• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimate the travel time

Search Result 144, Processing Time 0.038 seconds

Derivation of the Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph and Estimation of the Direct Runoff by Using the Geomorphologic Parameters (지상인자에 의한 순간단위도 유도와 유출량 예측)

  • 천만복;서승덕
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.32 no.3
    • /
    • pp.87-101
    • /
    • 1990
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the flood discharge and runoff volume at a stream by using geomorphologic parameters obtained from the topographic maps following the law of stream classification and ordering by Horton and Strahier. The present model is modified from Cheng' s model which derives the geomorphologic instantaneous unit hydrograph. The present model uses the results of Laplace transformation and convolution intergral of probability density function of the travel time at each state. The stream flow velocity parameters are determined as a function of the rainfall intensity, and the effective rainfall is calculated by the SCS method. The total direct runoff volume until the time to peak is estimated by assuming a triangular hydrograph. The model is used to estimate the time to peak, the flood discharge, and the direct runoff at Andong, Imha. Geomchon, and Sunsan basin in the Nakdong River system. The results of the model application are as follows : 1.For each basin, as the rainfall intensity doubles form 1 mm/h to 2 mm/h with the same rainfall duration of 1 hour, the hydrographs show that the runoff volume doubles while the duration of the base flow and the time to peak are the same. This aggrees with the theory of the unit hydrograph. 2.Comparisions of the model predicted and observed values show that small relative errors of 0.44-7.4% of the flood discharge, and 1 hour difference in time to peak except the Geomchon basin which shows 10.32% and 2 hours respectively. 3.When the rainfall intensity is small, the error of flood discharge estimated by using this model is relatively large. The reason of this might be because of introducing the flood velocity concept in the stream flow velocity. 4.Total direct runoff volume until the time to peak estimated by using this model has small relative error comparing with the observed data. 5.The sensitivity analysis of velocity parameters to flood discharge shows that the flood discharge is sensitive to the velocity coefficient while it is insensitive to the ratio of arrival time of moving portion to that of storage portion of a stream and to the ratio of arrival time of stream to that of overland flow.

  • PDF

Determining chlorine injection intensity in water distribution networks: a comparison of backtracking and water age approaches

  • Flavia D. Frederick;Malvin S. Marlim;Doosun Kang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2023.05a
    • /
    • pp.170-170
    • /
    • 2023
  • Providing safe and readily available water is vital to maintain public health. One of the most prevalent methods to prevent the spread of waterborne diseases is applying chlorine injection to the treated water before distribution. During the water transmission and distribution, the chlorine will experience a reduction, which can imply potential risks for human health if it falls below the minimum threshold. The ability to determine the appropriate initial intensity of chlorine at the source would be significant to prevent such problems. This study proposes two methods that integrate hydraulic and water quality modeling to determine the suitable intensity of chlorine to be injected into the source water to maintain the minimum chlorine concentration (e.g., 0.2 mg/l) at each demand node. The water quality modeling employs the first-order decay to estimate the rate of chlorine reduction in the water. The first method utilizes a backtracking algorithm to trace the path of water from the demand node to the source during each time step, which helps to accurately determine the travel time through each pipe and node and facilitate the computation of time-dependent chlorine decay in the water delivery process. However, as a backtracking algorithm is computationally intensive, this study also explores an alternative approach using a water age. This approach estimates the elapsed time of water delivery from the source to the demand node and calculate the time-dependent reduction of chlorine in the water. Finally, this study compares the outcomes of two approaches and determines the suitable and effective method for calculating the chlorine intensity at the source to maintain the minimum chlorine level at demand nodes.

  • PDF

A Study on Estimating the Land Developer's Share of Infrastructure Cost : Focused on the Road Facility of Residential Development (간선시설 설치비용의 합리적 분담분 추정 : 택지개발사업시 조성되는 도로시설을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Tae-Gyun;Choi, Dae-Sik
    • Land and Housing Review
    • /
    • v.3 no.3
    • /
    • pp.241-248
    • /
    • 2012
  • Although infrastructure cost comprises the great proportion of residential development cost, all of it tends to be borne by land developers which develop large area. This brings about free-riding by adjacent small development or built-up area, followed by the equity problem in terms of infrastructure development cost sharing and the privatization of development gain. This study aims to establish the method to analyze free-riding on the transportation infrastructure(roads) and investigate empirically how much the free-riding occurs. It sets several development scenarios to calculate the part generated by Bucheon Sangdong district, the case area of this study, of all the traffic flow on the roads. The Network analysis is used to estimate the proportion, by development scenarios, of traffic flow, travel time, and travel cost. As a result, the developer of Bucheon Sangdong district is responsible for 83% of the construction cost of selected roads. The methodology and empirical result of this study would contribute to determine who are liable for the infrastructure facilitation and to estimate how much of the cost the obligators have to share.

Development of Rainfall-runoff Analysis Algorithm on Road Surface (도로 표면 강우 유출 해석 알고리즘 개발)

  • Jo, Jun Beom;Kim, Jung Soo;Kwak, Chang Jae
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
    • /
    • v.8 no.4
    • /
    • pp.223-232
    • /
    • 2021
  • In general, stormwater flows to the road surface, especially in urban areas, and it is discharged through the drainage grate inlets on roads. The appropriate evaluation of the road drainage capacity is essential not only in the design of roads and inlets but also in the design of sewer systems. However, the method of road surface flow analysis that reflects the topographical and hydraulic conditions might not be fully developed. Therefore, the enhanced method of road surface flow analysis should be presented by investigating the existing analysis method such as the flow analysis module (uniform; varied) and the flow travel time (critical; fixed). In this study, the algorithm based on varied and uniform flow analysis was developed to analyze the flow pattern of road surface. The numerical analysis applied the uniform and varied flow analysis module and travel time as parameters were conducted to estimate the characteristics of rainfall-runoff in various road conditions using the developed algorithm. The width of the road (two-lane (6 m)) and the slope of the road (longitudinal slope of road 1 - 10%, transverse slope of road 2%, and transverse slope of gutter 2 - 10%) was considered. In addition, the flow of the road surface is collected from the gutter along the road slope and drained through the gutter in the downstream part, and the width of the gutter was selected to be 0.5 m. The simulation results were revealed that the runoff characteristics were affected by the road slope conditions, and it was found that the varied flow analysis module adequately reflected the gutter flow which is changed along the downstream caused by collecting of road surface flow at the gutter. The varied flow analysis module simulated 11.80% longer flow travel time on average (max. 23.66%) and 4.73% larger total road surface discharge on average (max. 9.50%) than the uniform flow analysis module. In order to accurately estimate the amount of runoff from the road, it was appropriate to perform flow analysis by applying the critical duration and the varied flow analysis module. The developed algorithm was expected to be able to be used in the design of road drainage because it was accurately simulated the runoff characteristics on the road surface.

Empirical Study on the Forecasting of the Hotel Room Sales (호텔 객실판매 예측에 관한 실증적 연구 - 서울지역 특급호텔을 중심으로 -)

  • Han, Seung-Youb
    • Korean Business Review
    • /
    • v.4
    • /
    • pp.281-295
    • /
    • 1991
  • Nothing is more incorrect than forecasting. Nevertheless, forecasting is one of the most important business activities for the effective management. There has been rapid changes of the growth rate in every respect of the Korean hospitaity industry, especially the hotel industry, before and after the 88 Olympic Games. Therefore, the hoteliers shall be in need of more-than-ever accourate demand forecasting for the more systematic management and control. Under the above circumstances, this study suggested the best forecasting technique and method for the better sales and operations of the hotel rooms. The number of rooms sold is selected as a dependent variable of this study which is regarded as the best representative factor of measuring the growth rate of the rooms division performance of the hotels. The first step was to select the most verifiable independent variable diferently from the other countries or other areas of Korea. As a result, the number of foreign visitors was chosen. Empirical research, i.e. correlation and multiple regression analysis, shows that this independent variable has a strong relationship with the dependent variable told above. The second procedure was to estimate the number of rooms will be sold in 1991 on the basis of the formula calculated through the multiple regression analysis. Time series technique was conducted using the data of the number of foreign visitors by purpose of travel from 1987 to 1990. For the more correct forecasting, however, it would be desirable to adopt the data from 1989 considering the product or the industry life cycle. In addition, deeper analysis for the monthly or seasonal forecasting method is needed as a future research.

  • PDF

A BI-Level Programming Model for Transportation Network Design (BI-Level Programming 기법을 이용한 교통 네트워크 평가방법 연구)

  • Kim, Byung-Jong;Kim, Won-Kyu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.23 no.7 s.85
    • /
    • pp.111-123
    • /
    • 2005
  • A network design model has been proposed. which represents a transportation facility investment decision problem. The model takes the discrete hi-level programming form in which two types of decision makers, government and travelers, are involved. The model is characterized by its ability to address the total social costs occurring in transportation networks and to estimate the equilibrium link volumes in multi-modal networks. Travel time and volume for each link in the multi-modal network are predicted by a joint modal split/traffic assignment model. An efficient solution algorithm has been developed and an illustrative example has been presented.

Demand Estimation for Art Museum using Travel Cost Method : A Case of National Museum of Modern and Contemporary Art (여행비용접근법을 적용한 미술관 방문수요함수 추정 : 국립현대미술관을 사례로)

  • Eom, Young-Sook;Kim, Jin-Ok;Park, In-Sun
    • Review of Culture and Economy
    • /
    • v.19 no.2
    • /
    • pp.29-50
    • /
    • 2016
  • This paper is to apply an individual travel cost method(TCM) to estimate demand functions for cultural services enjoyed by visiting 3 branches of the National Museum of Modern and Contemporary Art located in the Seoul Metropolitan area. This paper extends the standard TCM by incorporating opportunity costs of leisure time and two different data generating process - 398 respondents from an on-site survey and 600 respondents from a general household survey. Negative binomial models reflecting the non-negative integer nature of visiting frequency with over-dispersed variance were best fitted for demand functions, in which residents of Seoul metropolitan area surveyed from on the site exhibited higher visitation demand for the national art museum. Price elasticity and income elasticity differed by respondents' residency. Price elasticity of long distance visitors (-0.21) was more inelastic from those of Seoul residents (-0.34 ~ -0.5). Moreover, regional residents outside of Seoul area seemed to consider that services from the national art museum is a normal good with income elasticity of 0.5, whereas the Seoul residents seemed to perceive it to be an inferior good with income elasticity of -0.05.

Size estimation of Sperm Whale in the East Sea of Korea using click signals (동해에서 발견된 향고래의 클릭 신호를 이용한 전장 추정)

  • Yoon, Young Geul;Choi, Kang-Hoon;Han, Dong-Gyun;Sohn, Hawsun;Choi, Jee Woong
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.39 no.6
    • /
    • pp.533-540
    • /
    • 2020
  • A total length of sperm whales can be estimated by measuring the Inter-Pulse Interval(IPI) of their clicks composed by multiple pulses. The IPI is caused by the two-way travel time of the sound transmission in the spermaceti within the whale head. Therefore, the IPI can be used to measure the whale's total length based on allometric relationships between head and body length. In this paper, the click signals recorded in the East Sea, Korea in 2017 were analyzed to estimate the size of sperm whales. The size of sperm whales calculated by the relationship between IPI and body length was 9.9 m to 10.9 m, which is corresponding to the size of an adult female or a juvenile male sperm whale. This non-lethal acoustic method has been demonstrated to accurately estimate the sperm whale size, and can provide useful information for domestic sperm whale monitoring.

Analysis of Tourism Demand Elasticities by Travel Time Distance in Korea (국민국내관광객의 이동시간거리에 대한 수요탄력성 분석)

  • Kwon, J. Younghyun;Kim, Euijune
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
    • /
    • v.31 no.1
    • /
    • pp.65-81
    • /
    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the tourism demand elasticity of travel time distance on domestic destinations in Korea. Piecewise Linear Regression Model was applied to estimate the elasticities based on the Korea National Tourism Survey. It is found that the tourism demand elasticities by tourist distances decrease by 0.005% if time distance increase by 1 minute. In the first section, the most nearest distance is less than 11.6 minutes from the origin, elasticities increases by 0.206% of tourism demand, whereas in second section (from 11.7 to 75.1 minutes) and third section (more than 75.2 minutes) it decreases by 0.106% and 0.021%, respectively. The third section with sharply rising distance decay rate can be interpreted as the Effective Tourism Exclusion Zone of domestic tourists in Korea. Additionally, the more tourism demand is appeared at the younger age group than older age group, single travellers than group travellers, and people in Metropolitan Areas than in smaller cities.

Accurate prediction of lane speeds by using neural network

  • Dong hyun Pyun;Changwoo Pyo
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.28 no.5
    • /
    • pp.9-15
    • /
    • 2023
  • In this paper, we propose a method predicting the speed of each lane from the link speed using a neural network. We took three measures for configuring learning data to increase prediction accuracy. The first one is to expand the spatial range of the data source by including 14 links connected to the beginning and end points of the link. We also increased the time interval from 07:00 to 22:00 and included the data generation time in the feature data. Finally, we marked weekdays and holidays. Results of experiments showed that the speed error was reduced by 21.9% from 6.4 km/h to 5.0 km/h for straight lane, by 12.9% from 8.5 km/h to 7.4 km/h for right turns, and by 5.7% from 8.7 km/h to 8.2 km/h for left-turns. As a secondary result, we confirmed that the prediction accuracy of each lane was high for city roads when the traffic flow was congested. The feature of the proposed method is that it predicts traffic conditions for each lane improving the accuracy of prediction.