• Title/Summary/Keyword: error prediction

Search Result 2,554, Processing Time 0.031 seconds

The relationship between prediction accuracy and pre-information in collaborative filtering system

  • Kim, Sun-Ok
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.21 no.4
    • /
    • pp.803-811
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study analyzes the characteristics of preference ratings by dividing estimated values into four groups according to rank correlation coefficient after obtaining preference estimated value to user's ratings by using collaborative filtering algorithm. It is known that the value of standard error of skewness and standard error of kurtosis lower in the group of higher rank correlation coefficient This explains that the preference of higher rank correlation coefficient has lower extreme values and the differences of preference rating values. In addition, top n recommendation lists are made after obtaining rank fitting by using the result ranks of prediction value and the ranks of real rated values, and this top n is applied to the four groups. The value of top n recommendation is calculated higher in the group of higher rank correlation coefficient, and the recommendation accuracy in the group of higher rank correlation coefficient is higher than that in the group of lower rank correlation coefficient Thus, when using standard error of skewness and standard error of kurtosis in recommender system, rank correlation coefficient can be higher, and so the accuracy of recommendation prediction can be increased.

Performance Comparison Analysis of Artificial Intelligence Models for Estimating Remaining Capacity of Lithium-Ion Batteries

  • Kyu-Ha Kim;Byeong-Soo Jung;Sang-Hyun Lee
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
    • /
    • v.11 no.3
    • /
    • pp.310-314
    • /
    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to predict the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries and evaluate their performance using five artificial intelligence models, including linear regression analysis, decision tree, random forest, neural network, and ensemble model. We is in the study, measured Excel data from the CS2 lithium-ion battery was used, and the prediction accuracy of the model was measured using evaluation indicators such as mean square error, mean absolute error, coefficient of determination, and root mean square error. As a result of this study, the Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) of the linear regression model was 0.045, the decision tree model was 0.038, the random forest model was 0.034, the neural network model was 0.032, and the ensemble model was 0.030. The ensemble model had the best prediction performance, with the neural network model taking second place. The decision tree model and random forest model also performed quite well, and the linear regression model showed poor prediction performance compared to other models. Therefore, through this study, ensemble models and neural network models are most suitable for predicting the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries, and decision tree and random forest models also showed good performance. Linear regression models showed relatively poor predictive performance. Therefore, it was concluded that it is appropriate to prioritize ensemble models and neural network models in order to improve the efficiency of battery management and energy systems.

A GENERALIZATION OF THE ADAMS-BASHFORTH METHOD

  • Hahm, Nahm-Woo;Hong, Bum-Il
    • Honam Mathematical Journal
    • /
    • v.32 no.3
    • /
    • pp.481-491
    • /
    • 2010
  • In this paper, we investigate a generalization of the Adams-Bashforth method by using the Taylor's series. In case of m-step method, the local truncation error can be expressed in terms of m - 1 coefficients. With an appropriate choice of coefficients, the proposed method has produced much smaller error than the original Adams-Bashforth method. As an application of the generalized Adams-Bashforth method, the accuracy performance is demonstrated in the satellite orbit prediction problem. This implies that the generalized Adams-Bashforth method is applied to the orbit prediction of a low-altitude satellite. This numerical example shows that the prediction of the satellite trajectories is improved one order of magnitude.

A study on the performance prediction technique of the dual-thrust rocket motor (이중 추력형 로켓모타의 성능예측 기법 연구)

  • 이도형
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
    • /
    • v.5 no.2
    • /
    • pp.38-43
    • /
    • 2001
  • In this study, the technique of the performance prediction on the finocyl-type dual-thrust rocket motor is developed, and the predicted data are compared with those of the static firing tests. The prediction is carried out with the separate calculations of the grain burning area and the performance of the rocket motor. When predicting the performance of the dual-thrust rocket motor, the different correction factors should be used at the boosting and sustaining phases. Otherwise, an error of prediction will follow. Reprediction using the separate correction factors shows good agreement with the test data within 0.5% error.

  • PDF

Development of Solar Power Output Prediction Method using Big Data Processing Technic (태양광 발전량 예측을 위한 빅데이터 처리 방법 개발)

  • Jung, Jae Cheon;Song, Chi Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.58-67
    • /
    • 2020
  • A big data processing method to predict solar power generation using systems engineering approach is developed in this work. For developing analytical method, linear model (LM), support vector machine (SVN), and artificial neural network (ANN) technique are chosen. As evaluation indices, the cross-correlation and the mean square root of prediction error (RMSEP) are used. From multi-variable comparison test, it was found that ANN methodology provides the highest correlation and the lowest RMSEP.

Modeling properties of self-compacting concrete: support vector machines approach

  • Siddique, Rafat;Aggarwal, Paratibha;Aggarwal, Yogesh;Gupta, S.M.
    • Computers and Concrete
    • /
    • v.5 no.5
    • /
    • pp.461-473
    • /
    • 2008
  • The paper explores the potential of Support Vector Machines (SVM) approach in predicting 28-day compressive strength and slump flow of self-compacting concrete. Total of 80 data collected from the exiting literature were used in present work. To compare the performance of the technique, prediction was also done using a back propagation neural network model. For this data-set, RBF kernel worked well in comparison to polynomial kernel based support vector machines and provide a root mean square error of 4.688 (MPa) (correlation coefficient=0.942) for 28-day compressive strength prediction and a root mean square error of 7.825 cm (correlation coefficient=0.931) for slump flow. Results obtained for RMSE and correlation coefficient suggested a comparable performance by Support Vector Machine approach to neural network approach for both 28-day compressive strength and slump flow prediction.

A dynamic selection of advanced prediction mode in H.263 encoder using error distribution of motion estimation (움직임 추정 오차 분포를 이용한 H.263 부호화기의 진보 예측 모드의 동적 선택)

  • 허태원;이근영
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics S
    • /
    • v.35S no.5
    • /
    • pp.94-102
    • /
    • 1998
  • In this paper, we proposed a dynamic selection scheme of advnaced prediction mode(DAPM), which reduces computational cost and improves coding efficiency. We can select the mode between default prediction mode (DPM) and advanced prediction mode (APM) according to motion componenets in a frame dynamically. For this purpose, we defined error distribution of motion estimation (EDME) as sum of absolute difference(SAD) for each searching points. This distribution region is divided to four subregions. We calculate minimum values in each subregions and then, we determine whether block motion estimation is performed or not depending on the results. As a result, we reduced computational complexity to 30% without degradation of image quality compared to fixed APM(FAPM) by selecting DPM for linear movement.

  • PDF

Optimal Cutting Condition in Side Wall Milling Considering Form Accuracy (측벽 엔드밀 가공에서 형상 정밀도를 고려한 최적 절삭 조건)

  • 류시형;최덕기;주종남
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
    • /
    • v.20 no.10
    • /
    • pp.31-40
    • /
    • 2003
  • In this paper, optimal cutting condition to minimize the form error in side wall machining with a flat end mill is studied. Cutting forces and tool deflection are calculated considering surface shape generated by the previous cutting such as roughing. Using the form error prediction method from tool deflection, optimal cutting condition considering form accuracy is investigated. Also, the effects of tool teeth number, tool geometry and cutting conditions on form error are analyzed. The characteristics and the difference of generated surface shape in up and down milling are discussed and over-cut free condition in up milling is presented. Form error reduction method through successive up and down milling is also suggested. The effectiveness and usefulness of the presented method are verified from a series of cutting experiments under various cutting conditions. It is confirmed that form error prediction from tool deflection in side wall machining can be used in optimal cutting condition selection and real time surface error simulation for CAD/CAM systems. This study also contributes to cutting process optimization for the improvement of form accuracy especially in precision die and mold manufacturing.

Prediction of Error due to Eccentricity of Hole in Hole-Drilling Method Using Neural Network

  • Kim, Cheol;Yang, Won-Ho
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.16 no.11
    • /
    • pp.1359-1366
    • /
    • 2002
  • The measurement of residual stresses by the hole-drilling method has been used to evaluate residual stresses in structural members. In this method, eccentricity can usually occur between the hole center and rosette gage center. In this study, we obtained the magnitude of the error due to eccentricity of a hole through the finite element analysis. To predict the magnitude of the error due to eccentricity of a hole in the biaxial residual stress field, it could be learned through the back propagation neural network. The prediction results of the error using the trained neural network showed good agreement with FE analyzed results.