• Title/Summary/Keyword: forecast supply

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Large Scale Entertainment System based on Gesture Recognition for Learning Chinese Character Contents (제스처 인식 대형 놀이 시스템 기반 한자 학습 콘텐츠)

  • Song, Dae-Hyeon;Park, Jae-Wan;Lee, Chil-Woo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.10 no.9
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we propose a large scale entertainment system based on gesture recognition for learning Chinese character contents. The system is consisted of parts that forecast user's posture in two infrared images and part that recognize gestures from continuous poses. And we can divide and acquire in front side pose and side pose about one pose in each IR camera. This entertainment system is immersive in nature and convenient for its gestures based controlling system. Also, it can maximize information transmission because induce immersion and interest using two large size displays and various multimedia elements. The learning Chinese character contents can master Chinese character naturally because give interest to user and supply game and education at the same time. Therefore, it can expect synergy effect that can learn playing to user combining with large entertainment system based on gesture recognition.

Prospecting the Market of the Modular Housing Using the Nonlinear Forecasting Models (비선형 예측모형을 활용한 모듈러주택 시장전망)

  • Park, Nam-Cheon;Kim, Kyoon-Tai;Kim, In-Moo;Kim, Seok-Jong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.631-637
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    • 2014
  • Recently, following the application of modular housing techniques to not only residential sector, but also to business sector, the scope of modular housing market b expanding. In the case of other developed countries, such markets are entering into the maturity stage, though the market in Korea is not fully formed yet. Thus, it is difficult to check its trend to estimated mid- to long-term prospects of the market. In this context, the study predicted demand of the modular housing market by using a non-linear prediction model based on time series analysis. To get the prospects for the modular housing market, the quantity of housing supply was estimated based on the estimated quantity of newly built housings, and assumed that a portion of the supplied quantity would be the demand for modular housings. Based on the assumption of demand for modular housings, several scenarios were analyzed and the prospects of the modular housing market was obtained by utilizing the non-linear prediction model.

A New Bootstrap Simulation Method for Intermittent Demand Forecasting (간헐적 수요예측을 위한 부트스트랩 시뮬레이션 방법론 개발)

  • Park, Jinsoo;Kim, Yun Bae;Lee, Ha Neul;Jung, Gisun
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2014
  • Demand forecasting is the basis of management activities including marketing strategy. Especially, the demand of a part is remarkably important in supply chain management (SCM). In the fields of various industries, the part demand usually has the intermittent characteristic. The intermittent characteristic implies a phenomenon that there frequently occurs zero demands. In the intermittent demands, non-zero demands have large variance and their appearances also have stochastic nature. Accordingly, in the intermittent demand forecasting, it is inappropriate to apply the traditional time series models and/or cause-effect methods such as linear regression; they cannot describe the behaviors of intermittent demand. Markov bootstrap method was developed to forecast the intermittent demand. It assumes that first-order autocorrelation and independence of lead time demands. To release the assumption of independent lead time demands, this paper proposes a modified bootstrap method. The method produces the pseudo data having the characteristics of historical data approximately. A numerical example for real data will be provided as a case study.

Air Pollution Monitoring RF-Sensor System Trackable in Real Time (실시간 위치탐지 기능을 갖춘 대기오염 모니터링 RF-Sensor 시스템)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Cho, Jang-Ho;Jeon, Il-Tae;Jung, Dal-Do;Kang, Joon-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2010
  • Air pollution monitoring has attracted a lot of interests because it affects directly to the human life quality. The most of the current air pollution monitoring stations use the expensive and bulky instruments and are only installed in the specific area. Therefore, it is difficult to install them to as many places as people need. In this work, we constructed a low price and small size Radio Frequency(RF) sensor system to solve this problem. This system also had the measurement range similar to the ones used in the air pollution forecast systems. This system had the sensor unit to measure the air quality, the central processing unit for air quality data acquisition, the power unit to supply the power to every units, and the RF unit for the wireless transmission and reception of the data. This system was easy to install in the field. We also added a GPS unit to track the position of the RF-sensor in real time by wireless communication. For the various measurements of the air pollution, we used CO, $O_3$, $NO_2$ sensors as gas sensors and also installed a dust sensor.

Analysis about relation of Long-term & Short-term Financial Market, Stock Market and Foreign Exchange Market of Korea (한국 장단기 금융시장, 주식 및 외환시장 연관성)

  • 김종권
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.22 no.50
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    • pp.105-125
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    • 1999
  • The results of analysis on foreign exchange market, stock and financial market after January of 1997 are that foreign exchange market will be affected by stock and financial market volatility about 1999. This means that stock and financial market are more stable than foreign exchange market. This also is supported by ‘financial market forecast of 1999 in Daewoo Economic Research Institute’. After won/dollar (end of period) will be increasing in 1,430 at second quarter of 1999, this is to downward 1,200 fourth quarter of 1999. This is somewhat based on government's higher exchange rate policy. But, after yield of corporate bond is to 11.0% at first quarter of 1999, this will be stable to 10.2% at fourth quarter. During the first quarter of 1999, yield of corporate bond is to somewhat increasing through sovereign debt and public bonds, technical adjustment of interest rate. After this, yield of corporate bond will be stable according to stability of price, magnification of money supply, restucturing of firms. So, stock market is favorably affected by stability of financial market. But, the pension and fund of USA, i.e., long-term portfolio investment fund, are injected through international firm's management. It is included by openness of audit, fair market about foreign investors. Finally, Moody's strong rating on the won-denominated bonds suggest that Korea's sovereign debt ratings could be restored to an investment grade in the near future. It sequentially includes inflow of foreign portfolio investment fund, fall of won/dollar foreign exchange rate (appreciation of won) and stability of yield of corporate bond.

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Water Quality Simulation of Juam Reservoir Depend on Total Pollution Loads Control (총량규제에 따른 주암호의 장래 수질 예측)

  • Jang, Sung-Ryong;An, Ki-Sun;Kwon, Young-Ho;Han, Jae-Ik
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.39-45
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    • 2010
  • When the Juam multipurpose dam which is connected with existing large water supply facilities is finished, water environment is changed from stream to lake. The changed quality of water should be examined. In this study, the result of water quality forecasting is analysed and an effective management plan of water quality is presented. Tn this study, the WASPS model that is a dynamic water quality simulation model was selected to forecast the water quality. This model forecasts movement of change of pollutants. For an application of the model, the subject areas were divided into seventeen sub-areas by considering change temperature depending measuring points and on depth of water. Meteorological data collected by the meteorological observatory and data about quality measured by the Korea Water Resources Development Corporation were used for an operation of the model. As a result of quality examination through quality data and estimated pollutant loading, the water quality environment criterion was grade II and the nutritive condition was measured as meso-graphic grade. In this study, an effective management was planned to improve water quality by reducing pollution load. According to the result of examination, when more than 30% of BOD was reduced it was recorded that the environment standard of water quality was improved to the second grade.

A financial feasibility analysis of architectural development projects that use probabilistic simulation analysis method (확률론적 시뮬레이션 분석방법을 적용한 건축개발사업의 재무적 타당성 분석)

  • Lee, Seong-Soo;Choi, Hee-Bok;Kang, Kyung-In
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.76-86
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    • 2007
  • Construction development work invents profit as those finalize object, and a make or break success of project depends on correct analysis and forecast business feasibility at project early. Business feasibility study would be decision-making under precarious situation because is connoting uncertainty that is future. estimate at present visual point essentially. Under uncertainty, a decision-making method is based on probability theory of statistics, but business feasibility study had applied with not feasibility study by probabilistic decision method but it by determinism derision method so far. Therefore in this study doing decision-making by a probability theory method for successful project at early business feasibility study, it present a probabilistic study method that use simulation that can supply a little more correct and reliable data to decision-maker As result, a probabilistic study method is more suitable than deterministic study method as technique for a financial feasibility study of construction development work. Making good use of this probabilistic study method at important business or careful decision-making, because efficient Judgment that is based accuracy and authoritativeness may become available.

The Direction Governing the Future of korean Seafood Market -in view of societal marketing concept- (한국 수산물시장이 나아갈 방향 - 사회적 마케팅컨셉트의 관점에서 -)

  • 김수관;강연실
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.31-50
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this paper is to offer policies or laws governing the future of Korean seafood markets in view of societal marketing concept. The environment surrounding those markets is changing quickly and constantly. The proposals in this paper are meant to help the Korean seafood market coping with this swiftly changing environment. This paper sorts this changing environment in terms of institutional side and secio-economical side. The institutional side involves the enforcement of international and domestic seafood trade standards, the increase of seafood importation, the adoption of optional seafood sales system, the openness of distribution market, and the adoption of TAC system. The secio-economical side involves the development of telecommunication and transportation, and the changing of seafood consumption pattern. The forecast about the future of seafood market could be classified into three fields, that is, the production field, the distribution field, and the consumption field of seafood. In the production field of seafood, the stabilization of supply of seafood and the production management oriented seafood market could be forecasted. In the distribution field, the formulating of enforced trade standards, the dispersion of marketing function among fisher, wholesaler and retailer, the development of marketing skills, and the promotion of marketing information system could be forecasted. Finally, in consumption field, the promotion of standardization and diversification, the appearance of intellectual consumers could be forecasted. This paper seeks to offer policies or laws fur the three categories of the seafood market-the government, the fisher, and the distributor-coping with the changing environment on the above three fields, thereby benefiting the consumer's long-term welfare. For the government, this paper suggests the construction of a Seafood Transaction Information Infrastructure, a Seafood Dealer License System, and a Seafood Safety Security System. For the fishers, this paper proposes an Eco-labelling System, a Sustainable Production System, and a Real Naming System in dealing seafood. Finally, for the distributors, this paper offers a Seafood Production Controlling System, a Nature-friendly Marketing System, and a Consumer-oriented Marketing System.

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A Study on Typical Rates of Water-use for Primary School, Middle School and High School Facilities (초.중.고등학교 시설의 급수 사용량에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyu-Saeng
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.510-515
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    • 2007
  • A Study on Typical Rates of Water-use for School Facilities has been carried out in this work. Water supply system is given much weight in school facilities. Therefore, it set up a basis efficiency using of water sources to calculate typical rates of water use. The results are summarized as follows ; 1) On the whole, typical rates of water-use was founded out 15 L / stu. d in pirmary school, 10 L / stu. d in middle school and 30L / stu. d in high school smaller than the existing it. It was rate of water-use change as season and Max. Rates of water-use was July. 2) I deem that school hours are 5 hour's in primary school, 7 hour's in middle school and 8 hour's in high school. It the concept of 1 hour that is lesson time 40 minutes and resting time 10 minutes in primary school, lesson time 45 minutes and resting time 10 minutes in middle school and lesson time 50 minutes and resting time 10 minutes in high school. 3) It is desired that we calculate the volume of pump and water tank throughout this concept and the size of water tank should be 1.5 times with taking pick load into consideration by this study on typical rate of water-use. 4) The amount of using water increases in gradually and I consider the life cycle of facilities is more than 10 years. As a result, I can forecast that the size will be insufficiency but I deem that if we devise a plan about parallel pumping on water tank space, we can cope with it. Also, it is expected that we can cut back the transport energy by controlling pump volume.

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Effect of Power Output Reduction on the System Marginal Price and Green House Gas Emission in Coal-Fired Power Generation (석탄화력발전 출력감소가 계통한계가격 및 온실가스 배출량에 미치는 영향)

  • Lim, Jiyong;Yoo, Hoseon
    • Plant Journal
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.47-51
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzed the effect of power output reduction in coal fired power generation on the change of system marginal price and green house gas emissions. Analytical method was used for electricity market forecasting system used in korea state owned companies. Operating conditions of the power system was based on the the 7th Basic Plan for Electricity Demand and Supply. This as a reference, I analyzed change of system marginal price and green house gas emission by reduced power output in coal fired power generation. The results, if the maximum output was declined as 29 [%] to overall coal-fired power plant, system marginal price is reduced 12 [%p] compared to before and decreasing greenhouse gas emissions were 9,966 [kton]. And if the low efficiency coal fired power plant that accounted for 30 [%] in overall coal-fired power plant stopped by year, system marginal price is reduced 14 [%p] compared to before and decreasing greenhouse gas emissions were 12,874 [kton].

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