• Title/Summary/Keyword: field failure data

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A Study of Two-Mode Failure Model for Crystalline Si Photovoltaic Module (실리콘 태양전지 모듈의 two-mode failure 모델의 연구)

  • Choi, Ki Young;Oh, Won Wook;Kang, Byung Jun;Kim, Young Do;Tark, Sung Ju;Kim, Donghwan
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.11a
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    • pp.62.2-62.2
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    • 2011
  • To guarantee 20-25 years to the lifetime of the PV modules without failure, reliability test of the module is very important. Field-aged test of the outdoor environment is required. However, due to time constraints, accelerated testing is required to predict the lifetime of PV modules and find causes of failure. Failure is caused by many complex phenomena. In this study, we experimented two accelerated tests about corrosion and fatigue, respectively. First, temperature cycling test for fatigue were tested and Coffin-Manson equation was analyzed. Second, damp heat test for corrosion were tested and Eyring equation were analyzed. Finally, using two-mode failure model, we suggest a new lifetime model that analyze the phenomenon by combining two kinds of data.

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Reliability improvement method in weapon systems through field failure data analysis (무기체계 고장사례분석으로 본 무기체계 신뢰성 개선방안)

  • Song, Il-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.12
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    • pp.110-117
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    • 2018
  • Recently, as weapon systems have become more complex and multi-functional, the difficulty of the operation and maintenance of weapon systems in the military have become increasingly difficult. On the other hand, the service period of operations and maintenance workers who perform operations and maintenance has been shortened, and the skill of system operation and maintenance has been lowered. This complexity and multi-functionality of equipment cause malfunctions and errors of users and maintenance personnel, and degradation of the reliability affects availability and combat readiness. In addition, life cycle costs have been gradually increasing. Therefore, I would like to suggest an improvement plan of the design of weapon systems and ILS (Integrated Logistics Support) in order to examine the implications of failure in the military. The weapon system is operated in the ROK Navy. Data from 730 cases of failure of weapon systems was collected, and analyzed. The results of the analysis are classified into failures that can be prevented in advance and failures that cannot be prevented. This shows the portion of preventable failures in weapon systems and proposes measures to minimize failures.

A Comparative Study of Software Reliability Model Considering Log Type Mean Value Function (로그형 평균값함수를 고려한 소프트웨어 신뢰성모형에 대한 비교연구)

  • Shin, Hyun Cheul;Kim, Hee Cheul
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2014
  • Software reliability in the software development process is an important issue. Software process improvement helps in finishing with reliable software product. Infinite failure NHPP software reliability models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, proposes the reliability model with log type mean value function (Musa-Okumoto and log power model), which made out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on mean square error (MSE) and coefficient of determination($R^2$), for the sake of efficient model, was employed. Analysis of failure using real data set for the sake of proposing log type mean value function was employed. This analysis of failure data compared with log type mean value function. In order to insurance for the reliability of data, Laplace trend test was employed. In this study, the log type model is also efficient in terms of reliability because it (the coefficient of determination is 70% or more) in the field of the conventional model can be used as an alternative could be confirmed. From this paper, software developers have to consider the growth model by prior knowledge of the software to identify failure modes which can be able to help.

Ultimate and fatigue response of shear dominated full-scale pretensioned concrete box girders

  • Saiidi, M. Saiid;Bush, Anita
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.353-367
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    • 2006
  • Two full-scale, precast, pretensioned box girders were subjected to shear-dominated loading, one under monotonic loads to failure and the other subjected to one-half million cycles of fatigue loads followed by monotonic ultimate loads. The number of cycles was selected to allow for comparison with previous research. The fatigue loads were applied in combination with occasional overloads. In the present study, fatigue loading reduced the shear capacity by only six percent compared to the capacity under monotonic loading. However, previous research on flexure-dominated girders subjected to the same number of repeated loads showed that fatigue loading changed the mode of failure from flexure to shear/flexure and the girder capacity dropped by 14 percent. The comparison of the measured data with calculated shear capacity from five different theoretical methods showed that the ACI code method, the compression field theory, and the modified compression field theory led to reasonable estimates of the shear strength. The truss model led to an overly conservative estimate of the capacity.

Research for Modeling the Failure Data for a Repairable System with Non-monotonic Trend (복합 추세를 가지는 수리가능 시스템의 고장 데이터 모형화에 관한 연구)

  • Mun, Byeong-Min;Bae, Suk-Joo
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.121-130
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    • 2009
  • The power law process model the Rate of occurrence of failures(ROCOF) with monotonic trend during the operating time. However, the power law process is inappropriate when a non-monotonic trend in the failure data is observed. In this paper we deals with the reliability modeling of the failure process of large and complex repairable system whose rate of occurrence of failures shows the non-monotonic trend. We suggest a sectional model and a change-point test based on the Schwarz information criterion(SIC) to describe the non-monotonic trend. Maximum likelihood is also suggested to estimate parameters of sectional model. The suggested methods are applied to field data from an repairable system.

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Accelerated Life Test and Analysis of Track Drive Unit for an Excavator (주행 구동 유니트의 가속 수명 시험 및 분석)

  • Lee Y.B.;Park J.H.
    • Transactions of The Korea Fluid Power Systems Society
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2005
  • For the reliability evaluation of the track drive unit(TDU), firstly, we analyzed the major failure modes through FMEA(failure mode & effects analysis), FTA(failure tree analysis), and 2-stage QFD(quality function deployment), and then quantitatively determined the priority order of test items. The Minitab analysis was also performed for prediction of life distribution and parameters of TDU by use of field failure data collected from 430 excavators for two years. In addition, we converted the fluctuation load in field conditions into the equivalent load, and for evaluation of the accelerated lift by the cumulative fatigues, the equivalent load is again divided into the fluctuation load by reference of test time. And then, by use of the test method in this paper, the acceleration factor(AF) of needle bearing inside planetary gear which is the most weakly designed part of TDU is achieved as 5.3. This paper presents the quantitative selection method of test items for reliability evaluation, the determination method of the accelerated life test time, and the method of non-failure test time based on a few of samples. And, we proved the propriety of the proposed methods by experiments using a TDU for a 30 ton excavator.

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Field data analyses for repairable products (수리가능한 제품의 사용현장 데이터 분석)

  • 배도선;윤형제;최인수
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.133-145
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    • 1995
  • This paper is concerned with the method of estimating lifetime distribution from field data for repairable products with multiple modes of failure, and is an extension of Bai et al.(1995). The log linear function is considered as a model for describing the relation between failure time of a product and covariates. Using the nonhomogeneous poisson process, general methods for obtaining pseudo maximum likelihood estimators(PMLEs) for the parameters are outlined and specific formulas for Weibull distribution are obtained. Effects of follow-up percentage on the PMLEs are investigated. Extension to case-cohort design is also considered.

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Cost Analysis on Warranty Policies Using Freund's Bivariate Exponential Distribution

  • Park, Minjae;Kim, Jae-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: In this paper, the minimal repair-replacement warranty policy is used to carry out a warranty cost analysis with warranty servicing times and failure times that are statistically correlated to bivariate distributions. Methods: Based on the developed approach by Park and Pham (2012a), we investigate the property of the Freund's bivariate exponential distribution and obtain the number of warranty services using the field data to conduct the warranty cost analysis. Results: Maximum likelihood estimates are presented to estimate the parameters and the warranty model is investigated using a Freund's bivariate exponential distribution. A numerical example is discussed to deal with the applicability of the developed approach in the paper. Conclusion: A novel approach of analyzing the warranty cost is proposed for a product in which failure times and warranty servicing times are used simultaneously to investigate the eligibility of a warranty claim.

Collection and Analysis of Automotive Field Reliability Data (자동차 필드데이터 수집 및 신뢰도 분석)

  • Kwon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2008
  • A methodology for collection and analysis of automotive field reliability data is presented. Automotive warranty system usually covers a pre-determined period of time and/or mileage accumulation. Therefore mileage information for the vehicles that have not experienced any failure or problems during the warranty period is not available. In this paper, a reliability analysis method using the estimated mileage distribution from an additional survey for vehicles that have not any record during the warranty period is proposed. Methods of reliability analysis using the warranty information collected under the EU and US warranty policies are also provided.

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Competing Risks Regression Analysis (경쟁적 위험하에서의 회귀분석)

  • Baik, Jaiwook
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.130-142
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to introduce regression method in the presence of competing risks and to show how you can use the method with hypothetical data. Methods: Survival analysis has been widely used in biostatistics division. But the same method has not been utilized in reliability division. Especially competing risks, where more than a couple of causes of failure occur and the occurrence of one event precludes the occurrence of the other events, are scattered in reliability field. But they are not utilized in the area of reliability or they are analysed in the wrong way. Specifically Kaplan-Meier method is used to calculate the probability of failure in the presence of competing risks, thereby overestimating the real probability of failure. Hence, cumulative incidence function is introduced. In addition, sample competing risks data are analysed using cumulative incidence function along with some graphs. Lastly we compare cumulative incidence functions with regression type analysis briefly. Results: We used cumulative incidence function to calculate the survival probability or failure probability in the presence of competing risks. We also drew some useful graphs depicting the failure trend over the lifetime. Conclusion: This research shows that Kaplan-Meier method is not appropriate for the evaluation of survival or failure over the course of lifetime in the presence of competing risks. Cumulative incidence function is shown to be useful in stead. Some graphs using the cumulative incidence functions are also shown to be informative.