• Title/Summary/Keyword: environmental parameter

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TANK 모형의 매개변수 추정을 위한 베이지안 접근법의 적용: MCMC 및 GLUE 방법의 비교 (Application of Bayesian Approach to Parameter Estimation of TANK Model: Comparison of MCMC and GLUE Methods)

  • 김령은;원정은;최정현;이옥정;김상단
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.300-313
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    • 2020
  • The Bayesian approach can be used to estimate hydrologic model parameters from the prior expert knowledge about the parameter values and the observed data. The purpose of this study was to compare the performance of the two Bayesian methods, the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm and the Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) method. These two methods were applied to the TANK model, a hydrological model comprising 13 parameters, to examine the uncertainty of the parameters of the model. The TANK model comprises a combination of multiple reservoir-type virtual vessels with orifice-type outlets and implements a common major hydrological process using the runoff calculations that convert the rainfall to the flow. As a result of the application to the Nam River A watershed, the two Bayesian methods yielded similar flow simulation results even though the parameter estimates obtained by the two methods were of somewhat different values. Both methods ensure the model's prediction accuracy even when the observed flow data available for parameter estimation is limited. However, the prediction accuracy of the model using the MH algorithm yielded slightly better results than that of the GLUE method. The flow duration curve calculated using the limited observed flow data showed that the marginal reliability is secured from the perspective of practical application.

한국 연안 극치 파고 분포의 확산모수 특성 (Characteristics of Spread Parameter of the Extreme Wave Height Distribution around Korean Marginal Seas)

  • 정신택;김정대;고동휘;김태헌
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.480-494
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    • 2009
  • 장기간의 극치 파랑자료는 연안 및 항만구조물의 계획 및 설계에서 매우 중요한 인자이다. 그러나, 한국 연안 심해파는 관측 자료가 한정되어 있으므로 기상정보로부터 사후추정한 장기간의 파랑자료를 이용하고 있다. 한국해양연구원(2005)에서는 1979년부터 2003년까지의 한국연안 106개 지점의 극치 파랑 자료를 제시하였다. 본 연구에서는 이 자료를 활용하여 최적 극치분포 함수를 분석하고, Goda(2004)가 제안한 확산모수를 산정하였다. 산정된 확산모수는 모멘트법으로 산정한 결과와 잘 일치하였다. 그러나, 확산모수가 외국사례보다 큰 1.0에서 2.8에 이르고 있기 때문에 차후 설계파에 대한 검토가 필요하다.

가압형 정삼투 시 압력에 따른 정삼투막의 Structure Parameter 변화양상 예측 (Structure Parameter Change Estimation of a Forward Osmosis Membrane Under Pressurized Conditions in Pressure-assisted Forward Osmosis (PAFO))

  • 국승호;김성조;이진우;황문현;김인수
    • 멤브레인
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.187-196
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    • 2016
  • 최근 정삼투(FO) 공정의 성능향상을 위해 유입수에 낮은 수압을 가하는 가압형 정삼투(PAFO) 공정이 관심을 받고 있다. Structure parameter는 FO 및 PAFO 공정 운전시 유도용질의 확산 저항성(Solute resistivity)을 결정하며, 이는 Solution-diffusion model (S-D model)을 통한 수투과 및 염투과 성능 예측을 지배하는 인자 중에 하나이다. 본 연구는 S-D model을 이용하여 가압형 정삼투시 유입수 측에 가해지는 압력에 따른 Structure parameter 변화 양상을 예측하고자 하였다.

수질예측을 위한 WASP7 모형 매개변수의 추정 (The Parameter Estimation of WASP Model for Water Quality Prediction)

  • 안승섭;서명준;박노삼;정광옥
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.623-632
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this study is analysis of Andong-Dam lake water quality with water quality model. Model parameters of the WASP applied to Lake Andong-Dam were estimated. The methodology is based on grouping water quality constituents and relevant parameters and successively estimating parameters by a trial-and-error procedure. Water qualify system for modeling consisted of BOD, DO, T-N, T-P. The results of water quality modelling using WASP. T-N was maximum affected by K71C(Organic nitrogen mineralization rate) parameter. T-P was maximum affected by K83C(Dissolved organic phosphorus mineralization) parameter, and It did not show a difference almost from the parameter of others and it omitted. BOD was maximum affected by Temperature parameter, it was visible of the reaction due to the KDC(Deoxygenation rate) in afterwords, and it did not show a difference from the parameter of others and it omitted. DO was maximum affect by Temperature parameter, and It did not show a difference almost from the parameter of others and it omitted. The parameter which it presumes from the this study uses a water quality modeling and Actual value and the result with which it compares, error rate the parameter presumption which is appropriate with 1% interior and exterior is investigated, It will reach and it uses and it will be able to apply to the suitable parameter in water quality modelling of the objective area which can be feeded by it becomes.

Assessment of groundwater contamination susceptibility based on water chemistry data - A review

  • Kim, Kang-Joo;Natarajan Rajmohan;Chae, Gi-Tak;Yun, Seong-Taek
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지하수토양환경학회 2004년도 총회 및 춘계학술발표회
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    • pp.12-15
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    • 2004
  • Groundwater contamination susceptibility studies have many advantages in groundwater monitoring, management and future planning. Several methods have been developed and applied to the groundwater regime through out the world. However, each and every method has some limitations. In this study, a detailed review was carried out about the already existing methods for groundwater contamination susceptibility studies. Additionally, a new parameter called mineral dissolution factor is recommended for groundwater contamination susceptibility studies. This parameter is applied for groundwate contamination susceptibility studies in Namwon area, Korea. The result of this approach suggests that mineral dissolution parameter could overcome the limitations as observed in the earlier methods.

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An Extended Model Evaluation Method under Uncertainty in Hydrologic Modeling

  • Lee, Giha;Youn, Sangkuk;Kim, Yeonsu
    • 한국지반환경공학회 논문집
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.13-25
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    • 2015
  • This paper proposes an extended model evaluation method that considers not only the model performance but also the model structure and parameter uncertainties in hydrologic modeling. A simple reservoir model (SFM) and distributed kinematic wave models (KWMSS1 and KWMSS2 using topography from 250-m, 500-m, and 1-km digital elevation models) were developed and assessed by three evaluative criteria for model performance, model structural stability, and parameter identifiability. All the models provided acceptable performance in terms of a global response, but the simpler SFM and KWMSS1 could not accurately represent the local behaviors of hydrographs. Moreover, SFM and KWMSS1 were structurally unstable; their performance was sensitive to the applied objective functions. On the other hand, the most sophisticated model, KWMSS2, performed well, satisfying both global and local behaviors. KMSS2 also showed good structural stability, reproducing hydrographs regardless of the applied objective functions; however, superior parameter identifiability was not guaranteed. A number of parameter sets could result in indistinguishable hydrographs. This result indicates that while making hydrologic models complex increases its performance accuracy and reduces its structural uncertainty, the model is likely to suffer from parameter uncertainty.

충진층 흡착관 내에서 입상활성탄에 의한 페놀 제거 : 매개변수 감응도 해석 (Removal of Phenol by Granular Activated Carbon from Aqueous Solution in Fixed-Bed Adsorption Column : Parameter Sensitivity Analysis)

  • 윤영삼;황종연;권성헌;김인실;박판욱
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제7권6호
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    • pp.773-782
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    • 1998
  • The adsorption experiment of phenol(Ph) from aqueous solution on granular activated carbon was studied in order to design the fixed-bed adsorption column. The experimental data were analyzed by unsteady-state, one-dimensional heterogeneous model. Finite element method(FEM) was applied to analyze the sensitivity of parameter and to predict the fixed-bed adsorption column performance on operation variable changes. The prediction model showed similar effect to mass transfer and intraparticle diffusion coefficient changes suggesting that both parameter present mass transfer rate limits for GAC-phenol system. The Freundlich constants had a greater effect than kinetic parameters for the performance of fixed-bed adsorption column. FEM solution facilitated prediction of concentration history in solution and within adsorbent particle.

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A Semi-empirical Equation for Activity Coefficients of Ions with One Parameter

  • Lee, Jai-Yeop;Han, Ihnsup
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • 제34권12호
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    • pp.3709-3714
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    • 2013
  • Based on the Debye-H$\ddot{u}$ckel equation, a semi-empirical equation for activity coefficients was derived through empirical and theoretical trial and error efforts. The obtained equation included two parameters: the proportional factor and the effective radius of an ionic sphere. These parameters were used in the empirical and regression parameter fitting of the calculated values to the experimental results. The activity coefficients calculated from the equation agreed with the data. Transforming to a semi-empirical form, the equation was expressed with one parameter, the ion radius. The ion radius, ${\alpha}$, was divided into three parameters, ${\alpha}_{cation}$, ${\alpha}_{anion}$ and ${\delta}_{cation}$, representing parameters for the cation, anion and combination, respectively. The advantage of this equation is the ability to propose a semi-empirical equation that can easily determine the activity coefficient with just one parameter, so the equation is expected to be used more widely in actual industry applications.

3변수 혼합 지수 확률밀도함수를 이용한 도시 강우 유출수 포착곡선의 작성 (Urban Stormwater Capture Curve using 3-Parameter Mixed Exponential Probability Density Function)

  • 한수희;박무종;김상단
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.430-435
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    • 2008
  • In order to design Non-point source management, the aspect of statistical features of the entire precipitation data should be focused since non-point source discharge is driven by continuous rainfall runoffs. 3-parameter mixed exponential probability density function is used to establish urban stormwater capture curve instead of previous single-parameter exponential PDF. Then, recent 10-year data in Busan are applied to establish the curve. The result shows that 3-parameter mixed PDF gives better resolution.

High-order, closely-spaced modal parameter estimation using wavelet analysis

  • Le, Thai-Hoa;Caracoglia, Luca
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제56권3호
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    • pp.423-442
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    • 2015
  • This study examines the wavelet transform for output-only system identification of ambient excited engineering structures with emphasis on its utilization for modal parameter estimation of high-order and closely-spaced modes. Sophisticated time-frequency resolution analysis has been carried out by employing the modified complex Morlet wavelet function for better adaption and flexibility of the time-frequency resolution to extract two closely-spaced frequencies. Furthermore, bandwidth refinement techniques such as a bandwidth resolution adaptation, a broadband filtering technique and a narrowband filtering one have been proposed in the study for the special treatments of high-order and closely-spaced modal parameter estimation. Ambient responses of a 5-story steel frame building have been used in the numerical example, using the proposed bandwidth refinement techniques, for estimating the modal parameters of the high-order and closely-spaced modes. The first five natural frequencies and damping ratios of the structure have been estimated; furthermore, the comparison among the various proposed bandwidth refinement techniques has also been examined.