• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimation index

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A Study on the Bayes Estimation Application for Korean Standard-Quality Excellence Index(KS-QEI) (베이즈 추정방식의 품질우수성지수 적용 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Tai Kyoo;Kim, Myung Joon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.747-756
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to apply the Bayesian estimation methodology for producing 'Korean Standard -Quality Excellence Index' model and prove the effectiveness of the new approach based on survey data by comparing the current index with the new index produced by Bayesian estimation method. Methods: The 'Korean Standard -Quality Excellence Index' was produced through the collected survey data by Bayesian estimation method and comparing the deviation with two results for confirming the effectiveness of suggested application. Results: The statistical analysis result shows that suggested estimator, that is, empirical Bayes estimator improves the effectiveness of the index with regard to reduce the error under specific loss function, which is suggested for checking the goodness of fit. Conclusion: Considering the Bayesian techniques such as empirical Bayes estimator for producing the quality excellence index reduces the error for estimating the parameter of interest and furthermore various Bayesian perspective approaches seems to be meaningful for producing the corresponding index.

Development and Estimation of a Burden Distribution Index for Monitoring a Blast Furnace Condition

  • Chu, Young-Hwan;Choi, Tai-Hwa;Han, Chong-Hun
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.1830-1835
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    • 2003
  • A novel index representing burden distribution form in the blast furnace is developed and index estimation model is built with an empirical modeling method to monitor inner condition of the furnace without expensive sensors. To find the best combination of index and modeling method, two candidates for the index and four modeling methods have been examined. Results have shown that 3-D index have more resolution in describing the distribution form than 1-D index and ANN model produces smallest RMSE due to nonlinearity between the indices and charging mode. Although ANN has shown the best prediction accuracy in this study, PLS can be a good alternative due to its advantages in generalization capability, consistency, simplicity and training time. The second best result of PLS in the prediction results supports this fact.

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An Estimation of Age Bases on the Changes in the Human Dental Cavity Caused by Increase in Age (By Surface Index of Pulp Cavity) (치수강의 가령적 변화에 의한 연령추정 - 면적시수에 의하여 -)

  • 정의태;김종열
    • Journal of Oral Medicine and Pain
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.101-110
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    • 1981
  • For the purpose of an estimation of age based on the changes in the human dental cavity caused by increase in age, 1,208 extracted teeth in the parts from central incisors and lateral incisors and lateral incisors to second premolars of upper and lower, right and left side were evaluated and analized all of surface index of pulp cavity. The results are as follows : 1. The surface index of pulp caxities of upper and lower, central and lateral incisors, and tend to decrease regularly as the age increase. So above teeth are more applicable to age estimation than canine and premolars. 2 For the purpose of age estimation by surface index of pulp cavity of central and lateral incisor, linear equations are as follows. Upper central incisor: X=(16.301-Y)/0.12 Upper lateral incisor: X=(16.620-Y)/0.11 Lower central incisor: X=(20.963-Y)/0.16 X=Age Y=Surface index of pulp cavity Correlation coefficient between chronologic age and estimated age is 0.699 3.The least error(3.3 yrs of age)reveals in 41-45 age group, which shows the highest possibility of estimation of age. The highest error(4.1 yrs of age)reveals in 61-65 age group and 56-60 age group.

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Developing drilling rate index prediction: A comparative study of RVR-IWO and RVR-SFL models for rock excavation projects

  • Hadi Fattahi;Nasim Bayat
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.111-119
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    • 2024
  • In the realm of rock excavation projects, precise estimation of the drilling rate index stands as a pivotal factor in strategic planning and cost assessment. This study introduces and evaluates two pioneering computational intelligence models designed for the prognostication of the drilling rate index, a pivotal parameter with direct implications for cost estimation in rock excavation projects. These models, denoted as the Relevance Vector Regression (RVR) optimized with the Invasive Weed Optimization algorithm (IWO) (RVR-IWO model) and the RVR integrated with the Shuffled Frog Leaping algorithm (SFL) (RVR-SFL model), represent a groundbreaking approach to forecasting drilling rate index. The RVR-IWO and RVR-SFL models were meticulously devised to harness the capabilities of computational intelligence and optimization techniques for drilling rate index estimation. This research pioneers the integration of IWO and SFL with RVR, constituting an unprecedented effort in forecasting drilling rate index. The primary objective of this study was to gauge the precision and dependability of these models in forecasting the drilling rate index, revealing significant distinctions between the two. In terms of predictive precision, the RVR-IWO model emerged as the superior choice when compared to the RVR-SFL model, underscoring the remarkable efficacy of the Invasive Weed Optimization algorithm. The RVR-IWO model delivered noteworthy results, boasting a Variance Account for (VAF) of 0.8406, a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.0114, and a Squared Correlation Coefficient (R2) of 0.9315. On the contrary, the RVR-SFL model exhibited slightly lower precision, yielding an MSE of 0.0160, a VAF of 0.8205, and an R2 of 0.9120. These findings serve to highlight the potential of the RVR-IWO model as a formidable instrument for drilling rate index prediction, particularly within the framework of rock excavation projects. This research not only makes a significant contribution to the realm of drilling engineering but also underscores the broader adaptability of the RVR-IWO model in tackling an array of challenges within the domain of rock engineering. Ultimately, this study advances the comprehension of drilling rate index estimation and imparts valuable insights into the practical implementation of computational intelligence methodologies within the realm of engineering projects.

Model Predictive Control of the Melt Index in High-Density Polyethylene(HDPE) Process (고밀도 폴리에틸렌 공정의 Melt Index 모델예측제어에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Eun Ho;Kim, Tae Young;Yeo, Yeong Koo
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.1043-1051
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    • 2008
  • In polyolefin processes melt index (MI) is the most important controlled variable indicating product quality. Because of the difficulty in the on-line measurement of MI, a lot of MI estimation and correlation methods have been proposed. In this work a new dynamic MI estimation scheme is developed based on system identification techniques. The empirical MI estimation equation proposed in the present study is derived from the $1^{st}$-order dynamic models. Effectiveness of the present estimation scheme was illustrated by numerical simulations based on plant operation data including grade change operations in high density polyethylene (HDPE) processes. From the comparisons with other estimation methods it was found that the proposed estimation scheme showed better performance in MI predictions. Using the model predictive control method based on the present dynamic MI estimation model, MI values are estimated and compared with those of MI setpoints. From the numerical simulation of the proposed control system, it was found that significant reduction of transition time and the amount of off-spec during grade changes were achieved.

ESTIMATION OF THE AREA AND THE YIELD OF A RICE PADDY BY LANDSAT-5/TM

  • Ishiguro, E.;Hidaka, Y.;Sato, M.;Miyazato, M.;Chen, J.Y.;Ogawa, Y.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Agricultural Machinery Conference
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    • 1993.10a
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    • pp.383-392
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    • 1993
  • Identification of rice paddy fields and estimation of their areas from the images taken by LANDSAT-5/TM were attempted. The results were verified by aerial photographs and also by ground observations. Changes of the spectral characteristics of rice plants were measured with a portable spectroradiometer during the growth period. Analyzing these characteristics, an index was developed for evaluating the growth and the yield of rice . Applying the index to the data observed by LANDSAT-5.TM on Sep. 26, 1986, Oct .20, 1989 and Sep, 21, 1990, it was confirmed that the estimated derived from the index agreed with actual values. The results well demonstrated its feasibility for evaluating the yield of rice by a satellite like LANDSAT-5/TM.

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Discharge Estimation Using Non-dimensional Velocity Distribution and Index-Velocity Method in Natural Rivers (자연하천에서 무차원 유속분포-지표유속법을 이용한 유량산정)

  • Kim, Chang-Wan;Lee, Min-Ho;Jung, Sung-Won;Yoo, Dong-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.855-859
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    • 2007
  • It is essential to obtain accurate and highly reliable streamflow data for water resources planning, evaluation and management as well as design of hydraulic structures. A new discharge estimation method, which is named 'non-dimensional velocity distribution and index-velocity method,' was proposed in this research. This method showed very close channel discharges which were calculated with the exiting velocity-area method. When velocity-area method is used to estimate channel discharge, it is required to observe point velocities at every desired point and vertical using a current meter like Price-AA. However 'non-dimensional velocity distribution and index-velocity method' is used, it become optional to observe point velocities at every desired point and vertical. But this method can not be applied for the cases of very complex and strongly asymmetric channel cross-sections because non-dimensional velocity distribution by entropy concept may be quite biased from that of natural rivers.

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Estimate Site Index Equations for Pinus densiflora Based on Soil Factors in Gyeonggi Province

  • Jun, Il-Bin;Nor, Dea-Kyun;Jeong, Jin-Hyun;Kim, Sung-Ho;Chung, Dong-Jun;Han, Seung-Hoon;Choi, Jung-Kee;Chung, Dong-Jun
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.155-158
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    • 2008
  • Site index is the essential tool for forest management to estimate the productivity of forest land Generally, site index equation is developed and used by relationship between stand age and dominant tree heights. However, there is a limit to use the site index equation in the application of variable ages, environmental influence, and estimation of site index for unstocked land. Therefore, it was attempted to develop a new site index equations based on various environmental factors including site and topographical variables. This study was conducted to develop regional site index equations based on the relationship between site index and soil factors for Pinus densiflora. Environmental factors that obtained from GIS application, were selected by stepwise-regression. Site index Equation was estimated by multiple regression from selected factors. Four environmental factors were selected in the final site index equations by stepwise regression. It was observed that coefficients of determination for site index equations were ranged from 0.34 which seem to be relatively low but good enough for estimation of forest stand productivity. The site index equations developed in this study were also verified to be useful by three evaluation statistics such as model's estimation bias, model's precision and mean square error type of measure.

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Development of a Site Index Equation for Pinus koraiensis Based on Environmental Factors and Estimation of Productive Areas for Reforestation (환경요인에 의한 잣나무의 지위지수 추정식 개발과 적지 판정)

  • Shin Man-Yong;Jung Il-Bin;Koo Kyo-Sang;Won Heong-Gyu
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 2006
  • Site index is an essential tool to estimate forest productivity. Generally, a site index equation is developed and used from the relationship between stand age and dominant tree heights. However, there is a limit to the use of the site index equation in the application of variable ages, environmental influence, and estimation of site index for the unstocked forest. Therefore, it has been attempted to develop a new site index equation based on various environmental factors including site, climate, and topographical variables. This study was conducted to develop a site index equation based on the relationship between site index and environmental factors for the species of Pinus koraiensis in Yangpyung-Gun, Gyunggi Province. The influence of climatic factors (temperature and solar irradiation ratio), topographical factors (elevation, slope, ratio of slope to valley and aspect) and soil profiles (soil depth by layer and soil consistency) on site index were evaluated by multiple regression analysis. Five environmental factors were selected in the final site index equation for Pinus koraiensis. The site index equation developed in this study was also verified by three evaluation statistics: model's estimation bias, model's precision, and mean square error of measurement. Based on the site index equation, the number of productive areas for Pinus koraiensis were estimated by applying GIS technique to digitized forest maps. In addition, the distribution of productive areas was compared with the areas of current distribution of Pinus koraiensis. It is expected that the results obtained in this study could provide valuable information about the amount and distribution of productive areas for Pinus koraiensis reforestation.

An Institute for Weight and Price index of Estimation System of Historical Cost Data in the Electrical Construction Works (실적공사비 적산제도에서 전기공사비지수의 적정 가중치 및 가격지수에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, S.S.;Jang, Y.K.;Ryu, K.H.;Kim, K.G.;Choi, S.D.;Kim, D.S.;Baek, S.H.;Won, S.H.;Sohn, H.K.;Park, I.P.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2008.07a
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    • pp.2092-2093
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    • 2008
  • Since Jan. 2004, the Ministry of Construction and Transportation has partly introduced estimation system of historical cost data in order to reflect result cost of construction market to cost estimation for public construction. And KEPCO started estimation system of historical cost data in the electrical construction works. Electrical construction cost index a matter of great importance. This paper was conducted to examine estimation methods of the items of the price index estimation system of historical cost data and suggest reasonable applications.

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