• 제목/요약/키워드: failure rate estimation

검색결과 147건 처리시간 0.028초

ESTIMATION OF LEAK RATE THROUGH CIRCUMFERENTIAL CRACKS IN PIPES IN NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS

  • PARK, JAI HAK;CHO, YOUNG KI;KIM, SUN HYE;LEE, JIN HO
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제47권3호
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    • pp.332-339
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    • 2015
  • The leak before break (LBB) concept is widely used in designing pipe lines in nuclear power plants. According to the concept, the amount of leaking liquid from a pipe should be more than the minimum detectable leak rate of a leak detection system before catastrophic failure occurs. Therefore, accurate estimation of the leak rate is important to evaluate the validity of the LBB concept in pipe line design. In this paper, a program was developed to estimate the leak rate through circumferential cracks in pipes in nuclear power plants using the Henry-Fauske flow model and modified Henry-Fauske flow model. By using the developed program, the leak rate was calculated for a circumferential crack in a sample pipe, and the effect of the flow model on the leak rate was examined. Treating the crack morphology parameters as random variables, the statistical behavior of the leak rate was also examined. As a result, it was found that the crack morphology parameters have a strong effect on the leak rate and the statistical behavior of the leak rate can be simulated using normally distributed crack morphology parameters.

Brown-Proschan 불완전 PM 모형에서 완전 PM 확률의 추정 (Estimating the Probability of Perfect PM in the Brown-Proschan Imperfect PM Model)

  • 임태진
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.151-165
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    • 1997
  • We propose a method for estimating the probability of perfect PM from successive failure times of a repairable system. The system under study is maintained preventively at periodic times, and it undergoes minimal repair at failure. We consider Brown-Proschan imperfect PM model in which the system is restored to a condition as good as new with probability P and is otherwise restored to its condition just prior to failure. We discuss the identifiability problem when the PM modes are not recorded. The expectation-maximization principle is employed to handle the incomplete data problem. We assume that the lifetime distribution belongs to a parametric family with increasing failure rate. For the two parameter Weibull lifetime distribution, we propose a specific algorithm for finding the maximum lifelihood estimates of the reliability parameters : the probability of perfect PM (P), as well as the distribution parameters. The estimation method will provide useful results for maintaining real systems.

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중도절단계획 하에서 보증시간을 가지는 부하분배모형의 신뢰도추정 (Reliability estimation for shared load model with guarantee time under censoring scheme)

  • 차영준
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.467-474
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    • 2009
  • 시스템의 한 부품이 고장 나면 고장 난 부품이 분담하던 부하가 고장 나지 않은 다른 부품에 전가되어 다른 부품의 고장률에 영향을 주는 부하분배시스템에 대한 연구가 신뢰성 공학과 생물의학 분야에서 다양하게 이루어져왔다. 본 연구에서는 최소수명을 보증하는 부하분배체계의 체계단위수명 시험에서 부품의 수명관측이 불가능하며 체계의 수명관측이 가능한 경우에, 중도절단된 체계 고장데이터를 이용하여 부하분배체계의 평균수명과 체계 신뢰도의 최우추정치와 추정오차를 줄일 수 있는 수정된 최우추정치를 구하고 컴퓨터 모의실험을 통하여 그 성능을 비교한다.

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Gompertz 성장곡선을 이용한 소프트웨어 프로젝트의 개발 성공률과 완료율 추정 (Estimation of Software Project Success and Completion Rate Using Gompertz Growth Function)

  • 이상운
    • 정보처리학회논문지D
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    • 제13D권5호
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    • pp.709-716
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    • 2006
  • 소프트웨어 복잡도가 증가할수록 소프트웨어 성공률은 기하급수적으로 감소하며, 반대로 실패율은 증가한다. 소프트웨어 규모 증가에 따른 실패율은 성장곡선으로 표현할 수 있다. 이 현상에 따라, 본 논문은 Gompertz 성장곡선으로 개발 성공률과 완료율을 추정하였다. 먼저, 수치적으로 제시된 $10^n$의 소프트웨어 규모를 로그값으로 변환시켜 데이터 간격을 일정하게 하였다 로그값의 소프트웨어 규모 변화에 따른 개발 성공률과 완료율의 함수관계를 유도하고자 하였다. 그러나 이 관계를 적절히 표현하는 함수를 찾지 못하였다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 개발 성공률의 역 개념인 실패율과 완료율의 역 개념인 취소율을 도입하였다. 로그값의 소프트웨어 규모 변화에 따른 개발 실패율과 취소율 관계는 성장곡선 형태를 나타내었다. 결론적으로, 개발 취소율과 실패율을 적절히 표현하는 함수로 Gompertz 성장곡선을 적용한 결과 실측 데이터를 적절히 표현할 수 있었다. 본 모델을 적용하면 특정 규모의 소프트웨어에 대한 개발 성공률과 완료율을 보다 정확히 얻을 수 있을 것이다.

RADIATION DAMAGE IN THE HUMAN BODY ACUTE RADIATION SYNDROME AND MULTIPLE ORGAN FAILURE

  • AKASHI, MAKOTO;TAMURA, TAIJI;TOMINAGA, TAKAKO;ABE, KENICHI;HACHIYA, MISAO;NAKAYAMA, FUMIAKI
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제38권3호
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    • pp.231-238
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    • 2006
  • Whole-body exposure to high-dose radiation causes injury involving multiple organs that depends on their sensitivity to radiation. This acute radiation syndrome (ARS) is caused by a brief exposure of a major part of the body to radiation at a relatively high dose rate. ARS is characterized by an initial prodromal stage, a latent symptom-free period, a critical or manifestation phase that usually takes one of four forms (three forms): hematologic, gastrointestinal, or cardiovascular and neurological (neurovascular), depending upon the exposure dose, and a recovery phase or death. One of the most important factors in treating victims exposed to radiation is the estimation of the exposure dose. When high-dose exposure is considered, initial dose estimation must be performed in order to make strategy decisions for treatment as soon as possible. Dose estimation can be based on onset and severity of prodromal symptoms, decline in absolute lymphocyte count post exposure, and chromosomal analysis of peripheral blood lymphocytes. Moreover, dose assessment on the basis of calculation from reconstruction of the radiation event may be required. Experience of a criticality accident occurring in 1999 at Tokai-mura, Japan, showed that ARS led to multiple organ failure (MOF). This article will review ARS and discuss the possible mechanisms of MOF developing from ARS.

움직임 보상 프레임 율 변환 기법을 위한 움직임 보상 보간 프레임의 보간 오류 은닉 기법 (Interpolation Error Concealment Method of Motion Compensated Interpolated Frame for Motion Compensated Frame Rate Conversion)

  • 이정훈;한동일
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 2008년도 하계종합학술대회
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    • pp.927-928
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, a interpolation error concealment algorithm of motion compensated interpolated frame for motion compensated frame rate conversion to reduce the block artifacts caused by failure of conventional motion estimation based on block matching algorithm is proposed. Experimental results show good performance of the proposed scheme with significant reduction of the block artifacts.

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주변 블록의 움직임 벡터 빈도수에 기반한 움직임 벡터 교정을 적용한 프레임 율 변환 기법 (Frame Rate Up-Conversion Using the Motion Vector Correction based on Motion Vector Frequency of Neighboring blocks)

  • 이정훈;한동일
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 2007년도 하계종합학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.259-260
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, a frame rate up-conversion algorithm using the motion vector frequency of neighboring blocks to reduce the block artifacts caused by failure of conventional motion estimation based on block matching algorithm is proposed. Experimental results show good performance of the proposed scheme with significant reduction of the erroneous motion vectors and block artifacts.

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수명분포가 감마족인 기록값 통계량에 기초한 무한고장 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장 모형에 관한 비교 연구 (A Study of Infinite Failure NHPP Software Reliability Growth Model base on Record Value Statistics with Gamma Family of Lifetime Distribution)

  • 김희철;신현철
    • 융합보안논문지
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.145-153
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    • 2006
  • 본 논문에서는 기록값 통계량을 이용한 무한 고장 NHPP 모형들이 제안되었다. 이 모형들은 결함당 고장 발생률이 단조 증가하거나 단조 감소하는 패턴을 가진다. 그리고 수명 분포에서는 어랑 분포, 랄리 분포와 굼벨를 이용한 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형을 적용하여 비교연구에 초점을 두었다. 고장 간격 시간 자료를 이용한 무한 고장 NHPP 모형들에 대한 모수 추정법은 최우 추정법을 사용하였고 적용 분포들의 적용을 용이하게 하기 위하여 특수한 형태를 제시하였다. 고장 자료의 분석을 위하여 산술 및 라플라스 추세 검정과 적합도 및 치우침 검정을 실시하여 그 결과를 나열하였다.

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A Probabilistic Corrosion Rate Estimation Model for Longitudinal Strength Members of Bulk Carriers

  • Paik, Jeom-Kee;Kim, Sung-Kyu;Lee, Sang-Kon;Park, Young-Eel
    • Journal of Ship and Ocean Technology
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.58-70
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    • 1998
  • Many bulk carrier losses have been reported of late, and one of the possible causes of such casualties is thought to be the structural failure of aging hulls in rough weather. Clearly, in such cases, vessels that start out belong adequate somehow become marginal later in life. Fatigue and corrosion related potential problems may be the most important factors affecting such age related vessel damage. With respect to fatigue, extensive studies have been done worldwide both experimentally and theoretically, and the results have been applied to some extent. However, in the case of corrosion effects, additional research is still needed to better understand, clarify and address the various strength uncertainties and their effects on structural behavior. This paper develops a probabilistic corrosion rate estimation model for the longitudinal strength members of bulk carriers. The model is based on available statistical data for corrosion of existing bulk carriers. The corrosion data collected are documented for future use.

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3D 초음파 영상에서 방광 내 잔뇨량 추정을 위한 새로운 알고리즘 (A New Algorithm to Estimate Urine Volume from 3D Ultrasound Bladder Images)

  • 조태식;이수열;조민형
    • 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2016
  • For the patients with bladder dysfunction, measurement of urine volume inside the bladder is very critical to avoid bladder failure. In measuring urine volume inside a bladder, low-resolution 3D ultrasound images are widely used. However, urine volume estimation from 3D ultrasound images is prone to big errors and inconsistency because of low spatial resolution and low signal-to-noise ratio of ultrasound images. We developed a new robust volume estimation algorithm which is not computationally expensive. We tested the algorithm on a lab-built ultrasound bladder phantom and volunteers. The average error rate of the human bladder volume estimation was 5.9% which was better than the commercial machine.