• 제목/요약/키워드: energy scenario

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계층화 분석과정법과 디지털 목업을 이용한 정량적 해체 시나리오 평가 (Quantitative Comparison and Analysis of Decommissioning Scenarios Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process Method and Digital Mock-up System)

  • 김성균;박희성;이근우;정종헌
    • 에너지공학
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2007
  • 본 논문에서는 해체 시나리오를 정량적 및 정성적 고려사항을 반영하여 평가하기 위하여 계층적분석이론(Analytic Hierarchy Process, AHP)을 이용한 평가모델을 개발하였으며 또한 해체 시나리오의 정량적인 자료산출을 위하여 해체일정, 폐기물량, 방사화 가시화, 해체비용, 작업자 피폭량 등과 같은 해체정보산출모듈을 개발하였다. 그리고 해체공정을 가상환경에서 구현하여 해체절차를 파악하기 위하여 디지털 목업(Digital Mock-Up, DMU)을 개발하였으며 DMU 시스템은 해체정보산출모듈, 해체 DB 및 해체 시나리오 평가 모듈을 통합적으로 관리하도록 개발되었다. 마지막으로 개발된 해체 DMU 시스템과 계층분석과정 모델을 연구로 1호기(Korea Research Reactor-1, KRR-1) thermal column의 플라즈마 절단 시나리오와 nibbler 절단 시나리오에 적용하여 비교 평가하였다.

ANALYSIS OF A STATION BLACKOUT SCENARIO WITH AN ATLAS TEST

  • Kim, Yeon-Sik;Yu, Xin-Guo;Kang, Kyoung-Ho;Park, Hyun-Sik;Cho, Seok;Choi, Ki-Yong
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제45권2호
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    • pp.179-190
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    • 2013
  • A station blackout experiment called SBO-01 was performed at the ATLAS facility. From the SBO-01 test, the station blackout scenario can be characterized into two typical phases: A first phase characterized by decay heat removal through secondary safety valves until the SG dryouts, and a second phase characterized by an energy release through a blowdown of the primary system after the SG dryouts. During the second phase, some physical phenomena of the change over a pressurizer function, i.e., the pressurizer being full before the POSRV $1^{st}$ opening and then its function being taken by the RV, and the termination of normal natural circulation flow were identified. Finally, a core heatup occurred at a low core water level, although under a significant amount of PZR inventory, whose drainage seemed to be hindered owing to the pressurizer function by the RV. The transient of SBO-01 is well reproduced in the calculation using the MARS code.

우리나라의 고준위폐기물 처분을 위한 FEP과 시나리오 개발 (A Study on the Development of the FEP and Scenario for the HLW Disposal in Korea)

  • 강철형;정종태;최종원
    • 방사성폐기물학회지
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2012
  • 고준위 방사성폐기물 처분에 대한 종합 성능 평가를 위해 처분장 성능 및 안전성에 미치는 영향들을 단위 현상, 사건, 공정 (FEP)으로 분류하고 이들을 발생 가능성, 결과 영향, 규제, 특정 부지의 적합성 등을 고려하여 중요도를 평가한 후 유사한 FEP들을 그룹화하여 이들 FEP 그룹들 간의 상호 반응을 이해하고 이로부터 처분장으로부터 최종 생태계에 이르는 방사성 핵종들이 이동을 기술하는 시나리오를 도출하는 연구가 필요하다. 한국원자력연구원에서는 외국의 사례를 심층 분석하고 국내 전문가 의견 등을 종합하여 국내 처분 환경에 적합한 FEP들을 380 여개 포함하는 KAERI FEP List를 개발하였다. RES와 PID방법을 사용하여 처분장 방사선적 종합 안전성 평가에서 고려해야 될 5 가지 시나리오들을 도출하였다. 또한 고준위폐기물 처분안전성평가를 종합 데이터베이스 관리시스템인 KAERI CYPRUS를 개발하고 이들 결과물을 CYPRUS 내에 구축하였다.

UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF TMI-2 ACCIDENT SCENARIO USING SIMULATION BASED TECHNIQUES

  • Rao, R. Srinivasa;Kumar, Abhay;Gupta, S.K.;Lele, H.G.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제44권7호
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    • pp.807-816
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    • 2012
  • The Three Mile Island Unit 2 (TMI-2) accident has been studied extensively, as part of both post-accident technical assessment and follow-up computer code calculations. The models used in computer codes for severe accidents have improved significantly over the years due to better understanding. It was decided to reanalyze the severe accident scenario using current state of the art codes and methodologies. This reanalysis was adopted as a part of the joint standard problem exercise for the Atomic Energy Regulatory Board (AERB) - United States Regulatory Commission (USNRC) bilateral safety meet. The accident scenario was divided into four phases for analysis viz., Phase 1 covers from the accident initiation to the shutdown of the last Reactor Coolant Pumps (RCPs) (0 to 100 min), Phase 2 covers initial fuel heat up and core degradation (100 to 174 min), Phase 3 is the period of recovery of the core water level by operating the reactor coolant pump, and the core reheat that followed (174 to 200 min) and Phase 4 covers refilling of the core by high pressure injection (200 to 300 min). The base case analysis was carried out for all four phases. The majority of the predicted parameters are in good agreement with the observed data. However, some parameters have significant deviations compared to the observed data. These discrepancies have arisen from uncertainties in boundary conditions, such as makeup flow, flow during the RCP 2B transient (Phase 3), models used in the code, the adopted nodalisation schemes, etc. In view of this, uncertainty and sensitivity analyses are carried out using simulation based techniques. The paper deals with uncertainty and sensitivity analyses carried out for the first three phases of the accident scenario.

경제성장과 산업구조 변화에 따른 장기 온실가스 배출량 전망 시나리오 분석 (An Analysis of Long-Term Scenarios for The GHG Emissions Projections Considering Economic Growth and Industrial Structure Change)

  • 권승문;전의찬
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.257-268
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    • 2016
  • Both economic growth and industrial structure have great influence on energy consumption and GHG emissions. This study analyzed long-term scenarios for GHG emissions projections considering economic growth and industry value added change. In consideration of 3 GDP and 3 industry value added outlook, total 9 scenarios were set; 'Assembly Industry Baseline(AI)', 'Assembly KEIT industry(AK)', 'Assembly Advanced Country industry(AA)', 'KDI Industry Baseline(KI)', 'KDI KEIT industry(KK)', 'KDI Advanced Country industry(KA)', 'OECD Industry Baseline(OI)', 'OECD KEIT industry(OK)', and 'OECD Advanced Country industry(OA)' scenarios. In consideration of the GDP increase rate and industry value added outlook, it is estimated that AI scenario's GHG emissions would be 777 million tons of $CO_2eq$ in 2030. On the other hand, in the case of OA scenario, GHG emissions would be 560.2 million tons of $CO_2eq$ in 2030. Differences between AI scenario's and OA scenario's were 216.8 million tons of $CO_2eq$. It can be identified by that GDP and industry value added change have great influence on GHG emissions. In view of the fact that Korea's amount of GHG emission reduction targets in 2030 were 218.6 million tons of $CO_2eq$ that the result of this research could give us valuable insight.

Dynamic Modeling of the Korean Nuclear Euel Cycle

  • Jeong, Chang-Joon;Park, Joo-Hwan;Park, Hangbok
    • 한국방사성폐기물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방사성폐기물학회 2004년도 학술논문집
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    • pp.386-395
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    • 2004
  • The Korean fuel cycle scenario has been modeled by using the dynamic analysis method. For once-through fuel cycle model, the nuclear power plant construction plan was considered, and the nuclear demand growth rate from the year 2016 was assumed to be 1%. After setup the once-thorough fuel cycle model, the DUPIC and fast reactor scenarios were modeled to investigate the environmental effect of each fuel cycle. Through the calculation of the amount of spent fuel, and the amounts of plutonium and minor actinides were estimated and compared to those of the once-through fuel cycle. The results of the once-through fuel cycle shows that the demand grows to 64 GWe and the total amount of the spent fuel would be 100 kt in the year 2100, while the total spent fuel can be reduced by 50% when the DUPIC scenario is implemented

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2050년 재생가능 에너지 전환 시나리오 분석 (Scenario Analysis of Renewable Transition by 2050 in Korea)

  • 박년배;전의찬
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회 초록집
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    • pp.134.2-134.2
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    • 2011
  • 정부의 제1차 국가에너지기본계획(국무총리실 외. 2008)과 제4, 5차 전력수급기본계획(지식경제부 2008, 2010)을 바탕으로 장기 에너지 시스템 분석모형인 LEAP(Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system) 모형을 이용하여 2050년까지 발전 부문에서 재생가능 에너지의 확대를 통한 에너지 전환 시나리오에 대하여 정량적인 분석을 하였다. 기준 시나리오, 정부 정책 시나리오, 지속가능 사회 시나리오에 대한 발전량 및 설비 구성, 수입의존도, 연료 다양성 등 에너지 시스템에 대해 분석하는 한편, 온실가스, 대기오염물질, 온배수, 토지이용 등 환경영향을 검토하고, 시나리오별 총 비용을 분석하였다. 본 연구의 의의는 영국, 독일, 미국, 일본 등 선진국에서 전력 장기 시나리오들을 검토하는 한편, 국내 발전 부문 재생가능 에너지 전환의 가능성과 의미에 대해 화두를 던지고자 함이다.

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LINEAR PROGRAMMING OPTIMIZATION OF NUCLEAR ENERGY STRATEGY WITH SODIUM-COOLED FAST REACTORS

  • Lee, Je-Whan;Jeong, Yong-Hoon;Chang, Yoon-Il;Chang, Soon-Heung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.383-390
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    • 2011
  • Nuclear power has become an essential part of electricity generation to meet the continuous growth of electricity demand. A Sodium-cooled Fast Reactor (SFR) was developed to extend uranium resource utilization under a growing nuclear energy scenario while concomitantly providing a nuclear waste management solution. Key questions in this scenario are when to introduce SFRs and how many reactors should be introduced. In this study, a methodology using Linear Programming is employed in order to quantify an optimized growth pattern of a nuclear energy system comprising light water reactors and SFRs. The optimization involves tradeoffs between SFR capital cost premiums and the total system U3O8 price premiums. Optimum nuclear growth patterns for several scenarios are presented, as well as sensitivity analyses of important input parameters.