Chamaecyparus oblusa which are two major conifer species largerly planted in the Japanese forestry. In the research of sugi, a great concern has been made in evaluating inheritance of forest tree, quantitative characters and genetic parameter of growth, and in breeding for resistance to diseases and insects and to all the natural calamities. Interaction between environmental conditions and genetic nature of tree can be concerned factors in relation with forest damage, together with silvicultural conditions and pest infestation. Selfing hybrids of $F_1$ made from crossing twisted-leaf sugi, defomity leaf type and midori sugi, normal leaf type segregated the normal needle, twisted needle, green leaf and albino leaf type. It seemed that separation of many defomity individuals can be governed by two dominant complementary genes and from the near loci of which it was detected lethal genes. 52% of Japanese forestry is occupied by the small forest landowners like Korean forestry. This made difficulty for forest improvement such as progressive afforestation and for capital accumulation form forestry. The Forest Corporation was established at first in 1959 to aming at productive forestry structure and forest management, and afforestation. For these purpose, 35 Forest Corporations are at moment operating throughout Japan. However, investment in forestry business becomes less attractive since the wage in forest production duction increased in higher trend. than timber price. Therefore, an artifical afforestation becomes yearly decreased. At present. the self-sufficient rate of timber production in Japan is about 35%, and so a great effort is being made to increase self-sufficient rate of timber production.

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국유림 복합경영사업에 대한 중요도·만족도 분석 (A Study on the Importance-Performance Analysis for National Forest Complex Management)

  • 정병헌;김재성;김현근;김의경
    • 농업생명과학연구
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    • 제45권6호
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 산림복합경영사업의 관리와 활성화를 위한 정책적 시사점을 찾기 위하여 참여 작목반원들의 의식조사, 산림복합경영사업 관리 등에 대하여 중요도 만족도 분석을 실시하였다. 그 결과 국유림에서 추진중인 산림복합경영사업에 대한 작목반원의 만족도는 매우 높게 나타났다. 또한, 총 15개의 항목중에서 중요도 만족도 분석을 통해 산림복합경영사업에서 집중적 관리전략이 필요한 분야로 전자상거래 및 직거래 활성화, 생산 및 판매 유통정보 2개 항목이 도출되었다. 그리고 현 상태의 지속적 유지가 필요한 분야는 6개 항목, 낮은 우선순위를 가지는 분야는 3개 항목, 과잉노력을 지양해 할 분야는 4개 항목으로 도출되었다. 이러한 연구결과를 바탕으로 산림복합경영사업의 추진방향 설정 및 제도개선을 위한 기초자료로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

1:5,000 산림입지토양도의 제작과 활용 및 향후 발전 방향 (The 1:5,000 Forest Soil Map: Current Status and Future Directions)

  • 권민영;김가은;정진현;최창은;박관수;김춘식;손요환
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제110권4호
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    • pp.479-495
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    • 2021
  • 산림자원의 효율적인 관리를 위해서는 산림입지환경에 대한 종합 데이터베이스의 기반이 되는 산림입지토양도가 필요하다. 국내에서 그동안 1:25,000 산림입지도가 제작되어 사용되어왔으나 높은 정밀도와 개별 목적에 특화된 산림입지정보를 갖춘 대축척 산림입지토양도의 필요성이 대두되었다. 이에 따라 2009년부터 2021년까지 1:5,000 축척의 산림입지토양도 제작사업이 진행되었다. 이와 관련하여 본 논문에서 1:5,000 산림입지토양도 제작 과정과 주요 결과, 활용 방안과 향후 발전 방향을 알아보고자 하였다. 산림입지토양도 제작은 표준매뉴얼에 따라 진행되었으며, 조사 및 분석 결과를 바탕으로 토양형, 토심, 토성별 전국 단위 지도가 작성되었다. 산림입지토양도 자료는 다양한 주제도 제작의 기초가 되며, 산림재해의 방지 및 예측과 환경용량 평가 등에 활용될 수 있다. 그러나 앞으로 산림경영 선진화와 디지털 사회로의 전환에 맞추어 산림입지토양도의 제작 방법을 발전시키고 그 활용방안도 다각화시킬 필요도 있다. 이를 바탕으로 국가 산림기본계획 목표 달성을 위한 다양한 정보 제공, 산림 빅데이터 확보 및 국가 발전 계획에 상응하는 지속가능한 산림경영의 실현 등을 기대할 수 있을 것이다.

지리산둘레길 조성과 운영 관련 지역주민 태도에 관한 연구 (A Study on Residents' Attitude Toward the Development and Management of Jirisan Dulegil)

  • 유기준
    • 한국환경생태학회지
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.374-380
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 최근 우리나라 자연환경 기반 휴양시설의 중요한 공급요소로서 숲길의 조성과 운영에 대한 지역주민들의 태도을 파악하여 향후 체계적인 숲길운영을 위한 기초자료 제공을 목적으로 수행되었다. 이를 위해, 지리산 둘레길을 주변에 거주하는 지역주민 대상의 설문조사를 실시하였다. 조사결과, 지리산둘레길 조성 사업이 지역사회에 미치는 영향요인으로서 경제 환경 측면의 긍정적 영향과 부정적 영향의 4가지 요인이 도출되었다. 지역주민은 숲길 조성이 지역경제에는 긍정적인 영향을 미치고 있는 것으로 인식하였다. 반면에 숲길조성의 환경적 영향에는 부정적인 태도를 보였다. 지역주민이 참여하고자 하는 서비스 업종은 방문객이 선호하는 서비스인 지역 숙박업으로 나타났다. 그러나 이러한 관광서비스 업종은 아직 지역사회의 숲길 연계 사업구조로서 취약하여 향후 적합한 지역 사업모델에 대한 전문적이고 체계적인 접근이 필요할 것으로 사료된다.

AHP분석을 이용한 산림치유마을 대상지 평가기준 분석 (Analysis of Preference Criteria for a Forest Healing Village Using AHP Method)

  • 김성학;허윤서;서정원
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.117-127
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    • 2015
  • This study evaluated properties and items for selecting on a forest healing village. In order to assign a weight value-between factors, this study was conducted the primary survey first and then the secondary survey for measuring the importance of items. Experts'surveys were conducted on 3 items on level 1, 9 items on level 2, 35 items on level 3 with use of AHP technique. In level 1, the main analysis result was that physical resource properties(0.387) indicated the highest importance. in level 2, healing resources of physical properties(0.402), community participation of human resource properties(0.425), and business competency in part of vision(-.438) showed the highest importance. The analysis result of 35 items on level 3 was that in physical resources properties, securing public land in the village(0.220), possessing recreation space(0.440) and resources available for link with healing(0.413) showed the highest importance. In part of human resources properties, the average age of residents(0.465), commitment to the promotion of the villagers(0.367) and support of local leaders(0.318) showed the highest importance. Adequacy of development plan(0.274), forest work experience-related(0.293), and building profit sharing system(0.282) were also evaluated to have a relatively high importance.