• Title/Summary/Keyword: expected total cost

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A Study on the Evaluation of Economic Value of the Gulf of Mexico Recreational Red Grouper Fishery (여행비용모형 분석을 통한 유어(遊漁)활동의 경제적 가치 추정 -미국 멕시코만 Red Grouper 유어부문을 대상으로 -)

  • Kim, Do-Hoon
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.36 no.2 s.68
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    • pp.121-134
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    • 2005
  • In order to evaluate the effectiveness of management measures and to provide policy suggestions for the allocation of total allowable catch between recreational and commercial sectors, the economic value of red grouper recreational fishery in the United States Gulf of Mexico was estimated using a Travel Cost Method(TCM), Due to the characteristic of count data, a Poisson model(PM) and a Negative binomial model(NBM) were used in the TCM. Results of models showed that the NBM was statistically more suitable than the PM since the overdispersion problem occurred in the PM. Results also indicated all signs of the estimated parameters were as expected and were significant, except for a Boat parameter in both models. Based on the results of NBM, the total economic value of the recreational red grouper fishery was estimated to be $\$698.6$ and the value per trip was $\$179.5$. In addition, the total changes in expected consumer surplus due to changes in catch rates was $ \$42.3$.

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An Economic Order Quantity Model under Random Life Cycle (불확실한 수명주기의 제품에서의 경제적 주문량 모형)

  • Yun, Won-Young;Moon, Il-Kyeong
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.73-77
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    • 1993
  • This paper considers an Economic Order Quantity Model under random life cycle. It is assumed that the life cycle of the product is unknown; a random variable. Three cost parameters are considered; ordering cost, inventory carrying cost and salvage cost. Expected total cost is the optimization criterion. We show that the optimal cycle length is unique and finite, and present a simple line search method to find an optimal cycle length.

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Partially Observable Markov Decision Process with Lagged Information over Infinite Horizon

  • Jeong, Byong-Ho;Kim, Soung-Hie
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.135-146
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    • 1991
  • This paper shows the infinite horizon model of Partially Observable Markov Decision Process with lagged information. The lagged information is uncertain delayed observation of the process under control. Even though the optimal policy of the model exists, finding the optimal policy is very time consuming. Thus, the aim of this study is to find an .eplison.-optimal stationary policy minimizing the expected discounted total cost of the model. .EPSILON.- optimal policy is found by using a modified version of the well known policy iteration algorithm. The modification focuses to the value determination routine of the algorithm. Some properties of the approximation functions for the expected discounted cost of a stationary policy are presented. The expected discounted cost of a stationary policy is approximated based on these properties. A numerical example is also shown.

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A Theoretical Approach of Accident Cost Analyses for Product Safety Management (제품안전경영을 위한 사고비용분석의 이론적 접근)

  • Kim Sa Kil;Byun Seong Nam
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.230-235
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    • 2003
  • Accident analysis is special concern to researchers in traffic safety. Accident analysis in product safety, however, is not. The needs of product safety management alter it in the world by all manufacturers. The purpose of this study is to propose a theoretical principles for product safety management through the accident cost analyses. The accident cost is a important factor to prevent product accident and to treat some claims of customers. It is sure that this principles can help all making decisions of manufactures with expected accident cost per a product accident and with total expected accident cost.

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The Tradeoff of Bullwhip Effect with Inventory Costs in a Supply Chain (공급사슬에서 채찍효과와 재고비용 사이의 상충)

  • Heung-Kyu Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, an alternative inventory policy that trades off the bullwhip effect at an upstream facility with cost minimization at a current facility, with the goal of reducing system wide total expected inventory costs, when external demand distributjon is autocorrelated, is considered. The alternative inventory policy has a form that is somewhere between one that completely neglects the autocorrleation and one that actively utilizes the autocorrelation. For this purpose, a mathematical model that allows us to evaluate system wide total expected inventory costs for a periodic review system is developed. This model enables us to identify an optimal inventory policy at a current facility that minimizes system wide total expected inventory costs by the best tradeoff of the bullwhip effect at an upstream facility with cost minimization at a current facility. From numerical experiments, it has been found that (i) when the autocorrelation is negative, the optimal policy is one that actively utilizes the autocorrelation, (ii) when the autocorrelation is small and positive, the optimal policy is one that neglects the autocorrelation, and (iii) when the autocorrelation is large and positive, the optimal policy is somewhere between one that actively utilizes the autocorrelation and one that neglect the autocorrelation.

Optimum Life-Cycle Cost-Effective Seismic Design for Continuous PSC Bridges Considering Lifetime Expected Seismic Risks (구조 수명간 지진위험도를 고려한 연속 PSC교의 LCC 최적 내진설계)

  • Cho Hyo Nam;Lee Kwang Min;Park Kyung Hoon;Kim Pyung Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.720-723
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    • 2004
  • This study is intended to propose a systematic approach for determining optimum Life-Cycle Cost (LCC)-effective seismic design for continuous PSC bridges considering lifetime expected seismic risks. In the paper, a set of cost function for LCC analysis of bridges is proposed. The total LCC functions consist of initial cost and direct/indirect damage costs considering repair/replacement costs, human losses and property damage costs, road user costs, and indirect socio-economic losses. The damage costs are expressed in terms of Park-Ang median global damage indices (Park and Ang, 1985) and lifetime damage probabilities. The proposed approach is applied to model bridges of both moderate seismicity regions like Korea and high seismicity regions like Japan. Since, in case of bridges, a number of parameters may have an influence on optimal target reliability, various sensitivity analyses are performed in this study. It may be expected that the proposed approach can be effectively utilized for the development of cost-effective performance criteria for design and upgrading of various types of bridges as well as continuous PC bridges.

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Project Time-Cost Tradeoff Problem with Milestones under an Uncertain Processing Time (불확실한 환경 하에서 중간 평가가 있는 시간-비용 프로젝트 문제)

  • Choi, Byung-Cheon;Chung, Jibok
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.25-42
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    • 2013
  • We consider a project time-cost tradeoff problem with two milestones, where one of the jobs has an uncertain processing time. Unless each milestone is completed on time, some penalty cost may be imposed. However, the penalty costs can be avoided by compressing the processing times of some jobs, which requires additional resources or costs. The objective is to minimize the expected total costs subject to the constraint on the expected project completion time. We show that the problem can be solved in polynomial time if the precedence graph of a project is a chain.

Life-Cycle Cost Optimization for Steel Box Girder Bridges (강상자형교의 생애주기비용 최적설계)

  • 조효남;민대홍;권우성;정기영
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2001.04a
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    • pp.128-136
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents an optimum deck and girder system design for minimizing the life-cycle cost (LU) of steel box girder bridges. The problem of optimum LCC design of steel box girder bridges is formulated as that of minimization of the expected total LCC that consists of initial cost, maintenance cost, expected retrofit costs for strength, deflection, and crack. To demonstrate the effect of LCC optimum design of steel box girder bridges, the LCC optimum design is compared with conventional design method for steel box girder bridges design. From the numerical investigations, it may be positively stated that the optimum design of steel box girder bridges based on LCC will lead to more rational, economical and safer design.

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Process of Cost Estimation in Feasibility Analysis Considering ratio of Renewable Portfolio Standard (신·재생에너지 공급의무화제도(RPS) 비율을 고려한 타당성 분석의 공사비 산정 프로세스)

  • Yang, Hyun-Ju;Kim, Jong-Hyeob;Han, Sangwon;Hyun, Chang-Taek
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2014.05a
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    • pp.44-45
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    • 2014
  • Recently the Korean government also has strictly restricted a law such as GBCC(Green Building Certification Criteria)and RPS(Renewable Portfolio Standard) on the construction. Especially the government announced a obligation of renewable energy consumption over 12% for all the public buildings of total area over 1,000㎡ since 2014. Regarding to the policy, this study presented the economics of energy analysis of the public office buildings that supplies 12% renewable energy output in the early stage of construction project. This paper calculated on CO2 emission by the geothermal, solar heat, and solar photovoltaic system and estimated the saving cost. Reduced cost through the energy saving are predicted to influence on the total construction cost. As a result air pollution and energy saving cost are expected that renewable energy system would be saving total initial cost of construction on planning phase.

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The Socioeconomic Cost of Diseases in Korea (질병의 사회.경제적 비용 추계)

  • Ko, Suk-Ja;Jung, Young-Ho
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.499-504
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    • 2006
  • Objectives : The aim of the study was to estimate the annual socioeconomic cost of diseases in Korea. Methods : We estimate both the direct and indirect costs of diseases in Korea during 2003 using a prevalence-based approach. The direct cost estimates included medical expenditures, traffic costs and caregiver's cost, and the indirect costs, representing the loss of production, included lost workdays due to illness and lost earnings due to premature death, which were estimated based on the human capital theory. The cost estimates were reported at three different discount rates (0, 3 and 5%). Results : The cost of diseases in Korea during 2003 was 38.4 trillion won based on 0% discount rate. This estimate represents approximately 5.3% of GDP The direct and indirect costs were estimated to be 22.5 trillion (58.5% of total cost) and 15.9 trillion won (41.5%), respectively. It was also found that the cost for those aged $40\sim49$ accounted for the largest proportion (21.7%) in relation to age groups. The cost of diseases for males was 23.5% higher than that for females. For major diseases, the total socioeconomic costs were 16.0, 13.4, 11.3 and 11.19% for neoplasms, and diseases of the digestive, respiratory and circulatory systems, respectively. Conclusions : This study can be expected to provide valuable information for determining intervention and funding priorities, and for planning health policies.