• Title/Summary/Keyword: equation of forest fire spread

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Analyzing Spread Rate of Samcheok Forest Fire Broken out in 2000 Using GIS (GIS 응용(應用)에 의한 2000년(年) 삼척(三陟) 산불의 확산속도(擴散速度) 분석(分析))

  • Lee, Byung-Doo;Chung, Joo-Sang;Kim, Hyung-Ho;Lee, Si-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.90 no.6
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    • pp.781-787
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    • 2001
  • The spread rate of forest fire was analyzed on Samcheok forest fire that broke out on April 7, 2000 in Kunduck-Myun, Samcheok-City, Kangwon-Province and lasted for about 9 days. The spatial database including topography, overstory species distribution, micro-climate, daily fire front lines for the area was built using GIS and the daily spread pattern was investigated to determine a multiple regression equation to estimate forest fire spread rate. The results of the investigation showed that, on the first day, the forest fire spreaded out extremely fast up to 12.3m/min at about 10 a.m. until noon. After that, the forest fire spread rate fluctuated and slowed down as low as below 1m/min and quenched on April 15. The daily area-based spread rate along the fire spread line got to the peak of about 5,700ha on April 11, of which spread rates were recorded as 2.84m/min in the first half and 1.10m/min in the second half. Also, it was found that slope aspect, wind velocity and % area distribution of Pinus densiflora are the major factors affecting the spread rate of forest fire in this area.

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A Numerical Study of Flame Spread of A Surface Forest Fire (지표화 산불의 화염전파 수치해석)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyun;Lee, Myung-Bo;Kim, Kwang-Il
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.03b
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    • pp.80-83
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    • 2008
  • The characteristics of the spread of a forest fire are generally related to the attributes of combustibles, geographical features, and meteorological conditions, such as wind conditions. The most common methodology used to create a prediction model for the spread of forest fires, based on the numerical analysis of the development stages of a forest fire, is an analysis of heat energy transmission by the stage of heat transmission. When a forest fire breaks out, the analysis of the transmission velocity of heat energy is quantifiable by the spread velocity of flame movement through a physical and chemical analysis at every stage of the fire development from flame production and heat transmission to its termination. In this study, the formula used for the 1-dimensional surface forest fire behavior prediction model, derived from a numerical analysis of the surface flame spread rate of solid combustibles, is introduced. The formula for the 1-dimensional surface forest fire behavior prediction model is the estimated equation of the flame spread velocity, depending on the condition of wind velocity on the ground. Experimental and theoretical equations on flame duration, flame height, flame temperature, ignition temperature of surface fuels, etc., has been applied to the device of this formula. As a result of a comparison between the ROS(rate of spread) from this formula and ROSs from various equations of other models or experimental values, a trend suggesting an increasing curved line of the exponent function under 3m/s or less wind velocity condition was identified. As a result of a comparison between experimental values and numerically analyzed values for fallen pine tree leaves, the flame spread velocity reveals has a error of less than 20%.

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Semi-numerical Study on the Flame Tilt Equation due to Wind on the Surface Fire in Forest Fire (산불 지표화에서의 바람에 의한 화염각 변화 산정식 도출에 관한 준-수치해석 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.90-95
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    • 2009
  • The wind is very important factor in forest fire spread. Flame spread has a change through wind pattern change in forest fire. In order to analyze the forest fire flame spread rate, change of flame tilt depending on wind may be considering first. This is be cause the flame spread rate varies by the flame tilt changed due to transfer of heat. Especially, as wind speed grow, flame gets closer to surface, heat transfer ratio increase, virgin fuel bed reaches ignition temperature more rapidly, and flame moves faster. This study deduces, through experiment and physical figure analysis, relations on the change behavior of flame tilt due to wind. The value of flame tilt angle calculated from the equation and the experiment value showed average error angle of $3.3^{\circ}$, which is relatively smaller than results of previous studies that used other coefficient. Froude number coefficient A can be calculated in the method provided in this research for estimation of flame tilt angle of virgin fuel bed with varying thermal properties. The research finding is expected to be applied to future studies on flame spread through numerical analysis of heat transfer.

A Numerical Study of 1-D Surface Flame Spread Model - Based on a Flatland Conditions - (산불 지표화의 1차원 화염전파 모델의 수치해석 연구 - 평지조건 기반에서 -)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyun;Tanaka, Takeyoshi;Himoto, Keisuke;Lee, Myung-Bo;Kim, Kwang-Il
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.63-69
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    • 2008
  • The characteristics of the spread of a forest fire are generally related to the attributes of combustibles, geographical features, and meteorological conditions, such as wind conditions. The most common methodology used to create a prediction model for the spread of forest fires, based on the numerical analysis of the development stages of a forest fire, is an analysis of heat energy transmission by the stage of heat transmission. When a forest fire breaks out, the analysis of the transmission velocity of heat energy is quantifiable by the spread velocity of flame movement through a physical and chemical analysis at every stage of the fire development from flame production and heat transmission to its termination. In this study, the formula used for the 1-D surface forest fire behavior prediction model, derived from a numerical analysis of the surface flame spread rate of solid combustibles, is introduced. The formula for the 1-D surface forest fire behavior prediction model is the estimated equation of the flame spread velocity, depending on the condition of wind velocity on the ground. Experimental and theoretical equations on flame duration, flame height, flame temperature, ignition temperature of surface fuels, etc., has been applied to the device of this formula. As a result of a comparison between the ROS(rate of spread) from this formula and ROSs from various equations of other models or experimental values, a trend suggesting an increasing curved line of the exponent function under 3m/s or less wind velocity condition was identified. As a result of a comparison between experimental values and numerically analyzed values for fallen pine tree leaves, the flame spread velocity reveals a prediction of an approximately 10% upward tendency under wind velocity conditions of 1 to 2m/s, and of an approximately 20% downward tendency under those of 3m/s.

Development of Crown Fire Propagation Probability Equation Using Logistic Regression Model (로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 수관화확산확률식의 개발)

  • Ryu, Gye-Sun;Lee, Byung-Doo;Won, Myoung-Soo;Kim, Kyong-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2014
  • Crown fire, the main propagation type of large forest fire, has caused extreme damage with the fast spread rate and the high flame intensity. In this paper, we developed the probability equation to predict the crown fires using the spatial features of topography, fuel and weather in damaged area by crown fire. Eighteen variables were collected and then classified by burn severity utilizing geographic information system and remote sensing. Crown fire ratio and logistic regression model were used to select related variables and to estimate the weights for the classes of each variables. As a results, elevation, forest type, elevation relief ratio, folded aspect, plan curvature and solar insolation were related to the crown fire propagation. The crown fire propagation probability equation may can be applied to the priority setting of fuel treatment and suppression resources allocation for forest fire.

Evaluating Impact Factors of Forest Fire Occurrences in Gangwon Province Using PLS-SEM: A Focus on Drought and Meteorological Factors (PLS-SEM을 이용한 강원도 산불 발생의 영향 요인 평가 : 가뭄 및 기상학적 요인을 중심으로)

  • Yoo, Jiyoung;Han, Jeongwoo;Kim, Dongwoo;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.209-217
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    • 2021
  • Although forest fires are more often triggered by artificial causes than by natural causes, the combustion conditions that spread forest fire damage over a large area are affected by natural phenomena. Therefore, using partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM), which can analyze the dependent and causal relationships between various factors, this study evaluated the causal relationships and relative influences between forest fire, weather, and drought, taking Gangwon Province as our sample region. The results indicated that the impact of drought on forest fires was 27 % and that of the weather was 38 %. In addition, forest fires in spring accounted for about 60 % of total forest fires. This indicatesthat along with meteorological factors, the autumn and winter droughts in the previous year affected forest fires. In assessing the risk of forest fires, if severe meteorological droughts occur in autumn and winter, the probability of forest fires may increase in the spring of the following year.

Study on Flame Height Equation for the Pinus densiflora Surface Fuel Bed (소나무 낙엽층 화염높이 산정식에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.10-15
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    • 2009
  • Flame height calculation in a forest fire is a crucial part of predicting horizontal or vertical flame spread flared by radiation heat transfer. Flame height, which is one of the flame characteristics, can be estimated by the average height of luminous flame. This research relied on flame height observation test on P. densiflora surface fuel bed, which are surface combustibles in a forest, and calorimeter to measure Heat Release Rate, thus produced $H_f=0.027(\dot{Q'})^{2/3}$, flame height calculation equation for surface fuel. The research did not take into consideration such conditions as external velocity, slope and other variables that could affect flame height. According to comparison among experiment results, calculation results of the above formula and those of existing Heskestad formula (1998), it was found that standard error in fallen pine needles between experimental results and calculation results of the above formula amounts to 0.08, whereas standard error in same plant between experimental results and calculation results of existing Heskestad formula amounts to 0.23.

A Study on the Flame Tilt and Flame Spread due to Up-slope on the Surface Fuel Bed - No wind condition - (경사에 따른 화염각 변화와 지표 화염 확산에 관한 연구 - 무풍조건 기반 -)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.57-62
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    • 2009
  • Flame spread velocity to virgin surface fuel bed on a ground slope increases as the flame gets closer to the slope according to the change of a ground slope angle. The existing studies have generally adopted the theory that flame gets closer to the slope as the slope angle increases, without considering the change of flame tilt against the slope. In this study, experiments were made on the actual characteristics of the flame on slopes of various angles, and as a result, this study offers the flame tilt equation according to the slope angle, and derive correlation between flame tilt and flame spread velocity on slope conditions.