• Title/Summary/Keyword: expected value

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A Study on the Decision-Making Support System in Information Management (정보관리실(情報管理室) 경영(經營)에서의 의사결정지원(意思決定支援) 시스템에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Lee, Woo-Bum
    • Journal of Information Management
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.1-29
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    • 1988
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate a decision making support system for the effective information management. Decision making theory is reviewed and problems are discussed. A model is suggested through the computing of expected monetary value in decision tree technique. The expected monetary value is computed by 1 inking the probability theory with chance node. The selection of right expected monetary value and expected value of perfect information will make great advance the present system. It is concluded that expected monetary value and expected value of perfect information in decision tree techniques will make great aids to advance information management system.

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Spectator's Value Cognition and Expected-benefit Factors on Professional Baseball Sportstar (프로야구 스포츠스타에 대한 관람자의 가치인식과 추구혜택)

  • Lee, Jong-Young;Ko, Jung-Hee
    • 한국체육학회지인문사회과학편
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.79-88
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to find spectator's value cognition and expected-benefit factors on professional baseball sportstar. Purposeful Sampling method was used to select among fan club leaders and people who had watched baseball games over ten years 8 informants who watched more than 4 times in 6 baseball games in 2011 Lotte Card Professional Baseball League. Data collection relies on focus group interviews and in-depth interviews. Text analysis was attempted to adopt the A-R-C needs theory proposed by Thomson(2006) for spectator's value cognition and the metaphors for consuming by Holt(1995) for expected-benefit factors. The research summary is as follow: Spectator's value cognition on professional baseball sportstar were an object of entertainment-oriented value, a major figure for social relationship-oriented and an object of identical. Spectator's expected-benefit factors on professional baseball sports tar were confirmation of values and heroic orientation. Meanwhile, spectator who had entertainment-oriented value cognition on professional baseball sportstar expect heroic orientation, who recognize professional baseball sportstar a major figure for social relationship-oriented and an object of identical pursue confirmation of values.

The Effects of Service Quality and Costs of Power Plant Maintenance Services on Customer Value and Customer Satisfaction (발전설비 정비서비스의 품질과 비용이 고객가치와 고객만족에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Jin-Ho;Kim, Jong-Hoon;Yoo, Han-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.73-87
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    • 2012
  • The previous researches have addressed the importance of service quality, customer perceived value, and customer satisfaction, but the precise nature of the interrelationship that exist between these constructs still remains a key issue. This study extend the previous researches by developing a conceptual framework linking all of these constructs, additionally including service costs and customer expected value, in a business-to-business setting. The hypothesized model indicates that delivering high quality and lower costs service can create superior customer value and results in higher customer satisfaction. The authors test the hypothesized model on data obtained from power plant operators using structural equation modeling. The results suggest that service quality displays a stronger potential for creating customer value than costs consideration. In addition, the results reveal that managing the customer expected value is important for obtaining higher customer satisfaction.

An Analysis on the Expected Performance of Constructing and Operating the Integrated Computing Environment in case of Culture Informatization (문화정보화 부문의 통합전산환경 구축.운영의 기대 성과분석)

  • Jung, Hae-Yong;Kim, Sang-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.11 no.1 s.39
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    • pp.203-222
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    • 2006
  • This study proposes the methodology of analyzing the expected performance of the Integrated Computing Environment(ICE) on the assumption that the ICE of the agencies and the affiliated organizations under Ministry of Culture and Tourism is constructed and operated. The main objectives of the study are as follows : 1) deriving the performance criteria divided into the operational expected value and the strategic expected value of constructing and operating the ICE for Culture and Tourism informatization, 2) proposing the ways of extracting the detailed criteria for four performance areas(the degree of jnformatization efficiency, the degree of public service, the innovation and development of IS organization, the culture and tourism value creation) to evaluate the operational expected value based on the BSC(Balanced Scorecard) Perspective by using the CSF(Critical Success Factors) methodology, and 3) developing the detailed performance criteria and measures for the economic evaluation of the informatization efficiency from the TCO(Total Cost of Ownership) perspective and suggesting the practical evaluation method by applying them to the case of Culture and Tourism informatization.

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The Influence of Hotels' Service Quality and Customer Value on the Reservation Intention: Temporal Construal Theory Perspective (호텔서비스품질과 고객가치가 예약의도에 미치는 영향: 시간해석이론 관점에서)

  • Do, Hyun-Ok;Kim, Gwi-Gon
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.10 no.11
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    • pp.307-313
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest a research for hotels' expected service quality which influences reservation intention of hotel services. And we checked that these relations are formed by mediating of customer value on the basis of temporal construal theory. The result of our studies is as follows: 1) An abstract hotels' expected service quality(a concrete hotels' expected service quality) influence more on the customer's the social psychological value(the functional value) than the functional value(the social psychological value). 2) The customer's functional value(the social psychological value) influence more on the reservation intention of hotel service near(distant) in time than distant(near) in time. This research provides a theoretical-practical implications to the marketing staffs like packaging designers as well as scholars to study hotel services.

The Valuation of RFID Using Fuzzy Real Option (퍼지실물옵션을 이용한 RFID 투자가치평가)

  • Lee, Young-Chan;Lee, Seung-Seok
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.113-125
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    • 2008
  • Net present value (NPV) and return on investment (ROI) are commonly used to evaluate investment in new technologies. Sometimes, however, measuring the value of investment in new IT becomes very difficult due to its wide scope of application coupled with embedded options in its adoption. Therefore, comprehensive but easily understandable methodologies are needed to solve the complicated problems resulting from the complexity of new technologies. This paper employs a real option analysis to evaluate RFID adoption in the supply chain. Real options analysis should be a better way to evaluate a disruptive technology like RFID. However, the pure (probabilistic) real option rule characterizes the present value of expected cash flows and the expected costs by a single number, which is not realistic in many cases. To solve the problem, this paper considers the real option rule in a more realistic setting, namely, when the present values of expected cash flows and expected costs are estimated by trapezoidal fuzzy numbers.

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Choquet expected values of fuzzy number-valued random variables and their applications (퍼지수치 확률변수의 쇼케이 기댓값과 그 응용)

  • Jang LeeChae;Kim TaeKyun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.98-103
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we consider interval number-valued random variables and fuzzy number-valued random variables and discuss Choquet integrals of them. Using these properties, we define the Choquet expected value of fuzzy number-valued random variables which is a natural generalization of the Lebesgue expected value of fuzzy random variables. Furthermore, we discuss some application of them.

Optimal Auction Design and All the Winners' Expected Profit in the Multiple Unit Auction (다품목단일입찰경매의 최적경매설계와 전체낙찰자기대이익)

  • Kim, Yeo-Geun;Park, Sun-Dal
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 1987
  • This paper is concerned with the multiple unit auction under the following assumptions: 1) multiple identical objects are to be sold to the highest bidders, but a bidder may obtain at most one, 2) each bidder has a fixed reservation value and draws his reservation value independently in the same distribution, 3) The greater a bidder's reservation value is, the more a bidder will bid for the object, and 4) a bidder will bid when his expected profit is more than zero. The purpose of this paper is to design the optimal auctions, in terms of the reserve price and entry fee, that can be applied in any types of multiple unit auctions under the above assumptions. Further, auctioneer's expected revenue and profit, and all the winners' expected profit are analyzed.

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A Bayesian Approach to Replacement Policy Based on Cost and Downtime

  • Jung, Ki-Mun;Han, Sung-Sil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.743-752
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    • 2006
  • This paper considers a Bayesian approach to replacement policy model with minimal repair. We use the criterion based on the expected cost and the expected downtime to determine the optimal replacement period. To do so, we obtain the expected cost rate per unit time and the expected downtime per unit time, respectively. When the failure time is Weibull distribution with uncertain parameters, a Bayesian approach is established to formally express and update the uncertain parameters for determining an optimal maintenance policy. Especially, the overall value function suggested by Jiagn and Ji(2002) is applied to obtain the optimal replacement period. The numerical examples are presented for illustrative purpose.

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An Economic Optimization of the Target Value (경제성을 고려한 공정 목표값 최적화)

  • 윤철환;유정현;윤덕균
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.21 no.45
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    • pp.201-213
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    • 1998
  • We address the problem of choosing the most economic mean value for an automatic filling operation on a production line through the sampling inspection. If quality characteristic of a unit is less than inspection specification then the goods is not accepted. Otherwise, it is accepted. The lots that the numbers of non-conforming units in a sample are larger than the allowable number of non-conforming units are rejected. The non-conforming units in the rejected lots are separated by the screening inspection. The non-conforming units separated are sold in discount price. We assume that quality characteristic is larger-the-better characteristic, the distribution of quality characteristic is normal distribution, and the standard deviation of the distribution is known. This paper presents total expected profit function model considering sales revenue, inspection costs, and material costs. The manufacturing process mean value maximizing total expected profit is determined, and the results of the process target value and total expected profit is analyzed as coefficients change.

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